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TRANSCRIPT
Nicholas Curtis AM
J.P. Morgan China Conference
14 June 2012
Lynas Corporation Rare Earths – we touch them everyday
2
Disclaimer
This Presentation has been prepared by Lynas Corporation Limited (ABN 27 009 066 648) (Lynas or the Company). This Presentation contains summary information about Lynas and its subsidiaries (Lynas Group) and their
activities current as at the date of this Presentation. The information in this Presentation is of general background and does not purport to be complete or to comprise all the information that a shareholder or potential investor
in Lynas may require in order to determine whether to deal in Lynas shares. It should be read in conjunction with Lynas Group’s other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements lodged with the Australian Securities
Exchange (ASX), which are available at www.asx.com.au. This document is not a prospectus or a product disclosure statement under the Corporations Act (Cth) 2001 (Corporations Act) and has not been lodged with the
Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC).
Not investment or financial product advice
This Presentation is for information purposes only and is not financial product or investment advice or a recommendation to acquire Lynas shares and has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial
situation or needs of individuals. Before making an investment decision, prospective investors should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to their own objectives, financial situation and needs and
seek financial, legal and taxation advice appropriate to their jurisdiction. Lynas is not licensed to provide financial product advice in respect of Lynas shares. Cooling off rights do not apply to the acquisition of Lynas shares.
Financial data
All dollar values are in Australian dollars (A$) unless stated otherwise and financial data is presented within the financial year end of 30 June 2010 unless stated otherwise. Any pro forma historical financial information
included in this Presentation does not purport to be in compliance with Article 11 of Regulation S-X of the rules and regulations of the US Securities and Exchange Commission.
Past performance
Past performance information given in this Presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as (and is not) an indication of future performance.
Future performance
This Presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements”. The words “expect”, “should”, “could”, “may”, “will, “predict”, “plan”, “scenario”, “forecasts”, “anticipates”, “outlook” and other similar expressions are intended to
identify forward-looking statements. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and performance are also forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates provided
in this Presentation are based on assumptions and contingencies which are subject to change without notice, as are statements about market and industry trends, which are based on interpretations of current market
conditions. Such forward-looking statements including projections, guidance on future earnings and estimates are provided as a general guide only and should not be relied upon as an indication or guarantee of future
performance. There can be no assurance that actual outcomes will not differ materially from these forward-looking statements.
Investment Risk and other risks
An investment in Lynas shares is subject to investment and other known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of Lynas Group, including risk factors associated with the industry in which Lynas Group
operates, such as: nature of mineral exploration and production; mineral and ore reserves; construction risks; progressing risks; project developments; market price and demand risk; credit and market risks; regulatory,
political and environmental risks; tax and other risks generally relating to equity investment.
Not an offer
This Presentation does not constitute an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities in the United States. Securities in the Company have not been, and will not be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act
of 1933 or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States, and may not be offered or sold in the United States unless the securities are registered under the Securities Act or pursuant to an exemption
from, or in a transaction not subject to, registration.
Agenda
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1. SAFETY AND SUSTAINABILITY
2. THE RARE EARTHS MARKET
3. WESTERN AUSTRALIA OPERATIONS
4. MALAYSIA OPERATIONS
5. FINANCIAL UPDATE
4
Lynas will offer a source of supply of Rare Earths
outside of China
VISION: Be the leader in Rare Earths for a
sustainable future.
