titlp, enrollments in oregon's public and independent colleges … · n.w., salem, oregon...

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ED 035 368 AUTHOR TITLP, INSTTTUTTON DEPORT NO PUB DATE NOTE AVAILABLE FROM 7DPS PRTCE DESCRIPTORS IDENTTFTEPS ABSTRACT DOCUMENT RESUME HE 001 313 Stearns, rloyd Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges and Universities. Actual and Projected Enrollments 1959 through 1978. A Staff Report. Oregon State Educational Coordinating Council, Salem. ECC-15-69-2 Apr 69 27p. Educational Coordinating Council, 647 Union Street, N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310 EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment Rate, *Enrollment Trends, *Higher Education, *Institutions, Private Colleges, State Universities *Oregon Utili7ing certain guidelines and assumptions, this report presents actual, estimated, and projected enrollment for Oregon's 38 institutions of higher education between 1959 and 1978. The report is composed mostly of statistical tables presenting data on the 12 community colleges, 9 public 4-year institutions, and 17 private and independent institutions. Seminaries and Bible schools are not included. It is noted that total enrollments are expected to increase by 55% between 1968 and 1978, after an actual increase of 17002 between 1959 and 1968. Between 1968 and 1973, the proportion of enrollments in community colleges will increase, while the proportion in public 4-year and independent and private instructions will decline. Between 1973 and 1978, the relative proportions will remain stable. (DS)

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Page 1: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

ED 035 368

AUTHORTITLP,

INSTTTUTTONDEPORT NOPUB DATENOTEAVAILABLE FROM

7DPS PRTCEDESCRIPTORS

IDENTTFTEPS

ABSTRACT

DOCUMENT RESUME

HE 001 313

Stearns, rloydEnrollments in Oregon's Public and IndependentColleges and Universities. Actual and ProjectedEnrollments 1959 through 1978. A Staff Report.Oregon State Educational Coordinating Council, Salem.ECC-15-69-2Apr 6927p.Educational Coordinating Council, 647 Union Street,N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310

EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections,*Enrollment Rate, *Enrollment Trends, *HigherEducation, *Institutions, Private Colleges, StateUniversities*Oregon

Utili7ing certain guidelines and assumptions, thisreport presents actual, estimated, and projected enrollment forOregon's 38 institutions of higher education between 1959 and 1978.The report is composed mostly of statistical tables presenting dataon the 12 community colleges, 9 public 4-year institutions, and 17

private and independent institutions. Seminaries and Bible schoolsare not included. It is noted that total enrollments are expected toincrease by 55% between 1968 and 1978, after an actual increase of17002 between 1959 and 1968. Between 1968 and 1973, the proportion ofenrollments in community colleges will increase, while the proportionin public 4-year and independent and private instructions willdecline. Between 1973 and 1978, the relative proportions will remainstable. (DS)

Page 2: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

E ducationalC oordinatingC ouncil

A STAFF REPORT

ECG: 15-69 (2)

ENROLLMENTS IN OREGON'SPUBLIC AND INDEPENDENT

COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES

Actual and Projected Enrollments1959 through 1978

U.S. DEPARTMENT 01 HEALTH, EDUCATION & WELFARE

OFFICE OF EDUCATION

THIS DOCUMENT HASBEEN REPRODUCED EXACTLY AS RECEIVED FROM THE

PERSON OR ORGANIZATIONORIGINATING IT. POINTS OF VIEW OR OPINIONS

STATED DO NOT NECESSARILYREPRESENT OFFICIAL OFFICE OF EDUCATION

POSITION OR POLICY.

April 1969

.

4

Page 3: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

COUNCIL MEMBERS

Richard L. Rosenberg, ChairmanEarl H. AdamsEdward BranchfieldJohn HowardHarry JacobyR. E. LieuallenMrs. Collis P. MooreDale ParnellCleighton Penwell

COUNCIL STAFF

Executive Director - Ben LawrenceAssociate Director - Floyd StearnsAssistant Director for Federal

Programs - George L. MittonExecutive Assistant - Dale E. WardAdministrative Intern - Lloyd Morin

