today’s topics launching a new product, review of course learnings, and final exam preparation
TRANSCRIPT
Today’s TopicsToday’s Topics
Launching a New Product,Launching a New Product,
Review of Course Learnings,Review of Course Learnings,
andand
Final Exam PreparationFinal Exam Preparation
Please fill out the onlinePlease fill out the onlinecourse assessment surveycourse assessment survey
Written comments areWritten comments areparticularly appreciated !!particularly appreciated !!
Course ScheduleCourse Schedule Business objectivesBusiness objectives Financial Financial
measurements measurements (Google)(Google)
Company analysis; Company analysis; roles & responsibilities roles & responsibilities (Medtronic)(Medtronic)
Business & product Business & product plans (FHP Wireless)plans (FHP Wireless)
Target customers Target customers (DLJdirect)(DLJdirect)
Competitive analysis Competitive analysis (Airborne Express)(Airborne Express)
Product decisions Product decisions (Techsonic)(Techsonic)
Midterm exam (THINK)Midterm exam (THINK)
The Marketing The Marketing Function (Lenovo)Function (Lenovo)
Sales & Sales Sales & Sales Channels (GolfLogix)Channels (GolfLogix)
Internet Marketing & Internet Marketing & Sales (HubSpot)Sales (HubSpot)
R&D: Product R&D: Product Development Development (Guidant)(Guidant)
Operations (Crocs)Operations (Crocs) Product Launch Product Launch
(Invisalign)(Invisalign)
Final exam (Emotiv)Final exam (Emotiv) Thursday, Dec 15Thursday, Dec 15thth,, 1-4pm, E2301-4pm, E230
Today’s AgendaToday’s Agenda
Launching a product: Invisalign caseLaunching a product: Invisalign case
Summary of key learnings from the Summary of key learnings from the coursecourse
Review case for final exam (Emotiv)Review case for final exam (Emotiv)
Our Last Assignment:Our Last Assignment:Product LaunchProduct Launch
InvisalignInvisalign
A new technology ( ~ 2000)A new technology ( ~ 2000)
for aligning teethfor aligning teeth
Product Launch Product Launch Assignment:Assignment:
Align Technology in 2001Align Technology in 2001 Invisalign straightens teeth via a series of clear Invisalign straightens teeth via a series of clear
plastic retainers designed and made plastic retainers designed and made specifically for each patientspecifically for each patient
Higher price and higher COGS than traditional Higher price and higher COGS than traditional metal braces, but “better”metal braces, but “better”
Product available for about 2 yearsProduct available for about 2 years Annual revenues ~$50M but OI ~($100M)Annual revenues ~$50M but OI ~($100M) Adoption rate by orthodontists is insufficient to Adoption rate by orthodontists is insufficient to
support future growthsupport future growth Arguably, the product needs to be “re-Arguably, the product needs to be “re-
launched”launched”
Assignment QuestionsAssignment Questions
Which of the three end-customer (patient) segments Which of the three end-customer (patient) segments identified should be Align’s identified should be Align’s targettarget? Why?? Why?
Which of the promotion and sales Which of the promotion and sales taskstasks (promotion, (promotion, selling, fulfillment, service) should be done by Align? selling, fulfillment, service) should be done by Align? By the dentists? By the orthodontists?By the dentists? By the orthodontists?
What are the orthodontist’s What are the orthodontist’s “channel economics” “channel economics” for for Invisalign vs. standard braces?Invisalign vs. standard braces?
What What barriers barriers are preventing increased adoption of are preventing increased adoption of Invisalign by orthodontists?Invisalign by orthodontists?
How should Invisalign be How should Invisalign be positionedpositioned with with orthodontists? (write a positioning statement)orthodontists? (write a positioning statement)
By what methods should Invisalign be By what methods should Invisalign be promotedpromoted to to dentists? To orthodontists?dentists? To orthodontists?
