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Topics in evolutionary dynamics Lecture 1: Adaptation & the concept of fitness François Massol 3 rd summer school on Mathematical Biology São Paulo, February 2014

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Page 1: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Topics in evolutionary dynamics

Lecture 1: Adaptation & the concept of fitness

François Massol

3rd summer school on Mathematical Biology

São Paulo, February 2014

Page 2: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Lecture outline

1. Basics of evolution

2. Defining adaptation

3. The concept(s) of fitness

4. Fitness in different guises

Page 3: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

BASICS OF EVOLUTION

Page 4: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms?

Page 5: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms?

tim

e

population

Page 6: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms?

mutation

selection

migration

drift

tim

e

population

Page 7: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms?

mutation

selection

migration

drift tim

e

population

Page 8: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms?

mutation

selection

migration

drift tim

e

population

Page 9: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms?

mutation

selection

migration

drift tim

e

population

Page 10: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms?

mutation

selection

migration

drift tim

e

population

Page 11: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms?

mutation: new random variants

selection: heterogeneous degrees of success

migration: mixing with neighboring populations

drift: randomness takes its toll

Page 12: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms?

mutation: new random variants

selection: heterogeneous degrees of success

migration: mixing with neighboring populations

drift: randomness takes its toll

Evolution shapes the distribution of genotypes

Genotype = set of alleles carried at different loci

Genotype × Environment = Phenotype

Page 13: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

Population genetics formalism (p + q = 1)

Mutation

Selection

Migration

Drift

Page 14: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

Population genetics formalism (p + q = 1)

Mutation

Selection

Migration

Drift

1 1t A a t a A tp p q

Page 15: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

Population genetics formalism (p + q = 1)

Mutation

Selection

Migration

Drift

1 1t A a t a A tp p q

1 /t A tp w p w

Page 16: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

Population genetics formalism (p + q = 1)

Mutation

Selection

Migration

Drift

1 1t A a t a A tp p q

1 /t A tp w p w

1 1t t tp m p mP

Page 17: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

Population genetics formalism (p + q = 1)

Mutation

Selection

Migration

Drift

1 1t A a t a A tp p q

1 /t A tp w p w

1 1t t tp m p mP

1k N k

t t t

NkP p p q

kN

Page 18: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

Mutation / Selection / Migration / Drift

What else?

Page 19: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

Mutation / Selection / Migration / Drift

What else?

Homogamy vs. panmixia (mating system)

Dominance

Recombination

Epistasis (on selection)

Plasticity (environmental dependence)

Epigenetic effects

Page 20: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Basics of evolution

Conditions for the evolution of traits

Differential success

Standing variance of trait values

Heritability of trait values

Page 21: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution”

Page 22: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

DEFINING ADAPTATION

Page 23: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Defining adaptation

Page 24: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Defining adaptation

Evolution

Optimization

Natural selection

Adaptation

Page 25: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Defining adaptation

Evolution

Optimization

Natural selection

Adaptation

process / history

outcome

Page 26: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Defining adaptation

History-based definitions – Features built by natural selection for their current

role (Gould & Vrba)

– A derived character that evolved in response to a specific selective agent (Harvey & Pagel)

– Biological machinery or process shaped by natural selection to help solve one or more problems faced by the organism (Williams & Nesse)

– A is an adaptation for task T in population P iff A became prevalent in P because there was selection for A, where the selective advantage of A was due to the fact that A helped performed task T (Sober)

Page 27: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Defining adaptation

History-based definitions – Features built by natural selection for their current

role (Gould & Vrba)

– A derived character that evolved in response to a specific selective agent (Harvey & Pagel)

– Biological machinery or process shaped by natural selection to help solve one or more problems faced by the organism (Williams & Nesse)

– A is an adaptation for task T in population P iff A became prevalent in P because there was selection for A, where the selective advantage of A was due to the fact that A helped performed task T (Sober)

Character arising through past natural selection

Problem: what character doesn’t?

Page 28: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Defining adaptation

Nonhistorical definitions – A feature of the organism which interacts

operationally with some factor of its environment so that the individual survives and reproduces (Bock)

– Greater ecological-physiological efficiency than is achieved by other members of the populations (Mayr)

– An aspect of the developmental pattern which facilitates the survival and/or reproduction of its carrier in a certain succession of environments (Dobzhansky)

– A strategy that has the highest per capita growth given the conditions (Mitchell & Valone)

Page 29: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Defining adaptation

Nonhistorical definitions – A feature of the organism which interacts

operationally with some factor of its environment so that the individual survives and reproduces (Bock)

– Greater ecological-physiological efficiency than is achieved by other members of the populations (Mayr)

– An aspect of the developmental pattern which facilitates the survival and/or reproduction of its carrier in a certain succession of environments (Dobzhansky)

– A strategy that has the highest per capita growth given the conditions (Mitchell & Valone)

Character conferring the best fitness among available ones

Minor problem: can this happen?