Page 4: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

ENROLLMENTS IN OREGON'S PUBLIC

AND INDEPENDENT COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES

Actual and Projected Enrollments

1959 through 1978

Prepared by

Floyd Stearns, Associate Director

State of OregonEducational Coordinating Council

647 Union Street N.E.Salem, Oregon 97310

April 1969

Lh4U ,a+ INN t

Page 5: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page

TABLE OF CONTENTS

LIST OF TABLES ii

TABLE OF FIGURES iii

INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY 1

TRENDS IN COLLEGE ENROLLMENTS IN OREGON 4

COMMUNITY COLLEGE ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS 9

STATE DEPARTMENT OF HIGHER EDUCATION ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS . 12

PRIVATE AND INDEPENDENT COLLEGE AND UNIVERSITYENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS 15

APPENDIXES

A ACTUAL AND PROJECTED FALL TERM FTE UNDERGRADUATEENROLLMENTS 18

A-1 OREGON COMMUNITY COLLEGES 19

A-2 OREGON STATE DEPARTMENT OF HIGHER EDUCATION 20

A-3 OREGON INDEPENDENT AND PRIVATE COLLEGES ANDUNIVERSITIES 21

B EDUCATIONAL COORDINATING COUNCIL'SCOMMITTEE ON RESEARCH AND MANAGEMENT DATA 22

Page 6: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

LIST OF TABLES

Table Page

1. ACTUAL AND PROJECTED AVERAGE TERM/SEMESTER FTEENROLLMENTS IN OREGON COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES 6

2. SUMMARY OF ACTUAL AND PROJECTED AVERAGE TERM FTEENROLLMENTS FOR OREGON PUBLIC COMMUNITY COLLEGES . . . 10

3. SUMMARY OF PROJECTED AVERAGE TERM FTE ENROLLMENTSFOR OREGON PUBLIC COMMUNITY COLLEGES 11

4. SUMMARY OF ACTUAL AND PROJECTED AVERAGE TERM FTEENROLLMENTS FOR OREGON STATE DEPARTMENT OFHIGHER EDUCATION INSTITUTIONS 13

5. SUMMARY OF PROJECTED AVERAGE TERM FTE ENROLLMENTSFOR OREGON STATE DEPARTMENT OF HIGHER EDUCATIONINSTITUTIONS 14

6. SUMMARY OF ACTUAL AND PROJECTED AVERAGE TERM/SEMESTERFTE ENROLLMENTS FOR OREGON PRIVATE AND INDEPENDENTCOLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES 16

7. SUMMARY OF PROJECTED AVERAGE TERM/ SEMESTER FTEENROLLMENTS FOR OREGON PRIVATE AND INDEPENDENT COLLEGESAND UNIVERSITIES 17

Page 7: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure Page

1. AVERAGE TERM/SEMESTER FTE ENROLLMENTS INOREGON COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES, ACTUAL ANDPROJECTED, 1958-59 to 1978-79 7

2. THE PERCENTAGE OF AVERAGE TERM/SEMESTER FTEENROLLMENTS IN OREGON COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES,ACTUAL AND PROJECTED, 1958-59 to 1978-79 8

ill

Page 8: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY

Introduction

This report presents enrollment projections for Oregon's public,

private, and independent institutions of higher education. All thirty-

eight two and four-year institutions have been included. The body of the

report is composed almost entirely of statistical tables presenting actual,

estimateu, and projected enrollment data. This form of presentation is

utilized to provide data that will be useful for educational planning at

both the State and institutional levels.

Since the report is designed to present summary enrollment informa-

tion, highly detailed institutional data and involved descriptions of the

methodology employed have been omitted.

Methodology

Enrollment projections generally represent a melding of: (1) informa-

tion concerning the numbers of potential students in the geographic service

area of the institution, (2) historical enrollment trends of the institution,

and (3) the most insightful assessment that the forecaster can make of

special circumstances likely to modify enrollment trends. Such projection

techniques require that the following assumptions be made:

1. Enrollments in state supported two-year institutions are assumed

to bear a linear relationship to the average daily membership in

grades nine to twelve within the area legally constituting the

district.

Page 9: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

2. In-state enrollments in state supported four-year colleges

and universities are functions of the number of high school

graduates within the State.

3. Out-of-state enrollments in state supported four-year co7,,leges

and universities are controlled by the state and will generally

retain a constant relationship to in-state enrollments.

