trading and exchanges: a course in market microstructure prof. eugene kandel nes, september 2006
TRANSCRIPT
Administration I• Introductions.
• Syllabus.
• The coursework consists of:
– Lectures;
– Readings;
– Exercise.
• Book: Lawrence Harris, Trading and Exchanges,
Oxford University Press.
Administration II
• Grades
Class Participation 10%
Problem set (due Sept 26) 30%
Final Exam (on Sept 28) 50%
Total: 100%
• Exercises – not for grade. We will discuss some
of them in class, and I may use them for compiling
exam questions.
Objectives of the Course
• Learn about the markets using a coherent conceptual framework.
• Appreciate the complexity of market design, and the importance of details that cannot be seen in a “macro” view.
• This course will, hopefully, make you a better investor, but will not train you as a trader.
We will examine:
• Why do people trade, and how they do it;
• What do markets/exchanges add to society;
• Which market characteristics appeal to investors;
• Why are markets organized this way;
• The recent changes in market design;
• The role of public policy.
CAPM View of the Market
• Assumptions: – investors and firms interact directly,
– perfect competition (small investors and firms),
– full information,
– costless reallocation of portfolios.
• An elegant model, with clear predictions.
Results
• Firms issue securities and investors hold them. Every investor holds the same market portfolio.
• The model is about holding securities and pricing them according to the fundamentals.
• Each investor can buy/sell any amount at the same price…
• …yet, there is practically no trading.
Problems with CAPM View
• As we look closer, we find:
– Information incompleteness and asymmetry;
– Need for price (information) discovery;
– Absence of trading counterparties;
• Markets and institutions arise to address these
problems. However, these are costly, and do not
eliminate the problems entirely!
Used Cars Market
Who addresses the following problems?
– Buyers/sellers may not know about each other.
– Buyers/sellers may not know the relevant price;
– Sellers may have informational advantage
– Sellers and buyers arrive at different times
– Newspapers, Blue Books, auctions, brokers, dealers.
Micro View
Investors Firms
Commercial Banks
Exchanges
Institutional Investors
InvestmentBanks
Brokers
Information Providers
Liquidity Providers
Securities
• Equities – various types of stocks;
• Corporate Bonds;
• Commercial paper;
• Other securities:– Government bonds;
– Indices – e.g. ETFs;
– Futures - commodities, currencies, indices;
– FX - spot;
– Derivatives.
Market types
• Primary vs. Secondary.
• Quote driven vs. Order driven.
• Continuous vs. Call.
• Electronic / Open Outcry /
Negotiated.
• Levels of transparency.
Institutional Investors
• Mutual funds, pension funds, hedge funds, and money managers.
• Economies of scale in diversification, research, and execution.
• Some are mandatory, others sell diversification, or security picking ability.
• Moral Hazard (agency) problems.• Institutional investors’ activism and corporate
governance.
Brokers
• Allow access to markets.
• Verify creditworthiness.
• Provide bundled services.
• Provide information, but face competition.
• Find liquidity and match trades - compete
with exchanges (ECNs and Nasdaq).
Commercial and Investment Banks
• Commercial Banks:– Loans and deposits
– Conversion: denomination, credit, and maturity;
– Delegated monitoring.
• Investment Banks:– Certification;
– Marketing;
– Information provision.
Information Providers
• Analysts:– Sell side - moral hazard problems;– Buy Side - less conspicuous.
• Rating Agencies.
• Newspapers and newsletters.
• Value Line.
• Internet.
The Effects of Transaction Costs
• CAPM with transaction cost:– Nobody holds market portfolio;– Idiosyncratic risk;– Portfolio imbalances;– Higher required return.
• Transaction cost is only one aspect:– Liquidity risk;– Price deviation risk.
CAPM with Transaction CostsPortfolio Variance
# of securities in the portfolio
Market Portfoliounder CAPM
Optimal number of securities with transaction cost
Nn
Summary
• Financial institutions arise to solve problems that
are not observable from the macro view.
• We focus on these problems and study some of
these institutions, in particular the exchanges.
• First discuss concepts, then follow with examples.
• Exercise: see below.