trade and investment opportunities in vietnam

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A presentation by UKTI

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  • 1

    VIETNAM

  • 2

    GEOGRAPHY and PEOPLE

    Population 89 million

    13th most populous country in the world

    54 ethnic groups

    Young population - 54% under 28 years old

    High literacy rate:94%

    1.6 million new jobs required each year, equivalent to 5% annual growth

    UK 13,190 km

    that way

  • 3

    POLITICS

    One party state - Communist Party of Vietnam

    A culture where decisions made by consensus

    A stable and safe environment

    Growing international integration

    Economic Reform (in 1986), introduction of private sector

    (2000) and implementation of WTO commitments (VNs

    accession to WTO in 2007)

  • 4

    THE UK & VIETNAM

    40 years of diplomatic relations

    Intensive high level interactions between UK and Vietnam

    HMG one team (BE, BCG, DFID, BC)

    On FDI, at end of 2012, UK is third largest EU investor (18th worldwide) in Vietnam: 163 projects with a registered value of around US$ 2.7 billion

    Aim is to increase two way trade volume to US$ 4 billion and UK FDI in Vietnam to rise to US$3 billion by 2013

    Relationship upgraded to Strategic Partnership in 2010

  • 5

    THE ECONOMY

    One of the fastest growing economies in South East Asia over the last decade (average growth of around 7%).

    2012 was a challenging year but GDP growth of 5.03% (target 6%).

    Inflation: 6.8% in 2012

    2013: Economy continues to recover. Monetary policy carefully loosened last year. Government GDP growth rate expected to be around 5.5% in 2013

    Vietnam is one of UKTIs 20 High Growth Market

  • 6

    How does Vietnam compare with its neighbours?

    Ease of doing business 2013 (World Bank) Malaysia 12 / 185 Thailand 18 China 91 Vietnam 99 Indonesia 128 Cambodia 133 Philippines 138

    Value of Exports US$ (CIA Fact book 2011) China 1 2,131 billion Thailand 21 245 Malaysia 23 213 Indonesia 26 209 Vietnam 39 97 Philippines 57 54 Cambodia 112 5

    Nominal GDP US$ bill (World Bank 2011) China 2 / 184 7,298,147 Indonesia 16 846,450 Thailand 30 345,672 Malaysia 36 287,943 Philippines 44 224,771 Vietnam 57 124,000 Cambodia 120 12,890

    Corruption Perception Malaysia 60 / 183 China 75 Thailand 80 Indonesia 106 Vietnam 112 Philippines 129 Control of Corruption (2010)

    Malaysia 61% Thailand 47% China 33% Vietnam 33% Indonesia 27% Philippines 22% (Transparency International)

  • 7

    FINANCIAL, PROFESSIONAL AND BUSINESS SERVIES SECTOR

    VIETNAM S FINANCIAL AND PROFESSIONAL SERVICES

    Economy heavily relies on banks (total banking assets

    US$127 bil vs US$123 bil GDP) - banking reform underway

    Issuer Default Rating (IDR) B+ by Fitch Ratings

    Cash-based : only 20% of the population using banking

    services; 7% are insured

    Young capital market (since 1992) but total capitalisation

    up to US$42 bil (35% GDP) - Dec 2011

    SOE equitisation rebooted in 2012 - 93 SOEs to be

    equitised.

    OPPORTUNITIES

    Ranked 8th in the Asia Pacific with busiest M&As - grew

    30%/year in recent years

    Professional brokers, lawyers and consultants to support

    M&A and restructuring process

    Establishment of wholly incorporation; or share holding in

    local financial institutions

    Consultancy, technology and infrastructure development

    to support the equitisation and modernisation in the

    banking sector specifically

    HOW TO ACCESS TO THE MARKET

    Build up a good relationship with local partners/

    reputable organisations/ institutions

    Working in partnership with local companies or

    organisations

    100% foreign investment

    CHALLENGES

    Bureaucracy can sometimes be frustrating

    Unstable regulations and policies

    Tough competition with local companies who are in more

    favourable conditions

  • 8

    RETAIL SECTOR

    VIETNAM S RETAILS MARKET

    Vietnams retail sales and services hit 111.36 bil USD in

    2012, an increase of 15.72% year on year

    Young population with increasing disposal incomes, which

    are mostly brand and tech savvies

    Traditional retail channels dominates the sector, which

    distribute 78% of the total good flows.