4. Enrollments in private and independent colleges and univer-

sities are generally independent of conditions within the State

and are more directly related to policies set by the various

private and independent colleges and universities.

5. The student survival patterns in colleges and universities will

continue to follow historical trends.

ti

6. The basic admission patterns in state supported institutions

of higher education will remain relatively stable for the next

ten years.

7. The impact of wars, domestic crises, and economics will remain

relatively constant for the next ten years.

8. The physical facilities and operating budgets necessary to

support the enrollments projected in this report will be made

available.

Because of the assumptions detailed above, the Research and Manage-

ment Data Committee1of the Educational Coordinating Council has suggested

the following guidelines for the development of coordinated statewide

=11mm1See Appendix B for committee membership.

vo.tit...,

2

Page 10: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

3

enrollment projections. The State Department of Education, the State

Department of Higher Education, and the Educational Coordinating Council

have used the following guidelines in the development of the projections

which appear in this report:

1. The State Department of Higher Education should maintainpresent procedures for enrollment projections for State four-year colleges and universities. Essential basic data, princi-pal work sheets, and an explanation of procedures used should

be forwarded to the Educational Coordinating Council's stafffor review. The Council's staff will subsequently submitthese to the Research and Management Data Committee forapproval.

2. The State Department of Education should continue to developappropriate procedures for enrollment projections for communitycolleges. Essential basic data, principal work sheets, and anexplanation of procedures used should be forwarded to theEducational Coordinating Council's staff for review. The

Council's staff will subsequently submit these to the Researchand Management Data Committee for approval.

3. The Educational Coordinating Council's staff should developprocedures for collecting basic enrollment data and projecting

enrollments in cooperation with the independent colleges.Essential basic data, principal work sheets, and an explanation

of procedures used should be submitted to the Research andManagement Data Committee for approval.

4. The Educational Coordinating Council's staff should integrate

the enrollment projections from all three segments of higher

education into a single statewide projection, and prepare this

information along with enrollment projections for each segmentor for each institution, as requested by the Governor, the

Legislature, and the Council.

5. Enrollment projections as compiled by the Educational Coordi-nating Council's staff will be submitted to the Research andManagement Data Committee for review and approval, and subse-quently to the Council for approval prior to publication.

Projections of undergraduates for Oregon's public four-year colleges

and universities and the independent colleges and universities are based

on a cohort survival technique. These projections assume that the freshman

class at these institutions will continue to bear the same relationship to

Page 11: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

4

the previous June high school graduating class as has occurred during the

past year and that the retention rate for other undergraduate classes will

continue to bear the same relationship as has occurred during the past

three years. The projections produced by this basic technique are modified

at some independent institutions by the forecasters to take into consider-

ation factors that influence the projections but which are not accounted

for in the historically based projection technique.

Projection procedures for Oregon's community colleges are still in

a process of development. Present procedures represent a cooperative

effort between the State Department of Education and each community college.

Our initial statewide projection assumed that each community college will

achieve its potential enrollment in ten years and that the potential of any

given school would be one-fourth of the average daily membership in grades

nine through twelve of the area legally constituting the district. A

linear projection was made for each institution using the estimated reim-

bursable FTE for the 1967-68 school year as a base in relation to the

institution's projection potential. Because available data do not warrant

projecting small differences in enrollment beyond the potential for the

district, the projections are extended unchanged, once the potential

enrollment is reached.

TRENDS IN COLLEGE ENROLLMENTSIN OREGON

An analysis of the summary data presented in Table 1, and graphically

represented in Figures 1 and 2, reveal the following enrollment trends in

Oregon's institutions of higher education:

Page 12: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

5

1. Enrollments in Oregon's colleges and universities are expected

to increase by 41,987 annual average FTE students or 55.8 per-

cent during the next ten years (1968-69 to 1978-79). During

the preceding ten years (1958-59 to 1968-69) the number of

annual average FTE students increased by 41,281 or 169.4 percent.

2. In the next ten years, community colleges will experience a

greater numerical and percentage increase in student enrollment

than will the public four-year and the private and independent

colleges and universities. The community colleges are expected

to increase by 23,143 annual average FTE students or 128.1 per-

cent; the public four-year colleges and universities by 15,181

annual average FTE students or 33.2 percent; and the private

and independent colleges and universities by 3,663 annual aver-

age FTE students or 31.9 percent.

