tns polling april 2015 onlinebus survey (s6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · tns polling april...

75
Pg 71 Tb T29 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South 906 463 443 82 160 162 172 153 177 334 291 281 632 341 291 53 77 100 129 101 173 203 197 232 210 110 100 24 29 36 50 32 39 78 69 64 33% 32% 34% 46% 38% 36% 39% 31% 23% 38% 35% 28% 189 97 92 10 17 29 32 35 66 44 66 79 30% 28% 32% 19% 22% 29% 25% 35% 38% 22% 33% 34% 48 29 19 2 10 12 5 4 15 16 13 20 8% 9% 7% 4% 13% 12% 4% 4% 9% 8% 6% 9% 24 14 10 2 3 5 5 4 4 24 - - 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 3% 12% - - 4 3 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - 2 2 1% 1% * - 1% 1% 1% * * - 1% 1% 119 69 50 8 13 13 26 23 38 27 37 55 19% 20% 17% 14% 16% 13% 20% 22% 22% 13% 19% 24% 27 14 13 5 3 3 6 1 8 12 7 8 4% 4% 4% 10% 4% 3% 5% 1% 4% 6% 3% 4% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 11 5 6 2 1 2 4 2 1 3 4 4 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% BNP Other party or individual Liberal Democrats SNP Plaid Cymru UKIP Green Party TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election (those who intend to vote for a party currently not standing in their constituency have been re-allocated to their second choice) Base: Voters in the 2015 General Election (a Likelihood To Vote Model based on stated likelihood to turnout and the British Election Study has been applied) - weighted by past vote in 2010 General Election and excluding those that will not vote, those that prefer not to say, those who are not registered FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14) GENDER AGE REGION Unweighted Base Weighted Base Labour Conservatives

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Page 1: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 71

Tb T29

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

906 463 443 82 160 162 172 153 177 334 291 281

632 341 291 53 77 100 129 101 173 203 197 232

210 110 100 24 29 36 50 32 39 78 69 64

33% 32% 34% 46% 38% 36% 39% 31% 23% 38% 35% 28%

189 97 92 10 17 29 32 35 66 44 66 79

30% 28% 32% 19% 22% 29% 25% 35% 38% 22% 33% 34%

48 29 19 2 10 12 5 4 15 16 13 20

8% 9% 7% 4% 13% 12% 4% 4% 9% 8% 6% 9%

24 14 10 2 3 5 5 4 4 24 - -

4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 3% 12% - -

4 3 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - 2 2

1% 1% * - 1% 1% 1% * * - 1% 1%

119 69 50 8 13 13 26 23 38 27 37 55

19% 20% 17% 14% 16% 13% 20% 22% 22% 13% 19% 24%

27 14 13 5 3 3 6 1 8 12 7 8

4% 4% 4% 10% 4% 3% 5% 1% 4% 6% 3% 4%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - -

11 5 6 2 1 2 4 2 1 3 4 4

2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2%

BNP

Other party or individual

Liberal Democrats

SNP

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Green Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Voting intention for 2015 General Election (those who intend to vote for a party currently not standing in their constituency have been re-allocated to their

second choice)

Base: Voters in the 2015 General Election (a Likelihood To Vote Model based on stated likelihood to turnout and the British Election Study has been applied) -

weighted by past vote in 2010 General Election and excluding those that will not vote, those that prefer not to say, those who are not registered

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Labour

Conservatives

Page 2: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 72

Tb T29

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

906 94 137 103 165 195 90 122 531 375 185 721 569 337

632 56 86 62 107 155 73 94 364 268 121 511 402 230

210 14 35 29 38 34 31 29 123 88 42 168 120 90

33% 25% 40% 46% 36% 22% 43% 31% 34% 33% 35% 33% 30% 39%

189 10 19 15 35 58 19 32 106 83 29 160 142 47

30% 17% 22% 25% 33% 38% 27% 34% 29% 31% 24% 31% 35% 20%

48 4 7 4 7 13 5 7 31 17 11 37 37 12

8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 9% 7% 8% 8% 6% 9% 7% 9% 5%

24 24 - - - - - - 13 11 8 17 10 14

4% 44% - - - - - - 4% 4% 6% 3% 3% 6%

4 - - - - - - 4 3 - 1 3 - 3

1% - - - - - - 4% 1% * 1% 1% * 1%

119 2 17 8 21 42 12 18 65 54 23 96 64 56

19% 3% 20% 13% 19% 27% 17% 19% 18% 20% 19% 19% 16% 24%

27 2 5 4 3 7 3 2 16 10 7 20 20 7

4% 3% 6% 7% 3% 4% 4% 2% 5% 4% 5% 4% 5% 3%

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

11 - 2 1 3 1 2 2 7 5 1 10 9 2

2% - 3% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1%

Green Party

BNP

Other party or individual

Conservatives

Liberal Democrats

SNP

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Voting intention for 2015 General Election (those who intend to vote for a party currently not standing in their constituency have been re-allocated to their

second choice)

Base: Voters in the 2015 General Election (a Likelihood To Vote Model based on stated likelihood to turnout and the British Election Study has been applied) -

weighted by past vote in 2010 General Election and excluding those that will not vote, those that prefer not to say, those who are not registered

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Labour

Page 3: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 73

Tb T30

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

906 269 288 65 166 756 124 24 - 880 24

632 188 209 48 120 538 83 11 - 621 11

210 - 209 - 1 175 32 4 - 207 4

33% - 100% - 1% 32% 38% 31% - 33% 31%

189 188 - - - 169 18 2 - 187 2

30% 100% - - - 31% 22% 17% - 30% 17%

48 - - 48 - 38 10 1 - 48 1

8% - - 100% - 7% 12% 5% - 8% 5%

24 - - - - 22 2 - - 24 -

4% - - - * 4% 3% - - 4% -

4 - - - - 3 - - - 3 -

1% - - - - 1% - 4% - 1% 4%

119 - - - 118 99 16 4 - 115 4

19% - - - 99% 18% 19% 35% - 19% 35%

27 - - - - 24 2 1 - 26 1

4% - - - - 4% 3% 7% - 4% 7%

- - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - -

11 - - - - 9 3 - - 11 -

2% - - - - 2% 3% - - 2% -Other party or individual

SNP

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Green Party

BNP

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Voting intention for 2015 General Election (those who intend to vote for a party currently not standing in their constituency have been re-allocated to their

second choice)

Base: Voters in the 2015 General Election (a Likelihood To Vote Model based on stated likelihood to turnout and the British Election Study has been applied) -

weighted by past vote in 2010 General Election and excluding those that will not vote, those that prefer not to say, those who are not registered

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Labour

Conservatives

Liberal Democrats

Page 4: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 74

Tb T31

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

906 119 178 166 123 156 164 93 370 92 351 289 174 280 163

632 74 123 144 55 105 130 60 282 61 230 214 127 188 103

210 34 41 35 19 45 36 19 91 22 78 62 48 58 42

33% 46% 33% 24% 35% 42% 28% 32% 32% 37% 34% 29% 38% 31% 41%

189 17 31 48 10 29 53 11 86 18 75 71 25 71 21

30% 23% 25% 34% 18% 28% 41% 18% 30% 29% 33% 33% 20% 38% 21%

48 6 11 13 6 7 6 6 24 6 13 21 8 16 3

8% 8% 9% 9% 11% 6% 5% 9% 8% 9% 6% 10% 6% 8% 3%

24 4 6 4 2 4 5 5 9 2 8 5 9 5 5

4% 5% 5% 2% 3% 3% 4% 9% 3% 4% 3% 2% 7% 3% 5%

4 - 2 1 - - - 1 2 - 1 - 3 - -

1% - 1% 1% 1% * - 1% 1% - * - 2% * *

119 10 24 36 10 15 25 14 56 10 40 39 30 24 26

19% 13% 19% 25% 19% 14% 19% 23% 20% 16% 17% 18% 24% 13% 25%

27 3 6 5 6 3 4 4 10 3 10 11 3 9 4

4% 4% 5% 3% 10% 3% 3% 6% 4% 5% 4% 5% 2% 5% 4%

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

11 1 2 2 2 3 1 1 5 1 6 4 1 5 1

2% 1% 2% 1% 4% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1%

BNP

Other party or individual

Liberal Democrats

SNP

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Green Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Voting intention for 2015 General Election (those who intend to vote for a party currently not standing in their constituency have been re-allocated to their

second choice)

Base: Voters in the 2015 General Election (a Likelihood To Vote Model based on stated likelihood to turnout and the British Election Study has been applied) -

weighted by past vote in 2010 General Election and excluding those that will not vote, those that prefer not to say, those who are not registered

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Labour

Conservatives

Page 5: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 75

Tb T31

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

906 291 172 240 203

632 214 127 150 141

210 71 39 52 48

33% 33% 31% 34% 34%

189 61 36 45 47

30% 28% 28% 30% 33%

48 16 13 15 4

8% 7% 11% 10% 3%

24 8 6 5 5

4% 4% 4% 3% 4%

4 3 - 1 -

1% 1% * 1% -

119 41 28 24 26

19% 19% 22% 16% 18%

27 11 3 6 7

4% 5% 2% 4% 5%

- - - - -

- - - - -

11 4 1 3 3

2% 2% 1% 2% 2%

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Green Party

BNP

Other party or individual

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Voting intention for 2015 General Election (those who intend to vote for a party currently not standing in their constituency have been re-allocated to their

second choice)

Base: Voters in the 2015 General Election (a Likelihood To Vote Model based on stated likelihood to turnout and the British Election Study has been applied) -

weighted by past vote in 2010 General Election and excluding those that will not vote, those that prefer not to say, those who are not registered

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Labour

Conservatives

Liberal Democrats

SNP

Page 6: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 31

Tb T5

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

1207 571 636 141 224 215 228 187 212 430 400 377

1207 588 619 146 203 206 222 180 250 396 377 434

726 377 349 70 94 97 135 125 204 236 224 266

60% 64% 56% 48% 47% 47% 61% 70% 82% 60% 60% 61%

224 110 114 39 47 51 44 16 27 73 67 84

19% 19% 18% 26% 23% 25% 20% 9% 11% 18% 18% 19%

121 48 73 18 33 23 23 14 11 37 47 38

10% 8% 12% 12% 16% 11% 10% 8% 4% 9% 12% 9%

111 48 63 16 20 33 19 20 3 46 35 31

9% 8% 10% 11% 10% 16% 8% 11% 1% 12% 9% 7%

25 6 19 4 8 2 2 4 5 5 4 16

2% 1% 3% 3% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 4%

949 486 463 109 141 148 179 141 231 308 291 350

79% 83% 75% 74% 70% 72% 80% 79% 92% 78% 77% 81%

233 96 137 33 53 56 42 34 14 82 81 69

19% 16% 22% 23% 26% 27% 19% 19% 6% 21% 22% 16%

3.32 3.4 3.25 3.15 3.11 3.04 3.34 3.4 3.76 3.28 3.29 3.4

0.995 0.949 1.033 1.022 1.03 1.115 0.973 1.048 0.593 1.045 1.01 0.93

0.001 0.002 0.002 0.007 0.005 0.006 0.004 0.006 0.001 0.003 0.003 0.002

Mean score

Standard Deviation

Error Variance

Probably not vote (2)

Definitely not vote (1)

Or would you prefer not to

say?

NET : Probably/definitely will

vote

NET : Probably/definitely

won't vote

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q1.Thinking about the next UK general election that will be held in May 2015, will you...

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Definitely vote (4)

Probably vote (3)

Page 7: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 32

Tb T5

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

1207 117 170 143 217 261 128 171 721 486 263 944 717 490

1207 106 156 134 199 281 158 173 732 475 288 919 679 528

726 68 98 70 120 176 86 108 417 309 131 595 449 277

60% 64% 63% 52% 60% 62% 55% 63% 57% 65% 45% 65% 66% 52%

224 17 27 29 36 58 28 29 147 76 80 143 116 108

19% 16% 17% 21% 18% 21% 18% 17% 20% 16% 28% 16% 17% 20%

121 2 18 17 23 30 17 14 87 34 46 75 52 70

10% 2% 11% 12% 12% 11% 11% 8% 12% 7% 16% 8% 8% 13%

111 19 12 15 19 13 18 16 70 41 27 84 54 58

9% 18% 8% 11% 10% 5% 11% 9% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 11%

25 - 1 4 1 5 9 5 10 15 4 21 9 16

2% - 1% 3% 1% 2% 6% 3% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 3%

949 84 125 99 156 233 114 137 564 385 211 738 565 385

79% 80% 80% 74% 78% 83% 72% 80% 77% 81% 73% 80% 83% 73%

233 21 30 31 43 43 35 30 157 75 73 159 105 127

19% 20% 19% 23% 21% 15% 22% 17% 22% 16% 25% 17% 16% 24%

3.32 3.26 3.36 3.19 3.29 3.43 3.23 3.37 3.26 3.42 3.11 3.39 3.43 3.18

0.995 1.153 0.966 1.044 1.013 0.862 1.063 0.989 1.011 0.963 0.998 0.985 0.939 1.047

0.001 0.013 0.006 0.008 0.005 0.003 0.008 0.006 0.001 0.002 0.004 0.001 0.001 0.002

NET : Probably/definitely

won't vote

Mean score

Standard Deviation

Error Variance

Probably vote (3)

Probably not vote (2)

Definitely not vote (1)

Or would you prefer not to

say?

NET : Probably/definitely will

vote

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q1.Thinking about the next UK general election that will be held in May 2015, will you...

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Definitely vote (4)

Page 8: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 33

Tb T6

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

1207 274 304 67 169 863 186 75 63 1049 138

1207 238 292 58 176 726 224 121 111 949 233

726 193 204 42 125 726 - - - 726 -

60% 81% 70% 72% 71% 100% - - - 76% -

224 38 63 15 31 - 224 - - 224 -

19% 16% 22% 26% 18% - 100% - - 24% -

121 7 25 1 19 - - 121 - - 121

10% 3% 8% 1% 11% - - 100% - - 52%

111 - - - - - - - 111 - 111

9% - - - - - - - 100% - 48%

25 - 1 - 1 - - - - - -

2% - * - * - - - - - -

949 231 267 57 156 726 224 - - 949 -

79% 97% 91% 99% 89% 100% 100% - - 100% -

233 7 25 1 19 - - 121 111 - 233

19% 3% 8% 1% 11% - - 100% 100% - 100%

3.32 3.78 3.61 3.71 3.6 4 3 2 1 3.76 1.52

0.995 0.484 0.639 0.489 0.68 - - - - 0.425 0.501

0.001 0.001 0.001 0.004 0.003 - - - - * 0.001

Standard Deviation

Error Variance

Definitely not vote (1)

Or would you prefer not to

say?

NET : Probably/definitely will

vote

NET : Probably/definitely

won't vote

Mean score

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q1.Thinking about the next UK general election that will be held in May 2015, will you...

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Definitely vote (4)

Probably vote (3)

Probably not vote (2)

Page 9: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 34

Tb T7

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

1207 165 219 187 200 224 212 116 455 147 489 336 235 381 255

1207 172 212 204 177 216 225 114 474 174 444 322 266 357 261

726 91 123 163 74 109 167 57 319 73 276 229 147 220 130

60% 53% 58% 80% 42% 50% 74% 50% 67% 42% 62% 71% 55% 61% 50%

224 44 43 23 42 53 20 38 72 43 72 50 60 66 48

19% 25% 20% 11% 24% 24% 9% 33% 15% 24% 16% 15% 22% 19% 18%

121 20 19 9 30 27 16 13 35 34 40 25 23 26 47

10% 12% 9% 4% 17% 12% 7% 11% 7% 19% 9% 8% 8% 7% 18%

111 12 27 9 23 25 15 6 42 21 42 16 32 38 26

9% 7% 13% 4% 13% 12% 6% 5% 9% 12% 9% 5% 12% 11% 10%

25 4 1 1 8 3 8 1 6 3 15 2 4 8 11

2% 3% 1% * 4% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 4%

949 135 165 186 115 161 186 95 391 116 347 279 207 286 177

79% 79% 78% 91% 65% 75% 83% 83% 82% 67% 78% 87% 78% 80% 68%

233 32 46 18 54 52 31 18 78 55 82 41 54 64 73

19% 19% 21% 9% 30% 24% 14% 16% 16% 32% 18% 13% 20% 18% 28%

3.32 3.28 3.24 3.67 2.98 3.15 3.56 3.29 3.43 2.98 3.35 3.54 3.23 3.34 3.12

0.995 0.941 1.062 0.758 1.084 1.045 0.895 0.861 0.968 1.064 1.002 0.842 1.043 1.012 1.051

0.001 0.005 0.005 0.003 0.007 0.005 0.004 0.007 0.002 0.007 0.002 0.002 0.004 0.003 0.004

Mean score

Standard Deviation

Error Variance

Probably not vote (2)

Definitely not vote (1)

Or would you prefer not to

say?

NET : Probably/definitely will

vote

NET : Probably/definitely

won't vote

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q1.Thinking about the next UK general election that will be held in May 2015, will you...

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Definitely vote (4)

Probably vote (3)

Page 10: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 35

Tb T7

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

1207 367 204 354 282

1207 387 201 344 274

726 239 138 178 171

60% 62% 69% 52% 62%

224 74 36 73 41

19% 19% 18% 21% 15%

121 40 8 47 26

10% 10% 4% 14% 10%

111 30 18 40 23

9% 8% 9% 12% 8%

25 5 1 5 13

2% 1% 1% 2% 5%

949 313 173 251 212

79% 81% 86% 73% 77%

233 70 26 88 49

19% 18% 13% 25% 18%

3.32 3.36 3.47 3.15 3.38

0.995 0.955 0.936 1.06 0.984

0.001 0.002 0.004 0.003 0.004Error Variance

Or would you prefer not to

say?