EXCHANGES: ASX (code LYC), OTCQX (code LYSDY)
INDICES: ASX 100, MSCI Australia
SHARES: 1,714m on issue (1,885m fully diluted)
MARKET CAP: A$1.8bn as at 5 June 2012
CASH: A$303.5m (incl. restricted cash) as at 31 Mar 2012
DEBT: US$225.0m JOGMEC/Sojitz Phase 2 facility and
US$225m Mt Kellett convertible bond
LYNAS VITALS AT A GLANCE
Mount Weld
Concentration Plant
Lynas Advanced Materials Plant
5
SAFETY AND SUSTAINABILITY
6
Lynas is a safe and sustainable source of Rare
Earths supply
Malaysia Operations
Lynas has achieved more than 8,000,000 hours Lost Time Injury (LTI) free on the LAMP construction project
IAEA confirmed compliance of the LAMP design with international standards
Western Australia Operations
Two LTI incidents in the 4-year operational history of the WA operations
Frequency of hazard and near-miss reporting continues to increase, demonstrating a strong safety culture
STRONG SAFETY CULTURE
Gas Treatment
Note: Data as at end of March 2012
7
THE RARE EARTHS MARKET
8
Supply and Demand trends
Structural deficit anticipated as demand recovers while supply remains constrained
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F 2013F
ton
ne
s R
EO
Demand China Supply Other Supply Lynas supply
Forecast
Sources: Industry resources and Lynas research
9
Key demand drivers and growth outlook
Sector Segment Sub Segments Growth rate over GDP Rare Earths used
Conventional Energy
Fuel Cracking
Emissions control
Nuclear
FCC
Catalysts
Material
+ 2%
La
Ce
Gd
Renewable Energy Storage
Wind turbines
NiMH Batteries
Magnets
+10-15%
+25-30%
La, Nd
NdPr
Auto / Transportation
Emissions Control
e-Mobility
Autocat
Oxygen Sensors
Magnets
Batteries
+6-8%
0%
+20-25%
+20-25%
Ce
Y
NdPr, Dy
La, Nd
Lighting TC Lamps
LEDs Phosphors +5% Eu, Tb, Y, Ce, La
Metallurgy Special Alloys RE Silicides +10-15% CeLa
Electronics
GHD
Cameras
Displays
Capacitors & chips
Polishing
Materials
Phosphors
+2-5%
+5-10%
0%
0%
CeLa
La
Eu, Tb, Y, Ce, La
Dy, Nd, Ce
Medical
MRI
PET Scans
Medicines
Magnets
Crystals
Material
+5-10%
+10-15%
+10-15%
Gd, NdPr
Lu
La
Miscellaneous
Defense
Decorative Ceramics
Agriculture
Niches
NdPr, Dy, La
Ce, Pr
Ce
10
Factors influencing the demand outlook
Factors accelerating demand growth:
•Environmental protection:
• Wind turbines
• e-mobility
• emissions control
•Rare Earths as technology enablers:
• Digitisation
• Miniaturisation
• Energy efficiency:
• Fuel cracking catalysts
• Lighting
Factors slowing down demand growth:
• Constrained availability of certain Rare Earths,
especially HREEs
• Productivity improvements:
• Optimisation of RE consumption
• On-site recycling
• Price disconnect inside and outside China
• Rare Earths vs alternative technology
• Competitiveness of non-China users
Rare Earths demand should continue to increase at above-GDP growth rates
Societal trends should continue to drive strong secular growth in Rare Earths demand
11
Recent developments in Rare Earths prices
Both China domestic and FOB prices returning to levels that promote long term demand growth in key applications.
Recent price retracement reflects an end of excessive speculative trading in rare earths and the demand effects from manufacturing recycling process changes.
China domestic prices likely to be supported by domestic production controls, higher marginal costs to comply with stricter environmental standards and a return to long term demand growth rates.
The China FOB-domestic price spread is likely to close further as new non-Chinese supply comes on-stream.
Prices returning to sustainable levels that support long term industry growth
Source: Metal Pages
Mount Weld basket price history
0
50
100
150
200
250
USD
/REO
kg
China domestic China FOB
12
Sales & Marketing
Lynas’ philosophy is to establish a Rare Earths supply chain based on environmentally sustainable practices. Our Rare Earths Direct (RED) brand epitomises this philosophy.
Lynas’ key objectives are to:
Stabilise recent industry volatility and provide better supply visibility to customers
Promote the use of rare earths and where necessary provide price certainty
Offer an integrated supply solution to customers
Lynas has entered into binding offtake agreements in each market segment and each type of product. We are majority contracted for Phase 1 products.
Lynas continues to be engaged in a number of additional negotiations with key customers in Europe, Japan and the US concerning potential supply agreements.
Key points
13
WESTERN AUSTRALIA OPERATIONS
The mine is within the Central Lanthanide Deposit
(CLD), a Resource of 15.0 million tonnes at 9.8%
for 1.5 million tonnes of contained REO
14
DUNCAN
DEPOSIT
(DD)
8%
13%
17%
26%
15%
13%
20%
21% Conc.
Plant
1.5km
773,000t on
stockpiles
MOUNT WELD STOCKPILES WITH RARE EARTH OXIDE PERCENTAGES
DD CLD
DEPOSIT
DD
The Concentration Plant commenced feed of ore
in May 2011
15
OVERHEAD VIEW OF THE CONCENTRATION PLANT
Concentration Plant continues to perform well –
this part of the production process is now
significantly de-risked
16
Flotation cells with initial feed
MOUNT WELD CONCENTRATION PLANT
Concentrate cake discharging from filter press
Plant throughput rates will be synchronised
with the ramp-up of the Lynas Advanced
Materials Plant in Malaysia.