3. The proportion of Oregon's college enrollments provided for by

the public four-year colleges and universities, and the private

and independent colleges and universities will continue to de-

cline, while the proportion provided for in the community col-

leges will continue to increase (as shown in columns 6, 7 and 8

in Table 1 and Figures 1 and 2).

4. The proportion of Oregon's college enrollments provided for by

the three segments of higher education (community colleges,

State four-year colleges and universities, and private and in-

dependent colleges and universities) will become relatively stable

in the last five years of the coming decade (as shown in columns

6, 7, and 8 in Table 1 and in Figures 1 and 2).

Page 13: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

Table 1

ACTUAL AND PROJECTED AVERAGE TERM/SEMESTER FTE ENROLLMENTS INOREGON COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES

1958-59 to 1978-79

AcademicYear

(1)

Enroll. in Oregon Colleges & Univ. % of Total Enroll. by Segment

Public2 Year

(2)

Public4 Year

(3)

Independ-ent Col.& Univ.

(4)

Total

(5)

Public2 Year

(6)

Public4 Year

(7)

Independ-ent Col.& Univ.(8)

1958-59 230 20,375 7,309 27,914 .82 72.99 26.191959-60 202 20,925 7,552 28,679 .71 72.96 26.331960-61 219 22,856 8,298 31,373 .70 72.85 26.451961-62 1,560 27,037 8,919 37,516 4.16 72.07 23.771962-63 2,867 29,262 9,609 41,738 6.87 70.11 23.02

1963-64 3,608 30,564 10,292 44,464 8.11 68.74 23.151964-65 4,679 32,362 11,656 48,697 9.61 66.46 23.931965-66 7,825 36,775 12,201 56,801 13.78 64.74 21.481966-67 10,920 39,154 11,915 61,989 17.62 63.16 19.22

1967-68 13,999 42,112 12,025 68,136 20.54 61.81 17.65

1968-69 18,064 45,666 11,465 75,195 24.02 60.73 15.25

1969-70 22,415 47,684 11,951 82,050 27.32 58.12 14.561970-71 26,460 49,712 12,462 88,634 29.85 56.09 14.061971-72 30,797 51,615 12,984 95,396 32.28 54.11 13.611972-73 33,935 53,304 13,377 100,616 33.73 52.98 13.291973-74 36,339 54,703 13,761 104,803 34.67 52.20 13.131974-75 38,254 55,857 14,084 108,195 35.36 51.63 13.011975-76 39,973 57,027 14,355 111,355 35.90 51.21 12.891976-77 41,207 58,096 14,597 113,900 36.18 51.01 12.81

1977-78 41,207 59,281 14,853 115,341 35.73 51.40 12.871978-79 41,207 60,847 15,128 117,182 35.16 51.93 12.91

Notes:

1. The community college projections include summer session and extensionstudents enrolled in programs for which the State makes reimbursement tothe colleges.

2. Public four-year and independent college and university projections do notinclude summer session or extension programs.

3. Independent college projections are fall term headcounts converted to esti-mated FTE by the average conversion as determined for the year 1967.

4. Projections do not include theological seminaries or Bible schools.

Page 14: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

120

110

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10

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Page 15: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

100

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Page 16: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

r.

1 It

COMMUNITY COLLEGEENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS

The State Department of Education developed enrollment projections

for community colleges. These projections were submitted to and approved

by the Council's Research and Management Data Committee on January 13,

1969, and were subsequently approved by the Educational Coordinating

Council, January 16, 1969.

Page 17: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

h.

4.

