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Page � of 6Tornado Risks and Hazards in the Southeastern United States HSFEHQ-07-J-0006/April 2007
Purpose and Intended AudienceThepurposeofthisTornadoRecoveryAdvisoryistoprovidebackgroundonthetornadohazardintheSoutheast.Thegeneralpopulation,homeownersandrenters,policymakers,localofficials,builders,andbuildingdepartmentsshouldunderstandthattornadooccurrenceintheSoutheastisnotarareevent.Infact,ofthetop20statesintornadofrequency,5areintheSoutheast.
ThisadvisoryalsoidentifiesFEMAresourcesthatcanbeusedtohelpdesignandconstructportionsofalmostanybuildingtype(includingresidences)toprovidesafeshelterfromtornadoes,ortohelpminimizedamagecausedbythesewindevents.
This Recovery Advisory Addresses:
Recentevents
Tornadooccurrenceoutside“TornadoAlley”…howgreatistherisk?
Canabuildingsurviveatornado?Yes!
Assessingrisk
Weatherradios
Recent EventsIntheearlymorninghoursofFebruary2,2007,asmallbutdevastatingoutbreakofthreetornadoesstruckcentralFloridafromLadyLaketoNewSmyrnaBeach.TwoofthetornadoeswereratedbytheNationalWeatherServiceasEF3andtheotherwasratedEF1ontheEnhancedFujitaScale(seetextbox).Thethreetornadoesstruckinthemiddleofthenight.Twenty-onepeoplewerekilledanddozenswereinjured.Totaldamageestimatesarestillbeingcompiledfromthisevent,butearlyestimatesarethatmorethan$150million1indamagewascausedbythesetornados.Lessthanonemonthlater,onMarch1,2007,Enterprise,Alabamaexperiencedone
Seethese2007TornadoRecoveryAdvisoriesforinformationaboutshelteringfromtornadoes,andimprovingmanufacturedhomesagainstdamagefromhighwinds:
StormShelters:SelectingDesignCriteria(TornadoRecoveryAdvisoryNo.2)
ResidentialSheltering:In-ResidenceandStand-AloneShelters(TornadoRecoveryAdvisoryNo.3)
UnderstandingandImprovingPerformanceofOlderManufacturedHomesinHigh-WindEvents(TornadoRecoveryAdvisoryNo.4)
UnderstandingandImprovingPerformanceofNewManufacturedHomesinHigh-WindEvents(TornadoRecoveryAdvisoryNo.5)
FEBRUARY 2007 TORNADO RECOVERY ADVISORY FEMA DR-1679-RA1
Tornado Risks and Hazards in the Southeastern United States
TheFujitaScalecategorizestornadoseveritybasedonobserveddamage.Thesix-stepscalerangesfromF0(lightdamage)toF5 (incredible damage). As of February 2007, the NationalWeatherServiceusestheEnhancedFujitaScale(EFScale).ThisnewscalerangesfromEF0toEF5.Seehttp://www.spc.noaa.gov/efscale/forfurtherinformationontheEFScale.
Fujita Scale EF Scale
FujitaScale
3-Second Gust Speed (mph) EF Scale
3-Second Gust Speed (mph)
F0 45–78 EF0 65–85
F� 79–117 EF1 86–109
F2 118–161 EF2 110–137
F3 162–209 EF3 138–167
F4 210–261 EF4 168–199
F5 262–317 EF5 200–234
1. St.PetersburgTimes,“FacingLifeWithoutFamily”byCatherineShoichet,March2,2007.
Tornado Risks and Hazards in the Southeastern United States HSFEHQ-07-J-0006/April 2007Page 2 of 6
ofthetop10deadliesttornadoestoimpactaschoolwhen,intheearlyafternoonhours,atornadorippedthroughahighschool,killingeightstudents.Laterthatday,atornadoseverelydamagedahospitalinAmericus,Georgia.TheMarch1stormscauseddamageandlossoflifeinseveralareasofbothstates.
