towards the development of a ffs tool for the …lrut technology has been used to screen tubular...
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TOWARDS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FFS TOOL FOR THE INSPECTION OF CORROSION UNDER
INSULATION
Dr Yves Gunaltun, Petroleum Institute, Abu DhabiDyana Ambrose, Petroleum Institute, Abu DhabiPatrick Hivert, PLS, Abu DhabiGary Penney, FTI – [email protected]
OUTLINE
• Introduction• Objectives• Project Phases• Design of Experiment• Test Loop and Simulated Defects (Targets)• Data Collection and Interpretation• Results of the Study• Statistical Analysis• Key Findings• Closing Remarks
INTRODUCTION
• CUI remains a major problem for industry
• LRUT originally developed to detect CUI without extensive insulation removal
• LRUT is a screening technique which can detect corrosion
• Current commercially available systems cannot provide sizing information
OBJECTIVESProject Objectives:
• Independently benchmark performance of LRUT
• Measure POD for typical real-world condition
• Increase understanding of variables affecting performance of LRUT
• Develop LRUT to provide data for FFS
Presentation objectives:
• Share key findings, lessons learned and new insights
Principle
The Long Range Guided Wave Ultrasonic Technique (LRUT) was designed to
inspect long sections of piping from a single location.
• Ultrasonic waves induced into pipe body
and propagated along pipe segment
being inspected
• When these guided waves encounter a
defect or feature signals are reflected
back to the tool (transducer collar)
• These signals digitally captured and
processed on a laptop
• Time-of-flight for each signature is
calculated to determine distance from the
tool and the significance of the anomaly
• Transducer collar wired in octants to
determine position around circumference
OVERVIEW OF LONG RANGE ULTRASONIC TESTING
OVERVIEW OF LONG RANGE ULTRASONIC TESTINGAdvantages of LRUT
• Rapid surveying of long lengths of pipe • Detection of CUI without removing insulation except at the probe collar location • Cost reduction in gaining access to the pipes for inspection • The whole pipe wall (100% circumference) is inspected • Able to inspect inaccessible areas e.g. wall penetrations, road crossings, buried
lines • Test range typically up to 100m• Detection of internal or external metal loss
LRUT technology has been used to screen tubular section for material loss for more than 15 years.
COMMERCIALLY AVAILABLE LRUT SYSTEM
3rd generationTeletest Focus system
from Plant Integrity Ltd
Commercial systems available from:
Guided Ultrasonics LtdOlympusPlant Integrity LtdSouthwest Research Institute
4th generation Teletest Focus+ system from Plant Integrity Ltd
PROJECT APPROACH
• Design and construct test loop to benchmark performance of commercially available LRUT for detection of CUI
• Evaluate effect of insulation
• Repeatability study of LRUT test data
• Study to define target (defect)sizes
• Insertion of numerous simulated CUI targetsin test loop
• Collection of LRUT data from a number of test locations
• Collected data analysed by 9 experienced LRUT Level 2 operators (interpreters)
• Results analysed to determine POD and performance of LRUT system
Tests Loop Features
The test loop was built at Mussafah, UAE and was purpose designed for this study
• Material: Carbon steel• Pipe diameter 12”• Pipe thickness 9.53mm• Spool length of 12m• 120m test loop • 1.5D elbows• Painted with inorganic zinc
primer with epoxy topcoat
Fabricating the test loop
Test loop after construction
TEST LOOP AND SIMULATED CUI TARGETS
TEST LOOP AND SIMULATED CUI TARGETS
• Welds were inspected using PAUT and shown to be free of defects
• Weld cap heights were measured and recorded72m
4m
TEST LOOP AND SIMULATED CUI TARGETS
• Shape of defects was designed to simulate typical CUI defects
• Targets were created using manual grinding for high degree of control and practicality
Shape of simulated CUI targets in test loop
Around 160-200mm
Around50-150mm
SIDE VIEW
TOP VIEW
AXIAL DIRECTION
1.5-7.8mm
DESIGN OF EXPERIMENT
Stage 1 Experiments
• Effect of insulation evaluated• A single target progressively grown in size in >50 increments• LRUT data collected for each size increment• Results used to define sizes for final targets in test loop, from
not likely to be detected to readily detectable
Stage 1Experiments
Stage 2Experiments
LRUT A-scan without insulation –20kHz
LRUT A-scan with insulation –20kHz
EFFECT OF INSULATION ON LRUT RESULTS
Scanning of Artificial CUI Targets
Thickness gauge measurement of theparent pipe material
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Typical mapped target
TEST LOOP AND SIMULATED CUI TARGETS