10

TABLE 2

SUMMARY OF ACTUAL AND PROJECTED AVERAGE TERM FTE ENROLLMENTSFOR OREGON PUBLIC COMMUNITY COLLEGES

1958-59 to 1978-79

Year

(1)

Fall TermHeadcount

(2)

Fall TermFTE(3)

Average TermFTE(4)

1958-59 332 300 2301959-60 381 263 2021960-61 407 286 2191961-62 7,192 2,586 1,5601962-63 8,164 3,402 2,8671963-64 8,689 3,852 3,6081964-65 10,713 4,914 4,6791965-66 15,435 7,833 7,8251966-67 20,183 11,121 10,9201967-68 27,878 14,541 13,9991968-69 33,146 17,914 18,0641969-70 41,475 22,993 22,4151970-71 49,069 27,154 26,4601971-72 57,311 31,670 30,7971972-73 63,290 34,916 33,9351973-74 67,807 37,351 36,3391974-75 71,407 39,284 38,2541975-76 74,623 41,010 39,9731976-77 76,916 42,239 41,2071977-78 76,916 42,239 41,2071978-79 76,916 42,239 41,207

Notes:

1. The fall term headcount, column 2, includes all students who wereenrolled or are projected in programs for which the State reimbursesthe colleges.

2. The fall term headcount projections were calculated from FTE pro-jections in column 3, using the historical relationship betweenheadcount and FTE in each institution.

3. The fall term FTE, column 3, includes all Oregon residents enrolledor projected in programs for which the State reimburses the colleges.

4. The average term FTE incorporates all students for which the Statereimburses the colleges, including summer session and extensionstudents.

is

Page 18: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

TABLE 3

SUMMARY OF PROJECTED AVERAGE TERM FTE ENROLLMENTS

FOR OREGON PUBLIC COMMUNITY COLLEGES

1968-69 to 1978-79

COMMUNITY

COLLEGE

ACADEMIC YEAR

68-69

69-70

I

70-71

71-72

I

72-73

I

73-74

I

74-75

75-76

76-77

77-78

78-79

Blue Mountain

798

881

964

1,046

1,046

1,046

1,046

1,046

1,046

1,046

1,046

Central Oregon

736

843

950

1,057

1,057

1,057

1,057

1,057

1,057

1,057

1,057

Clackamas

950

1,650

2,100

2,700

3,138

3,576

4,013

4,450

4,450

4,450

4,450

Clatsop

580

650

740

780

814

814

814

814

814

814

814

Lane

3,737

4,469

5,184

5,791

6,266

6,742

6,742

6,742

6,742

6,742

6,742

Linn-Benton

651

1,030

1,270

1,542

1,880

2,018

2,270

2,305

2,438

2,438

2,438

Mt. Hood

1,925

2,711

3,497

4,283

4,500

4,600

4,725

4,871

4,871

4,871

4,871

Portland

5,182

6,284

7,386

8,488

9,590

10,692

11,793

12,894

13,995

13,995

13,995

Salem Technical-

Vocational

950

1,000

1,100

1,600

1,984

1,984

1,984

1,984

1,984

1,984

1,984

Southwestern

Oregon

850

992

1,134

1,275

1,275

1,275

1,275

1,275

1,275

1,275

1,275

Treasure Valley

950

1,05C

1,160

1,160

1,160

1,160

1,160

1,160

1,160

1,160

1,160

1

Umpqua

755

855

975

1,075

1,225

1,375

1,375

1,375

1,375

1,375

1,375

Note:

The average term FTE incorporates all students for which the State reimburses the colleges, including

summer session and extension students.

Page 19: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

STATE DEPARTMENT OF HIGHER EDUCATIONENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS

The Office of Institutional Research and the State Department of

Higher Education developed enrollment projections for public four-year

colleges and universities. These projections were submitted to and

approved by the Council's Research and Management Data Committee on

January 13, 1969, and were subsequently approved by the Educational

Coordinating Council January 16, 1969.7.

U

I

Page 20: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

TABLE 4

13

SUMMARY OF ACTUAL AND PROJECTED AVERAGE TERM FTE ENROLLMENTSFOR OREGON STATE DEPARTMENT OF HIGHER EDUCATION INSTITUTIONS

1958-59 to 1978-79

YearFall TermHeadcount

Fall TermFTE

3 - TermFTE

(1) (2) (3) (4)

1958-59 22,733 21,710 20,375

1959-60 23,269 22,176 20,925

1960-61 25,222 23,985 22,856

1961-62 28,986 28,488 27,037

1962-63 31,852 30,997 29,262

1963-64 33,786 32,278 30,564

1964-65 36,354 34,009 32,362

1965-66 42,268 39,078 36,775

1966-67 44,032 41,371 39,154

1967-68 47,291 44,056 42,112

1968-69 51,375 48,137 45,666

1969-70 53,867 50,269 47,684

1970-71 56,299 52,406 49,712

1971-72 58,602 54,410 51,615

1972-73 60,705 56,194 53,304

1973-74 62,518 57,668 54,703

1974-75 64,102 58,886 55,857

1975-76 65,676 60,116 57,027

1976-77 67,144 61,243 58,096

1977-78 68,799 62,492 59,281

1978-79 70,892 64,142 60,847

Note: Projections do not include students enrolled in summer session orin continuing education and extension programs.