Making Product Making Product DecisionsDecisions
FinancialAnalysis (health,
challenges)
Market Analysis(customers, needs,
market trends)
Competitive Adv Decision (SCA)
Target Customer Decision (C)
Product Decisions(4P’s)
CompetitiveAnalysis
(strengths,weaknesses)
Decision Criteria: Objectives/Constraints
Align TechnologyAlign TechnologyIncome StatementIncome Statement
YEAR ENDING; $K 31-Dec-10 31-Dec-08 31-Dec-06
Total Revenue 387,126 303,976 206,354
Cost of Revenue 83,709 78,850 64,775
Gross Profit 303,417 225,126 141,579
R&D exp 25,997 26,165 18,474
SG&A exp 170,137 177,216 146,298
Non Recurring 4,549 6,231 14,343
Operating Income 102,734 15,514 -37,536
Invisalign’s Current Invisalign’s Current ChannelChannel
gold arrow = promotiongold arrow = promotion
Invisalign-promotion
-salesforce (30)
Dentists-120,000 in US
Orthodontists-8,500 in US
-6,500 trained byInvisalign
Patients-2M/year in US
-35,000 Invisalignpatients (<2%)
Sales, training, support
visit
referral
visits
Target CustomersTarget CustomersCurrent target: adults and adolescents with Current target: adults and adolescents with
mild-to-moderate conditions; mild-to-moderate conditions; sensitive to sensitive to appearance appearance for for social/personal/professional reasonssocial/personal/professional reasons
Segments identified:Segments identified:
Health consciousHealth conscious
Prior (braces) usersPrior (braces) users
Beauty consciousBeauty conscious
Selecting Target Customers: Selecting Target Customers: considerationsconsiderations
Segment size Segment size Revenue and margin opportunityRevenue and margin opportunity Customer benefitsCustomer benefits Customer interestCustomer interest Customer willingness-to-payCustomer willingness-to-pay Competition/market coverageCompetition/market coverage Sales channel and associated profit marginSales channel and associated profit margin Cost to serveCost to serve Customer loyalty/lock-inCustomer loyalty/lock-in
Channel Economics --- exampleChannel Economics --- example
Manufacturer
COGS = 35
expenses = 20
ChannelPartner
COGS = 65
expenses = 20
channel price 65
end user price 90
List price = $100
gross margin % = 30/65gross margin % = 30/65 = 46%= 46%
OI % = 10/65OI % = 10/65 = 15%= 15%
gross margin % = 25/90gross margin % = 25/90 = 28%= 28%
OI % = 5/90OI % = 5/90 = 6%= 6%
Pricing: considerationsPricing: considerations
Value/benefit deliveredValue/benefit delivered Customer’s ability to payCustomer’s ability to pay Competitive alternatives/pricingCompetitive alternatives/pricing Product “image” createdProduct “image” created Initial sales rampInitial sales ramp Profitability (short- and long-run)Profitability (short- and long-run)
Positioning statement Positioning statement developmentdevelopment
Who are you positioning yourself “with” ?Who are you positioning yourself “with” ? What do they desire and fear ?What do they desire and fear ?
Who/what are you positioning “against” ?Who/what are you positioning “against” ? What are your differentiators/benefits ?What are your differentiators/benefits ?
Invisalign PositioningInvisalign Positioningwith Orthodontistswith Orthodontists
Positioning with = Positioning with = orthodontistsorthodontists
Orthodontist desires = ?Orthodontist desires = ? Orthodontist fears = Orthodontist fears = barriersbarriers
Positioning against = ? Positioning against = ? (might depend on target customer)(might depend on target customer)
Positioning content = ?Positioning content = ?