NET : Probably/definitely will

vote

NET : Probably/definitely

won't vote

Mean score

Standard Deviation

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q1.Thinking about the next UK general election that will be held in May 2015, will you...

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Definitely vote (4)

Probably vote (3)

Probably not vote (2)

Definitely not vote (1)

Page 11: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 36

Tb T8

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

1144 545 599 123 215 200 217 178 211 409 375 360

1096 540 555 130 183 173 204 159 247 350 342 404

60 17 43 6 13 19 10 5 6 24 20 16

5% 3% 8% 5% 7% 11% 5% 3% 3% 7% 6% 4%

292 153 139 47 48 42 69 40 46 111 86 95

27% 28% 25% 36% 26% 24% 34% 25% 19% 32% 25% 24%

238 126 112 20 27 35 36 43 78 55 82 100

22% 23% 20% 15% 15% 20% 17% 27% 32% 16% 24% 25%

176 102 74 16 27 17 33 34 49 40 59 77

16% 19% 13% 12% 15% 10% 16% 21% 20% 11% 17% 19%

58 34 24 4 15 13 4 4 18 17 17 24

5% 6% 4% 3% 8% 8% 2% 3% 7% 5% 5% 6%

43 22 22 14 8 3 8 2 9 20 12 12

4% 4% 4% 11% 4% 2% 4% 1% 3% 6% 3% 3%

30 19 12 4 5 7 4 5 5 29 1 -

3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% 2% 8% * -

6 3 3 - 3 1 1 - 1 - 3 3

1% 1% 1% - 2% * 1% * * - 1% 1%

5 4 2 1 3 1 - 1 - 1 4 -

* 1% * 1% 2% 1% - * - * 1% -

1 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 -

* * - - - - - 1% - - * -

3 2 1 1 - - - 1 - 2 - 1

* * * 1% * - - 1% - 1% - *

1 - 1 1 - - - - - 1 - -

* - * 1% - - - - - * - -

11 6 6 2 - 4 3 - 2 4 5 3

1% 1% 1% 1% * 3% 2% - 1% 1% 1% 1%

170 52 118 15 33 31 34 24 34 47 51 72

16% 10% 21% 12% 18% 18% 17% 15% 14% 13% 15% 18%

Don't know

Prefer not to say

Plaid Cymru

BNP - British National Party

Independent

Other party or individual

None

Conservatives

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

SNP - Scottish National Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q2.Still thinking about the next UK general election, which party, if any, will you vote for in your own constituency?

Base: All who would probably vote in 2015 General Election

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Will not vote

Labour

Page 12: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 37

Tb T8

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

1144 110 164 135 203 254 120 158 682 462 251 893 689 455

1096 87 144 120 180 268 140 157 661 434 261 835 626 470

60 - 8 16 8 12 7 9 41 19 23 37 20 40

5% - 6% 13% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 4% 9% 4% 3% 8%

292 18 51 42 47 47 50 38 170 122 56 236 151 141

27% 21% 35% 35% 26% 18% 36% 24% 26% 28% 22% 28% 24% 30%

238 14 25 16 45 70 26 41 138 100 41 197 173 65

22% 16% 18% 14% 25% 26% 18% 26% 21% 23% 16% 24% 28% 14%

176 3 24 12 35 62 18 22 102 74 39 136 85 91

16% 4% 17% 10% 19% 23% 13% 14% 15% 17% 15% 16% 14% 19%

58 5 7 5 10 16 6 10 38 20 15 43 44 14

5% 6% 5% 4% 5% 6% 4% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 7% 3%

43 5 7 8 7 9 5 2 24 20 14 30 26 17

4% 5% 5% 7% 4% 3% 4% 1% 4% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4%

30 29 - - 1 - - - 19 11 10 20 12 18

3% 34% - - 1% - - - 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% 4%

6 - - - - - - 6 5 1 1 5 2 4

1% - - - - - - 4% 1% * 1% 1% * 1%

5 1 - 1 4 1 - - 5 1 1 4 4 2

* 1% - 1% 2% * - - 1% * 1% * 1% *

1 - - - - - - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1

* - - - - - - 1% - * - * - *

3 - - 1 - - - 1 3 - - 3 1 2

* - * 1% - - * * * * - * * *

1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 - 1 1 -

* - - 1% - - - - - * - * * -

11 - 3 1 5 1 1 1 8 3 2 9 11 1

1% - 2% * 3% * 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% *

170 12 17 18 20 50 27 26 110 60 58 112 94 76

16% 14% 12% 15% 11% 19% 19% 17% 17% 14% 22% 13% 15% 16%

None

Don't know

Prefer not to say

SNP - Scottish National Party

Plaid Cymru

BNP - British National Party

Independent

Other party or individual

Labour

Conservatives

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q2.Still thinking about the next UK general election, which party, if any, will you vote for in your own constituency?

Base: All who would probably vote in 2015 General Election

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Will not vote

Page 13: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 38

Tb T9

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

1144 274 304 67 169 863 186 75 - 1049 75

1096 238 292 58 176 726 224 121 - 949 121

60 - - - - 3 6 51 - 9 51

5% - - - - * 3% 42% - 1% 42%

292 - 292 - - 204 63 25 - 267 25

27% - 100% - - 28% 28% 20% - 28% 20%

238 238 - - - 193 38 7 - 231 7

22% 100% - - - 27% 17% 6% - 24% 6%

176 - - - 176 125 31 19 - 156 19

16% - - - 100% 17% 14% 16% - 16% 16%

58 - - 58 - 42 15 1 - 57 1

5% - - 100% - 6% 7% 1% - 6% 1%

43 - - - - 32 4 6 - 37 6

4% - - - - 4% 2% 5% - 4% 5%

30 - - - - 26 5 - - 30 -

3% - - - - 4% 2% - - 3% -

6 - - - - 3 - 3 - 3 3

1% - - - - * - 3% - * 3%

5 - - - - 5 - - - 5 -

* - - - - 1% - - - 1% -

1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 -

* - - - - * - - - * -

3 - - - - 3 - - - 3 -

* - - - - * * - - * -

1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 -

* - - - - - * - - * -

11 - - - - 8 3 - - 11 -

1% - - - - 1% 1% - - 1% -

170 - - - - 81 56 10 - 137 10

16% - - - - 11% 25% 8% - 14% 8%Prefer not to say

BNP - British National Party

Independent

Other party or individual

None

Don't know

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

SNP - Scottish National Party

Plaid Cymru

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q2.Still thinking about the next UK general election, which party, if any, will you vote for in your own constituency?

Base: All who would probably vote in 2015 General Election

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Will not vote

Labour

Conservatives

Page 14: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 39

Tb T10

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

1144 156 206 183 182 211 206 113 432 138 461 328 217 361 238

1096 159 185 196 154 191 210 108 432 153 402 306 234 319 236

60 7 11 - 13 18 12 3 14 20 23 8 10 13 30

5% 4% 6% - 8% 10% 6% 3% 3% 13% 6% 2% 4% 4% 13%

292 59 49 44 36 62 42 24 129 32 107 79 74 72 67

27% 37% 27% 23% 23% 32% 20% 22% 30% 21% 27% 26% 32% 23% 28%

238 31 38 57 16 32 64 19 107 22 90 90 36 83 29

22% 19% 21% 29% 10% 17% 31% 17% 25% 14% 22% 29% 15% 26% 12%

176 20 32 51 23 18 32 19 83 20 53 53 49 32 42

16% 12% 17% 26% 15% 9% 15% 18% 19% 13% 13% 17% 21% 10% 18%

58 8 12 15 11 6 7 7 27 8 16 24 10 20 4

5% 5% 6% 8% 7% 3% 3% 7% 6% 5% 4% 8% 4% 6% 2%

43 10 6 5 12 5 5 7 14 6 15 13 8 13 9

4% 6% 3% 3% 8% 3% 2% 7% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%

30 7 8 4 2 4 6 8 11 2 9 6 13 6 5

3% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2% 3% 7% 3% 1% 2% 2% 6% 2% 2%

6 - 2 1 3 - - 1 2 1 3 - 3 2 1

1% - 1% 1% 2% * - 1% 1% * 1% - 1% 1% *

5 3 1 - 1 - 1 1 3 1 1 4 - - 2

* 2% * - * * * 1% 1% * * 1% - - 1%

1 - - 1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 - -

* - - * - - - - * - - - * - -

3 1 - 1 - - - - 2 - 1 1 1 - -

* 1% - * * - * - 1% - * * 1% * *

1 - - - 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 -

* - - - 1% - - - - - * - - * -

11 - 5 1 2 3 1 2 4 1 5 6 - 5 1

1% - 3% * 1% 1% * 2% 1% * 1% 2% - 2% *

170 14 22 16 34 43 41 17 35 41 77 23 29 71 47

16% 9% 12% 8% 22% 22% 20% 16% 8% 27% 19% 8% 12% 22% 20%

Don't know

Prefer not to say

Plaid Cymru

BNP - British National Party

Independent

Other party or individual

None

Conservatives

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

SNP - Scottish National Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q2.Still thinking about the next UK general election, which party, if any, will you vote for in your own constituency?

Base: All who would probably vote in 2015 General Election

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Will not vote

Labour

Page 15: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 40

Tb T10

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

1144 351 194 331 268

1096 357 183 304 251

60 16 2 25 18

5% 4% 1% 8% 7%

292 96 57 74 65

27% 27% 31% 24% 26%

238 85 41 54 58

22% 24% 23% 18% 23%

176 60 42 42 32

16% 17% 23% 14% 13%

58 18 16 19 4

5% 5% 9% 6% 2%

43 16 6 8 14

4% 4% 3% 3% 5%

30 14 5 6 6

3% 4% 3% 2% 2%

6 3 - 3 1

1% 1% * 1% *

5 4 - 1 1

* 1% - * *

1 - 1 - -

* - * - -

3 2 - - -

* 1% - * *

1 - - - 1

* - - - *

11 5 1 3 3

1% 1% * 1% 1%

170 40 12 69 49

16% 11% 6% 23% 19%

Independent

Other party or individual

None

Don't know

Prefer not to say

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

SNP - Scottish National Party

Plaid Cymru

BNP - British National Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q2.Still thinking about the next UK general election, which party, if any, will you vote for in your own constituency?

Base: All who would probably vote in 2015 General Election

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Will not vote

Labour

Conservatives

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Page 16: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 41

Tb T11

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

928 480 448 97 171 160 170 153 177 340 299 289

853 465 388 107 137 119 156 130 205 275 266 313

292 153 139 47 48 42 69 40 46 111 86 95

34% 33% 36% 45% 35% 35% 44% 30% 23% 40% 32% 30%

238 126 112 20 27 35 36 43 78 55 82 100

28% 27% 29% 19% 20% 29% 23% 33% 38% 20% 31% 32%

176 102 74 16 27 17 33 34 49 40 59 77

21% 22% 19% 15% 20% 14% 21% 26% 24% 14% 22% 25%

58 34 24 4 15 13 4 4 18 17 17 24

7% 7% 6% 4% 11% 11% 3% 3% 9% 6% 7% 8%

43 22 22 14 8 3 8 2 9 20 12 12

5% 5% 6% 13% 5% 3% 5% 1% 4% 7% 4% 4%

30 19 12 4 5 7 4 5 5 29 1 -

4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 6% 3% 4% 2% 11% * -

6 3 3 - 3 1 1 - 1 - 3 3

1% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1% * * - 1% 1%

5 4 2 1 3 1 - 1 - 1 4 -

1% 1% * 1% 2% 1% - * - * 2% -

1 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 -

* * - - - - - 1% - - * -

3 2 1 1 - - - 1 - 2 - 1

* * * 1% * - - 1% - 1% - *

BNP - British National Party

Independent

Other party or individual

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

SNP - Scottish National Party

Plaid Cymru

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q2.Still thinking about the next UK general election, which party, if any, will you vote for in your own constituency?

Base: All who would vote

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Labour

Conservatives

Page 17: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 42

Tb T11

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

928 95 139 106 168 201 95 124 544 384 189 739 572 356

853 75 115 85 148 205 105 120 503 350 178 676 499 354

292 18 51 42 47 47 50 38 170 122 56 236 151 141

34% 24% 44% 49% 32% 23% 48% 31% 34% 35% 32% 35% 30% 40%

238 14 25 16 45 70 26 41 138 100 41 197 173 65

28% 19% 22% 19% 30% 34% 25% 34% 27% 28% 23% 29% 35% 18%

176 3 24 12 35 62 18 22 102 74 39 136 85 91

21% 4% 21% 14% 23% 30% 17% 18% 20% 21% 22% 20% 17% 26%

58 5 7 5 10 16 6 10 38 20 15 43 44 14

7% 7% 6% 6% 7% 8% 6% 8% 7% 6% 8% 6% 9% 4%

43 5 7 8 7 9 5 2 24 20 14 30 26 17

5% 6% 6% 10% 5% 4% 5% 2% 5% 6% 8% 4% 5% 5%

30 29 - - 1 - - - 19 11 10 20 12 18

4% 39% - - 1% - - - 4% 3% 6% 3% 2% 5%

6 - - - - - - 6 5 1 1 5 2 4

1% - - - - - - 5% 1% * 1% 1% * 1%

5 1 - 1 4 1 - - 5 1 1 4 4 2

1% 1% - 1% 2% * - - 1% * 1% 1% 1% *

1 - - - - - - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1

* - - - - - - 1% - * - * - *

3 - - 1 - - - 1 3 - - 3 1 2

* - * 2% - - * 1% 1% * - * * 1%

Plaid Cymru

BNP - British National Party

Independent

Other party or individual

Conservatives

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

SNP - Scottish National Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q2.Still thinking about the next UK general election, which party, if any, will you vote for in your own constituency?

Base: All who would vote

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Labour

Page 18: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 43

Tb T12

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

928 274 304 67 169 756 131 38 - 887 38

853 238 292 58 176 634 157 61 - 790 61

292 - 292 - - 204 63 25 - 267 25

34% - 100% - - 32% 40% 41% - 34% 41%

238 238 - - - 193 38 7 - 231 7

28% 100% - - - 30% 24% 12% - 29% 12%

176 - - - 176 125 31 19 - 156 19

21% - - - 100% 20% 20% 32% - 20% 32%

58 - - 58 - 42 15 1 - 57 1

7% - - 100% - 7% 10% 1% - 7% 1%

43 - - - - 32 4 6 - 37 6

5% - - - - 5% 3% 9% - 5% 9%

30 - - - - 26 5 - - 30 -

4% - - - - 4% 3% - - 4% -

6 - - - - 3 - 3 - 3 3

1% - - - - 1% - 5% - * 5%

5 - - - - 5 - - - 5 -

1% - - - - 1% - - - 1% -

1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 -

* - - - - * - - - * -

3 - - - - 3 - - - 3 -

* - - - - * * - - * -

Independent

Other party or individual

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

SNP - Scottish National Party

Plaid Cymru

BNP - British National Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q2.Still thinking about the next UK general election, which party, if any, will you vote for in your own constituency?

Base: All who would vote

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Labour

Conservatives

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Page 19: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 44

Tb T13

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

928 138 176 166 130 154 164 94 386 95 353 295 185 277 171

853 139 148 179 105 127 157 86 380 92 296 270 195 229 159

292 59 49 44 36 62 42 24 129 32 107 79 74 72 67

34% 43% 33% 25% 34% 49% 27% 28% 34% 35% 36% 29% 38% 32% 42%

238 31 38 57 16 32 64 19 107 22 90 90 36 83 29

28% 22% 26% 32% 15% 25% 41% 22% 28% 24% 30% 33% 18% 36% 18%

176 20 32 51 23 18 32 19 83 20 53 53 49 32 42

21% 14% 21% 28% 22% 14% 21% 22% 22% 22% 18% 20% 25% 14% 26%

58 8 12 15 11 6 7 7 27 8 16 24 10 20 4

7% 6% 8% 8% 10% 5% 4% 8% 7% 8% 5% 9% 5% 9% 3%

43 10 6 5 12 5 5 7 14 6 15 13 8 13 9

5% 7% 4% 3% 11% 4% 3% 9% 4% 7% 5% 5% 4% 6% 6%

30 7 8 4 2 4 6 8 11 2 9 6 13 6 5

4% 5% 5% 2% 2% 3% 4% 9% 3% 2% 3% 2% 7% 3% 3%

6 - 2 1 3 - - 1 2 1 3 - 3 2 1

1% - 1% 1% 3% * - 1% 1% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1%

5 3 1 - 1 - 1 1 3 1 1 4 - - 2

1% 2% * - 1% * * 1% 1% 1% * 1% - - 1%

1 - - 1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 - -

* - - * - - - - * - - - * - -

3 1 - 1 - - - - 2 - 1 1 1 - -

* 1% - * * - * - 1% - * * 1% * *

BNP - British National Party

Independent

Other party or individual

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

SNP - Scottish National Party

Plaid Cymru

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q2.Still thinking about the next UK general election, which party, if any, will you vote for in your own constituency?

Base: All who would vote

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Labour

Conservatives

Page 20: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 45

Tb T13

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

928 301 179 243 205

853 296 169 207 181

292 96 57 74 65

34% 32% 34% 36% 36%

238 85 41 54 58

28% 29% 24% 26% 32%

176 60 42 42 32

21% 20% 25% 20% 18%

58 18 16 19 4

7% 6% 9% 9% 2%

43 16 6 8 14

5% 5% 4% 4% 8%

30 14 5 6 6

4% 5% 3% 3% 3%

6 3 - 3 1

1% 1% * 1% *

5 4 - 1 1

1% 1% - * *

1 - 1 - -

* - 1% - -

3 2 - - -

* 1% - * *Other party or individual

Green Party

SNP - Scottish National Party

Plaid Cymru

BNP - British National Party

Independent

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q2.Still thinking about the next UK general election, which party, if any, will you vote for in your own constituency?