Page 21: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

a_

,JI

M X

<^

r`,S

.SP

.Art

f,

Tr,

wr.

...r,

s

TABLE 5

SUMMARY OF PROJECTED AVERAGE TERMFTE ENROLLMENTS

FOR OREGON STATE DEPARTMENT OF HIGHEREDUCATION INSTITUTIONS

1968-69 - 1978-79

ACADEMIC YEAR

INSTITUTION

68-69

69-70

70-71

71-72

72-73

73-74

74-75

75-76

76-77

77-78

78-79

Eastern Oregon

College

1,452

1,509

1.611

1,686

1,720

1,743

1,763

1,786

1,804

1,821

1,855

Oregon College

of Education

3,020

3,279

3,491

3,631

3,677

3,765

3,821

3,872

3,920

3,970

4,041

Oregon State

University

13,761

14,318

14,990

15,614

16,165

16,607

16,934

17,292

17,603

18,005

18,516

Oregon Technical

Institute

1,174

1,268

1,339

1,381

1,404

1,422

1,440

1,457

1,467

1,478

1,514

Portland State

University

8,364

8,881

9,272

9,603

9,950

'14

10,382

10,551

10,701

10,851

11,097

Southern Oregon

College

3,575

3,800

4,001

4,148

4,233

4,..,02

4,360

4,412

4,450

4,493

4,588

University of

Oregon

13,088

13,356

13,700

14,222

14,788

15,277

15,718

16,192

16,677

17,178

17,740

University of

Oregon - Dental

393

402

407

408

410

410

410

410

410

410

410

University of

Oregon - Medical

839

871.

901

922

957

993

1,029

1,055

1,064

1,075

1,086

Note:

Projections do not include students enrolled insummer session or in continuing education andextension

programs.

Page 22: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

15

PRIVATE AND INDEPENDENT COLLEGE AND UNIVERSITYENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS

The Educational Coordinating Council staff developed enrollment

projections for private and independent colleges and universities. These

projections were submitted to and approved by the Council's Research and

Management Data Committee on February 26, 1969, and were subsequently

approved by the Educational Coordinating Council, March 6, 1969.

Page 23: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

tl

I

TABLE 6

SUMMARY OF ACTUAL AND PROJECTED AVERAGE TERM; SEMESTER FTE ENROLLMENTSFOR OREGON PRIVATE AND INDEPENDENT COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES

1958-59 to 1978-79

Year

(1)

Fall TermHeadcount

(2)

Fall TermFTE(3)

Average TermFTE(4)

1958-59 7,637 7,523 7,3091959-60 7,880 7,767 7,5521960-61 8,514 8,353 8,2981961-62 9,151 9,050 8,9191962-63 9,859 9,797 9,6091963-64 10,560 10,550 10,2921964-65 11,960 11,701 11,6561965-66 12,519 12,307 12,2011966-67 12,226 12,068 11,9151967-68 12,338 12,176 12,0251968-69 12,536 11,835 11,4651969-70 13,039 12,303 11,9511970-71 13,597 12,840 12,4621971-72 14,148 13,366 12,9841972-73 14,519 13,715 13,3771973-74 14,938 14,063 13,7611974-75 15,313 14,396 14,0841975-76 15,608 14,676 14,3551976-77 15,866 14,918 14,5971977-78 16,148 15,188 14,8531978-79 16,447 15,482 15,128

Note: Projections do not include theological seminaries or Bible schools.

Page 24: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

TABLE 7

SUMMARY OF PROJECTED AVERAGE TERM/SEMESTER FTE ENROLLMENTS

FOR OREGON PRIVATE AND INDEPENDENT COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES

1968-69 - 1978-79

.