Page 30: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Defining adaptation

A synthesis of definitions (Reeve & Sherman)

A phenotypic variant that results in the highest fitness among a specified set of variants in a given environment

Page 31: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Defining adaptation

A synthesis of definitions (Reeve & Sherman)

A phenotypic variant that results in the highest fitness among a specified set of variants in a given environment

“optimization” in some sense

among available variants (contingent on history)

conditional on environmental state

Page 32: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Defining adaptation

A synthesis of definitions (Reeve & Sherman)

A phenotypic variant that results in the highest fitness among a specified set of variants in a given environment

“optimization” in some sense

among available variants

conditional on environmental state

Pending question:

what is fitness?

Page 33: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

THE CONCEPT(S) OF FITNESS

Page 34: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

The concept(s) of fitness

The simplest: growth = fitness

( )dN

r N Ndt

Growth rate

1 ( )t t tN N N

Reproductive ratio

Page 35: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

The concept(s) of fitness

The simplest: growth = fitness

Problem: what if all genotypes grow or decline together?

distinguish absolute from relative growth rate

may depend on context / density / frequency

( )dN

r N Ndt

Growth rate

1 ( )t t tN N N

Reproductive ratio

Page 36: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

The concept(s) of fitness

The simple: selection = fitness

( )dN

r N Ndt

Relative growth rate

( )ii i

dfr N r f

dt

1 ( )t t tN N N

1

i t

it it

t

Nf f

N

Page 37: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

The concept(s) of fitness

What for?

time

frequency

1

3

2

4

1. invasibility

2. persistence

3. fixation

4. coexistence

Page 38: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

The concept(s) of fitness

What for?

time

frequency

1

3

2

4

1. invasibility

2. persistence

3. fixation

4. coexistence

Page 39: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

The concept(s) of fitness

What for?

time

frequency

1

3

2

4

1. invasibility

2. persistence

3. fixation

4. coexistence

Same problem: what happens with rare genotypes?

Page 40: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

The concept(s) of fitness

The simple: selection = fitness when rare

Invasion fitness

0

( )if

ir N r

Page 41: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

The concept(s) of fitness

The complex: unstable absence = fitness

Page 42: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

The concept(s) of fitness

The complex: unstable absence = fitness

0

( )if

ir N r

Page 43: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

The concept(s) of fitness

The complex: unstable absence = fitness

0

( )if

ir N r

( )ii i

dfr N r f

dt

Page 44: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

The concept(s) of fitness

The complex: unstable absence = fitness

0

( )if

ir N r

0

.

if

df

dtf

J

Jacobian matrix

/i j ijg f J i i ig r fr

Page 45: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

The concept(s) of fitness

The complex: unstable absence = fitness

More generally:

define invasion fitness as the leading eigenvalue of the Jacobian in the absence of the focal type

0

.

if

df

dtf

J

Jacobian matrix

Page 46: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

The concept(s) of fitness

Even more generally:

define invasion fitness as any criterion that qualifies whether the leading eigenvalue of the Jacobian in the absence of the focal type has negative real part

More than one fitness criterion might exist!

Page 47: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

FITNESS IN DIFFERENT GUISES

Page 48: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Population genetics fitness

With selection only

1

i t

it it

t

w Pp

wp

P

*

*

i

i

w P

w P

Page 49: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Population genetics fitness

Divergent selection in habitats x and y

Life cycle: Reproduction, regulation, total migration

Model = soft selection (Levene 1953)

iyixi x y

x y

w

w

wq

wq

Page 50: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Population genetics fitness

Divergent selection in habitats x and y

Life cycle: Reproduction, total migration, regulation

Model = hard selection (Dempster 1955; Ravigné et al. 2004)

x ix

y

iy

i

x x y

yq w q w

q w q w

Page 51: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Population genetics fitness

Divergent selection + environmental variability

Use matrices for reproduction, migration, ... events

Sp .ax . .m R E S D

Sp .ax . .m R E D S

Sp .max . E D S

Ravigné’s model

Levene’s model

Dempster’s model

Massol 2013

Page 52: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

Page 53: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

0 0 0 1 2 0 3

2 2

3

1 1 0

1 1

12 2

3 3

3

(1

(1 0 0

0 (1 0

0 0

)

)

)t t

s f

s

s f q s f s f s

q s q

q s q

q s s

s

N N

0 1 2 3

s0f0+ (1-q1)s1

q1s1 q2s2 q3s3

s∞ (1-q2)s2 (1-q3)s3

s0f3

s0f2 s0f1

Page 54: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

1t t N F G N

Fecundity + Survival/change in stage

0 0 0 1 2 0 3

2 2

3

1 1 0

1 1

12 2

3 3

3

(1

(1 0 0

0 (1 0

0 0

)