Over 13,000 tonnes of dry bagged Rare
Earths concentrate stockpiled on site
Concentration Plant
Performance
April 2012
actual
April
ramp- up plan
Final concentrate
grade 38.0% 36.0%
Recovery 70.7% 67.0%
17
The Duncan deposit is complementary to the
current operations at the Central Lanthanide
Deposit
Comparison of REE distribution
Category
Tonnes
Mt
Grade %
REO
Tonnes
(kt) REO
CLD 14.95 9.8 1,465
Duncan 8.99 4.8 432
Total 23.94 7.9 1,891
Current reserves are 2.08Mt @ 15.5% REO
Reserve statement expected to be updated in
2012 ahead of Phase 2 mining campaign
Proven floatable process for the CLD
Metallurgical test work underway for Duncan
CLD & Duncan Mineral Resource
(2.5% REO cut-off)
CENTRAL LANTHANIDE DEPOSIT AND DUNCAN DEPOSIT RESOURCES
REO
CLD
(Secondary Monazite)
Duncan
(Crandalite)
Lanthanum Oxide 23.88% 24.87%
Cerium Oxide 47.55% 39.38%
Praseodymium Oxide 5.16% 4.75%
Neodymium Oxide 18.13% 17.89%
Samarium Oxide 2.44% 2.83%
Europium Oxide 0.53% 0.77%
Gadolinium Oxide 1.09% 1.99%
Terbium Oxide 0.09% 0.26%
Dysprosium Oxide 0.25% 1.27%
Holmium Oxide 0.03% 0.19%
Erbium Oxide 0.06% 0.41%
Thulium Oxide 0.01% 0.04%
Ytterbium Oxide 0.03% 0.18%
Lutetium Oxide 0.00% 0.02%
Yttrium Oxide 0.76% 5.17%
Total 100.00% 100.00%
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Duncan is a highly prospective deposit that could
provide a new source of HREEs
Total Mount Weld resources
Duncan Deposit Outline
Central Lanthanide
Deposit
Potential extension
to Duncan Deposit
Potential extension
to Duncan Deposit
Duncan is a shallow deposit that could be easily exploited using open cut mining
Duncan is open to the east and southwest (see chart) with a high likelihood that further drilling would increase the size of the deposit
Preliminary metallurgical test work has begun to determine if the rare earths, in particular the heavy rare earths, can be economically extracted from the mineralisation
Scoping study completed in 1H 2012
19
MALAYSIA OPERATIONS
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Current status of the LAMP
LAMP construction: 98% complete (end of March)
Ready-for-Start-Up program (operational preparedness): >94% complete
Malaysia headcount: 251 (now at 90% of total expected workforce)
Pre-commissioning test packs: >85% complete
Temporary Operating Licence for the LAMP approved
Phase 2 funding secured in April 2011 and construction permits received in Sept 2011
Customer contracts signed in each market segment and for each type of product
MAJOR MILESTONES TO DATE
21
LAMP Temporary Operating Licence
Appeal to the Minister of Science, Technology & Innovation was heard in April 2012.
Lynas respects the regulatory approvals process in Malaysia.
Lynas has intensified its community consultation and engagement following the IAEA review. We intend to maintain this commitment to all stakeholders in the future.
Lynas recognises its responsibility to the community to operate the LAMP in a safe and sustainable manner.
Lynas expects to meet all the conditions associated with the Temporary Operating Licence.