ACADEMIC YEAR

INSTITUTION

68-69

1

69-70

70-71

I

71-72

I

72-73

73-74

74-75

I

75-76

76-77

I

77-78

78-79

Cascade College

Columbia Christian

College

Concordia College

George Fox College

Judson Baptist

College

Lewis & Clark

College

Linfield College

Marylhurst College

Mt. Angel College

Multnomah College

Museum Art School

Northwest Christian

College

Pacific University

Reed College

University of

Portland

Warner Pacific Col.

Willamette

University

93

141

131

378

110

1,744

1,125

470

336

550

106

370

1,176

1,290

1,607

351

1,487

104

142

146

385

131

1,817

1,125

470

355

550

106

377

1,294

1,365

1,619

440

1,525

122

148

167

400

159

1,895

1,125

480

370

550

112

376

1,404

1,425

1,641

468

1,620

134

151

170

420

183

1,968

1,125

450

395

550

121

375

1,503

1,475

1,752

499

1,713

142

153

171

445

202

2,016

1,125

430

420

550

130

390

1,585

1,600

1,783

531

1,752

145

154

172

465

221

2,062

1,125

460

445

550

137

390

1,654

1,600

1,835

565

1,781

1'7

156

174

490

249

2,111

1,125

480

470

550

143

393

1,731

1,600

1,871

602

1,791

148

158

176

535

287

2,111

1,125

490

495

550

150

396

1,810

1,600

1,891

642

1,791

148

159

178

570

316

2,111

1,125

500

520

550

158

396

1,886

1,600

1,906

683

1,791

149

159

179

600

354

2,111

1,125

510

545

550

165

396

1,964

1,600

1,924

731

1,791

150

159

178

650

384

2,111

1,125

510

570

550

171

408

2,063

1,600

1,933

775

1,791

Note:

Projections do not include theological

seminaries or Bible schools.

Page 25: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

e

4

APPENDIX A

ACTUAL AND PROJECTED FALL TERM FTEUNDERGRADUATE ENROLLMENTS

Institutions should use the data in Appendix A when preparing

applications for submission to the Educational Coordinating Council for

grants under Title I of the Higher Education Facilities Act of 1963.

Page 26: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

APPENDIX A-1

OREGON COMMUNITY COLLEGES

Actual and Projected Fall Term FTE Enrollments

1965 -- 1973

YEAR

INSTITUTION

1965

1966

1967

1968

I1969

1970

1971

1972

I1973

Blue Mountain

Central Oregon

Clackamas

Clatsop

Lane

Linn-Benton

Mt. Hood

Portland

Salem Technical-

Vocational

Southwestern

Oregon

Treasure Valley

Umpqua

568

689

168

501

1,312

- -

2,426

672

677

778

318

603

681

120

528

2,118

-

444

3,531

816

789

1,017

474

739

618

527

645

2,734

250

1,247

4,496

1,033

842

869

547

826

749

939

609

3,454

627

2,031

5,154

1,049

885

850

741

879

863

1,696

697

4,504

1,069

2,921

6,205

1,151

1,056

1,008

944

962

973

2,158

793

5,224

1,318

3,768

7,294

1,266

1,207

1,114

1,077

1,044

1,083

2,775

836

5,836

1,600

4,615

8,382

1,841

1,357

1,114

1,187

1,044

1,083

3,225

873

6,314

1,951

4,849

9,470

2,283

1,357

1,114

1,353

1,044

1,083

3,675

873

6,794

2,094

4,957

10,558

2,283

1,357

1,114

1,519

Note:

The fall term FTE includes all Oregon residents enrolled or projected in programs for which the State

reimburses the colleges.

Page 27: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

APPENDIX A-2

OREGON STATE DEPARTMENT OF HIGHER EDUCATION

Actual and Projected Undergraduate Fall Term FTE Enrollments

1965 -- 1973

1

INSTITUTION

I

YEAR

1965

I

1966

I196 7

I

1968

I

1969

1970

I19 71

11972

I1973

Eastern Oregon

College

1,317

1,434

1,466

1,471

1,560

1,665

1,743

1,778

1,800

Oregon College

of Education

1,863

2,244

2,567

2,965

3,215

3,417

3,542

3,570

3,639

Oregon State

University

10,677

11,432

11,875

13,056

13,438

14,001

14,514

14,916

15,203

Oregon Technical

Institute

1,168

1,005

1,114

1,283

1,386

1,463

1,509

1,534

1,554

Portland State

,

University

7,118

7,028

7,496

8,245

8,625

8,968

9,226

9,496

9,646

Southern Oregon

College

2,809

3,053

3,374

3,644

3,865

4,066

4,211

4,291

4,357

University of

Oregon

9,294

9,789

10,380

10,902

10,953

11,070

11,349

11,657

11,859

Note:

Projections do not include students enrolled in continuing education andextension

programs.