    Vietnams retail density is low i.e. 0.09 and 0.1 in HCMC

    and Hanoi respectively, compared to 0.8 in Bangkok and

    0.6 in Kuala Lumpur

    OPPORTUNITIES

    A high growth market for fast moving consumer goods

    (FMCG)

    70% of the population live in rural area and accounts for

    only 47% FMCG value whilst modern trade contributes

    22% of the FMCG value

    Lucrative market for luxury goods. Vietnams import of

    luxury goods in 2012 valued 10 bil USD, accounted for

    11.3% of the countrys total imports.

    HOW TO ACCESS TO THE MARKET

    Through UKTI Vietnam

    Establishing good relationships with local partners (joint-

    venture)

    Franchising

    M & A

    100% foreign investment

    CHALLENGES

    Slow in infrastructure and distribution network

    ENT (Economic Needs Test) barriers with ambiguous legal

    framework

    Shortage of skilled labour and professionals in the sector

  • 9

    ADVANCED ENGINEERING SECTOR

    VIETNAM MARKET

    The role of advanced engineering and the machinery

    industry is important as Vietnam is striving towards

    modernization by 2020.

    Machine, equipment, tools and instruments remain

    Vietnams top major imported commodities. In 2012

    Vietnams imports of machines, equipment etc. was US$

    16.04 billion, an increase of 3.2% y-o-y accounting for 14%

    of the countrys total import value.

    OPPORTUNITIES

    Machines and equipment have always been UKs top

    export commodity to Vietnam.

    In 2012, UKs export value of machinery to Vietnam

    reached US$172.6 mil, accounted for 32% of Vietnams

    total imports from the UK

    Products have strong a credibility and provide good

    experience to Vietnamese customers.

    63% of Vietnams total export revenue comes from FDI

    sector -> good pool of customers in addition to Vietnam

    manufacturers.

    HOW TO ACCESS TO THE MARKET

    Through UKTI Vietnam

    Establishing good relationships with local partners

    (trading companies, distributors, etc)

    Joint-venture

    100% foreign investment

    CHALLENGES

    Strong competition from other Asian countries such as

    China, Japan, Taiwan, Singapore and S. Korea

    Adaptation of UKs machinery into Vietnams

    manufacturing sectors (assembling) is low

    Prices of UKs machinery and equipment are higher than

    other EU competitors such as Germany, Italy and France

  • 10

    URBAN PLANNING SECTOR

    VIETNAM MARKET

    Population of 88 mil, 13th populous in the world, 3rd in

    South East Asia. Growth rate of 1% annually.

    Young population (med age of 27.8)

    70% of the population live in rural areas. Urbanisation

    rate is 3%/ annum.

    Working population of 62 mil, high demand for social

    houses

    One of the top 5 countries that are most vulnerable to

    climate change

    OPPORTUNITIES

    Vietnams won the bid to organise Asian Games in 2019.

    There are a lot of projects in place to anticipate the event

    such as the athletes village to accommodate 11,000

    people.

    Long Thanh International Airport with the total

    investment of US$10 bil

    Dire need for sustainable urban development to tackle

    climate change impacts and meeting the high demand of

    social housing.

    HOW TO ACCESS TO THE MARKET

    Through UKTI Vietnam

    Establishing good relationships with local partners

    (trading companies, distributors, etc)

    Joint-venture

    100% foreign investment

    CHALLENGES

    Land use and ownership

    Land valuation and compensation

    High property prices -> require big investment

    Ambiguous and erratically regulations

  • 11

    EDUCATION & TRAINING

    SECTOR EDUCATION INVESTMENT

    20% of Government budget;

    11 projects during 2008-2015: US$1,270 million;

    Schools will continue upgrade and plans to build at least

    five international universities;

    Growing demand for education expansion and higher

    education;

    The schools in Vietnam are established in different forms

    depending on their ownership:

    Public schools

    People-founded schools

    Private schools

    OPPORTUNITIES

    English Language Training Centres;

    Higher Education/ Vocational Training/ Corporate

    Training;

    Supply of educational equipment;

    Establishment of joint programmes;

    International consultants;

    Growing market for international studies.