Base: All who would vote

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Labour

Conservatives

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Liberal Democrats

Page 21: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 46

Tb T14

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

1207 571 636 141 224 215 228 187 212 430 400 377

1207 588 619 146 203 206 222 180 250 396 377 434

133 62 71 28 30 22 23 14 16 51 31 50

11% 10% 11% 19% 15% 11% 10% 8% 6% 13% 8% 12%

129 65 64 12 24 19 22 24 28 28 40 61

11% 11% 10% 8% 12% 9% 10% 13% 11% 7% 11% 14%

18 10 8 4 4 5 3 - 1 10 3 5

1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% - 1% 3% 1% 1%

220 123 97 28 35 33 55 26 43 91 62 67

18% 21% 16% 19% 17% 16% 25% 15% 17% 23% 16% 15%

352 216 136 32 48 50 57 62 103 86 138 128

29% 37% 22% 22% 24% 24% 26% 34% 41% 22% 37% 29%

26 13 12 2 5 2 3 6 8 7 9 9

2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2%

330 99 230 39 55 76 59 49 52 123 94 114

27% 17% 37% 27% 27% 37% 27% 27% 21% 31% 25% 26%

Some other party will have a

majority in Parliament

No party will have an overall

majority but Labour will be

the largest party in

Parliament

No party will have an overall

majority but the

Conservatives will be the

largest party in Parliament

Some other outcome

Don't know

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q3.After the next UK general election, do you think...

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

The Labour party will have a

majority in Parliament

The Conservative party will

have a majority in Parliament

Page 22: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 47

Tb T14

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

1207 117 170 143 217 261 128 171 721 486 263 944 717 490

1207 106 156 134 199 281 158 173 732 475 288 919 679 528

133 7 23 21 21 17 29 14 85 48 43 89 57 75

11% 7% 15% 16% 11% 6% 19% 8% 12% 10% 15% 10% 8% 14%

129 4 9 14 21 31 20 28 90 39 29 100 87 41

11% 4% 6% 11% 11% 11% 13% 16% 12% 8% 10% 11% 13% 8%

18 8 1 1 1 2 3 1 14 4 6 11 5 13

1% 8% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3%

220 24 41 26 30 34 25 40 130 90 48 172 124 96

18% 23% 26% 19% 15% 12% 16% 23% 18% 19% 17% 19% 18% 18%

352 34 28 24 68 120 30 48 201 151 70 282 238 115

29% 33% 18% 18% 34% 43% 19% 28% 28% 32% 24% 31% 35% 22%

26 2 2 3 6 7 2 3 10 15 - 25 14 12

2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1% 3% * 3% 2% 2%

330 25 52 46 51 71 48 38 201 128 91 239 154 176

27% 24% 33% 34% 26% 25% 30% 22% 28% 27% 32% 26% 23% 33%Don't know

The Conservative party will

have a majority in Parliament

Some other party will have a

majority in Parliament

No party will have an overall

majority but Labour will be

the largest party in

Parliament

No party will have an overall

majority but the

Conservatives will be the

largest party in Parliament

Some other outcome

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q3.After the next UK general election, do you think...

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

The Labour party will have a

majority in Parliament

Page 23: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 48

Tb T15

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

1207 274 304 67 169 863 186 75 63 1049 138

1207 238 292 58 176 726 224 121 111 949 233

133 5 90 2 13 80 37 7 5 117 12

11% 2% 31% 4% 7% 11% 17% 5% 5% 12% 5%

129 73 6 5 15 88 18 18 5 105 24

11% 31% 2% 9% 9% 12% 8% 15% 5% 11% 10%

18 1 3 1 3 10 6 1 - 17 1

1% * 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% - 2% *

220 5 120 12 29 151 42 18 7 193 25

18% 2% 41% 21% 16% 21% 19% 15% 6% 20% 11%

352 125 31 30 73 262 49 24 16 311 40

29% 52% 11% 51% 42% 36% 22% 20% 14% 33% 17%

26 4 3 - 6 17 5 1 1 22 2

2% 2% 1% - 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1%

330 25 38 7 37 118 66 53 77 184 130

27% 11% 13% 12% 21% 16% 29% 44% 69% 19% 56%

No party will have an overall

majority but the

Conservatives will be the

largest party in Parliament

Some other outcome

Don't know

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q3.After the next UK general election, do you think...

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

The Labour party will have a

majority in Parliament

The Conservative party will

have a majority in Parliament

Some other party will have a

majority in Parliament

No party will have an overall

majority but Labour will be

the largest party in

Parliament

Page 24: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 49

Tb T16

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

1207 165 219 187 200 224 212 116 455 147 489 336 235 381 255

1207 172 212 204 177 216 225 114 474 174 444 322 266 357 261

133 29 17 16 30 28 14 17 45 26 45 28 34 30 41

11% 17% 8% 8% 17% 13% 6% 15% 9% 15% 10% 9% 13% 8% 16%

129 20 20 25 17 20 27 9 57 21 43 34 31 53 10

11% 12% 10% 12% 9% 9% 12% 8% 12% 12% 10% 11% 12% 15% 4%

18 5 4 1 3 4 1 4 6 2 6 1 9 4 5

1% 3% 2% * 2% 2% * 3% 1% 1% 1% * 3% 1% 2%

220 31 56 36 32 32 33 20 103 28 69 67 56 58 39

18% 18% 26% 18% 18% 15% 15% 17% 22% 16% 15% 21% 21% 16% 15%

352 53 67 96 28 40 68 46 170 24 112 144 72 94 42

29% 31% 31% 47% 16% 19% 30% 41% 36% 14% 25% 45% 27% 26% 16%

26 5 3 6 3 2 8 - 13 - 12 7 6 7 5

2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 3% - 3% * 3% 2% 2% 2% 2%

330 29 45 26 66 90 75 18 81 72 158 42 57 112 118

27% 17% 21% 12% 37% 41% 33% 16% 17% 42% 36% 13% 21% 31% 45%

Some other party will have a

majority in Parliament

No party will have an overall

majority but Labour will be

the largest party in

Parliament

No party will have an overall

majority but the

Conservatives will be the

largest party in Parliament

Some other outcome

Don't know

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q3.After the next UK general election, do you think...

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

The Labour party will have a

majority in Parliament

The Conservative party will

have a majority in Parliament

Page 25: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 50

Tb T16

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

1207 367 204 354 282

1207 387 201 344 274

133 45 17 41 31

11% 12% 8% 12% 11%

129 49 16 41 23

11% 13% 8% 12% 8%

18 8 2 6 2

1% 2% 1% 2% 1%

220 78 45 53 44

18% 20% 23% 15% 16%

352 133 83 68 68

29% 34% 41% 20% 25%

26 6 7 4 8

2% 2% 3% 1% 3%

330 69 30 132 98

27% 18% 15% 38% 36%Don't know

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q3.After the next UK general election, do you think...

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

The Labour party will have a

majority in Parliament

The Conservative party will

have a majority in Parliament

Some other party will have a

majority in Parliament

No party will have an overall

majority but Labour will be

the largest party in

Parliament

No party will have an overall

majority but the

Conservatives will be the

largest party in Parliament

Some other outcome

Page 26: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 51

Tb T17

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

1207 571 636 141 224 215 228 187 212 430 400 377

1207 588 619 146 203 206 222 180 250 396 377 434

459 200 259 84 115 97 81 53 29 160 146 152

38% 34% 42% 57% 57% 47% 36% 30% 11% 40% 39% 35%

245 130 115 11 17 31 43 45 98 57 81 107

20% 22% 19% 8% 9% 15% 19% 25% 39% 14% 22% 25%

208 114 93 21 26 33 49 32 47 81 63 64

17% 19% 15% 14% 13% 16% 22% 18% 19% 21% 17% 15%

158 84 74 17 22 27 21 24 47 52 48 58

13% 14% 12% 11% 11% 13% 9% 13% 19% 13% 13% 13%

26 16 10 - 2 3 6 6 9 5 7 14

2% 3% 2% - 1% 1% 3% 3% 4% 1% 2% 3%

11 6 5 2 1 1 2 2 3 11 - -

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% * -

9 3 5 - 2 - 2 3 2 3 2 3

1% 1% 1% - 1% - 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%

5 3 2 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 2 2

* * * 1% * * * 1% * * * *

4 3 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 - 3 1

* 1% * 1% * - * * * - 1% *

2 - 2 2 - - - - - 1 1 -

* - * 1% - - - - - * * -

1 1 1 - 1 - - 1 - - 1 1

* * * - * - - * - - * *

- - - - - - - - - - - -

* - * - - * - - - - * -

1 1 - - - - 1 - - - - 1

* * - - - * * - - - * *

3 1 2 - - 1 1 - - 2 1 -

* * * - - * 1% * - * * -

77 27 50 8 16 11 16 12 14 23 21 32

6% 5% 8% 6% 8% 5% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 7%

Other

Don't know

Prefer not to answer

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

Yes, Plaid Cymru

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Yes (no detail)

Independent

Yes, Labour

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

Yes, Green Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q4.The last General Election was held on 6th May 2010. Did you manage to vote in that General Election?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Yes, Conservative

Page 27: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 52

Tb T17

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

1207 117 170 143 217 261 128 171 721 486 263 944 717 490

1207 106 156 134 199 281 158 173 732 475 288 919 679 528

459 42 55 63 77 96 61 65 291 167 148 311 205 254

38% 39% 36% 47% 38% 34% 39% 38% 40% 35% 51% 34% 30% 48%

245 9 25 23 45 76 27 40 131 114 35 210 176 69

20% 9% 16% 17% 22% 27% 17% 23% 18% 24% 12% 23% 26% 13%

208 21 38 22 35 31 32 27 124 83 40 167 114 93

17% 20% 24% 17% 18% 11% 21% 16% 17% 18% 14% 18% 17% 18%

158 13 26 13 23 44 18 21 95 63 31 127 112 46

13% 12% 16% 10% 12% 16% 12% 12% 13% 13% 11% 14% 17% 9%

26 - 3 2 5 10 2 5 15 12 5 22 17 10

2% * 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%

11 11 - - - - - - 6 5 3 8 4 6

1% 10% - - * - - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

9 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 4 4 3 5 5 4

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

5 1 1 - 2 - 1 1 3 2 1 4 1 4

* * * - 1% * * * * * * * * 1%

4 - - - 1 - - 2 3 - 1 3 1 3

* - - - * * * 1% * * * * * 1%

2 1 - - 1 - - - - 2 - 2 1 1

* 1% - - * - - - - * - * * *

1 - - - 1 - 1 - 1 - - 1 1 1

* - - - * - * - * - - * * *

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

* - - - * - - - * - - * - *

1 - - - - - - 1 1 - - 1 1 -

* - - - - * - * * - - * * -

3 1 - - - - - 1 1 2 1 2 2 1

* 1% * - * - - * * * * * * *

77 7 8 9 9 21 15 9 56 21 22 55 41 36

6% 6% 5% 7% 4% 8% 9% 5% 8% 4% 8% 6% 6% 7%

Independent

Other

Don't know

Prefer not to answer

Yes, Green Party

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

Yes, Plaid Cymru

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Yes (no detail)

Yes, Conservative

Yes, Labour

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q4.The last General Election was held on 6th May 2010. Did you manage to vote in that General Election?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Page 28: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 53

Tb T18

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

1207 274 304 67 169 863 186 75 63 1049 138

1207 238 292 58 176 726 224 121 111 949 233

459 51 84 9 65 113 128 100 108 241 208

38% 21% 29% 15% 37% 16% 57% 82% 97% 25% 89%

245 153 13 4 45 220 21 3 1 241 4

20% 64% 5% 8% 26% 30% 9% 3% 1% 25% 2%

208 6 156 8 9 172 29 6 - 201 6

17% 3% 54% 13% 5% 24% 13% 5% - 21% 2%

158 21 32 36 29 130 21 6 1 151 7

13% 9% 11% 61% 17% 18% 10% 5% 1% 16% 3%

26 2 1 - 21 25 1 - - 26 -

2% 1% * 1% 12% 3% * * - 3% *

11 - - 1 - 10 1 - - 11 -

1% - * 1% * 1% 1% - - 1% -

9 2 1 - 1 8 1 - - 8 -

1% 1% * * 1% 1% * * - 1% *

5 - 1 - 1 4 - - - 4 -

* - * - 1% 1% - * - * *

4 - - - - 3 - - - 3 -

* - * * - * * - * * *

2 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - 1 1

* * - - * * - 1% - * *

1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 -

* - - - - * - - - * -

- - - - - - - - - - -

* - - - * * - - - * -

1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 -

* - - - - * - - - * -

3 1 - - - 3 - - - 3 -

* * * - - * - - - * -

77 1 2 - 3 35 21 5 1 56 6

6% * 1% - 1% 5% 10% 4% 1% 6% 2%

Don't know

Prefer not to answer

Yes, Plaid Cymru

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Yes (no detail)

Independent

Other

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

Yes, Green Party

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q4.The last General Election was held on 6th May 2010. Did you manage to vote in that General Election?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Yes, Conservative

Yes, Labour

Page 29: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 54

Tb T19

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

1207 165 219 187 200 224 212 116 455 147 489 336 235 381 255

1207 172 212 204 177 216 225 114 474 174 444 322 266 357 261

459 78 89 33 120 90 49 47 152 100 158 80 120 125 134

38% 45% 42% 16% 68% 41% 22% 42% 32% 58% 36% 25% 45% 35% 51%

245 20 36 74 9 37 69 14 116 21 94 91 39 85 30

20% 12% 17% 36% 5% 17% 30% 13% 24% 12% 21% 28% 15% 24% 11%

208 37 37 41 10 45 39 21 93 19 74 59 55 55 38

17% 21% 17% 20% 6% 21% 17% 18% 20% 11% 17% 18% 21% 15% 15%

158 20 27 36 19 21 34 17 67 14 60 62 22 50 23

13% 12% 13% 18% 11% 10% 15% 15% 14% 8% 14% 19% 8% 14% 9%

26 1 6 9 1 3 6 2 15 3 7 8 8 8 2

2% 1% 3% 5% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1%

11 2 2 1 1 1 3 2 3 - 5 2 3 2 3

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 2% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

9 - 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 4 2 2 3 2

1% * 1% 1% 1% * 1% 2% * * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

5 1 1 1 - - 1 1 2 - 2 1 2 - 2

* 1% * * * * 1% * * * * * 1% - 1%

4 1 - 1 - - - 1 2 - 1 - 3 - -

* 1% * 1% * * - 1% * - * * 1% * *

2 - - - 2 - - - - - 2 - - 1 1

* - - - 1% - - - - - * - - * *

1 1 - - - - 1 - 1 - 1 1 - - 1

* * - - - - * - * - * * - - *

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

* - - - - * - - - - * - - - *

1 - 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - -

* - * - - - - - * - - * - - -

3 - 1 - - 2 - - 1 1 1 1 - 1 1

* - * - - 1% * - * * * * - * *

77 11 11 6 13 16 21 7 20 15 35 14 13 27 23

6% 6% 5% 3% 8% 7% 9% 6% 4% 9% 8% 4% 5% 8% 9%

Other

Don't know

Prefer not to answer

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

Yes, Plaid Cymru

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Yes (no detail)

Independent

Yes, Labour

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

Yes, Green Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q4.The last General Election was held on 6th May 2010. Did you manage to vote in that General Election?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Yes, Conservative

Page 30: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 55

Tb T19

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

1207 367 204 354 282

1207 387 201 344 274

459 137 63 154 104

38% 35% 31% 45% 38%

245 72 58 59 56

20% 19% 29% 17% 21%

208 76 38 48 46

17% 20% 19% 14% 17%

158 54 30 41 33

13% 14% 15% 12% 12%

26 10 6 5 5

2% 3% 3% 1% 2%

11 4 2 2 3

1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

9 3 - 1 4

1% 1% * * 1%

5 2 - - 2

* 1% * * 1%

4 3 - 1 -

* 1% * * -

2 - - - 2

* - - - 1%

1 1 - 1 -

* * - * -

- - - - -

* - - * -

1 1 - - -

* * - - -

3 1 - - 2

* * - * 1%

77 24 3 32 18

6% 6% 2% 9% 7%Prefer not to answer

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Yes (no detail)

Independent

Other

Don't know

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

Yes, Green Party

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

Yes, Plaid Cymru

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q4.The last General Election was held on 6th May 2010. Did you manage to vote in that General Election?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Yes, Conservative

Yes, Labour

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Page 31: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 56

Tb T20

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

1207 571 636 141 224 215 228 187 212 430 400 377

1207 588 619 146 203 206 222 180 250 396 377 434

563 251 312 82 114 125 103 73 66 190 197 176

47% 43% 50% 56% 56% 61% 46% 41% 26% 48% 52% 41%

180 101 79 28 25 31 41 26 31 73 48 59

15% 17% 13% 19% 12% 15% 18% 14% 12% 19% 13% 14%

146 73 73 5 15 16 22 25 62 30 48 67

12% 12% 12% 4% 8% 8% 10% 14% 25% 8% 13% 15%

115 71 44 8 8 11 23 23 43 27 34 54

10% 12% 7% 5% 4% 5% 10% 13% 17% 7% 9% 13%

57 32 24 4 13 10 7 9 14 19 14 24

5% 5% 4% 3% 6% 5% 3% 5% 6% 5% 4% 6%

33 19 14 6 4 4 5 5 9 10 10 13

3% 3% 2% 4% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3%

15 9 6 1 5 1 3 3 3 15 - -

1% 2% 1% * 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 4% - -

3 2 1 - - - 2 1 - 1 1 1

* * * * * - 1% 1% - * * *

3 2 1 1 1 - - - 1 1 2 1

* * * * * - * * * * * *

3 1 2 - 1 - - 1 1 - 1 2

* * * - * - - 1% 1% * * *

1 - 1 1 - - - - - - 1 -

* - * * - - - - - - * -

1 1 1 - - 1 1 - - - - 1

* * * - - * * - - - - *

1 - 1 - - - - - 1 - 1 -

* - * - * - - - * - * *

86 27 60 11 17 8 18 14 19 29 22 36

7% 5% 10% 7% 8% 4% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 8%

Don't know

Prefer not to answer

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

Yes, Plaid Cymru

Yes (no detail)