Page 28: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

APPENDIX A-3

OREGON INDEPENDENT AND PRIVATE COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES

Actual and Projected Undergraduate Fall Term/Semester FTE Enrollments

1965

-- 1973

INSTITUTION

YEAR

1965

I1966

I1967

I1968

I1969

I1970

1971

I1972

I1973

Cascade College

Columbia Christian

College

Concordia College

George Fox College

Judson Baptist

College

Lewis & Clark

College

Linfield College

Marylhurst College

Mt. Angel College

Multnomah College

Museum Art School

Northwest Christian

College

Pacific University

Reed College

Univ. of Portland

Warner Pacific

IWillamette Univ.

311

126

161

322

113

1,352

1,087

390

334

1,762

110

391

866

915

1,604

300

1,252

281

135

185

344

97

1,528

1,147

399

356

1,182

103

371

917

964

1,605

305

1,225

237

145

156

367

101

1,526

1,120

296

300

801

104

378

939

1,012

1,503

355

1,142

100

157

133

372

115

1,522

1,131

455

341

550

104

416

1,096

1,290

1,574

355

1,176

112

158

153

379

137

1,583

1,132

473

360

550

109

417

1,191

1,358

1,545

445

1,245

132

164

174

400

166

1,663

1,132

483

375

550

115

418

1,293

1,423

1,566

474

1,330

144

168

177

415

190

1,740

1,132

457

400

550

124

419

1,389

1,475

1,671

504

1,413

153

170

178

435

209

1,791

1,132

433

425

550

134

420

1,479

1,509

1,702

537

1,442

156

171

180

450

228

1,839

1,132

473

450

550

141

420

1,549

1,509

1,753

572

1,461

Page 29: TITLP, Enrollments in Oregon's Public and Independent Colleges … · N.W., Salem, Oregon 97310. EDRS Price MF-$0.25 HC-$1.45 Community Colleges, *Enrollment Projections, *Enrollment

APPENDIX B

Educational Coordinating Council'sCOMMITTEE ON RESEARCH AND MANAGEMENT DATA

MEMBERS

Mr. Guy Lutz, ChairmanAssistant DirectorInstitutional ResearchState Dept. of Higher Ed.

Mr. Robert Wilkin, Vice ChairmanRegistrarLewis and Clark College

Mr. Harvey CrimBusiness ManagerSouthwestern OregonCommunity College

Mr. Don GillesDirector, Planning &

Special ProjectsState Dept. of Education

Dr. John HakansonActing PresidentClackamas Community College

Mr. Sig HansonBusiness ManagerJudson Baptist College

Mr. W. T. Lerman, Jr.Director, Business AffairsPortland State University

Mr. Donald LewisAssoc. Prof. of BusinessSouthern Oregon College

Mr. Myron MickeyDirector of AdmissionsMt. Hood Community College

Mr. Francis MorganActing DirectorInstitutional ResearchUniversity of Portland

Mr. Jack MortonDean of StudentsOregon College of Education

Mr. Lloyd ThomasResearch DivisonState Dept. of Education

Mr. Richard YocomRegistrarWillamette University

EX-OFFICIO CONSULTANTS

Mr. R. L. Collins, SecretaryState Board of Higher Ed.

Mr. Richard Pizzo, DirectorHigh School-College Relations

CouncilUniversity of Oregon

Mr. Fred Segrest, AnalystState Department of Finance

Dr. Donald K. SheltonExecutive SecretaryOregon Community College Assn.

Mr. Robert SmithAssistant AdministratorState Department of Finance

Mr. Robert Stevens, AnalystLegislative Fiscal Committee

Mr. Lowry BennettDirector, OTISEugene, Oregon

22