Tornado Occurrence Outside “Tornado Alley”… How Great Is the Risk?“TornadoAlley”isanareaoftheheart-landoftheUnitedStatesknownforitstornadoactivity.AlthoughtheexactextentofTornadoAlleycanbedebated,mostscientistsagreethatTexas,Oklahoma,andKansasarewellknownfortornadoriskandmakeupalargeportionofTornadoAlley.
WhatmostpeoplemaynotbeawareofistheamountoftornadicactivityoutsideofTornadoAlley.FEMARegionIVhaseightstatessubjecttotornadoesandsixsubjecttohurricanes(refertomaponthispage).
AlthoughhurricaneshavereceivedmostoftheattentioninrecentyearsintheSoutheast,thethreatandriskoftornadoesisreal.ThetablebelowshowsthenumberoftornadooccurrencesforeachofthestatesinFEMARegionIV.Forthe55-yearstudyperiod,over9,700tornadoeshavebeenrecorded.TheStateofFloridaalonehasseenextremenumbersoftornadooccurrences.Forthreeoftheyearsbetween1997and2004,itexperiencedover100tornadoes(115in1997,115in1998,and105in2004).
MosttornadoesoccurringintheSoutheast(withtheexceptionofMississippiandAlabama)aretypicallyweakormoderatelystrong(classifiedasF2andsmallerontheFujitaScale).However,theseweakertornadoescanbeasdeadlyasthestrongerF3,F4,andF5tornadoes.Forexample,over50ofthe78killertornadoesthatoccurredinFloridabetween1882and2007wereF2orweaker.Further,tornadoesarenotalwayssingletornadoevents;sometimesoutbreaksofseveraltornadoesareassociatedwithalargestormsystem.NotableoutbreaksintheSoutheastinclude:
The Carolinas Outbreak of March 28, 1984
22tornadoesresponsiblefor57fatalities
Approximately1,250injuries
Approximately$200millionindamages
37%offatalitiesoccurredinmanufacturedhomes
The Kissimmee Tornado Outbreak of February 22–23, 1998
7tornadoesresponsiblefor42fatalities
Approximately200injuries
Over$100millionindamages
ThreestrongesttornadoeswereratedF3,whichdestroyedover300buildingsanddamagedmorethan7,000
States inFEMA
Region IV
Total Tornado Occurrences (�950–2005)
Total Fatalities(�950–�995)a
Number Rank
Florida 2,799 85b
Mississippi 1,429 387 2
Alabama 1,301 282 4
Georgia 1,143 111 14
North Carolina 935 82
Tennessee 788 184 7
South Carolina 718 47
Kentucky 590 105 15a. Texasisrankedhighestwith475fatalitiesforthisperiodof
time.b. InFlorida,anadditional21fatalitiesoccurredbetween1995–
2007,foratotalof166(1950–2007).
Page 3 of 6Tornado Risks and Hazards in the Southeastern United States HSFEHQ-07-J-0006/April 2007
Frequency of Recorded F3, F4, and F5 Tornadoes(�950–�998)
SOURCE:FEMA361,Design and Construction Guidance for Community Shelters, July2000
Assessing Your RiskTodetermineifyouhavealow,moderate,orhightornadorisk,usetheFrequencyMap(below)todeterminehowmanytornadoeswererecordedper3,700squaremilesfortheareawhereyourbuildingislocated.Findtherowinthe“RiskTable”(below)thatmatchesthatnumber.Next,lookattheWindZoneMap(nextpage)andnotethewindzone(I,II,III,orIV)inwhichyourbuildingislocated.FindthematchingcolumnintheRiskTableandfindtheboxthatlinesupwithboththenumberoftornadoesper3,700squaremilesinyourareaandyourwindzone.Thecolorinthatboxtellsyouthelevelofyourriskfromextremewindsandhelpsyoudecidewhethertobuildashelter.Ashelteristhepreferredmethodofwindprotectioninhigh-riskareas.