Review: Major Course Review: Major Course TopicsTopics
FinancialsFinancials Business PlansBusiness Plans Market analysisMarket analysis Competitive Competitive
analysisanalysis Product decisionsProduct decisions
MarketingMarketing Sales & channelsSales & channels R&DR&D OperationsOperations Product launchProduct launch
Learning Outcomes:Learning Outcomes:you will learn to …you will learn to …
analyze a company’s analyze a company’s financial performance financial performance and and assess its assess its opportunities and challenges for future opportunities and challenges for future growthgrowth
assess the assess the barriers to success barriers to success in a particular in a particular market and select the appropriate market and select the appropriate target target customerscustomers
identify a company’s identify a company’s competitive advantages competitive advantages by by performing a comprehensive performing a comprehensive analysis of its direct analysis of its direct and indirect competitionand indirect competition
define the define the “whole product” “whole product” and decide on and decide on appropriate appropriate product differentiators product differentiators
And, you will learn to… And, you will learn to…
select appropriate select appropriate sales/distribution channels sales/distribution channels and and promotional messages and methodspromotional messages and methods
identify best practices in identify best practices in new product developmentnew product development and the challenges in and the challenges in integrating the marketing, integrating the marketing, operations and product development functionsoperations and product development functions
understand understand how technical people interact how technical people interact with with marketing, sales and operations personnel, and marketing, sales and operations personnel, and how they contributehow they contribute to resolution of business issues to resolution of business issues
understand how understand how business issues impact technical business issues impact technical workwork
……because you’ll because you’ll understand and apply understand and apply these these ConceptsConcepts (13) (13)
Definition of Definition of product successproduct success
Whole productWhole product Product plan: key Product plan: key
success factorssuccess factors DifferentiationDifferentiation Market Market
attractivenessattractiveness Target customersTarget customers
Competitive Competitive advantageadvantage
Marketing mix Marketing mix (C+4P)(C+4P)
Product positioningProduct positioning Sales functionsSales functions Channel optionsChannel options Channel value-addedChannel value-added Operations balanceOperations balance
… … and you’ll be able to use and you’ll be able to use these these Methods/ToolsMethods/Tools (13) (13)
Income statement Income statement analysisanalysis
Financial Financial benchmarksbenchmarks
Target customer Target customer descriptiondescription
Target customer Target customer selectionselection
5 Forces analysis5 Forces analysis Competitive analysis Competitive analysis
(10 dimensions)(10 dimensions)
Identifying Identifying competitive optionscompetitive options
Decision criteriaDecision criteria Product decisionsProduct decisions Product competitive Product competitive
positioningpositioning Channel economicsChannel economics Process dimensionsProcess dimensions Product Product
development best development best practicespractices
The Basics……The Basics……
Companies try to maximize the wealth of their owners Companies try to maximize the wealth of their owners --- --- market cap (stock price) plus dividendsmarket cap (stock price) plus dividends
Stock price and the ability to pay dividends are driven Stock price and the ability to pay dividends are driven by by earnings, and beliefs about future earnings earnings, and beliefs about future earnings growth growth
Individual Individual products and services are successful iff products and services are successful iff they contributethey contribute targeted amountstargeted amounts to earnings/ to earnings/ earnings growthearnings growth
Earnings growth (ultimately) requires Earnings growth (ultimately) requires revenue growthrevenue growth
Firms use Firms use financial statementsfinancial statements to develop plans, and to develop plans, and measure/analyze/report on their performancemeasure/analyze/report on their performance
……..and, in terms of ..and, in terms of business objectives…..business objectives…..
A A company’scompany’s basic financial objective is to basic financial objective is to grow its earnings quickly and sustainablygrow its earnings quickly and sustainably, , in order to raise its stock price and have in order to raise its stock price and have the ability to pay its owners dividendsthe ability to pay its owners dividends
ProductsProducts are successful if and only if they are successful if and only if they attain their attain their targeted contribution to targeted contribution to corporate earningscorporate earnings
The Income StatementThe Income Statement
Revenues Revenues - Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)- Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) = Gross Margin (gross profit) = Gross Margin (gross profit)
- M&S expense - M&S expense - R&D expense - R&D expense
- G&A expense - G&A expense = Operating income (EBIT) = Operating income (EBIT)
- Interest - Interest - Taxes - Taxes = Net income (earnings) = Net income (earnings)
Key Financial ConceptsKey Financial Concepts Operations vs. total/net (e.g., OI vs. NI) Operations vs. total/net (e.g., OI vs. NI)
Normalizing results: return measures (e.g., OI as Normalizing results: return measures (e.g., OI as % of revenue; operating return on assets)% of revenue; operating return on assets)
Knowing what “good” results are: benchmarks; Knowing what “good” results are: benchmarks; general and industry-specificgeneral and industry-specific
Recognizing cash vs. non-cashRecognizing cash vs. non-cash - Measures (e.g., OI vs. NOCF)- Measures (e.g., OI vs. NOCF) - Capital goods: depreciation/amortization- Capital goods: depreciation/amortization - Working capital: inventory, accounts rec’bl.- Working capital: inventory, accounts rec’bl.
