towards the portable internet and the ubiquity of networks€¦ · mapping mobility and speed:...

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Lara Srivastava Strategy and Policy Unit, ITU Hong Kong Mobility Roundtable 2-3 June 2005 (Hong Kong) Note: The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the ITU or its membership. Lara Srivastava can be contacted at [email protected] towards the portable internet and the ubiquity of networks

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Page 1: towards the portable internet and the ubiquity of networks€¦ · mapping mobility and speed: high-speed high-mobility low-mobility low-speed-xDSL-FTTH -WLAN-2G and 2.5G ... International

Lara SrivastavaStrategy and Policy Unit, ITU

Hong Kong Mobility Roundtable2-3 June 2005 (Hong Kong)

Note: The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the ITU or its membership. Lara Srivastava can be contacted at [email protected]

towards the portable internet and the ubiquity of networks

Page 2: towards the portable internet and the ubiquity of networks€¦ · mapping mobility and speed: high-speed high-mobility low-mobility low-speed-xDSL-FTTH -WLAN-2G and 2.5G ... International

International Telecommunication Union

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“what hath God wrought”… …in 1844 - the first interurban telegraphic communication from Washington to Baltimore, ‘morsed’ by Samuel

Page 3: towards the portable internet and the ubiquity of networks€¦ · mapping mobility and speed: high-speed high-mobility low-mobility low-speed-xDSL-FTTH -WLAN-2G and 2.5G ... International

International Telecommunication Union

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…the dawn of the information age• the phenomenon of the World

Wide Web • the growth of high-speed

broadband infrastructure• the emphasis on “always-on”

communications and information access• the advances in computing to render

networks & tech even more “ubiquitous”• the overwhelming popularity of the

mobile phone

Page 4: towards the portable internet and the ubiquity of networks€¦ · mapping mobility and speed: high-speed high-mobility low-mobility low-speed-xDSL-FTTH -WLAN-2G and 2.5G ... International

International Telecommunication Union

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mobility has come a long way since the days of the clunky car phone…

1910

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International Telecommunication Union

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it’s even overtaken that old familiar fixed line

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Fixed LinesMobile

1400

1.8 billion mobile

1.19 billion fixed

Source: ITU

2004

1600

1800

est.

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International Telecommunication Union

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the mobile phone and the internet – a winning combination?

• successes and failures– i-mode– WAP

• the evolution of messaging– from SMS to MMS– from still to moving– from store & forward to MIM

and video conferencing• portable, mobile

– laptop, palmtop…FINGERTIP!

Page 7: towards the portable internet and the ubiquity of networks€¦ · mapping mobility and speed: high-speed high-mobility low-mobility low-speed-xDSL-FTTH -WLAN-2G and 2.5G ... International

International Telecommunication Union

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mapping mobility and speed:

high-speed

high-mobility

low-mobility

low-speed

- xDSL- FTTH - WLAN

- 2G and 2.5G- early 3G

?Mobile-Fi? WiMax ? 3G +

?- BANs/PANs

- RFID- Zigbee

new family of portable Internet technologies?

Page 8: towards the portable internet and the ubiquity of networks€¦ · mapping mobility and speed: high-speed high-mobility low-mobility low-speed-xDSL-FTTH -WLAN-2G and 2.5G ... International

International Telecommunication Union

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higher mobility, lower speedwe know about…

• Early 2G – dominated by GSM– characterized by fragmented market – some mobility of internet, but limited in

most markets• 2G -> 2.5G -> early 3G

– messaging goes mobile and multimedia– increased accessibility, through e.g.

services like Vodafone live!– still limited in take-up

Page 9: towards the portable internet and the ubiquity of networks€¦ · mapping mobility and speed: high-speed high-mobility low-mobility low-speed-xDSL-FTTH -WLAN-2G and 2.5G ... International

International Telecommunication Union

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higher speed, lower mobilitywe’ve seen around…

• FTTx, xDSL (no mobility) • Most popular for low mobliity is currently

802.11b (IEEE) or Wi-Fi (Wireless Fidelity)– Range is limited (100m) but speed is high (up to 11

Mbit/s). Mostly for stationary environments– Advantages:

• unlicensed spectrum• easy to deploy

– Disadvantages: no dedicated bandwidth, security concerns, high power consumption

• User base (2004): 115 million users worldwide, est.