Number of Tornadoes per 3,700 Square Miles (see Wind Zone Map)
Wind Zone (see Frquency Map)
I II III IV
<� LOW Risk LOW Risk « LOW Risk « MODERATE Risk
�–5 LOW Risk MODERATE Risk « HIGH Risk HIGH Risk
6–�0 LOW Risk MODERATE Risk « HIGH Risk HIGH Risk
��–�5 HIGH Risk HIGH Risk HIGH Risk HIGH Risk
>�5 HIGH Risk HIGH Risk HIGH Risk HIGH Risk
Levels of Risk During High-Wind EventsLOW Risk–Shelteringfromhighwindsisamatterofpreference.
MODERATE Risk–Sheltershouldbeconsideredforprotectionfromhighwinds.
HIGH Risk–Shelteristhepreferredmethodofprotectionfromhighwinds.
Tornado Risks and Hazards in the Southeastern United States HSFEHQ-07-J-0006/April 2007Page 4 of 6
Alaska
Hurricane-Prone Region
Example:IfyourbuildingislocatedinNewSmyrnaBeach,Florida,youwouldseethatNewSmyrnaBeachisinanareashadedyellowontheFrequencyMap(previouspage).Accordingtothemap,thenumberoftornadoesper3,700squaremilesintheNewSmyrnaBeachareais1–5.OntheWindZoneMap(below),NewSmyrnaBeachiswithinthedarkorangearea.ThemapkeytellsyouthatNewSmyrnaBeachisinWindZoneIII.TheboxintheRiskTable(previouspage)wherethe1–5rowandtheZoneIIIcolumnmeetisshadeddarkblue,whichshowsthatthebuildingisinanareaofhighrisk.
Wind Zones in the United States
Can a Building Survive a Tornado? Yes!High-windshelterscanbedesignedandconstructedtoprotectoccupantsfromwindsandwindbornedebrisassociatedwithalltornadoes(EF0–EF5).Buildingsdesignedandconstructedabovebasiccoderequirements(aka“hardened”buildings),andnewerstructuresdesignedandconstructedtomodern,hazard-resistantcodescanresistthewindloadforcesfromweaktornadoes(EF1orweaker).Furthermore,evenwhenstrongertornadoesstrike,notalldamageisfromtherotatingvortexofthetornado.Muchofthedamageisfromstraight-linewindsrushingtowardandbeingpulledintothetornadoitself.Manynewerhomesdesignedandconstructedtomoderncodes,suchastheInternational Residential Codes(IRC2000Editionandnewer),withaloadpathtoresisthighwindforces(specifiedinbuildingcodesforhurricaneresistance)maysurvivewithoutstructuralfailure.Theprimarydamagetothesenewerhomesistothecladdingandexteriorsystems:roofcovering,roofdeck,exteriorwallsandwindows.Thistypeofdamagemaybepreventableonbuildingsthat
Notethatsomeareasoflowormoderaterisk,shownaspaleblueormediumblueontheRiskTable,arewithintheregionoftheUnitedStatesthatisalsosubjecttohurricanes(seeWindZoneMapbelow).Ifyouliveinthishurricane-proneregion,yourriskisconsideredhigheveniftheRiskTableonlyindicatesamoderateorlowrisk.
Page 5 of 6Tornado Risks and Hazards in the Southeastern United States HSFEHQ-07-J-0006/April 2007
aredesignedandconstructedaccordingtotheIRC2000(ornewer)whenthebuildingexperiencesweakertornadoesandtheoutermostwindsfromstrongertornadoes.
Formostbuildinguses,itiseconomicallyimpracticaltodesigntheentirebuildingtoresisttornadoes.However,portionsofbuildingscanbedesignedasshelterstoprovideoccupantprotectionfromtornadoes.Forinformationondesigningshelterstoresistthestrongesttornadoesandhurricaneevents,seetheTornadoRecoveryAdvisorytitledStorm Shelters: Selecting Design Criteria.Forresidentialshelters,seetheTornadoRecoveryAdvisorytitledResidential Sheltering: In-Residence and Stand-Alone Shelters.
Forexistingbuildingsthatdonothavespecificallydesignedtornadosheltersoraccesstocommunitytornadoshelters,itisrecommendedthatbestavailablerefugeareasbeidentifiedinadvancebyaqualifiedarchitectorengineer.Forfurtherinformationonbestavailablerefugeareas,seeTornado Protection: Selecting Safe Areas in Buildings(FEMA431),November2003.
