titanium for airbus the eads · oliver dreier, vp metallic materials, forgings & casting...
TRANSCRIPT
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Sourcing of Titanium for Airbus & the EADS
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Disclaimer
2
The information, estimates, projections and conclusions in this presentation constitute the current judgement as of the date of this
presentation. They are believed to be reliable but make no representation or warranty regarding the accuracy, completeness
or reliability
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 3
Summary
Aerospace Market and Airbus Performance
Our Titanium sourcing strategy
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 4
Summary
Aerospace Market and Airbus Performance
Our Titanium sourcing strategy
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 5
Air travel has proven to be resilient to external shocks
Source: ICAO, Airbus 67% growth through multiple crises over the last ten years
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 6
Air traffic will double in the next 15 years
Source: ICAO, Airbus
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 7
Passenger traffic is outperforming GDP growth
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 8
Airbus General Market Forecast (GMF) nearly 800 airlines and their subsidiaries are analyzed
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 9
Demand for over 29,200 new aircraft in the next 20 years 1/2
17,739
New aircraft29,226
+ 3.7% per annum
Fleet in service evolution; 2013‐2032 36,556
Stay in service & Converted
Replaced
Growth
7,330
10,409
18,817
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
Beginning 2013 2032
Source: AirbusNote: Passenger aircraft
≥100 seats, Freighter aircraft ≥10 tonnes
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 10
Demand for over 29,200 new aircraft in the next 20 years 2/2
Jet freight aircraft (>10 tons)Passenger aircraft (≥ 100 seats)
7,273 twin-aisle aircraft
1,711 very large aircraft
20,242 single-aisle aircraft
Market value of $4.4 trillion
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 11
Over 13,000 Airbus orders, 8,000 deliveries
at end August, 2013
26 years for the 1st 4,000 orders and only 7 years for the 2nd 4,000
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 12
Moving towards an intelligent airframe
Composite and Titanium: Increasing use over time
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 13
A350 family
October 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting Procurement
682 firm orders35 customers
data end Aug 2013
A350 first flight took place on 14 June 2013.MSN001 has now accumulated over 150 flight hours
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 14
Summary
Aerospace Market and Airbus Performance
Our Titanium sourcing strategy
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 15
EADS Hard Metals Volumes Evolution
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F
SteelTitanium
EADS titanium tonnage needs will increase by 300% within a decade
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 16
Managing the demand through enablement
Long-term contract, stable prices
Secure material supply chain
Material quality monitoring
Better reflection of competitive advantages
Forecast volume demand
Optimize batches
Stabilize market share
Managed prices
Volume consolidation
Standardization
Clear view of volumes
Single voice for strategy
Secure supply chain
ENABLED SUBCONTRACTOR AIRBUS/EADS MATERIAL SUPPLIER
Win-win-win approach to all
ENABLED Subcontractors
(TIERS)
ENABLING Suppliers
(Material Suppliers)
EADS Material contract
EADS WP contract
ENABLEMENT
Stability Visibility Standardisation
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 17
Expectations for the future
• Secure Titanium needs• Secure Titanium Price• Consolidate volumes
where we come from:
where we go to:• Secure capacity• Enablement• Aligned strategy• Financial stability
• Recycle scrap• Machining• ALM• R&D• Alternative processes
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 18
Evolution of the Titanium landscape
1970's 1990's 2000's 2010's 2020's 2030's
• Low Ti Demand• Scattered Ti supplier
landscape• No integration• Capacity adapted to
needs • Very high demand• Large groups consolidation• Manage capacity situation
Vertical Integration is a key differentiating factor for supplier selectionFix and firm prices are the baseline
Very demanding Supply Chain requirements
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 19
Global Sourcing approach Offset obligations Production, Engineering,
Funding
Strategic Supply Chain Model
Currency exposure
Risk processes
Vertical integration Customer expectation Best Cost Sourcing Standardisation
Lean products/ processes
Flexible & reliable Supply chain
Enablement
Risk Management
Value for Cost
Market Volatility
Access to Market & Resources
Global &
Competitive sourcing
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 20
Summary
Aerospace Market and Airbus Performance
Our Titanium sourcing strategy
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 21
Ensure sufficient capacityRAMP-UP
Reach and sustain excellent performance
ON-TIME & QUALITY
Be creative and propose solutions for cost optimizationCOST
We need to deliver what we have sold !
Ensure you are strategically alignedSTRATEGY ALIGNMENT
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 22
Oliver DREIER, VP Metallic Materials, Forgings & Casting ProcurementOctober 6‐9, 2013 • Caesars Palace, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 23
© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document. This document and allinformation contained herein is the sole property of AIRBUS S.A.S. No intellectual property rights aregranted by the delivery of this document or the disclosure of its content. This document shall not bereproduced or disclosed to a third party without the express written consent of AIRBUS S.A.S. Thisdocument and its content shall not be used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied. Thestatements made herein do not constitute an offer. They are based on the mentioned assumptions andare expressed in good faith. Where the supporting grounds for these statements are not shown, AIRBUSS.A.S. will be pleased to explain the basis thereof.AIRBUS, its logo, A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321, A330, A340, A350, A380, A400M are registeredtrademarks.