)

)t t

s f

s

s f q s f s f s

q s q

q s q

q s s

s

N N

Page 55: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

1t t N F G N

Fecundity + Survival/change in stage

0 1 2

0

3

0

0 0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0

0

0 0

Ts

ff f f

F e f

1 1

1 1

2

2

3

3 3

3

2

2

(1 0 0 0

(1 0 0

0

)

)

)(1 0

0 0

q

q s q

q s q

q

s

s

s

s

s

G 0 1,0,0,0e

0 0 1 2 3, , ,f f fs ff

Page 56: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

Formula for fitness (≠ maximal eigenvalue)

1t t N F G N

Fecundity + Survival/change in stage

1

0. .Tw f I G e 0 1,0,0,0e

0 0 1 2 3, , ,f f fs ff

0TF e f

Page 57: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

Formula for fitness (≠ maximal eigenvalue)

1t t N F G N

Fecundity + Survival/change in stage

Stage-wise fecundity

Time passed in each stage

1

0. .Tw f I G e 0 1,0,0,0e

0 0 1 2 3, , ,f f fs ff

0TF e f

Page 58: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

1t t N F G N

demonstration, french way

Page 59: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

1t t N F G N

1

( )

F G I I G I G F 1 I I

Page 60: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

1t t N F G N

1

Sp 1 Sp ( )

I G F 1 IF G

1

( )

F G I I G I G F 1 I I

Page 61: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

1t t N F G N

1

Sp 1 Sp ( )

I G F 1 IF G

1

( )

F G I I G I G F 1 I I

1( )max Sp

I G F 1 I

is a strictly decreasing function of λ

Page 62: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

1t t N F G N

1

Sp 1 Sp ( )

I G F 1 IF G

1

( )

F G I I G I G F 1 I I

1( )max Sp

I G F 1 I

is a strictly decreasing function of λ

1Sp max Sp 11

I G FF G

Page 63: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

1Sp max Sp 11

I G FF G

0TF e f

0 1,0,0,0e

0 0 1 2 3, , ,f f fs ff

Page 64: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

1Sp max Sp 11

I G FF G

0TF e f

0 1,0,0,0e

0 0 1 2 3, , ,f f fs ff

1 1

0Sp 0, T

I G F I G ef

Fitness! w

Page 65: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Fitness in different guises

Stage-structured populations

A demographic re-interpretation

0TF e f

0 1,0,0,0e

0 0 1 2 3, , ,f f fs ff

1

0. .Tw f I G e

1

0 00

T T k

k

f I G e f G e

Offspring produced at time k

Lifetime offspring production

Page 66: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Thank you for your attention!

Page 67: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Further reading

Evolution, adaptation Grafen A. (1999). Formal Darwinism, the individual-as-maximizing-agent analogy

and bet-hedging. Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci, 266, 799-803.

Maynard Smith J. (1989). Evolutionary Genetics. Oxford University Press, Oxford.

Reeve H.K. & Sherman P.W. (1993). Adaptation and the goals of evolutionary research. Q Rev Biol, 1-32.

Page 68: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Further reading

Fitness Caswell H. (2001). Matrix Population Models: Construction, Analysis, and

Interpretation, Second edition. 2nd edn. Sinauer Associates, Inc. Publishers, Sunderland, Massachussets.

Charlesworth B. (1994). Evolution in age-structured populations, Second edition. 2nd edn. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

Diekmann O., Heesterbeek J.A.P. & Metz J.A.J. (1990). On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations. J Math Biol, 28, 365-382.

Roughgarden J. (1979). Theory of Population Genetics and Evolutionary Ecology: an Introduction. MacMillan publishing Co., Inc.

Page 69: Topics in evolutionary dynamics - ICTP – SAIFR · Topics in evolutionary dynamics ... What are the forces shaping the evolution of organisms? ... Bergstrom & Dugatkin, “Evolution

Further reading

Selection & population genetics de Meeus T., Michalakis Y., Renaud F. & Olivieri I. (1993). Polymorphism in

heterogeneous environments, evolution of habitat selection and sympatric speciation: soft and hard selection models. Evol Ecol, 7, 175-198.

Débarre F. & Gandon S. (2011). Evolution in heterogeneous environments: between soft and hard selection. Am Nat, 177, E84-E97.

Ravigné V., Olivieri I. & Dieckmann U. (2004). Implications of habitat choice for protected polymorphisms. Evol Ecol Res, 6, 125-145.

Wallace B. (1975). Hard and soft selection revisited. Evolution, 29, 465-473.