Licence approved in February 2012
Schematic - Lynas Advanced Materials Plant core
process, which uses mature industry technology
22
23
The Lynas Advanced Materials Plant (LAMP) is
0.8km wide (N-S) and 1.4 km long (E-W)
OVERVIEW OF UP AND DOWNSTREAM SEPARATION AND PRODUCT FINISHING WORKSHOPS
24
LAMP construction is more than 98% complete
Secondary Leaching
Gas Treatment Cracking (Rotary Kiln)
Primary Leaching
25
LAMP construction is more than 98% complete
Upstream Extraction Downstream Extraction
Post Treatment Tunnel Furnaces
The path to operating cash flow
26
Key steps to first cash flow
Construction completion
Commissioning & first feed to
kiln
Commence plant ramp-
up
First production
Customer qualification
Commercial shipments
First cash flow from
sales
Current operational focus is construction completion and pre-commissioning and commissioning activities
After a period of customer qualification, commercial shipments will commence with full plant ramp-up occurring later in 2012
27
The products are set for Phase 1; Lynas has
product flexibility in Phase 2
PHASE 1 ─ 11,000t REO PRODUCTS ANTICIPATED
VOLUMES (tpa)
Ce carbonate 2,600
La carbonate 1,350
Ce / La carbonate 4,000
Nd / Pr oxide 2,700
SEG + Heavy Rare Earths 480
PHASE 2 ─ ADDITIONAL 11,000t REO PRODUCTS. Phase 2 will provide additional flexibility, with
capacity to produce up to the following approximate volumes:
Ce carbonate, oxide 5,200
La carbonate, oxide 2,700
Nd oxide and Pr oxide 2,700
Separated SEG + Heavy Rare Earths 480
The Strategic Alliance with Sojitz shall provide
a stable and long term source of supply for the
Japanese market
28
LYNAS, SOJITZ AND JOGMEC HAVE EXECUTED DEFINITIVE AGREEMENTS
Sojitz – Lynas
Strategic Alliance
Financing
Agreement
• Funding for Phase 2 expansion to 22,000t
• US$225M loan from JOGMEC and Sojitz
• 6 year loan at LIBOR plus 2.75%, principal
repayments begin in year 4
• US$25M subscription for new fully paid
ordinary shares in Lynas at a price of A$2.12
per share
• Funds drawn in May 2011
Availability
Agreement
• Minimum 8,500t
(+/-500t) per annum
• Allocated to Japanese
Customers
• 10 year allocation
Distribution & Agency
Agreement
• Joint marketing by
Sojitz and Lynas
• Customer commitment
will determine Phase 2
products suite
• Professional organisation,
speed, understanding of
requirements, transparent
communications
Letter of Intent signed with Siemens to establish a
JV company for the sustainable production of
neodymium-based Rare Earths magnets
29
LYNAS AND SIEMENS INTEND TO FORM A JOINT VENTURE FOR MAGNET PRODUCTION
LYNAS SIEMENS
The partnership between Lynas and Siemens will secure a long-term and
sustainable end-to-end supply chain from mine to magnet to end application
Long term supply
contract for Nd/Pr metal
Magnet technology and
manufacturing capabilities
Supply of Nd-based rare
earth magnets to Siemens
(and third parties) JV COMPANY
30
FINANCIAL UPDATE
31
Summary of Phase 1 construction costs
PHASE 1 ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION AND OTHER
CAPITAL COSTS
TOTAL
A$m
SPEND TO 31/3/12
A$m
FUTURE SPEND
A$m
Mount Weld Concentration Plant 75.4 75.4 0.0
Lynas Advanced Materials Plant, Malaysia 349.1 288.4 60.7
Engineering and Project Management Costs 157.0 147.3 9.7
Other Capex including Land in Malaysia 61.9 61.9 0.0
Contingency 5.4 - 5.4
Total $648.8 $573.0 $75.8
Note: Financial data as at 31 March 2012
US$225m Convertible Bond issue to Mount
Kellett was completed in February 2012
32
In January 2012, Lynas executed binding documentation with Mount Kellett
Sources of funds Estimated uses of funds
• US$50m Tranche 1
• US$175m Tranche 2
• On 28 February, the parties agreed
to roll Tranche 1 into Tranche 2 by
redeeming Tranche 1 convertible
bonds early and increasing the
number of bonds in Tranche 2
• ~$172m for working capital (includes
retiring unutilised $125m J.P. Morgan /
Sumitomo working capital facility)
• ~$42m for additional capital costs at the
LAMP
Key terms
• Term: 4.5 years
• Coupon: 2.75% p.a.
• No conversion for the first 6 months
• Initial conversion price: $1.25 per share
Summary of cash balance A$m
Cash on Hand and at Call 182.7
Funds for Phase 2 construction (restricted cash) 120.8
Closing cash balances 31 March 2012 303.5
Lynas – online in 2012, delivering
Rare Earths globally
33
• Our vision is to be the leader in Rare Earths
for a sustainable future.
• We are close to realising this vision.
• Our supply of Rare Earths will be based on
environmentally sustainable practices.
• Lynas will be online in 2012, delivering
Rare Earths globally.
• The LAMP is scheduled to come online with
a Phase 1 production capacity of 11,000tpa
REO.
• Work for Phase 2 is underway for an
additional 11,000tpa REO.
34
NOTE
The information in this report that relates to Exploration Results, Mineral
Resources or Ore Reserves is based on information compiled by Brendan Shand,
who is a member of The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy. Brendan
Shand is an employee of Lynas Corporation Limited. Brendan Shand has
sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of
deposit under consideration and to the activity which he is undertaking to qualify
as a Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the ‘Australasian Code
for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves’.
Brendan Shand consents to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on his
information in the form and context in which it appears.