Method: How to analyze anMethod: How to analyze an
Income StatementIncome Statement
(First, compute “the percentages”)(First, compute “the percentages”) Operating income vs. net income Operating income vs. net income In-period operating performance: costs and In-period operating performance: costs and
expenses as a % of revenue; compare to expenses as a % of revenue; compare to benchmarksbenchmarks
Cross-period performance (trends): relative change Cross-period performance (trends): relative change in rev, costs, expenses, earnings… improvements in rev, costs, expenses, earnings… improvements vs. deteriorations, and whyvs. deteriorations, and why
Going-forward opportunities and challenges/risks Going-forward opportunities and challenges/risks for each line itemfor each line item
““Good” Operating ReturnsGood” Operating Returnsin the Business Marketin the Business Market
Sold directSold direct Sold indirectSold indirect
SoftwareSoftware 27%27% 23%23%
HardwareHardware 18%18% 12%12%
ServiceService 15%15% --
Lower GM %Lower M&S %
Higher GM %Higher R&D %
““Good” Operating ReturnsGood” Operating Returnsin the Consumer Marketin the Consumer Market
Sold directSold direct Sold indirectSold indirect
SoftwareSoftware 20%20% 16%16%
HardwareHardware 11%11% 7%7%
ServiceService 9%9% --
Lower GM %Lower M&S %
Higher GM %Higher R&D %
Business/Product Plan Business/Product Plan LearningsLearnings
Content/scopeContent/scope of a business/product planof a business/product plan
Critical aspectsCritical aspects of a “winning” plan of a “winning” plan
DifferentiationDifferentiation: importance, definition, : importance, definition, identificationidentification
Start-upsStart-ups: success factors, funding requirements, : success factors, funding requirements, success profilessuccess profiles
Critical Aspects Critical Aspects of a Winning Planof a Winning Plan
Company:Company: people, skills, resourcespeople, skills, resources
Product:Product: “whole” product & its benefits“whole” product & its benefits
Market:Market: attractiveness & target customersattractiveness & target customers
Competition:Competition: differentiation !!differentiation !!
Sales and marketing plan:Sales and marketing plan: channelschannels
Operations plan:Operations plan: mfg, logistics, servicemfg, logistics, service
Financials:Financials: investor liquidity investor liquidity
Markets/Customers Markets/Customers LearningsLearnings
Market attractiveness: the Market attractiveness: the five forces modelfive forces model
The concept of The concept of target customerstarget customers
How to describeHow to describe target end-customers: groups, target end-customers: groups, demographics, psychographics, needsdemographics, psychographics, needs
Target customer Target customer selection method/processselection method/process
(DLJdirect)(DLJdirect)
Competition LearningsCompetition Learnings
Competitive advantageCompetitive advantage, and its relationship to , and its relationship to differentiationdifferentiation
How companies createHow companies create valuevalue;; “added value” “added value” as a as a measure of competitive advantagemeasure of competitive advantage
Performing a Performing a competitive analysis competitive analysis (method/dimensions: Airborne Express)(method/dimensions: Airborne Express)
Making Making business decisionsbusiness decisions based on competitive based on competitive analysis results; competitive options frameworkanalysis results; competitive options framework
DefinitionsDefinitions
DifferentiatorDifferentiator = a dimension = a dimension of the “whole of the “whole product”product” that is that is unique or bestunique or best compared to compared to competitive offerings (as measured by the value competitive offerings (as measured by the value assessed by the targeted customers);assessed by the targeted customers);
examples = best service, first-to-marketexamples = best service, first-to-market
Competitive advantageCompetitive advantage = a = a capability, capability, competency, process, skill or positioncompetency, process, skill or position of a of a company company that enables creation of one or more that enables creation of one or more differentiators;differentiators;