    HOW TO ACCESS TO THE MARKET

    Working in partnership with local companies or

    organisation;

    Build up a good relationship with local partners/

    reputable organisations/ institutions;

    100% foreign investment;

    CHALLENGES

    Mismatch in education systems between Vietnam and UK.

    Vietnams system of education is highly decentralised and

    depends on transfer and allocation of norms.

    Lack of financial resources to upgrade training facilities

    (premises, equipment/labs) in both tertiary and vocational

    education.

  • 12

    ENVIRONMENT SECTOR

    VIETNAMS ENVIRONMENT SECTOR

    Key environmental issues: the degradation of forest,

    biodiversity, land, water and air.

    Solid waste management a dominant issue that needs

    urgent solution: Solid waste increased by 10% annually;

    Landfill is the most popular disposable. method; 13-20% of

    recovery for recycle/ reuse; Most of landfills in big cities

    are nearly full.

    Only 44% of 13,600 hospitals and medical

    establishments have medical wastewater treatment

    system.

    OPPORTUNITIES

    UK companies to offer consultancy and technologies for : Solid waste management Medical waste treatment (Vietnam got US$150 million from World Bank for medical waste water treatment in 3 years from May 2012) Renewable energy Air pollution Energy management and efficiency (World Bank funded US$70 million in Feb 2012 to support Vietnams climate and low carbon programme)

    HOW TO ACCESS TO THE MARKET

    Through UKTI Vietnam

    Working in partnership with local companies or

    organisations

    Contracting in World Bank/ADB funded projects

    CHALLENGES

    Vietnam still heavily reliant on ODA and Soft Loans to

    fund projects .

    The price for electricity generated from landfills or

    renewable energy projects is low.

    Fierce competition, especially with contractors whose

    governments are major donors to Vietnam.

  • 13

    ENERGY SECTOR

    OVERVIEW OF THE POWER SECTOR

    3rd largest oil producer in Southeast Asia, 31st in the word with 7 major basins , 4 billion barrels of oil reserves and 23 trillion cubic feet of gas reserves

    Oil production: 300,600 barrels of oil per day

    Gas production: 9,4 billion cum

    Power consumption increased more than five-fold (2000-2012)

    Vietnam will need approximately US$130bn to invest in the power sector in the next 20 years

    OPPORTUNITIES FOR OIL & GAS

    Supply of equipment and consultancy in: Seismic survey, Oil & Gas Exploitation Engineering and construction of production facilities, Drilling and production technologies, including drilling rigs (70-200m) Oil Spill Management and refineries. Gas ultilisation alternatives (polypropylene and polyethylene production) Training and education in all aspects of the industry. Health Safety & Environment Waste management

    HOW TO ACCESS TO THE MARKET

    Supplying equipment and services: through local

    distributors/agents

    Investment:

    Oil & Gas: partnering with PetroVietnam or local/foreign

    oil & gas companies operating in Vietnam

    Power: partnering with EVN or local/foreign power

    companies operating in Vietnam

    OPPORTUNITIES FOR POWER

    Supply of equipment and Consultancy in: Power plants design Engineering and production facilities and refurbishment services: valve, pump, turbine, control instruments ..etc. Nuclear power development: Consultancy services, Equipment and Facilities ,Fuel Enrichment and Fabrication, Waste Management and Decommissioning, Operation and Maintenance.

    183 new power plants invested and put into operation by

    2025

  • 14

    CONTACTS FOR ENQUIRIES

    HANOI

    Mr Piers Craven

    Head of Trade & Investment

    British Embassy Hanoi

    4th Floor, Central Building

    31 Hai Ba Trung, Hanoi

    Vietnam

    Tel: (84) (4) 3936 0500 ext. 2228

    Fax: (84) (4) 3936 0561

    Email: [email protected]

    HO CHI MINH CITY

    Mr Stephen Agnew

    Head of Trade & Investment

    British Consulate General HCMC

    25 Le Duan Blvd,

    District 1, Ho Chi Minh City

    Vietnam

    Tel: (84) (8) 3825 1380 ext 2206

    Fax: (84) (8) 3822 1971

    Email: [email protected]

    For further information, please visit our websites at:

    www.ukinvietnam.fco.gov.uk

    www.ukti.gov.uk

    End of Presentation Thank you