Weather RadiosAllindividualslivingorworkingintornado-proneareasshouldhaveaweatherradiowithintheirhomeorplaceofwork.Aweatherradioisparticularlyimportantforthoselivinginanareathatdoesnothavestormwarningsirens.
TheNationalOceanicandAtmosphericAdministration(NOAA)WeatherRadio(NWR)isanationwidenetworkofradiostationsbroadcastingcontinuousweatherinformationdirectlyfromanearbyNationalWeatherService(NWS)office.NWRbroadcastsNationalWeatherServicewarnings,watches,forecastsandotherhazardinformation24hoursaday,aswellaspost-eventinformationforalltypesofhazards,bothnaturalandtechnological.
NOAAWeatherRadiosareavailableatelectronicsstoresacrossthecountryandrangeincostfrom$25upto$100ormore,dependingonthequalityofthereceiverandnumberoffeatures.TheNWSdoesnotendorseanyparticularmakeormodelofreceiver.
Features to look for in a NOAA Weather Radio:
Themostdesirablefeatureisanalarmtone.Thisallowsyoutohavetheradioturnedonbutsilent,listeningforaspecialtonethatisbroadcastbeforewatchandwarningmessagesthatgiveimmediateinformationaboutalife-threateningsituation.
SpecificAreaMessageEncoding(SAME)technology,aNOAAWeatherRadiofeatureavailablesincethemid1990s,iscapableofprovidingdetailed,area-specificinformation.UnlikeotherNOAAWeatherRadios,theSAMEfeaturewillfilteroutalertsthatdonotaffectyourimmediatearea.
TheNOAAradioshouldoperateonbatteriesduringtimeswhenelectricalservicemaybeinterrupted.LookforradioswithanACadapterandbatterycompartment.
TheradioshouldbetunabletoallsevenNWRfrequencies.Forthelatestlistoffrequenciesandtransmitterlocations,checktheNOAAWeatherRadioWebsitehttp://www.weather.gov/nwr.
Thehearingandvisuallyimpairedcanreceivewatchesandwarningsbyconnectingweatherradioalarmstootherkindsofattention-gettingdevices,likestrobelights,pagers,bed-shakers,personalcomputers,andtextprinters.
AutomatedSpanishtranslationsystemsarebeingexaminedforuseontransmittersservingasignificantHispanicpopulationtobroadcastSpanishtranslationsofallemergencyweatherandnaturalhazardmessagesimmediatelyaftertheofficialEmergencyAlertSystem(EAS)warningisissued.FormoreinformationinSpanish,pleasevisittheNOAAWebsitehttp://www.weather.gov/nwr/indexsp.htm.
Other methods to receive forecasts, watches, and warnings directly from the NWS:
Tuneintoyourlocalradioandtelevisionstationsforthelatestweatherforecasts,watches,andwarnings.
NWSproductsandservicesarealsoavailableontheInternetathttp://www.weather.gov/nwr.DeliveryofdataacrosstheInternet,however,cannotbeguaranteedbecauseofpotentialinterruptionofservice.
Anotherlow-costmethodforreceivingtheNWS’sessentialinformationisavailableonawirelessdatasystemcalledtheEmergencyManagersWeatherInformationNetwork(EMWIN).Thissystempresentstheinformationdirectlyonyourhomeorofficecomputer.Usersmaysetvariousalarmstobealertedtoparticularinformation,whetherfortheirlocalareaoradjacentareas.Formoreinformation,pleasevisittheEMWINWebsitehttp://www.weather.gov/emwin/index.htm.
Tornado Risks and Hazards in the Southeastern United States HSFEHQ-07-J-0006/April 2007Page 6 of 6
Useful Links and ResourcesTaking Shelter from the Storm: Building a Safe Room Inside Your House(FEMA320),March2004,2ndEdition
Design and Construction Guidance for Community Shelters (FEMA361),July2000
Tornado Protection: Selecting Safe Areas in Buildings(FEMA431),November2003