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Other

Yes, Conservative

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Yes, Green Party

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q5.The last European elections were held on 22nd May 2014. Did you manage to vote in that election?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Yes, Labour

Page 32: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 57

Tb T20

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

1207 117 170 143 217 261 128 171 721 486 263 944 717 490

1207 106 156 134 199 281 158 173 732 475 288 919 679 528

563 46 73 71 102 128 69 74 360 203 164 399 281 282

47% 44% 47% 53% 51% 45% 44% 43% 49% 43% 57% 43% 41% 53%

180 22 27 24 28 22 33 24 111 69 36 144 99 81

15% 21% 17% 18% 14% 8% 21% 14% 15% 15% 12% 16% 15% 15%

146 7 14 10 23 46 19 28 78 68 21 125 107 39

12% 7% 9% 7% 11% 16% 12% 16% 11% 14% 7% 14% 16% 7%

115 2 14 10 19 39 13 18 57 58 17 98 68 47

10% 2% 9% 8% 9% 14% 8% 10% 8% 12% 6% 11% 10% 9%

57 4 9 6 8 14 3 13 36 21 14 42 44 13

5% 3% 6% 4% 4% 5% 2% 8% 5% 4% 5% 5% 6% 2%

33 2 5 3 5 9 6 3 21 12 5 28 21 12

3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2%

15 15 - - - - - - 9 6 5 10 6 9

1% 14% - * - - - - 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2%

3 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 2 2 - 3 - 3

* * - * * * - 1% * * * * - 1%

3 - - 1 - - - 2 3 1 1 2 - 3

* * - 1% - * * 1% * * * * - 1%

3 - - - 1 1 1 - 2 1 - 3 2 1

* - * - * 1% * - * * - * * *

1 - - - 1 - - - - 1 - 1 1 -

* - - - * - - - - * - * * -

1 - - - - - 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 1

* - - - - - * * * * - * * *

1 - - - 1 - - - - 1 - 1 1 -

* - - - * - - * - * - * * *

86 7 14 8 11 22 14 10 54 32 25 62 49 38

7% 7% 9% 6% 5% 8% 9% 6% 7% 7% 9% 7% 7% 7%

Other

Don't know

Prefer not to answer

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

Yes, Plaid Cymru

Yes (no detail)

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Yes, Labour

Yes, Conservative

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Yes, Green Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q5.The last European elections were held on 22nd May 2014. Did you manage to vote in that election?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Page 33: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 58

Tb T21

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

1207 274 304 67 169 863 186 75 63 1049 138

1207 238 292 58 176 726 224 121 111 949 233

563 87 113 15 74 184 150 109 110 333 219

47% 37% 39% 26% 42% 25% 67% 90% 99% 35% 94%

180 1 152 7 4 150 26 3 - 176 3

15% * 52% 12% 2% 21% 11% 3% - 19% 1%

146 119 2 3 9 134 10 2 - 144 2

12% 50% 1% 6% 5% 18% 4% 2% - 15% 1%

115 19 6 2 78 111 4 - - 114 -

10% 8% 2% 4% 44% 15% 2% * - 12% *

57 6 10 26 5 48 8 1 - 56 1

5% 2% 3% 45% 3% 7% 4% 1% - 6% *

33 3 3 3 3 30 2 2 - 32 2

3% 1% 1% 6% 2% 4% 1% 1% - 3% 1%

15 - - 1 - 15 1 - - 15 -

1% - * 1% * 2% * - - 2% -

3 - 2 - - 2 1 - - 3 -

* - 1% - - * * * - * *

3 - - - - 3 - - - 3 -

* - * - - * - - * * *

3 - 1 - - 3 - - - 3 -

* * * - - * - - - * -

1 - - - 1 1 - - - 1 -

* - - - * * - - - * -

1 - 1 - - 1 - - - 1 -

* - * - - * - - - * -

1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 -

* - - - - * - - - * -

86 3 2 1 2 44 24 4 1 67 5

7% 1% 1% 1% 1% 6% 11% 3% 1% 7% 2%Prefer not to answer

Yes, Plaid Cymru

Yes (no detail)

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Other

Don't know

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Yes, Green Party

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q5.The last European elections were held on 22nd May 2014. Did you manage to vote in that election?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Yes, Labour

Yes, Conservative

Page 34: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 59

Tb T22

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

1207 165 219 187 200 224 212 116 455 147 489 336 235 381 255

1207 172 212 204 177 216 225 114 474 174 444 322 266 357 261

563 81 111 59 115 116 80 52 199 112 200 119 132 162 150

47% 47% 52% 29% 65% 54% 36% 46% 42% 64% 45% 37% 50% 45% 57%

180 38 34 29 14 37 27 17 84 18 60 54 47 45 34

15% 22% 16% 14% 8% 17% 12% 15% 18% 11% 14% 17% 18% 13% 13%

146 12 19 42 9 19 45 6 67 14 58 52 21 54 18

12% 7% 9% 21% 5% 9% 20% 5% 14% 8% 13% 16% 8% 15% 7%

115 10 23 38 6 10 28 12 59 5 39 40 31 28 16

10% 6% 11% 18% 3% 5% 13% 11% 12% 3% 9% 12% 12% 8% 6%

57 8 6 18 9 10 5 8 25 7 18 26 7 18 6

5% 5% 3% 9% 5% 5% 2% 7% 5% 4% 4% 8% 2% 5% 2%

33 6 4 9 4 5 6 4 15 2 13 13 6 9 6

3% 3% 2% 4% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2%

15 4 4 1 1 - 4 5 5 - 6 2 7 4 2

1% 2% 2% 1% 1% * 2% 4% 1% * 1% 1% 3% 1% 1%

3 - 2 1 1 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2 - 1

* - 1% * * - * - * * * - 1% - *

3 1 - 1 1 - - - 2 1 - - 2 - 1

* * - 1% 1% * - * * 1% * - 1% - *

3 1 - - - - 2 - 1 - 2 1 - 2 1

* * - - - - 1% - * - 1% * - 1% *

1 - - - 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 -

* - - - * - - - - - * - - * -

1 - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - 1 1 - - 1

* - * - - * - - * - * * - - *

1 - - - - - 1 - - - 1 - - 1 -

* - - - * - * - - - * - - * *

86 12 8 7 16 17 27 10 17 15 45 15 12 33 26

7% 7% 4% 3% 9% 8% 12% 9% 4% 8% 10% 5% 4% 9% 10%

Don't know

Prefer not to answer

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

Yes, Plaid Cymru

Yes (no detail)

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Other

Yes, Conservative

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Yes, Green Party

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q5.The last European elections were held on 22nd May 2014. Did you manage to vote in that election?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Yes, Labour

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Pg 60

Tb T22

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

1207 367 204 354 282

1207 387 201 344 274

563 175 75 185 127

47% 45% 38% 54% 46%

180 68 33 42 36

15% 18% 16% 12% 13%

146 43 30 35 37

12% 11% 15% 10% 14%

115 39 32 17 27

10% 10% 16% 5% 10%

57 18 14 18 6

5% 5% 7% 5% 2%

33 13 6 8 7

3% 3% 3% 2% 2%

15 6 3 2 4

1% 2% 1% 1% 1%

3 1 1 1 1

* * 1% * *

3 2 - 1 -

* * * * *

3 1 - 1 1

* * - * 1%

1 - - - 1

* - - - *

1 1 - - 1

* * - - *

1 - - - 1

* - - - *

86 20 7 34 25

7% 5% 3% 10% 9%

Yes (no detail)

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Other

Don't know

Prefer not to answer

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Yes, Green Party

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

Yes, Plaid Cymru

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q5.The last European elections were held on 22nd May 2014. Did you manage to vote in that election?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Yes, Labour

Yes, Conservative

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Page 36: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 61

Tb T23

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

1207 571 636 141 224 215 228 187 212 430 400 377

1207 588 619 146 203 206 222 180 250 396 377 434

1117 539 578 110 174 199 214 178 242 366 347 404

93% 92% 93% 75% 86% 96% 96% 99% 97% 92% 92% 93%

41 24 17 17 15 4 1 2 3 11 23 7

3% 4% 3% 11% 7% 2% * 1% 1% 3% 6% 2%

25 15 10 7 8 1 4 - 4 8 3 14

2% 3% 2% 5% 4% * 2% - 2% 2% 1% 3%

24 10 14 12 5 3 3 - 1 11 4 10

2% 2% 2% 8% 3% 1% 1% - * 3% 1% 2%

Q6.So far as you know, are you registered to vote in UK elections?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Yes, I am registered to vote

No, I am not registered to

vote

I would prefer not to say

I don’t know if I am

registered to vote or not

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)

Page 37: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 62

Tb T23

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

1207 117 170 143 217 261 128 171 721 486 263 944 717 490

1207 106 156 134 199 281 158 173 732 475 288 919 679 528

1117 103 144 119 180 265 141 165 671 446 265 852 646 471

93% 98% 92% 88% 91% 94% 89% 95% 92% 94% 92% 93% 95% 89%

41 1 3 7 15 7 3 4 28 13 9 32 9 32

3% 1% 2% 5% 8% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 1% 6%

25 - 3 5 2 5 8 2 18 7 5 20 14 11

2% - 2% 4% 1% 2% 5% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2%

24 1 6 3 1 4 7 2 15 10 9 15 11 13

2% 1% 4% 2% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3%

I don’t know if I am

registered to vote or not

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q6.So far as you know, are you registered to vote in UK elections?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Yes, I am registered to vote

No, I am not registered to

vote

I would prefer not to say

Page 38: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 63

Tb T24

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

1207 274 304 67 169 863 186 75 63 1049 138

1207 238 292 58 176 726 224 121 111 949 233

1117 232 271 57 172 710 200 95 99 911 194

93% 97% 93% 98% 98% 98% 90% 78% 89% 96% 83%

41 3 6 - 4 8 5 17 10 13 27

3% 1% 2% * 2% 1% 2% 14% 9% 1% 12%

25 - 2 - - 4 7 1 1 11 2

2% - 1% - - 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1%

24 4 13 1 - 3 11 9 1 14 10

2% 2% 5% 1% * * 5% 7% 1% 1% 4%

No, I am not registered to

vote

I would prefer not to say

I don’t know if I am

registered to vote or not

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q6.So far as you know, are you registered to vote in UK elections?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Yes, I am registered to vote

Page 39: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 64

Tb T25

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

1207 165 219 187 200 224 212 116 455 147 489 336 235 381 255

1207 172 212 204 177 216 225 114 474 174 444 322 266 357 261

1117 136 203 200 148 209 220 103 436 162 416 304 235 342 236

93% 79% 96% 98% 84% 97% 98% 91% 92% 93% 94% 94% 88% 96% 90%

41 17 2 5 14 3 - 3 21 6 11 7 17 2 15

3% 10% 1% 2% 8% 1% - 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 6% * 6%

25 11 4 - 5 1 4 5 10 - 10 8 6 5 5

2% 6% 2% - 3% * 2% 4% 2% - 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%

24 7 3 - 10 3 1 3 7 6 8 3 7 8 6

2% 4% 1% - 6% 1% * 3% 2% 4% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2%

Q6.So far as you know, are you registered to vote in UK elections?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Yes, I am registered to vote

No, I am not registered to

vote

I would prefer not to say

I don’t know if I am

registered to vote or not

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)

Page 40: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 65

Tb T25

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

1207 367 204 354 282

1207 387 201 344 274

1117 349 190 322 255

93% 90% 95% 94% 93%

41 18 6 10 7

3% 5% 3% 3% 2%

25 13 2 5 5

2% 3% 1% 1% 2%

24 8 3 7 7

2% 2% 1% 2% 3%

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q6.So far as you know, are you registered to vote in UK elections?

Base: All respondents in GB 18+

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Yes, I am registered to vote

No, I am not registered to

vote

I would prefer not to say

I don’t know if I am

registered to vote or not

Page 41: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 66

Tb T26

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

226 123 103 28 34 30 45 40 49 71 75 80

228 130 98 32 39 21 41 38 58 63 75 90

55 36 19 6 12 - 12 8 17 13 20 22

24% 28% 19% 18% 31% - 29% 21% 30% 21% 26% 25%

72 43 28 9 14 4 10 14 21 18 23 30

31% 33% 29% 29% 35% 19% 23% 37% 37% 29% 31% 33%

28 11 17 5 2 4 7 5 6 10 9 10

12% 9% 17% 17% 4% 17% 18% 12% 10% 15% 12% 11%

16 8 8 3 1 2 2 1 7 6 3 7

7% 6% 8% 9% 3% 11% 4% 3% 12% 9% 4% 8%

14 9 5 2 1 3 1 3 3 3 3 8

6% 7% 6% 7% 3% 14% 3% 8% 6% 5% 4% 9%

12 6 6 2 2 3 4 1 - 1 8 3

5% 4% 6% 5% 6% 16% 9% 2% - 2% 10% 3%

9 5 4 4 - - - 3 1 5 - 3

4% 4% 4% 12% 1% - 1% 8% 2% 9% 1% 4%

3 - 3 - - - 1 1 - 1 1 -

1% - 3% - - 2% 3% 2% - 2% 2% -

- - - - - - - - - - - -

* * - - 1% - - - - - 1% -

1 1 - - - - 1 - - 1 - -

* * * - - 2% 1% - - 1% * -

3 - 3 - - - 3 - 1 3 - -

1% * 3% - - - 6% - 1% 4% - 1%

15 11 4 1 6 4 1 2 1 2 7 7

7% 8% 5% 4% 16% 20% 2% 5% 2% 3% 9% 8%

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Plaid Cymru

Other

Don't know

Prefer not to say

Labour

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

BNP - British National Party

SNP - Scottish National Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q7.If there is no candidate from UKIP, Green, BNP, Other standing in your constituency, who will you then vote for?

Base: All who select UKIP, Green, BNP, Other at Q2

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Will not vote

Conservatives

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Pg 67

Tb T26

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

226 10 37 24 42 67 20 26 130 96 48 178 126 100

228 8 32 22 45 72 23 24 133 95 55 173 116 111

55 1 10 2 10 25 2 5 31 24 15 40 24 31

24% 13% 31% 9% 22% 34% 11% 18% 23% 25% 28% 23% 21% 28%

72 - 8 10 15 20 8 10 41 31 19 52 38 34

31% 6% 24% 46% 33% 28% 35% 40% 31% 32% 35% 30% 33% 30%

28 1 7 2 4 7 2 5 16 12 4 24 10 18

12% 15% 21% 8% 9% 9% 11% 22% 12% 13% 7% 14% 9% 16%

16 1 2 3 1 4 5 - 8 8 1 15 13 3

7% 8% 6% 13% 3% 5% 21% 2% 6% 9% 2% 8% 11% 2%

14 - 1 2 2 6 1 2 11 3 3 12 10 4

6% - 3% 9% 4% 8% 5% 8% 8% 4% 5% 7% 9% 4%

12 - 1 1 6 3 - 1 8 3 6 5 7 5

5% - 3% 2% 14% 4% - 4% 6% 4% 12% 3% 6% 4%

9 4 1 - - 3 - - 4 5 - 9 3 6

4% 49% 4% - 1% 4% - - 3% 5% 1% 5% 2% 6%

3 1 1 - 1 - - - 1 2 1 1 1 1

1% 6% 3% - 3% - - - * 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

* - - - - 1% - - * - 1% - - *

1 - - 1 - - - - 1 - 1 - 1 -

* - - 2% - 1% - - 1% - 1% * 1% -

3 - 1 2 - - - - - 3 2 1 3 -

1% - 2% 9% - 1% - - - 3% 4% 1% 2% *

15 - 1 - 5 3 4 1 12 3 1 14 6 9

7% 2% 3% 2% 11% 5% 17% 5% 9% 3% 2% 8% 5% 8%Prefer not to say

SNP - Scottish National Party

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Plaid Cymru

Other

Don't know

Conservatives

Labour

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

BNP - British National Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q7.If there is no candidate from UKIP, Green, BNP, Other standing in your constituency, who will you then vote for?

Base: All who select UKIP, Green, BNP, Other at Q2

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Will not vote

Page 43: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 68

Tb T27

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

226 - - - 169 180 30 14 - 210 14

228 - - - 176 165 36 25 - 201 25

55 - - - 46 31 7 16 - 38 16

24% - - - 26% 19% 20% 63% - 19% 63%

72 - - - 68 54 11 7 - 65 7

31% - - - 38% 32% 31% 28% - 32% 28%

28 - - - 18 23 6 - - 28 -

12% - - - 10% 14% 15% - - 14% -

16 - - - 5 15 1 - - 16 -

7% - - - 3% 9% 3% - - 8% -

14 - - - 12 10 2 2 - 12 2

6% - - - 7% 6% 6% 7% - 6% 7%

12 - - - 12 6 5 1 - 11 1

5% - - - 7% 4% 14% 3% - 6% 3%

9 - - - 4 8 1 - - 9 -

4% - - - 2% 5% 3% - - 4% -

3 - - - 1 2 1 - - 3 -

1% - - - * 1% 2% - - 1% -

- - - - - - - - - - -

* - - - * - 1% - - * -

1 - - - 1 1 - - - 1 -

* - - - 1% 1% - - - * -

3 - - - - 3 - - - 3 -

1% - - - * 2% - - - 2% -

15 - - - 9 13 1 - - 15 -

7% - - - 5% 8% 3% - - 7% -

Plaid Cymru

Other

Don't know

Prefer not to say

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

BNP - British National Party

SNP - Scottish National Party

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q7.If there is no candidate from UKIP, Green, BNP, Other standing in your constituency, who will you then vote for?