examples = marketing expertise, large customer baseexamples = marketing expertise, large customer base
Differentiation Differentiation from Competitors’ from Competitors’
ProductsProducts Whole product differentiation Whole product differentiation is the answer to:is the answer to: Why do customers choose your product Why do customers choose your product instead of somebody else’s ?instead of somebody else’s ? (or buying nothing at all?)(or buying nothing at all?) Product differentiators are the things that are Product differentiators are the things that are
unique or best unique or best about the whole product, about the whole product, compared to the customers’ other alternativescompared to the customers’ other alternatives
Potential areas for differentiation = Potential areas for differentiation = dimensions of the whole product (product dimensions of the whole product (product features, price, sales, marketing, customer features, price, sales, marketing, customer service/support, brand, etc)service/support, brand, etc)
Identifying Competitive Identifying Competitive OptionsOptions
Products
Customers
Current
Position
Currentproducts
Current target customers
Therefore…Therefore…Competitive OptionsCompetitive Options
Protect & defend current customer/product Protect & defend current customer/product segmentsegment
Increase market share in current segmentIncrease market share in current segment
Selectively extend (whole) product offeringsSelectively extend (whole) product offerings
Selectively extend target customer setSelectively extend target customer set
Become a broad-line supplierBecome a broad-line supplier
Making Product Making Product DecisionsDecisions
FinancialAnalysis (health,
challenges)
Market Analysis(customers, needs,
market trends)
Competitive Adv Decision (SCA)
Target Customer Decision (C)
Product Decisions(4P’s)
CompetitiveAnalysis
(strengths,weaknesses)
Decision Criteria: Objectives/Constraints
Decision Criteria Decision Criteria Address…Address…
RevenuesRevenues COGS/gross marginCOGS/gross margin ExpensesExpenses Profits (usually, operating income)Profits (usually, operating income) Timeframe for resultsTimeframe for results Risk toleranceRisk tolerance Constraints (financial and other Constraints (financial and other
resources)resources)
Marketing: LearningsMarketing: Learnings
Elements of the Elements of the Marketing Mix (C+4P)Marketing Mix (C+4P) BasisBasis of mix decisions: market & financial of mix decisions: market & financial
objectives and competitive advantage(s)objectives and competitive advantage(s) Importance of Importance of product positioningproduct positioning Positioning factors:Positioning factors:
- positioning - positioning withwith? (target customers)? (target customers)- positioning - positioning againstagainst? (relevant competitors)? (relevant competitors)- - desires & fearsdesires & fears of positioning target of positioning target- key positioning - key positioning contentcontent (esp. differentiators (esp. differentiators
and benefits)and benefits) Promotion (marcomm)Promotion (marcomm): choosing the vehicle(s)/ : choosing the vehicle(s)/
media that provides best and most cost-effective media that provides best and most cost-effective access to the targetaccess to the target
Sales Channels: Sales Channels: LearningsLearnings
The basic sales functions: (promotion/marcomm); The basic sales functions: (promotion/marcomm); selling,selling, fulfillment,fulfillment, andand serviceservice
Channel value-addedChannel value-added: Higher and lower value-: Higher and lower value-added channels; value-added functionsadded channels; value-added functions
Specific Specific channel optionschannel options: direct (multiple types), : direct (multiple types), OEM, integrator, VAR/VAD, distributor, OEM, integrator, VAR/VAD, distributor, dealer/retailer/reseller, etcdealer/retailer/reseller, etc
Channel decision criteriaChannel decision criteria: considerations in : considerations in matching products, customers, and channelsmatching products, customers, and channels