Pit gauge measurement for mapping the targets
DESIGN OF EXPERIMENT
Stage 2 Experiments
• Numerous simulated CUI targets inserted in test loop• Targets offset around pipe circumference to avoid shadowing• All target sizes were recorded by detailed pit gauging• LRUT data collected from multiple test locations; provided to
9 experienced interpreters (all min. Level 2 LRUT operators)• A-scans for frequencies determined by LRUT software
Stage 1Experiments
Stage 2Experiments
Defect Detection for POD Study
• Test results were sent to specialists of 9 individuals for “Blind Evaluation” of the results
• Capability of the tools (probability of detection) was finalized
• Human impact on the results was evaluated
DATA COLLECTION AND INTERPRETATION
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0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4
‘RA
W’ P
OD
, %
Cross-sectional Loss (CSL), %
CUI Test Loop - 12"
RESULTS OF THE STUDY – DETECTABILITY
100% Detection (all interpreters): CUI flaws ≥ 3.49% CSL1.2% CSL flaw with 100% detection (further investigation required to explain)
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS - POD
Model Development
1. A standard binary logistic regression (logit) model (Hosmer & Lemeshow, 1989), with % CSL as a continuous covariate and the interpreter as a categorical factor. Both of which were found to have a very strong influence on the POD, at the 5% significance level.
2. A transformed covariate log (CSL) in place of CSL, as advocated in the Nordtestguidelines (Førli et al, 1998) for POD estimation. This is the same as the Log-Odds Model.
3. The approach suggested by Hosmer and Lemeshow (Hosmer & Lemeshow, 1989) showed that the reason for the poor fit of these standard logit models was non-linearity in the logit as a function of log (CSL).
4. Assuming that the POD increases monotonically with CSL, the LOGIT analysis suggests fitting a model of the following form:
ln 𝑃𝑂𝐷
1− 𝑃𝑂𝐷 = 𝐴𝑖 + 𝐵. log𝐶𝑆𝐿 − log𝐶 3
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS - POD
CSL, %
PO
D
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.9
4.21.9
Interpreter
5
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Predicted PODs vs % cross-sectional loss (CSL)
Fitted POD model versus % CSL and interpreter
CSL, %
PO
D
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
3.6
0.9
V ariable
Mean PO D
Interpreter 6 (worst case PO D)
Predicted PODs vs % cross-sectional loss (CSL)
Mean fitted POD and the ‘worst case’ fitted POD
Variability by interpreter: 1.9 to 4.2% CSL for POD = 90%
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS - POD
Model Development
The main source of variability in the POD model is the interpreter. It is possible to quantify this variability by treating the ‘worst case’ POD in as a non-parametric tolerance limit (Owen, 1962). Using this logic, 4.2% CSL provides an estimate of the flaw size above which the POD exceeds 90% with 93% confidence.
ln 𝑃𝑂𝐷
1− 𝑃𝑂𝐷 = 𝐴𝑖 + 𝐵. log𝐶𝑆𝐿 − log𝐶 3
KEY FINDINGS
1. No detectable effect of insulation on LRUT data
2. Pipe wall temperature affected target detection: Variation in sound velocity and thus axial location calculations
3. The repeatability of LRUT data from multiple data collections from the same location was very good
4. Variability in performance can come from differences in interpretation of LRUT data between operators
KEY FINDINGS
5. Consistent reporting of flaws and features dependent on well prepared technique sheets and specification of reporting (‘call’) levels, with these being followed
6. Variability and scatter in analysis results were observed for targets with CSL <3.5%
7. Targets with CSL ≥3.5% were detected consistently by every operator/interpreter (100% detection)
8. Estimation of POD using statistical methods reported a worse case POD of 90% with 93% Confidence for CSL >4.2%
CLOSING REMARKS
1. Highly useful insights and findings were made which could improve performance of LRUT
2. The test loop in Abu Dhabi will be valuable for further R&D and for LRUT training
3. Development areas were identified that will allow LRUT to be deployed with increased confidence and performance
4. Factors and variables affecting LRUT results require further study to improve on or minimise their effect
5. Performing FFS directly using LRUT data requires improved ability to predict extent of CUI directly from LRUT data
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSThanks to the following for funding this research project:
• GRC• Petroleum Institute, Abu Dhabi, UAE
• Thanks to Charles Schneider (TWI) for his assistance in the statistical evaluation of the data acquired.
Gary Penney, FTI – [email protected] – +971 50 415 0675