Base: All who select UKIP, Green, BNP, Other at Q2

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Will not vote

Conservatives

Labour

Page 44: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 69

Tb T28

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

226 26 45 52 36 30 37 27 96 21 82 73 50 53 50

228 34 39 57 37 23 38 27 102 27 71 71 59 45 53

55 12 8 17 6 4 9 10 26 5 14 16 20 8 11

24% 34% 20% 29% 16% 17% 23% 38% 25% 18% 20% 23% 34% 17% 21%

72 8 10 25 14 3 11 8 35 12 17 26 17 12 16

31% 24% 26% 43% 40% 14% 28% 28% 35% 42% 24% 36% 30% 27% 31%

28 2 5 4 5 6 7 1 10 3 14 7 4 4 13

12% 7% 13% 7% 13% 24% 17% 4% 10% 10% 20% 10% 8% 8% 25%

16 1 3 5 3 1 4 1 7 - 8 8 - 5 3

7% 2% 7% 8% 9% 5% 10% 5% 7% - 11% 11% - 12% 5%

14 3 3 3 1 1 3 2 7 1 5 7 2 3 2

6% 8% 8% 5% 2% 5% 9% 7% 7% 3% 7% 10% 3% 7% 4%

12 2 3 - 2 4 1 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 2

5% 7% 9% - 4% 16% 2% 13% 2% 10% 5% 4% 5% 9% 3%

9 1 - 3 3 - 1 - 5 - 4 - 5 3 2

4% 4% 1% 6% 8% - 3% - 5% 2% 5% - 8% 6% 3%

3 - - - - 2 1 - - 1 1 - - 1 1

1% - - - - 7% 2% - - 5% 2% - - 3% 2%

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

* 1% - - - - - 1% - - - - 1% - -

1 - 1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 - - -

* - 1% - - 2% - 2% - - 1% 1% - 1% -

3 - - - - 2 1 - - 2 1 - - 3 -

1% - 1% - - 9% 2% - * 8% 1% - 1% 6% -

15 4 5 1 3 - 2 - 11 1 4 4 7 2 3

7% 13% 13% 2% 8% - 4% 1% 10% 4% 5% 6% 11% 4% 5%

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Plaid Cymru

Other

Don't know

Prefer not to say

Labour

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

BNP - British National Party

SNP - Scottish National Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q7.If there is no candidate from UKIP, Green, BNP, Other standing in your constituency, who will you then vote for?

Base: All who select UKIP, Green, BNP, Other at Q2

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Will not vote

Conservatives

Page 45: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 70

Tb T28

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

226 76 47 54 49

228 82 48 51 47

55 21 15 10 9

24% 26% 31% 19% 19%

72 24 19 17 12

31% 30% 39% 33% 25%

28 6 5 10 7

12% 7% 11% 19% 15%

16 5 3 2 6

7% 6% 6% 5% 12%

14 8 1 3 2

6% 9% 2% 6% 5%

12 3 2 5 1

5% 4% 5% 10% 2%

9 4 1 - 4

4% 4% 3% 1% 8%

3 - - 1 2

1% - - 1% 5%

- - - - -

* * - - -

1 1 - - -

* 1% - 1% -

3 - - - 3

1% - 1% - 6%

15 10 1 3 2

7% 12% 3% 6% 3%

Other

Don't know

Prefer not to say

Green Party

BNP - British National Party

SNP - Scottish National Party

UKIP - United Kingdom

Independence Party

Plaid Cymru

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Q7.If there is no candidate from UKIP, Green, BNP, Other standing in your constituency, who will you then vote for?

Base: All who select UKIP, Green, BNP, Other at Q2

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Will not vote

Conservatives

Labour

Liberal Democrats

Page 46: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 1

Tb T1

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

1207 571 636 141 224 215 228 187 212 430 400 377

1207 588 619 146 203 206 222 180 250 396 377 434

588 588 - 74 97 103 109 88 116 201 175 213

49% 100% - 51% 48% 50% 49% 49% 46% 51% 46% 49%

619 - 619 72 105 103 113 91 134 195 202 222

51% - 100% 49% 52% 50% 51% 51% 54% 49% 54% 51%

146 74 72 146 - - - - - 50 35 61

12% 13% 12% 100% - - - - - 13% 9% 14%

203 97 105 - 203 - - - - 68 77 58

17% 17% 17% - 100% - - - - 17% 20% 13%

206 103 103 - - 206 - - - 67 68 71

17% 18% 17% - - 100% - - - 17% 18% 16%

222 109 113 - - - 222 - - 80 60 83

18% 19% 18% - - - 100% - - 20% 16% 19%

180 88 91 - - - - 180 - 63 58 59

15% 15% 15% - - - - 100% - 16% 15% 14%

250 116 134 - - - - - 250 68 79 103

21% 20% 22% - - - - - 100% 17% 21% 24%

396 201 195 50 68 67 80 63 68 396 - -

33% 34% 32% 35% 34% 32% 36% 35% 27% 100% - -

377 175 202 35 77 68 60 58 79 - 377 -

31% 30% 33% 24% 38% 33% 27% 32% 32% - 100% -

434 213 222 61 58 71 83 59 103 - - 434

36% 36% 36% 42% 29% 34% 37% 33% 41% - - 100%

Table continues

North

REG

IO

N

Midlands

South

Female

18-24

AG

E

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Male

GEN

DER

Page 47: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 2

Tb T1

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

1207 588 619 146 203 206 222 180 250 396 377 434

106 60 46 17 15 22 15 19 17 106 - -

9% 10% 7% 12% 7% 11% 7% 11% 7% 27% - -

156 74 81 21 24 22 37 26 26 156 - -

13% 13% 13% 14% 12% 11% 16% 15% 11% 39% - -

134 66 68 13 29 23 28 17 25 134 - -

11% 11% 11% 9% 14% 11% 13% 9% 10% 34% - -

199 98 101 26 37 37 29 29 41 - 199 -

17% 17% 16% 18% 18% 18% 13% 16% 16% - 53% -

281 129 153 22 44 45 59 40 71 - 115 166

23% 22% 25% 15% 22% 22% 26% 22% 28% - 30% 38%

158 85 73 30 16 28 30 22 32 - - 158

13% 14% 12% 21% 8% 13% 14% 12% 13% - - 36%

173 76 96 17 37 30 25 26 37 - 63 110

14% 13% 16% 12% 18% 14% 11% 15% 15% - 17% 25%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - -

732 387 344 86 161 170 173 107 34 227 234 272

61% 66% 56% 59% 80% 83% 78% 60% 14% 57% 62% 63%

475 201 274 60 41 36 50 73 216 169 143 163

39% 34% 44% 41% 20% 17% 22% 40% 86% 43% 38% 37%

288 114 174 24 107 100 52 5 - 103 108 76

24% 19% 28% 17% 53% 49% 23% 3% - 26% 29% 18%

919 474 444 122 96 106 170 175 250 293 268 358

76% 81% 72% 83% 47% 51% 77% 97% 100% 74% 71% 82%

679 322 357 64 110 116 126 100 163 218 210 251

56% 55% 58% 44% 54% 56% 57% 56% 65% 55% 56% 58%

528 266 261 82 93 90 96 79 87 178 167 183

44% 45% 42% 56% 46% 44% 43% 44% 35% 45% 44% 42%

Table continues

ABC1

SO

CIA

L

GR

AD

E

C2DE

Northern Ireland

Working

WO

RK

Not working

Yes

PA

REN

TS

No

North West

East & West Midlands

South East/ East of England

Greater London

Wales & West

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Weighted Base

Scotland

REG

IO

N

NE/ Yorks/ Humber

Page 48: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 3

Tb T1

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

1207 588 619 146 203 206 222 180 250 396 377 434

238 126 112 20 27 35 36 43 78 55 82 100

31% 30% 32% 23% 23% 32% 25% 36% 41% 25% 34% 34%

292 153 139 47 48 42 69 40 46 111 86 95

38% 37% 40% 55% 41% 40% 48% 33% 24% 50% 35% 32%

58 34 24 4 15 13 4 4 18 17 17 24

8% 8% 7% 4% 12% 13% 3% 3% 9% 8% 7% 8%

176 102 74 16 27 17 33 34 49 40 59 77

23% 25% 21% 18% 23% 15% 23% 28% 26% 18% 24% 26%

726 377 349 70 94 97 135 125 204 236 224 266

61% 65% 58% 49% 49% 47% 61% 71% 83% 60% 60% 63%

224 110 114 39 47 51 44 16 27 73 67 84

19% 19% 19% 27% 24% 25% 20% 9% 11% 19% 18% 20%

121 48 73 18 33 23 23 14 11 37 47 38

10% 8% 12% 12% 17% 11% 10% 8% 5% 9% 13% 9%

111 48 63 16 20 33 19 20 3 46 35 31

9% 8% 11% 11% 10% 16% 9% 12% 1% 12% 9% 7%

949 486 463 109 141 148 179 141 231 308 291 350

80% 84% 77% 77% 73% 72% 81% 81% 94% 79% 78% 84%

233 96 137 33 53 56 42 34 14 82 81 69

20% 16% 23% 23% 27% 28% 19% 19% 6% 21% 22% 16%

172 172 - 74 97 - - - - 56 46 69

14% 29% - 51% 48% - - - - 14% 12% 16%

212 212 - - - 103 109 - - 82 63 67

18% 36% - - - 50% 49% - - 21% 17% 15%

204 204 - - - - - 88 116 62 65 77

17% 35% - - - - - 49% 46% 16% 17% 18%

177 - 177 72 105 - - - - 62 65 50

15% - 29% 49% 52% - - - - 16% 17% 11%

216 - 216 - - 103 113 - - 65 65 87

18% - 35% - - 50% 51% - - 16% 17% 20%

225 - 225 - - - - 91 134 69 72 85

19% - 36% - - - - 51% 54% 17% 19% 20%

Table continues

Men 18-34

Ag

e a

nd

gen

der Men 35-54

Men 55+

Women 18-34

Women 35-54

Women 55+

Liberal Democrats

UKIP

Definitely vote

Q1

VO

TIN

G

Probably vote

Probably not vote

Defintely not vote

Probably/Definitely will

Probably/definitely won't

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Weighted Base

Conservative

Q2

.Voti

ng

In

ten

tion

Labour

Page 49: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 4

Tb T1

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

1207 588 619 146 203 206 222 180 250 396 377 434

114 114 - 10 39 42 21 2 - 42 43 30

9% 19% - 7% 19% 21% 9% 1% - 11% 11% 7%

474 474 - 64 58 61 89 87 116 159 132 183

39% 81% - 44% 29% 29% 40% 48% 46% 40% 35% 42%

174 - 174 14 67 58 31 3 - 62 66 47

14% - 28% 10% 33% 28% 14% 2% - 16% 17% 11%

444 - 444 57 38 45 82 88 134 134 136 175

37% - 72% 39% 19% 22% 37% 49% 54% 34% 36% 40%

322 322 - 28 51 58 59 48 78 108 101 113

27% 55% - 19% 25% 28% 27% 27% 31% 27% 27% 26%

266 266 - 46 47 45 50 40 38 92 74 100

22% 45% - 32% 23% 22% 23% 22% 15% 23% 20% 23%

357 - 357 36 59 58 67 52 85 110 108 139

30% - 58% 25% 29% 28% 30% 29% 34% 28% 29% 32%

261 - 261 35 46 45 46 39 49 85 93 83

22% - 42% 24% 23% 22% 21% 22% 20% 22% 25% 19%

387 387 - 47 82 96 92 51 19 122 125 140

32% 66% - 32% 40% 47% 41% 29% 8% 31% 33% 32%

201 201 - 27 15 7 17 37 97 79 50 73

17% 34% - 19% 8% 3% 8% 21% 39% 20% 13% 17%

344 - 344 39 79 74 81 56 16 105 108 132

29% - 56% 27% 39% 36% 36% 31% 6% 26% 29% 30%

274 - 274 33 26 29 32 36 118 91 93 90

23% - 44% 23% 13% 14% 15% 20% 47% 23% 25% 21%

Table continues

Men - working

Work a

nd

gen

der

Men - not working

Women - working

Women - not working

Women - parent

Women - not parent

Men ABC1

Socia

l g

rad

e a

nd

gen

der Men C2DE

Women ABC1

Women C2DE

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Weighted Base

Men - parent

  P

aren

ts a

nd

gen

der Men - not parent

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Pg 5

Tb T1

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ North Midlands South

1207 588 619 146 203 206 222 180 250 396 377 434

459 200 259 84 115 97 81 53 29 160 146 152

38% 34% 42% 57% 57% 47% 36% 30% 11% 40% 39% 35%

208 114 93 21 26 33 49 32 47 81 63 64

17% 19% 15% 14% 13% 16% 22% 18% 19% 21% 17% 15%

245 130 115 11 17 31 43 45 98 57 81 107

20% 22% 19% 8% 9% 15% 19% 25% 39% 14% 22% 25%

158 84 74 17 22 27 21 24 47 52 48 58

13% 14% 12% 11% 11% 13% 9% 13% 19% 13% 13% 13%

11 6 5 2 1 1 2 2 3 11 - -

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% * -

4 3 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 - 3 1

* 1% * 1% * - * * * - 1% *

9 3 5 - 2 - 2 3 2 3 2 3

1% 1% 1% - 1% - 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%

26 16 10 - 2 3 6 6 9 5 7 14

2% 3% 2% - 1% 1% 3% 3% 4% 1% 2% 3%

5 3 2 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 2 2

* * * 1% * * * 1% * * * *

- - - - - - - - - - - -

* - * - - * - - - - * -

1 1 1 - 1 - - 1 - - 1 1

* * * - * - - * - - * *

2 - 2 2 - - - - - 1 1 -

* - * 1% - - - - - * * -

1 1 - - - - 1 - - - - 1

* * - - - * * - - - * *

- - - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - -

77 27 50 8 16 11 16 12 14 23 21 32

6% 5% 8% 6% 8% 5% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 7%

Other

None

Prefer not to answer

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

Independent

Yes (no detail)

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Yes, Conservative

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

Yes, Plaid Cymru

Yes, Green Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

GENDER AGE REGION

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Q4

.Th

e last

Gen

eral Ele

cti

on

was h

eld

on

6th

May 2

01

0.

Did

you

man

ag

e t

o v

ote

in

that

Gen

eral Ele

cti

on

?