Channel economicsChannel economics: channel margin, profit: channel margin, profit Channel conflictChannel conflict: coordinating multiple channels: coordinating multiple channels
Channel Economics --- exampleChannel Economics --- example
Manufacturer
COGS = 35
expenses = 20
ChannelPartner
COGS = 65
expenses = 20
channel price 65
end user price 90
List price = $100
gross margin % = 30/65gross margin % = 30/65 = 46%= 46%
OI % = 10/65OI % = 10/65 = 15%= 15%
gross margin % = 25/90gross margin % = 25/90 = 28%= 28%
OI % = 5/90OI % = 5/90 = 6%= 6%
Learnings: R&DLearnings: R&D
Characteristics of Characteristics of market-focused new market-focused new product development processes……best product development processes……best practices practices
Process dimensions: What? How? How Process dimensions: What? How? How well? (objectives, structure/discipline, well? (objectives, structure/discipline, execution quality)execution quality)
Marketing/R&D integration: aspects, Marketing/R&D integration: aspects, desired vs. actual integration, barriersdesired vs. actual integration, barriers
Learnings: OperationsLearnings: Operations
Operations functions: manufacturing, Operations functions: manufacturing, logistics & servicelogistics & service
Characteristics of world-class Characteristics of world-class operations processesoperations processes
The Operations BalanceThe Operations Balance Impacts on operations: marketing, Impacts on operations: marketing,
sales, R&Dsales, R&D
The Operations BalanceThe Operations Balance
COGS
Inventory CustomerService
Final Exam Final Exam
Thursday, Dec 15Thursday, Dec 15thth
1 – 4pm1 – 4pm
E 230E 230
Process for final examProcess for final exam Handwritten; no laptops or other Handwritten; no laptops or other
communicating devicescommunicating devices
Open book, open note; Open book, open note;
all materials on paperall materials on paper
Question sheet must be returnedQuestion sheet must be returned
Stevens Honor Code appliesStevens Honor Code applies
Typical Grade Typical Grade DistributionDistribution
individual semesters vary individual semesters vary considerablyconsiderablyD/F C B A
homework 0+ 10% 10% 80+%
class participation 0+ 30% 45% 25%
mid-term exam 5% 35% 40% 20% actual grades 3(12%) 8(31%) 14(54%) 1(4%)
final exam 0+ 25% 50% 25% out of 26 students 6.5 13 6.5
course grade 0+ 15% 60% 25%
Final Exam CaseFinal Exam Case
Emotiv Systems:Emotiv Systems:
It’s the Thoughts That CountIt’s the Thoughts That Count
Brain-computer interface (BCI)Brain-computer interface (BCI)
technologiestechnologies
Emotiv Systems in 2007Emotiv Systems in 2007
Emotiv’s EEG-based product can sense 30 Emotiv’s EEG-based product can sense 30 mental states mental states (12 expressive, 6 affective, 12 (12 expressive, 6 affective, 12 cognitive)cognitive)
Currently targeting the video game market, but Currently targeting the video game market, but other application markets are possible other application markets are possible (medical, (medical, military, market research, etc)military, market research, etc)
Decisions to make before 2008 product launch:Decisions to make before 2008 product launch:
- console or PC games?- console or PC games?
- distribution channels- distribution channels
- pricing- pricing
- game development?- game development?
Potential Exam TopicsPotential Exam Topics Income statement analysisIncome statement analysis Decision criteria (objectives, outcomes)Decision criteria (objectives, outcomes) Market attractiveness (5 Forces)Market attractiveness (5 Forces) Competitive analysisCompetitive analysis Competitive advantageCompetitive advantage Target customer selection/descriptionTarget customer selection/description Differentiation (whole product)Differentiation (whole product) Product decisions (pos-and-neg’s)Product decisions (pos-and-neg’s) Channel economicsChannel economics Channel choice (pos-and-neg’s)Channel choice (pos-and-neg’s) Product positioningProduct positioning PricingPricing PromotionPromotion
Please fill out the onlinePlease fill out the onlinecourse assessment surveycourse assessment survey
Written comments areWritten comments areparticularly appreciated !!particularly appreciated !!