Page 10: towards the portable internet and the ubiquity of networks€¦ · mapping mobility and speed: high-speed high-mobility low-mobility low-speed-xDSL-FTTH -WLAN-2G and 2.5G ... International

International Telecommunication Union

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higher speed, higher mobility:…underlying the “portable” Internet?• enhanced 3G

– HSPDA– CDMA 2000 1x EV-DV, EV-DO

• 802.16 or WiMax– (Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave access)– higher capacity: max 70 Mbit/s over 50 km– Type of WMAN

• 802.20 also known as “Mobile-Fi”– Optimized for high-mobility environments

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International Telecommunication Union

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lower speed, lower mobility: …enabling the “portable Internet”?

• often used at the edges of the network, e.g. as wire replacements

• takes the next step in “always-on” connections anywhere and anytime…– to anyone and “anything”

• enables a ‘ubiquitous communication environment’

• key growth area:– RFID

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International Telecommunication Union

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quick look at RFID as an ‘enabler’ • not a new idea - all about radio after all (19thC)• RFID system consist of : a tag (smaller than a

grain of rice), a reader and middleware

Persistent SMS Thumb Injury

Tag/Transponderlocated somewhere within this dark dotMy Hand

Interrogator(…waiting back stage)

Some Hi-tech Orange Material For Display

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International Telecommunication Union

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fragmented standards• RFID currently hindered by fragmented

efforts towards standardization– With exception of development of

standardization of identifiers/codes• 2 main areas for RFID standardization

– RFID frequency and protocols for communication of readers & tags/labels

– Standardization of data formats placed on tags and labels

• Main international players include ISO, ETSI, EPCglobal…and ITU

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International Telecommunication Union

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the uniqueness of RFID• RFID transponders contain “unique”

identifiers & are thus more than just the next generation of bar codes

• information contained on RFID tag can include: location, price, washing instructions, banking details, medical records etc…

• RFID already being used in transport, access control and supply-chain management.

• New developments include the use of RFID for retail shopping, contactless payment and personal identification

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International Telecommunication Union

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creating smart lifestyles• RFID deployment in combination with

sensor technologies to develop smart appliances, houses, and cities

• RFID environments for the physically challenged or elderly

• RFID tags & readers are getting smaller Example: Smart Watch (U. of Washington/Intel)Working prototype is an intelligent, integrated and responsible system, capable of prompting users who leave house or workplace without essential items, e.g .keys, wallet, which are tagged. When the watch passes a reader, information is sent to a personal server that checks whether all critical items are present.

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International Telecommunication Union

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chipping humans? • Verichip™ developed by Applied Digital

Solutions is the size of a grain of rice• Already being used today, e.g. by Baja

Beach Club in Barcelona – VIP patrons can order drinks

by simple wave of the hand– Access control to exclusive lounges

• Verichip™ Recently approved by US FDA (Food & Drug Administration), for now, for medical purposes

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International Telecommunication Union

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so we’re on our way to aworld of “smart things”….

Source: E. Fleisch, University of St. Gallen, SwitzerlandTime

Min

iatu

rizat

ion

and

cost

redu

ctio

n

(2) PCs

(1) Mainframe

(4) Smart Things

(3) Mobiles / Smart Cards

Advances in Miniaturization

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International Telecommunication Union

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though we will be & are certainly facing a number of challenges on our way:

• technical challenges– harmonization and standardization – efficient use of spectrum

• economic challenges– how to find those economies of scale

• public policy challenges– how to allocate spectrum, how to govern resources– how to protect data and limit harmful content– how to reach “true” ubiquity (‘the last billion’)

• social challenges– privacy protection (also a regulatory challenge)– impact on human behaviour and social interaction

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International Telecommunication Union

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…preparing for these challenges promises a future with endless possibility - imagine:

• you can’t lock your keys inside your house;• you can keep an eye on an ageing relative’s health

with your mobile phone;• you don’t have to stand in line at the shop, as payment

is automatic when you exit… or perhaps your intelligent fridge has already pre-ordered for you;

• your mobile can scan any medication at the pharmacy, or foods in the supermarket, in order to avoid contra-indications or allergies;

• your smart car tells you when the movie is on, how to get there, allows you to buy tickets, and each one of your tires is networked, with its own ‘home page’ ;

• your jacket adjusts to the temperature outside before it starts to rain or before the heat gets to you!

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“ to chop a tree, spend twice the time sharpening the axe”

- Chinese proverb

www.itu.int/ni www.itu.int/spu

ITU New Initiatives Programme ITU Strategy and Policy Unit

[email protected] h a n k s !t h a n k s !