Yes, Labour

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Pg 6

Tb T1

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

1207 117 170 143 217 261 128 171 721 486 263 944 717 490

1207 106 156 134 199 281 158 173 732 475 288 919 679 528

588 60 74 66 98 129 85 76 387 201 114 474 322 266

49% 57% 48% 49% 49% 46% 54% 44% 53% 42% 40% 52% 47% 50%

619 46 81 68 101 153 73 96 344 274 174 444 357 261

51% 43% 52% 51% 51% 54% 46% 56% 47% 58% 60% 48% 53% 50%

146 17 21 13 26 22 30 17 86 60 24 122 64 82

12% 16% 13% 10% 13% 8% 19% 10% 12% 13% 8% 13% 9% 15%

203 15 24 29 37 44 16 37 161 41 107 96 110 93

17% 14% 16% 22% 19% 16% 10% 21% 22% 9% 37% 10% 16% 18%

206 22 22 23 37 45 28 30 170 36 100 106 116 90

17% 21% 14% 17% 18% 16% 17% 17% 23% 8% 35% 12% 17% 17%

222 15 37 28 29 59 30 25 173 50 52 170 126 96

18% 14% 23% 21% 14% 21% 19% 15% 24% 10% 18% 19% 19% 18%

180 19 26 17 29 40 22 26 107 73 5 175 100 79

15% 18% 17% 12% 15% 14% 14% 15% 15% 15% 2% 19% 15% 15%

250 17 26 25 41 71 32 37 34 216 - 250 163 87

21% 16% 17% 18% 20% 25% 20% 22% 5% 45% - 27% 24% 16%

396 106 156 134 - - - - 227 169 103 293 218 178

33% 100% 100% 100% - - - - 31% 36% 36% 32% 32% 34%

377 - - - 199 115 - 63 234 143 108 268 210 167

31% - - - 100% 41% - 36% 32% 30% 38% 29% 31% 32%

434 - - - - 166 158 110 272 163 76 358 251 183

36% - - - - 59% 100% 64% 37% 34% 26% 39% 37% 35%

Table continues

North

REG

IO

N

Midlands

South

GEN

DER

Female

18-24

AG

E

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Male

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Pg 7

Tb T1

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

1207 106 156 134 199 281 158 173 732 475 288 919 679 528

106 106 - - - - - - 62 44 21 85 55 51

9% 100% - - - - - - 8% 9% 7% 9% 8% 10%

156 - 156 - - - - - 92 64 46 110 93 62

13% - 100% - - - - - 13% 13% 16% 12% 14% 12%

134 - - 134 - - - - 72 62 37 98 70 64

11% - - 100% - - - - 10% 13% 13% 11% 10% 12%

199 - - - 199 - - - 123 76 59 140 109 90

17% - - - 100% - - - 17% 16% 21% 15% 16% 17%

281 - - - - 281 - - 170 111 62 219 168 113

23% - - - - 100% - - 23% 23% 21% 24% 25% 21%

158 - - - - - 158 - 102 56 23 135 93 65

13% - - - - - 100% - 14% 12% 8% 15% 14% 12%

173 - - - - - - 173 110 62 40 132 91 81

14% - - - - - - 100% 15% 13% 14% 14% 13% 15%

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

732 62 92 72 123 170 102 110 732 - 229 503 452 280

61% 59% 59% 54% 62% 61% 65% 64% 100% - 80% 55% 67% 53%

475 44 64 62 76 111 56 62 - 475 59 416 227 248

39% 41% 41% 46% 38% 39% 35% 36% - 100% 20% 45% 33% 47%

288 21 46 37 59 62 23 40 229 59 288 - 160 128

24% 20% 29% 27% 30% 22% 15% 23% 31% 12% 100% - 24% 24%

919 85 110 98 140 219 135 132 503 416 - 919 519 399

76% 80% 71% 73% 70% 78% 85% 77% 69% 88% - 100% 76% 76%

679 55 93 70 109 168 93 91 452 227 160 519 679 -

56% 52% 60% 52% 55% 60% 59% 53% 62% 48% 56% 57% 100% -

528 51 62 64 90 113 65 81 280 248 128 399 - 528

44% 48% 40% 48% 45% 40% 41% 47% 38% 52% 44% 43% - 100%

Table continues

Yes

PA

REN

TS

No

ABC1

SO

CIA

L

GR

AD

E

C2DE

Wales & West

Northern Ireland

Working

WO

RK

Not working

NE/ Yorks/ Humber

North West

East & West Midlands

South East/ East of England

Greater London

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Weighted Base

Scotland

REG

IO

N

Page 53: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 8

Tb T1

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

1207 106 156 134 199 281 158 173 732 475 288 919 679 528

238 14 25 16 45 70 26 41 138 100 41 197 173 65

31% 35% 23% 22% 33% 36% 26% 37% 31% 31% 27% 32% 38% 21%

292 18 51 42 47 47 50 38 170 122 56 236 151 141

38% 45% 47% 56% 34% 24% 51% 34% 38% 39% 37% 39% 33% 45%

58 5 7 5 10 16 6 10 38 20 15 43 44 14

8% 13% 7% 6% 7% 8% 6% 9% 8% 6% 10% 7% 10% 5%

176 3 24 12 35 62 18 22 102 74 39 136 85 91

23% 8% 23% 16% 26% 32% 18% 20% 23% 23% 26% 22% 19% 29%

726 68 98 70 120 176 86 108 417 309 131 595 449 277

61% 64% 63% 54% 60% 64% 58% 65% 58% 67% 46% 66% 67% 54%

224 17 27 29 36 58 28 29 147 76 80 143 116 108

19% 16% 18% 22% 18% 21% 19% 18% 20% 17% 28% 16% 17% 21%

121 2 18 17 23 30 17 14 87 34 46 75 52 70

10% 2% 11% 13% 12% 11% 11% 8% 12% 7% 16% 8% 8% 14%

111 19 12 15 19 13 18 16 70 41 27 84 54 58

9% 18% 8% 11% 10% 5% 12% 10% 10% 9% 10% 9% 8% 11%

949 84 125 99 156 233 114 137 564 385 211 738 565 385

80% 80% 81% 76% 79% 84% 77% 82% 78% 84% 74% 82% 84% 75%

233 21 30 31 43 43 35 30 157 75 73 159 105 127

20% 20% 19% 24% 21% 16% 23% 18% 22% 16% 26% 18% 16% 25%

172 18 24 15 34 29 32 20 129 43 49 123 79 93

14% 17% 15% 11% 17% 10% 20% 12% 18% 9% 17% 13% 12% 18%

212 22 30 31 32 48 27 24 188 24 63 149 117 95

18% 21% 19% 23% 16% 17% 17% 14% 26% 5% 22% 16% 17% 18%

204 20 21 21 32 52 27 32 70 134 2 203 126 78

17% 19% 14% 15% 16% 18% 17% 19% 10% 28% 1% 22% 19% 15%

177 14 21 27 29 37 14 34 118 59 82 95 96 81

15% 13% 14% 20% 15% 13% 9% 20% 16% 12% 28% 10% 14% 15%

216 16 29 21 33 56 31 31 155 61 89 127 125 92

18% 15% 18% 15% 17% 20% 20% 18% 21% 13% 31% 14% 18% 17%

225 16 32 21 39 59 27 31 71 154 3 222 137 88

19% 16% 20% 15% 19% 21% 17% 18% 10% 32% 1% 24% 20% 17%

Table continues

Men 18-34

Ag

e a

nd

gen

der Men 35-54

Men 55+

Women 18-34

Women 35-54

Women 55+

Labour

Liberal Democrats

UKIP

Definitely vote

Q1

VO

TIN

G

Probably vote

Probably not vote

Defintely not vote

Probably/Definitely will

Probably/definitely won't

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Weighted Base

Conservative

Q2

.Voti

ng

In

ten

tion

Page 54: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 9

Tb T1

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

1207 106 156 134 199 281 158 173 732 475 288 919 679 528

114 12 18 11 28 25 10 9 107 7 114 - 62 52

9% 12% 12% 8% 14% 9% 6% 5% 15% 1% 40% - 9% 10%

474 47 56 56 70 103 75 68 280 194 - 474 260 214

39% 45% 36% 41% 35% 37% 47% 39% 38% 41% - 52% 38% 41%

174 8 27 26 31 37 13 32 122 52 174 - 98 76

14% 8% 18% 19% 16% 13% 8% 18% 17% 11% 60% - 14% 14%

444 37 54 42 70 116 60 65 223 222 - 444 259 185

37% 35% 35% 31% 35% 41% 38% 37% 30% 47% - 48% 38% 35%

322 25 49 35 57 75 46 36 226 97 62 260 322 -

27% 23% 31% 26% 29% 27% 29% 21% 31% 20% 21% 28% 47% -

266 35 25 32 41 53 39 40 162 104 52 214 - 266

22% 33% 16% 24% 20% 19% 25% 23% 22% 22% 18% 23% - 50%

357 30 44 35 52 93 47 56 227 131 98 259 357 -

30% 29% 28% 26% 26% 33% 30% 32% 31% 27% 34% 28% 53% -

261 16 37 33 50 60 26 41 118 143 76 185 - 261

22% 15% 24% 24% 25% 21% 17% 24% 16% 30% 26% 20% - 50%

387 34 51 37 68 87 57 53 387 - 107 280 226 162

32% 32% 33% 28% 34% 31% 36% 31% 53% - 37% 30% 33% 31%

201 26 23 29 30 41 28 23 - 201 7 194 97 104

17% 25% 15% 22% 15% 15% 18% 13% - 42% 2% 21% 14% 20%

344 28 41 35 55 83 45 57 344 - 122 223 227 118

29% 27% 26% 26% 28% 30% 28% 33% 47% - 42% 24% 33% 22%

274 18 40 33 47 70 28 39 - 274 52 222 131 143

23% 17% 26% 24% 23% 25% 18% 23% - 58% 18% 24% 19% 27%

Table continues

Men - working

Work a

nd

gen

der

Men - not working

Women - working

Women - not working

Men - not parent

Women - parent

Women - not parent

Men ABC1

Socia

l g

rad

e a

nd

gen

der Men C2DE

Women ABC1

Women C2DE

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Weighted Base

Men - parent

  P

aren

ts a

nd

gen

der

Page 55: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 10

Tb T1

Total Scotland

NE/

Yorks/

Humber

North

West

East &

West

Midlands

South

East/ East

of England

Greater

London

Wales &

WestWorking

Not

workingYes No ABC1 C2DE

1207 106 156 134 199 281 158 173 732 475 288 919 679 528

459 42 55 63 77 96 61 65 291 167 148 311 205 254

38% 39% 36% 47% 38% 34% 39% 38% 40% 35% 51% 34% 30% 48%

208 21 38 22 35 31 32 27 124 83 40 167 114 93

17% 20% 24% 17% 18% 11% 21% 16% 17% 18% 14% 18% 17% 18%

245 9 25 23 45 76 27 40 131 114 35 210 176 69

20% 9% 16% 17% 22% 27% 17% 23% 18% 24% 12% 23% 26% 13%

158 13 26 13 23 44 18 21 95 63 31 127 112 46

13% 12% 16% 10% 12% 16% 12% 12% 13% 13% 11% 14% 17% 9%

11 11 - - - - - - 6 5 3 8 4 6

1% 10% - - * - - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

4 - - - 1 - - 2 3 - 1 3 1 3

* - - - * * * 1% * * * * * 1%

9 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 4 4 3 5 5 4

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

26 - 3 2 5 10 2 5 15 12 5 22 17 10

2% * 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%

5 1 1 - 2 - 1 1 3 2 1 4 1 4

* * * - 1% * * * * * * * * 1%

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

* - - - * - - - * - - * - *

1 - - - 1 - 1 - 1 - - 1 1 1

* - - - * - * - * - - * * *

2 1 - - 1 - - - - 2 - 2 1 1

* 1% - - * - - - - * - * * *

1 - - - - - - 1 1 - - 1 1 -

* - - - - * - * * - - * * -

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

77 7 8 9 9 21 15 9 56 21 22 55 41 36

6% 6% 5% 7% 4% 8% 9% 5% 8% 4% 8% 6% 6% 7%

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Other

None

Prefer not to answer

Yes, Green Party

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

Independent

Yes (no detail)

Yes, Labour

Yes, Conservative

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

Yes, Plaid Cymru

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

REGION WORK PARENTS SOCIAL GRADE

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Q4

.Th

e last

Gen

eral Ele

cti

on

was h

eld

on

6th

May 2

01

0.

Did

you

man

ag

e t

o v

ote

in

that

Gen

eral Ele

cti

on

?

Page 56: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 11

Tb T2

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

1207 274 304 67 169 863 186 75 63 1049 138

1207 238 292 58 176 726 224 121 111 949 233

588 126 153 34 102 377 110 48 48 486 96

49% 53% 52% 59% 58% 52% 49% 40% 43% 51% 41%

619 112 139 24 74 349 114 73 63 463 137

51% 47% 48% 41% 42% 48% 51% 60% 57% 49% 59%

146 20 47 4 16 70 39 18 16 109 33

12% 8% 16% 7% 9% 10% 17% 14% 14% 11% 14%

203 27 48 15 27 94 47 33 20 141 53

17% 11% 16% 25% 16% 13% 21% 27% 18% 15% 23%

206 35 42 13 17 97 51 23 33 148 56

17% 15% 14% 23% 9% 13% 23% 19% 30% 16% 24%

222 36 69 4 33 135 44 23 19 179 42

18% 15% 24% 8% 19% 19% 20% 19% 17% 19% 18%

180 43 40 4 34 125 16 14 20 141 34

15% 18% 14% 7% 19% 17% 7% 12% 18% 15% 15%

250 78 46 18 49 204 27 11 3 231 14

21% 33% 16% 30% 28% 28% 12% 9% 3% 24% 6%

396 55 111 17 40 236 73 37 46 308 82

33% 23% 38% 29% 23% 32% 33% 30% 41% 32% 35%

377 82 86 17 59 224 67 47 35 291 81

31% 35% 30% 30% 34% 31% 30% 38% 31% 31% 35%

434 100 95 24 77 266 84 38 31 350 69

36% 42% 33% 41% 44% 37% 38% 31% 28% 37% 30%

Table continues

North

REG

IO

N

Midlands

South

18-24

AG

E

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Male

GEN

DER

Female

Page 57: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 12

Tb T2

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

1207 238 292 58 176 726 224 121 111 949 233

106 14 18 5 3 68 17 2 19 84 21

9% 6% 6% 9% 2% 9% 7% 2% 17% 9% 9%

156 25 51 7 24 98 27 18 12 125 30

13% 11% 17% 12% 14% 13% 12% 15% 11% 13% 13%

134 16 42 5 12 70 29 17 15 99 31

11% 7% 14% 8% 7% 10% 13% 14% 13% 10% 14%

199 45 47 10 35 120 36 23 19 156 43

17% 19% 16% 17% 20% 17% 16% 19% 17% 16% 18%

281 70 47 16 62 176 58 30 13 233 43

23% 30% 16% 27% 35% 24% 26% 25% 11% 25% 18%

158 26 50 6 18 86 28 17 18 114 35

13% 11% 17% 10% 10% 12% 12% 14% 16% 12% 15%

173 41 38 10 22 108 29 14 16 137 30

14% 17% 13% 17% 12% 15% 13% 11% 14% 14% 13%

- - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - -

732 138 170 38 102 417 147 87 70 564 157

61% 58% 58% 65% 58% 57% 66% 72% 63% 59% 68%

475 100 122 20 74 309 76 34 41 385 75

39% 42% 42% 35% 42% 43% 34% 28% 37% 41% 32%

288 41 56 15 39 131 80 46 27 211 73

24% 17% 19% 25% 22% 18% 36% 38% 24% 22% 32%

919 197 236 43 136 595 143 75 84 738 159

76% 83% 81% 75% 78% 82% 64% 62% 76% 78% 68%

679 173 151 44 85 449 116 52 54 565 105

56% 73% 52% 76% 48% 62% 52% 42% 48% 59% 45%

528 65 141 14 91 277 108 70 58 385 127

44% 27% 48% 24% 52% 38% 48% 58% 52% 41% 55%

Table continues

ABC1

SO

CIA

L

GR

AD

E

C2DE

Working

WO

RK

Not working

Yes

PA

REN

TS

No

East & West Midlands

South East/ East of England

Greater London

Wales & West

Northern Ireland

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Weighted Base

Scotland

REG

IO

N

NE/ Yorks/ Humber

North West

Page 58: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 13

Tb T2

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

1207 238 292 58 176 726 224 121 111 949 233

238 238 - - - 193 38 7 - 231 7

31% 100% - - - 34% 26% 14% - 32% 14%

292 - 292 - - 204 63 25 - 267 25

38% - 100% - - 36% 43% 47% - 38% 47%

58 - - 58 - 42 15 1 - 57 1

8% - - 100% - 7% 10% 2% - 8% 2%

176 - - - 176 125 31 19 - 156 19

23% - - - 100% 22% 21% 37% - 22% 37%

726 193 204 42 125 726 - - - 726 -

61% 81% 70% 72% 71% 100% - - - 76% -

224 38 63 15 31 - 224 - - 224 -

19% 16% 22% 26% 18% - 100% - - 24% -

121 7 25 1 19 - - 121 - - 121

10% 3% 8% 1% 11% - - 100% - - 52%

111 - - - - - - - 111 - 111

9% - - - - - - - 100% - 48%

949 231 267 57 156 726 224 - - 949 -

80% 97% 92% 99% 89% 100% 100% - - 100% -

233 7 25 1 19 - - 121 111 - 233

20% 3% 8% 1% 11% - - 100% 100% - 100%

172 31 59 8 20 91 44 20 12 135 32

14% 13% 20% 13% 11% 13% 20% 17% 11% 14% 14%

212 38 49 12 32 123 43 19 27 165 46

18% 16% 17% 20% 18% 17% 19% 15% 24% 17% 20%

204 57 44 15 51 163 23 9 9 186 18

17% 24% 15% 25% 29% 22% 10% 8% 8% 20% 8%

177 16 36 11 23 74 42 30 23 115 54

15% 7% 12% 19% 13% 10% 19% 25% 21% 12% 23%

216 32 62 6 18 109 53 27 25 161 52

18% 13% 21% 10% 10% 15% 24% 22% 23% 17% 22%

225 64 42 7 32 167 20 16 15 186 31

19% 27% 14% 12% 18% 23% 9% 13% 13% 20% 13%

Table continues

Men 18-34

Ag

e a

nd

gen

der Men 35-54

Men 55+

Women 18-34

Women 35-54

Women 55+

UKIP

Definitely vote

Q1

VO

TIN

G

Probably vote

Probably not vote

Defintely not vote

Probably/Definitely will

Probably/definitely won't

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Weighted Base

Conservative

Q2

.Voti

ng

In

ten

tion

Labour

Liberal Democrats

Page 59: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 14

Tb T2

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

1207 238 292 58 176 726 224 121 111 949 233

114 19 24 7 19 57 38 13 6 95 18

9% 8% 8% 12% 11% 8% 17% 10% 5% 10% 8%

474 107 129 27 83 319 72 35 42 391 78

39% 45% 44% 47% 47% 44% 32% 29% 38% 41% 33%

174 22 32 8 20 73 43 34 21 116 55

14% 9% 11% 13% 12% 10% 19% 28% 19% 12% 24%

444 90 107 16 53 276 72 40 42 347 82

37% 38% 37% 28% 30% 38% 32% 33% 38% 37% 35%

322 90 79 24 53 229 50 25 16 279 41

27% 38% 27% 42% 30% 32% 22% 21% 14% 29% 18%

266 36 74 10 49 147 60 23 32 207 54

22% 15% 25% 17% 28% 20% 27% 19% 29% 22% 23%

357 83 72 20 32 220 66 26 38 286 64

30% 35% 25% 34% 18% 30% 30% 21% 34% 30% 27%

261 29 67 4 42 130 48 47 26 177 73

22% 12% 23% 7% 24% 18% 21% 39% 23% 19% 31%

387 85 96 18 60 239 74 40 30 313 70

32% 36% 33% 32% 34% 33% 33% 33% 27% 33% 30%

201 41 57 16 42 138 36 8 18 173 26

17% 17% 20% 27% 24% 19% 16% 7% 16% 18% 11%

344 54 74 19 42 178 73 47 40 251 88

29% 23% 25% 33% 24% 25% 33% 39% 36% 26% 38%

274 58 65 4 32 171 41 26 23 212 49

23% 24% 22% 8% 18% 24% 18% 21% 21% 22% 21%

Table continues

Men - working

Work a

nd

gen

der

Men - not working

Women - working

Women - not working

Women - not parent

Men ABC1

Socia

l g

rad

e a

nd

gen

der Men C2DE

Women ABC1

Women C2DE

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Weighted Base

Men - parent

  P

aren

ts a

nd

gen

der Men - not parent

Women - parent

Page 60: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 15

Tb T2

TotalConservati

veLabour

Liberal

Democrat

s

UKIPDefinitely

vote

Probably

vote

Probably

not vote

Defintely

not vote

Probably/

Definitely

will

Probably/

definitely

won't

1207 238 292 58 176 726 224 121 111 949 233

459 51 84 9 65 113 128 100 108 241 208

38% 21% 29% 15% 37% 16% 57% 82% 97% 25% 89%

208 6 156 8 9 172 29 6 - 201 6

17% 3% 54% 13% 5% 24% 13% 5% - 21% 2%

245 153 13 4 45 220 21 3 1 241 4

20% 64% 5% 8% 26% 30% 9% 3% 1% 25% 2%

158 21 32 36 29 130 21 6 1 151 7

13% 9% 11% 61% 17% 18% 10% 5% 1% 16% 3%

11 - - 1 - 10 1 - - 11 -

1% - * 1% * 1% 1% - - 1% -

4 - - - - 3 - - - 3 -

* - * * - * * - * * *

9 2 1 - 1 8 1 - - 8 -

1% 1% * * 1% 1% * * - 1% *

26 2 1 - 21 25 1 - - 26 -

2% 1% * 1% 12% 3% * * - 3% *

5 - 1 - 1 4 - - - 4 -

* - * - 1% 1% - * - * *

- - - - - - - - - - -

* - - - * * - - - * -

1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 -

* - - - - * - - - * -

2 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - 1 1

* * - - * * - 1% - * *

1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 -

* - - - - * - - - * -

- - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - -

77 1 2 - 3 35 21 5 1 56 6

6% * 1% - 1% 5% 10% 4% 1% 6% 2%

None

Prefer not to answer

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

Independent

Yes (no detail)

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Other

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

Yes, Plaid Cymru

Yes, Green Party

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q2 VOTING INTENTION Q1 VOTING

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Q4

.Th

e last

Gen

eral Ele

cti

on

was h

eld

on

6th

May 2

01

0.

