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Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity

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Page 1: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria

With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Page 2: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Spheres of Sustainability

Ecological

SocialEconomic

Page 3: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Prehistoric Proportions

Ecological

SocialEconomic

Page 4: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Sustainability Institutions

Ecological

SocialEconomic

(Institutions)

Page 5: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Capacities and Tradeoffs

Ecological

SocialEconomic

Page 6: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Economic Growth

• an increase in the production and

consumption of goods and services

• typically expressed in terms of GDP

• facilitated by increasing:

–population

–per capita consumption

Page 7: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Time

GN

PK

Natural capital allocated to human economy

Natural capital allocated to wildlife

Czech, B. 2000. Economic growth as the limiting factor for wildlife conservation. Wildlife Society Bulletin 28(1):4-14.

Page 8: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Some Empirical Evidence:

Causes of Species Endangerment

as a “Who’s Who”

of the American Economy

Page 9: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Endangerment CausesUrbanization

Agriculture

Water diversions (e.g., reservoirs)

Recreation, tourism development

Pollution

Domestic livestock, ranching

247

205

160

148

143

136

Czech et al. 2000. Bioscience 50(7):593-601.

Page 10: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Causes (cont.)Mineral, gas, oil extraction

Non-native species

Harvest

Modified fire regimes

Road construction/maintenance

Industrial development

134

115

101

83

83

81

Czech et al. 2000. Bioscience 50(7):593-601.

Page 11: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Making sense of the Who’s Who with

Trophic Theory

Page 12: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation
Page 13: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation
Page 14: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation
Page 15: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation
Page 16: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

PDF files for these articles available at The Wildlife Society website: www.wildlife.org. (Follow links to Wildlife Society Bulletin.)

Page 17: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

ESA Listings and GDP

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1973 1980 1990 2001

$10

$9

$8

$7

$6

$5

$4

$3

R2 = 98.4

Page 18: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Basic Population Dynamics

Page 19: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

K

Carrying Capacity ScenariosIn

divi

dual

s

Time

r-selection

K-selection

Page 20: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

K and r-selected Species

Page 21: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

K

Economic Carrying CapacityG

DP

Time

r-selection

K-selection

Page 22: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

K and r-selected Economies

Page 23: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

American GNP, 1929-1997

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

1929

1932

1935

1938

1941

1944

1947

1950

1953

1956

1959

1962

1965

1968

1971

1974

1977

1980

1983

1986

1989

1992

1995

K or r-selected?

Page 24: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

But, for the sake of biodiversity conservation, it’s not enough to hope

we are K-selected.

Page 25: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

K

Wildlife Conservation andSteady State Economy

GN

P

Time

...maintain steady state economy sufficiently below K.

To conserve wildlife...

Page 26: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

But what about

Technological

Progress?

Page 27: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Technological Progress

•Vernacular: invention, innovation

•Technical: increasing productive

efficiency resulting from invention

and innovation

Page 28: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

KTGNP

Natural capital allocated to human economy

Natural capital allocated to non-human economy

X natural capital allocable

Time

KU

Natural Capital Allocation Revisited

Page 29: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

X/2 conserved  K1

K2

 

GNP

Time

X natural capital remains allocable KU

Economic growth with technology level 2

Economic growth with technology level 1

The Big Hope

Page 30: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

The Great Debate: Is There a Limit?

“Yes”• Physiocrats

• Classical economists

• Ecological economists

• Ecologists

“No”• Neoclassical

economists

• Corporations

• Politicians

Page 31: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Why would there not be a limit?

• Substitutability of resources

• Increasing productive efficiency

• Increasing human capital

Page 32: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

White Pine, “Big Wheel”

Page 33: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Substituting for white pine,

employing more efficient

technology.

Page 34: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Sitka Spruce,Timbco 435 “Feller Buncher”

Page 35: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Why would there be a limit?

• Carrying capacity

• Thermodynamics

• Trophic levels

Page 36: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Carrying Capacity

• Consumers

• Products

• Byproducts

Page 37: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Thermodynamics

• Fixed amount of matter

• Entropy

• Fixed amount of energy

Page 38: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Another look at trophic

levels, this time in light of

thermodynamics.

Page 39: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation
Page 40: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation
Page 41: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Clear to All

• Without technological progress,

GNP limited

• GNP growth faster than

technological progress = trouble

Page 42: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Unclear to Many

• Technological progress: raising the

bar or accelerating the approach?

• Does technological progress occur

without increased consumption?

Page 43: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Consider the Sources

• Research and development

• Corporate profit

• Economies of scale

Page 44: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

KTGNP

Natural capital allocated to human economy

Natural capital allocated to non-human economy

X natural capital allocable

Time

KU

One More Look at Allocation

Page 45: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

X/2 conserved  K1

K2

 

GNP

Time

X natural capital remains allocableKU

Economic growth with technology level 2

Economic growth with technology level 1

Remember the Big Hope?

Page 46: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

K1

K2

GNP

Time

X/2 natural capital allocable KU

X/2 converted 

Economic growth with technology level 2

Economic growth with technology level 1

The Apparent Reality

Page 47: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Red Herring Alert!

Red Herring Alert!

Red Herring Alert!

Page 48: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

The “Information” Economy

• What is the information used for?

• How does one come to

afford the information?

Page 49: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

To say that an economy may grow perpetually on a finite land mass is to say that a stable economy may occupy a perpetually diminishing land mass!

Fallacy Buster

Page 50: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

=$

$

$$

Page 51: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Real Questions

• What is the limit?

• How do we know when we’re approaching the limit?

• What do we do to prevent breaching the limit?

Page 52: Transdisciplinary Considerations Among Sustainability Criteria With a Focus on the Ecological Macroeconomics of Biodiversity Conservation

Recommendations• Introductions should acknowledge spherical

capacities and tradeoffs.

• Criteria should provide indicators of trading off.

• Interpretation should include observations of

tradeoffs.

• Does technological progress occur without

increased consumption?