Did

you

man

ag

e t

o v

ote

in

that

Gen

eral Ele

cti

on

?

Yes, Labour

Yes, Conservative

Page 61: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 16

Tb T3

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

1207 165 219 187 200 224 212 116 455 147 489 336 235 381 255

1207 172 212 204 177 216 225 114 474 174 444 322 266 357 261

588 172 212 204 - - - 114 474 - - 322 266 - -

49% 100% 100% 100% - - - 100% 100% - - 100% 100% - -

619 - - - 177 216 225 - - 174 444 - - 357 261

51% - - - 100% 100% 100% - - 100% 100% - - 100% 100%

146 74 - - 72 - - 10 64 14 57 28 46 36 35

12% 43% - - 41% - - 9% 14% 8% 13% 9% 17% 10% 14%

203 97 - - 105 - - 39 58 67 38 51 47 59 46

17% 57% - - 59% - - 34% 12% 39% 9% 16% 18% 17% 18%

206 - 103 - - 103 - 42 61 58 45 58 45 58 45

17% - 49% - - 48% - 37% 13% 33% 10% 18% 17% 16% 17%

222 - 109 - - 113 - 21 89 31 82 59 50 67 46

18% - 51% - - 52% - 18% 19% 18% 18% 18% 19% 19% 18%

180 - - 88 - - 91 2 87 3 88 48 40 52 39

15% - - 43% - - 41% 2% 18% 2% 20% 15% 15% 15% 15%

250 - - 116 - - 134 - 116 - 134 78 38 85 49

21% - - 57% - - 59% - 24% - 30% 24% 14% 24% 19%

396 56 82 62 62 65 69 42 159 62 134 108 92 110 85

33% 33% 39% 30% 35% 30% 30% 37% 34% 35% 30% 34% 35% 31% 33%

377 46 63 65 65 65 72 43 132 66 136 101 74 108 93

31% 27% 30% 32% 37% 30% 32% 37% 28% 38% 31% 31% 28% 30% 36%

434 69 67 77 50 87 85 30 183 47 175 113 100 139 83

36% 40% 32% 38% 28% 40% 38% 26% 39% 27% 39% 35% 38% 39% 32%

Table continues

North

REG

IO

N

Midlands

South

Female

18-24

AG

E

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Male

GEN

DER

Page 62: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 17

Tb T3

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

1207 172 212 204 177 216 225 114 474 174 444 322 266 357 261

106 18 22 20 14 16 16 12 47 8 37 25 35 30 16

9% 10% 10% 10% 8% 7% 7% 11% 10% 5% 8% 8% 13% 8% 6%

156 24 30 21 21 29 32 18 56 27 54 49 25 44 37

13% 14% 14% 10% 12% 13% 14% 16% 12% 16% 12% 15% 10% 12% 14%

134 15 31 21 27 21 21 11 56 26 42 35 32 35 33

11% 9% 14% 10% 15% 9% 9% 9% 12% 15% 9% 11% 12% 10% 12%

199 34 32 32 29 33 39 28 70 31 70 57 41 52 50

17% 20% 15% 15% 17% 15% 17% 25% 15% 18% 16% 18% 15% 15% 19%

281 29 48 52 37 56 59 25 103 37 116 75 53 93 60

23% 17% 23% 25% 21% 26% 26% 22% 22% 21% 26% 23% 20% 26% 23%

158 32 27 27 14 31 27 10 75 13 60 46 39 47 26

13% 19% 13% 13% 8% 14% 12% 9% 16% 7% 14% 14% 15% 13% 10%

173 20 24 32 34 31 31 9 68 32 65 36 40 56 41

14% 12% 11% 16% 19% 14% 14% 8% 14% 18% 15% 11% 15% 16% 16%

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

732 129 188 70 118 155 71 107 280 122 223 226 162 227 118

61% 75% 89% 34% 67% 72% 32% 94% 59% 70% 50% 70% 61% 63% 45%

475 43 24 134 59 61 154 7 194 52 222 97 104 131 143

39% 25% 11% 66% 33% 28% 68% 6% 41% 30% 50% 30% 39% 37% 55%

288 49 63 2 82 89 3 114 - 174 - 62 52 98 76

24% 29% 30% 1% 46% 41% 1% 100% - 100% - 19% 20% 27% 29%

919 123 149 203 95 127 222 - 474 - 444 260 214 259 185

76% 71% 70% 99% 54% 59% 99% - 100% - 100% 81% 80% 73% 71%

679 79 117 126 96 125 137 62 260 98 259 322 - 357 -

56% 46% 55% 62% 54% 58% 61% 54% 55% 56% 58% 100% - 100% -

528 93 95 78 81 92 88 52 214 76 185 - 266 - 261

44% 54% 45% 38% 46% 42% 39% 46% 45% 44% 42% - 100% - 100%

Table continues

ABC1

SO

CIA

L

GR

AD

E

C2DE

Northern Ireland

Working

WO

RK

Not working

Yes

PA

REN

TS

No

North West

East & West Midlands

South East/ East of England

Greater London

Wales & West

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Weighted Base

Scotland

REG

IO

N

NE/ Yorks/ Humber

Page 63: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 18

Tb T3

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

1207 172 212 204 177 216 225 114 474 174 444 322 266 357 261

238 31 38 57 16 32 64 19 107 22 90 90 36 83 29

31% 26% 29% 34% 18% 27% 44% 27% 31% 27% 34% 37% 21% 40% 20%

292 59 49 44 36 62 42 24 129 32 107 79 74 72 67

38% 50% 38% 27% 42% 52% 29% 35% 37% 39% 40% 32% 44% 35% 47%

58 8 12 15 11 6 7 7 27 8 16 24 10 20 4

8% 7% 9% 9% 13% 5% 5% 10% 8% 9% 6% 10% 6% 10% 3%

176 20 32 51 23 18 32 19 83 20 53 53 49 32 42

23% 17% 24% 31% 27% 15% 22% 28% 24% 25% 20% 22% 29% 15% 29%

726 91 123 163 74 109 167 57 319 73 276 229 147 220 130

61% 54% 58% 80% 43% 51% 77% 51% 68% 43% 64% 72% 56% 63% 52%

224 44 43 23 42 53 20 38 72 43 72 50 60 66 48

19% 26% 20% 11% 25% 25% 9% 33% 15% 25% 17% 16% 23% 19% 19%

121 20 19 9 30 27 16 13 35 34 40 25 23 26 47

10% 12% 9% 4% 18% 13% 7% 11% 8% 20% 9% 8% 9% 7% 19%

111 12 27 9 23 25 15 6 42 21 42 16 32 38 26

9% 7% 13% 4% 14% 12% 7% 5% 9% 12% 10% 5% 12% 11% 10%

949 135 165 186 115 161 186 95 391 116 347 279 207 286 177

80% 81% 78% 91% 68% 76% 86% 84% 83% 68% 81% 87% 79% 82% 71%

233 32 46 18 54 52 31 18 78 55 82 41 54 64 73

20% 19% 22% 9% 32% 24% 14% 16% 17% 32% 19% 13% 21% 18% 29%

172 172 - - - - - 49 123 - - 79 93 - -

14% 100% - - - - - 43% 26% - - 24% 35% - -

212 - 212 - - - - 63 149 - - 117 95 - -

18% - 100% - - - - 55% 31% - - 36% 36% - -

204 - - 204 - - - 2 203 - - 126 78 - -

17% - - 100% - - - 2% 43% - - 39% 29% - -

177 - - - 177 - - - - 82 95 - - 96 81

15% - - - 100% - - - - 47% 21% - - 27% 31%

216 - - - - 216 - - - 89 127 - - 125 92

18% - - - - 100% - - - 51% 29% - - 35% 35%

225 - - - - - 225 - - 3 222 - - 137 88

19% - - - - - 100% - - 2% 50% - - 38% 34%

Table continues

Men 18-34

Ag

e a

nd

gen

der Men 35-54

Men 55+

Women 18-34

Women 35-54

Women 55+

Liberal Democrats

UKIP

Definitely vote

Q1

VO

TIN

G

Probably vote

Probably not vote

Defintely not vote

Probably/Definitely will

Probably/definitely won't

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Weighted Base

Conservative

Q2

.Voti

ng

In

ten

tion

Labour

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Pg 19

Tb T3

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

1207 172 212 204 177 216 225 114 474 174 444 322 266 357 261

114 49 63 2 - - - 114 - - - 62 52 - -

9% 29% 30% 1% - - - 100% - - - 19% 20% - -

474 123 149 203 - - - - 474 - - 260 214 - -

39% 71% 70% 99% - - - - 100% - - 81% 80% - -

174 - - - 82 89 3 - - 174 - - - 98 76

14% - - - 46% 41% 1% - - 100% - - - 27% 29%

444 - - - 95 127 222 - - - 444 - - 259 185

37% - - - 54% 59% 99% - - - 100% - - 73% 71%

322 79 117 126 - - - 62 260 - - 322 - - -

27% 46% 55% 62% - - - 54% 55% - - 100% - - -

266 93 95 78 - - - 52 214 - - - 266 - -

22% 54% 45% 38% - - - 46% 45% - - - 100% - -

357 - - - 96 125 137 - - 98 259 - - 357 -

30% - - - 54% 58% 61% - - 56% 58% - - 100% -

261 - - - 81 92 88 - - 76 185 - - - 261

22% - - - 46% 42% 39% - - 44% 42% - - - 100%

387 129 188 70 - - - 107 280 - - 226 162 - -

32% 75% 89% 34% - - - 94% 59% - - 70% 61% - -

201 43 24 134 - - - 7 194 - - 97 104 - -

17% 25% 11% 66% - - - 6% 41% - - 30% 39% - -

344 - - - 118 155 71 - - 122 223 - - 227 118

29% - - - 67% 72% 32% - - 70% 50% - - 63% 45%

274 - - - 59 61 154 - - 52 222 - - 131 143

23% - - - 33% 28% 68% - - 30% 50% - - 37% 55%

Table continues

Men - working

Work a

nd

gen

der

Men - not working

Women - working

Women - not working

Women - parent

Women - not parent

Men ABC1

Socia

l g

rad

e a

nd

gen

der Men C2DE

Women ABC1

Women C2DE

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Weighted Base

Men - parent

  P

aren

ts a

nd

gen

der Men - not parent

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Pg 20

Tb T3

TotalMen 18-

34

Men 35-

54Men 55+

Women

18-34

Women

35-54

Women

55+

Men -

parent

Men - not

parent

Women -

parent

Women -

not parentMen ABC1 Men C2DE

Women

ABC1

Women

C2DE

1207 172 212 204 177 216 225 114 474 174 444 322 266 357 261

459 78 89 33 120 90 49 47 152 100 158 80 120 125 134

38% 45% 42% 16% 68% 41% 22% 42% 32% 58% 36% 25% 45% 35% 51%

208 37 37 41 10 45 39 21 93 19 74 59 55 55 38

17% 21% 17% 20% 6% 21% 17% 18% 20% 11% 17% 18% 21% 15% 15%

245 20 36 74 9 37 69 14 116 21 94 91 39 85 30

20% 12% 17% 36% 5% 17% 30% 13% 24% 12% 21% 28% 15% 24% 11%

158 20 27 36 19 21 34 17 67 14 60 62 22 50 23

13% 12% 13% 18% 11% 10% 15% 15% 14% 8% 14% 19% 8% 14% 9%

11 2 2 1 1 1 3 2 3 - 5 2 3 2 3

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 2% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

4 1 - 1 - - - 1 2 - 1 - 3 - -

* 1% * 1% * * - 1% * - * * 1% * *

9 - 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 4 2 2 3 2

1% * 1% 1% 1% * 1% 2% * * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

26 1 6 9 1 3 6 2 15 3 7 8 8 8 2

2% 1% 3% 5% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1%

5 1 1 1 - - 1 1 2 - 2 1 2 - 2

* 1% * * * * 1% * * * * * 1% - 1%

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

* - - - - * - - - - * - - - *

1 1 - - - - 1 - 1 - 1 1 - - 1

* * - - - - * - * - * * - - *

2 - - - 2 - - - - - 2 - - 1 1

* - - - 1% - - - - - * - - * *

1 - 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - -

* - * - - - - - * - - * - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

77 11 11 6 13 16 21 7 20 15 35 14 13 27 23

6% 6% 5% 3% 8% 7% 9% 6% 4% 9% 8% 4% 5% 8% 9%

Other

None

Prefer not to answer

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

Independent

Yes (no detail)

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Yes, Conservative

Yes, Liberal Democrat

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

Yes, Plaid Cymru

Yes, Green Party

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Age and gender   Parents and gender Social grade and gender

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Q4

.Th

e last

Gen

eral Ele

cti

on

was h

eld

on

6th

May 2

01

0.

Did

you

man

ag

e t

o v

ote

in

that

Gen

eral Ele

cti

on

?

Yes, Labour

Page 66: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 21

Tb T3

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

1207 367 204 354 282

1207 387 201 344 274

588 387 201 - -

49% 100% 100% - -

619 - - 344 274

51% - - 100% 100%

146 47 27 39 33

12% 12% 13% 11% 12%

203 82 15 79 26

17% 21% 8% 23% 9%

206 96 7 74 29

17% 25% 3% 22% 11%

222 92 17 81 32

18% 24% 9% 23% 12%

180 51 37 56 36

15% 13% 18% 16% 13%

250 19 97 16 118

21% 5% 48% 5% 43%

396 122 79 105 91

33% 31% 39% 30% 33%

377 125 50 108 93

31% 32% 25% 31% 34%

434 140 73 132 90

36% 36% 36% 38% 33%

Table continues

North

REG

IO

N

Midlands

South

AG

E

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Male

GEN

DER

Female

18-24

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Pg 22

Tb T3

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

1207 387 201 344 274

106 34 26 28 18

9% 9% 13% 8% 6%

156 51 23 41 40

13% 13% 12% 12% 15%

134 37 29 35 33

11% 10% 15% 10% 12%

199 68 30 55 47

17% 18% 15% 16% 17%

281 87 41 83 70

23% 23% 21% 24% 25%

158 57 28 45 28

13% 15% 14% 13% 10%

173 53 23 57 39

14% 14% 11% 17% 14%

- - - - -

- - - - -

732 387 - 344 -

61% 100% - 100% -

475 - 201 - 274

39% - 100% - 100%

288 107 7 122 52

24% 28% 3% 35% 19%

919 280 194 223 222

76% 72% 97% 65% 81%

679 226 97 227 131

56% 58% 48% 66% 48%

528 162 104 118 143

44% 42% 52% 34% 52%

Table continues

ABC1

SO

CIA

L

GR

AD

E

C2DE

WO

RK

Not working

Yes

PA

REN

TS

No

South East/ East of England

Greater London

Wales & West

Northern Ireland

Working

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Weighted Base

Scotland

REG

IO

N

NE/ Yorks/ Humber

North West

East & West Midlands

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Pg 23

Tb T3

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

1207 387 201 344 274

238 85 41 54 58

31% 33% 26% 28% 36%

292 96 57 74 65

38% 37% 37% 39% 41%

58 18 16 19 4

8% 7% 10% 10% 3%

176 60 42 42 32

23% 23% 27% 22% 20%

726 239 138 178 171

61% 62% 69% 52% 66%

224 74 36 73 41

19% 19% 18% 22% 16%

121 40 8 47 26

10% 10% 4% 14% 10%

111 30 18 40 23

9% 8% 9% 12% 9%

949 313 173 251 212

80% 82% 87% 74% 81%

233 70 26 88 49

20% 18% 13% 26% 19%

172 129 43 - -

14% 33% 21% - -

212 188 24 - -

18% 49% 12% - -

204 70 134 - -

17% 18% 67% - -

177 - - 118 59

15% - - 34% 21%

216 - - 155 61

18% - - 45% 22%

225 - - 71 154

19% - - 21% 56%

Table continues

Men 18-34

Ag

e a

nd

gen

der Men 35-54

Men 55+

Women 18-34

Women 35-54

Women 55+

Definitely vote

Q1

VO

TIN

G

Probably vote

Probably not vote

Defintely not vote

Probably/Definitely will

Probably/definitely won't

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Weighted Base

Conservative

Q2

.Voti

ng

In

ten

tion

Labour

Liberal Democrats

UKIP

Page 69: TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) · 2015-04-10 · TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319) Voting intention for 2015 General Election

Pg 24

Tb T3

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

1207 387 201 344 274

114 107 7 - -

9% 28% 3% - -

474 280 194 - -

39% 72% 97% - -

174 - - 122 52

14% - - 35% 19%

444 - - 223 222

37% - - 65% 81%

322 226 97 - -

27% 58% 48% - -

266 162 104 - -

22% 42% 52% - -

357 - - 227 131

30% - - 66% 48%

261 - - 118 143

22% - - 34% 52%

387 387 - - -

32% 100% - - -

201 - 201 - -

17% - 100% - -

344 - - 344 -

29% - - 100% -

274 - - - 274

23% - - - 100%

Table continues

Men - working

Work a

nd

gen

der

Men - not working

Women - working

Women - not working

Men ABC1

Socia

l g

rad

e a

nd

gen

der Men C2DE

Women ABC1

Women C2DE

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Weighted Base

Men - parent

  P

aren

ts a

nd

gen

der Men - not parent

Women - parent

Women - not parent

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Pg 25

Tb T3

TotalMen -

working

Men - not

working

Women -

working

Women -

not

working

1207 387 201 344 274

459 137 63 154 104

38% 35% 31% 45% 38%

208 76 38 48 46

17% 20% 19% 14% 17%

245 72 58 59 56

20% 19% 29% 17% 21%

158 54 30 41 33

13% 14% 15% 12% 12%

11 4 2 2 3

1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

4 3 - 1 -

* 1% * * -

9 3 - 1 4

1% 1% * * 1%

26 10 6 5 5

2% 3% 3% 1% 2%

5 2 - - 2

* 1% * * 1%

- - - - -

* - - * -

1 1 - 1 -

* * - * -

2 - - - 2

* - - - 1%

1 1 - - -

* * - - -

- - - - -

- - - - -

77 24 3 32 18

6% 6% 2% 9% 7%Prefer not to answer

Independent

Yes (no detail)

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Other

None

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

Yes, Plaid Cymru

Yes, Green Party

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Work and gender

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Q4

.Th

e last

Gen

eral Ele

cti

on

was h

eld

on

6th

May 2

01

0.

Did

you

man

ag

e t

o v

ote

in

that

Gen

eral Ele

cti

on

?

Yes, Labour

Yes, Conservative

Yes, Liberal Democrat

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Pg 26

Tb T4

BaseNo, did

not vote

Yes,

Labour

Yes,

Conservati

ve

Yes,

Liberal

Democrat

Yes, SNP -

Scottish

National

Party

Yes, Plaid

Cymru

Yes,

Green

Party

Yes, UKIP (United

Kingdom

Independence

Party)

Yes, BNP

(British

National

Party)

Independe

nt

Yes (no

detail)

Not eligible to vote

(not a British citizen

/ not living in UK

etc.)

Other NonePrefer not

to answer

1207 252 236 328 187 32 8 17 43 8 1 2 2 2 - 84

1207 459 208 245 158 11 4 9 26 5 - 1 2 1 - 77

588 200 114 130 84 6 3 3 16 3 - 1 - 1 - 27

49% 44% 55% 53% 53% 53% 86% 41% 62% 57% - 51% - 100% - 35%

619 259 93 115 74 5 1 5 10 2 - 1 2 - - 50

51% 56% 45% 47% 47% 47% 14% 59% 38% 43% 100% 49% 100% - - 65%

146 84 21 11 17 2 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 8

12% 18% 10% 5% 11% 18% 23% - - 23% - - 100% - - 11%

203 115 26 17 22 1 1 2 2 - - 1 - - - 16

17% 25% 12% 7% 14% 12% 23% 19% 8% 7% - 51% - - - 21%

206 97 33 31 27 1 - - 3 1 - - - - - 11

17% 21% 16% 13% 17% 12% - - 10% 19% 100% - - 40% - 14%

222 81 49 43 21 2 1 2 6 - - - - 1 - 16

18% 18% 24% 17% 13% 17% 20% 20% 24% 10% - - - 60% - 20%

180 53 32 45 24 2 - 3 6 1 - 1 - - - 12

15% 12% 16% 18% 15% 19% 9% 33% 22% 24% - 49% - - - 16%

250 29 47 98 47 3 1 2 9 1 - - - - - 14

21% 6% 23% 40% 30% 23% 26% 28% 36% 17% - - - - - 18%

396 160 81 57 52 11 - 3 5 1 - - 1 - - 23

33% 35% 39% 23% 33% 96% - 39% 20% 24% - - 64% - - 30%

377 146 63 81 48 - 3 2 7 2 - 1 1 - - 21

31% 32% 30% 33% 30% 4% 77% 24% 28% 38% 100% 49% 36% 40% - 28%

434 152 64 107 58 - 1 3 14 2 - 1 - 1 - 32

36% 33% 31% 44% 37% - 23% 37% 52% 38% - 51% - 60% - 42%

Table continues

North

REG

IO

N

Midlands

South

AG

E

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q4.The last General Election was held on 6th May 2010. Did you manage to vote in that General Election?

Unweighted Base

Weighted Base

Male

GEN

DER

Female

18-24

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Pg 27

Tb T4

BaseNo, did

not vote

Yes,

Labour

Yes,

Conservati

ve

Yes,

Liberal

Democrat

Yes, SNP -

Scottish

National

Party

Yes, Plaid

Cymru

Yes,

Green

Party

Yes, UKIP (United

Kingdom

Independence

Party)

Yes, BNP

(British

National

Party)

Independe

nt

Yes (no

detail)

Not eligible to vote

(not a British citizen

/ not living in UK

etc.)

Other NonePrefer not

to answer

1207 459 208 245 158 11 4 9 26 5 - 1 2 1 - 77

106 42 21 9 13 11 - 1 - 1 - - 1 - - 7

9% 9% 10% 4% 8% 96% - 9% 2% 11% - - 64% - - 8%

156 55 38 25 26 - - 1 3 1 - - - - - 8

13% 12% 18% 10% 16% - - 13% 11% 13% - - - - - 10%

134 63 22 23 13 - - 2 2 - - - - - - 9

11% 14% 11% 9% 9% - - 18% 7% - - - - - - 12%

199 77 35 45 23 - 1 1 5 2 - 1 1 - - 9

17% 17% 17% 18% 15% 4% 23% 16% 18% 38% 100% 49% 36% - - 11%

281 96 31 76 44 - - 1 10 - - - - - - 21

23% 21% 15% 31% 28% - 9% 14% 37% 10% - - - 40% - 27%

158 61 32 27 18 - - 1 2 1 - 1 - - - 15

13% 13% 16% 11% 12% - 8% 11% 7% 11% - 51% - - - 19%

173 65 27 40 21 - 2 2 5 1 - - - 1 - 9

14% 14% 13% 16% 13% - 60% 19% 17% 17% - - - 60% - 11%

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

732 291 124 131 95 6 3 4 15 3 - 1 - 1 - 56

61% 64% 60% 53% 60% 55% 91% 48% 56% 55% 100% 100% - 100% - 73%

475 167 83 114 63 5 - 4 12 2 - - 2 - - 21

39% 36% 40% 47% 40% 45% 9% 52% 44% 45% - - 100% - - 27%

288 148 40 35 31 3 1 3 5 1 - - - - - 22

24% 32% 19% 14% 19% 23% 20% 36% 17% 18% - - - - - 28%

919 311 167 210 127 8 3 5 22 4 - 1 2 1 - 55

76% 68% 81% 86% 81% 77% 80% 64% 83% 82% 100% 100% 100% 100% - 72%

679 205 114 176 112 4 1 5 17 1 - 1 1 1 - 41

56% 45% 55% 72% 71% 41% 17% 54% 63% 25% - 51% 36% 100% - 53%

528 254 93 69 46 6 3 4 10 4 - 1 1 - - 36

44% 55% 45% 28% 29% 59% 83% 46% 37% 75% 100% 49% 64% - - 47%

Table continues

ABC1

SO

CIA

L

GR

AD

E

C2DE

WO

RK

Not working

Yes

PA

REN

TS

No

South East/ East of England

Greater London

Wales & West

Northern Ireland

Working

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q4.The last General Election was held on 6th May 2010. Did you manage to vote in that General Election?

Weighted Base

Scotland

REG

IO

N

NE/ Yorks/ Humber

North West

East & West Midlands

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Pg 28

Tb T4

BaseNo, did

not vote

Yes,

Labour

Yes,

Conservati

ve

Yes,

Liberal

Democrat

Yes, SNP -

Scottish

National

Party

Yes, Plaid

Cymru

Yes,

Green

Party

Yes, UKIP (United

Kingdom

Independence

Party)

Yes, BNP

(British

National

Party)

Independe

nt

Yes (no

detail)

Not eligible to vote

(not a British citizen

/ not living in UK

etc.)

Other NonePrefer not

to answer

1207 459 208 245 158 11 4 9 26 5 - 1 2 1 - 77

238 51 6 153 21 - - 2 2 - - - 1 - - 1

31% 24% 4% 71% 18% - - 34% 9% - - - 64% - - 21%

292 84 156 13 32 - - 1 1 1 - - - - - 2

38% 40% 87% 6% 27% 31% 61% 33% 6% 33% - - - - - 30%

58 9 8 4 36 1 - - - - - - - - - -

8% 4% 4% 2% 30% 42% 39% 7% 1% - - - - - - -

176 65 9 45 29 - - 1 21 1 - - 1 - - 3

23% 31% 5% 21% 25% 27% - 26% 84% 67% 100% - 36% - - 49%

726 113 172 220 130 10 3 8 25 4 - 1 1 1 - 35

61% 25% 83% 90% 82% 89% 86% 89% 95% 93% 100% 100% 36% 100% - 56%

224 128 29 21 21 1 - 1 1 - - - - - - 21

19% 29% 14% 8% 14% 11% 6% 8% 3% - - - - - - 35%

121 100 6 3 6 - - - - - - - 1 - - 5

10% 22% 3% 1% 4% - - 3% 2% 7% - - 64% - - 8%

111 108 - 1 1 - - - - - - - - - - 1

9% 24% - 1% * - 8% - - - - - - - - 2%

949 241 201 241 151 11 3 8 26 4 - 1 1 1 - 56

80% 54% 97% 98% 96% 100% 92% 97% 98% 93% 100% 100% 36% 100% - 91%

233 208 6 4 7 - - - - - - - 1 - - 6

20% 46% 3% 2% 4% - 8% 3% 2% 7% - - 64% - - 9%

172 78 37 20 20 2 1 - 1 1 - 1 - - - 11

14% 17% 18% 8% 13% 19% 40% 5% 4% 23% - 51% - - - 14%

212 89 37 36 27 2 - 1 6 1 - - - 1 - 11

18% 19% 18% 15% 17% 22% 11% 13% 22% 21% - - - 100% - 14%

204 33 41 74 36 1 1 2 9 1 - - - - - 6

17% 7% 20% 30% 23% 12% 35% 23% 36% 13% - - - - - 7%

177 120 10 9 19 1 - 1 1 - - - 2 - - 13

15% 26% 5% 4% 12% 11% 6% 15% 4% 7% - - 100% - - 18%

216 90 45 37 21 1 - 1 3 - - - - - - 16

18% 20% 22% 15% 13% 7% 9% 7% 13% 8% 100% - - - - 21%

225 49 39 69 34 3 - 3 6 1 - 1 - - - 21

19% 11% 19% 28% 22% 30% - 38% 22% 28% - 49% - - - 27%

Table continues

Men 18-34

Ag

e a

nd

gen

der Men 35-54

Men 55+

Women 18-34

Women 35-54

Women 55+

Definitely vote

Q1

VO

TIN

G

Probably vote

Probably not vote

Defintely not vote

Probably/Definitely will

Probably/definitely won't

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q4.The last General Election was held on 6th May 2010. Did you manage to vote in that General Election?

Weighted Base

Conservative

Q2

.Voti

ng

In

ten

tion

Labour

Liberal Democrats

UKIP

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Pg 29

Tb T4

BaseNo, did

not vote

Yes,

Labour

Yes,

Conservati

ve

Yes,

Liberal

Democrat

Yes, SNP -

Scottish

National

Party

Yes, Plaid

Cymru

Yes,

Green

Party

Yes, UKIP (United

Kingdom

Independence

Party)

Yes, BNP

(British

National

Party)

Independe

nt

Yes (no

detail)

Not eligible to vote

(not a British citizen

/ not living in UK

etc.)

Other NonePrefer not

to answer

1207 459 208 245 158 11 4 9 26 5 - 1 2 1 - 77

114 47 21 14 17 2 1 2 2 1 - - - - - 7

9% 10% 10% 6% 11% 21% 20% 27% 6% 11% - - - - - 8%

474 152 93 116 67 3 2 1 15 2 - 1 - 1 - 20

39% 33% 45% 47% 42% 32% 66% 14% 56% 46% - 51% - 100% - 26%

174 100 19 21 14 - - 1 3 - - - - - - 15

14% 22% 9% 8% 9% 3% - 10% 12% 7% - - - - - 20%

444 158 74 94 60 5 1 4 7 2 - 1 2 - - 35

37% 35% 36% 38% 38% 45% 14% 50% 27% 36% 100% 49% 100% - - 46%

322 80 59 91 62 2 - 2 8 1 - 1 - 1 - 14

27% 17% 28% 37% 39% 22% 11% 21% 32% 25% - 51% - 100% - 18%

266 120 55 39 22 3 3 2 8 2 - - - - - 13

22% 26% 27% 16% 14% 31% 74% 20% 29% 33% - - - - - 17%

357 125 55 85 50 2 - 3 8 - - - 1 - - 27

30% 27% 27% 35% 32% 19% 6% 33% 31% - - - 36% - - 35%

261 134 38 30 23 3 - 2 2 2 - 1 1 - - 23

22% 29% 18% 12% 15% 29% 9% 26% 8% 43% 100% 49% 64% - - 30%

387 137 76 72 54 4 3 3 10 2 - 1 - 1 - 24

32% 30% 37% 30% 34% 33% 77% 36% 38% 48% - 51% - 100% - 31%

201 63 38 58 30 2 - - 6 - - - - - - 3

17% 14% 18% 24% 19% 20% 9% 5% 24% 10% - - - - - 4%

344 154 48 59 41 2 1 1 5 - - 1 - - - 32

29% 34% 23% 24% 26% 22% 14% 13% 18% 7% 100% 49% - - - 42%

274 104 46 56 33 3 - 4 5 2 - - 2 - - 18

23% 23% 22% 23% 21% 25% - 47% 20% 36% - - 100% - - 23%

Table continues

Men - working

Work a

nd

gen

der

Men - not working

Women - working

Women - not working

Men ABC1

Socia

l g

rad

e a

nd

gen

der Men C2DE

Women ABC1

Women C2DE

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q4.The last General Election was held on 6th May 2010. Did you manage to vote in that General Election?

Weighted Base

Men - parent

  P

aren

ts a

nd

gen

der Men - not parent

Women - parent

Women - not parent

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Pg 30

Tb T4

BaseNo, did

not vote

Yes,

Labour

Yes,

Conservati

ve

Yes,

Liberal

Democrat

Yes, SNP -

Scottish

National

Party

Yes, Plaid

Cymru

Yes,

Green

Party

Yes, UKIP (United

Kingdom

Independence

Party)

Yes, BNP

(British

National

Party)

Independe

nt

Yes (no

detail)

Not eligible to vote

(not a British citizen

/ not living in UK

etc.)

Other NonePrefer not

to answer

1207 459 208 245 158 11 4 9 26 5 - 1 2 1 - 77

459 459 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

38% 100% - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

208 - 208 - - - - - - - - - - - - -

17% - 100% - - - - - - - - - - - - -

245 - - 245 - - - - - - - - - - - -

20% - - 100% - - - - - - - - - - - -

158 - - - 158 - - - - - - - - - - -

13% - - - 100% - - - - - - - - - - -

11 - - - - 11 - - - - - - - - - -

1% - - - - 100% - - - - - - - - - -

4 - - - - - 4 - - - - - - - - -

* - - - - - 100% - - - - - - - - -

9 - - - - - - 9 - - - - - - - -

1% - - - - - - 100% - - - - - - - -

26 - - - - - - - 26 - - - - - - -

2% - - - - - - - 100% - - - - - - -

5 - - - - - - - - 5 - - - - - -

* - - - - - - - - 100% - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

* - - - - - - - - - 100% - - - - -

1 - - - - - - - - - - 1 - - - -

* - - - - - - - - - - 100% - - - -

2 - - - - - - - - - - - 2 - - -

* - - - - - - - - - - - 100% - - -

1 - - - - - - - - - - - - 1 - -

* - - - - - - - - - - - - 100% - -

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

77 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 77

6% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100%Prefer not to answer

Independent

Yes (no detail)

Not eligible to vote (not a

British citizen / not living in

UK etc.)

Other

None

Yes, SNP - Scottish National

Party

Yes, Plaid Cymru

Yes, Green Party

Yes, UKIP (United Kingdom

Independence Party)

Yes, BNP (British National

Party)

TNS Polling April 2015 OnLineBus Survey (S6426 - 260127319)Crossbreaks

Base: All 18+ respondents

FIELDWORK : 02/04/2015 - 07/04/2015 (W Week 14)

Q4.The last General Election was held on 6th May 2010. Did you manage to vote in that General Election?

Weighted Base

No, did not vote

Q4

.Th

e last

Gen

eral Ele

cti

on

was h

eld

on

6th

May 2

01

0.

Did

you

man

ag

e t

o v

ote

in

that

Gen

eral Ele

cti

on

?

Yes, Labour

Yes, Conservative

Yes, Liberal Democrat