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2018 Bermuda International Life & Annuity Conference Thriving in a Changing World

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  • 2018 Bermuda International Life & Annuity Conference

    Thriving in a Changing

    World

  • External Drivers of Change

    •Technology•Regulations•Demographics

  • TechnologyThe 6 D’s of Exponentials•Digitized•Deceptive•Disruptive •Dematerialized•Demonetized•Democratized

  • Wall Street Journal

  • “I very frequently get the question: ‘What’s going to

    www.asset-map.comAsset-Map, LLC © 2018 All Rights Reserved.

    change in the next 10 years?’ … I almost never get the

    question ‘What’s not going to change in the next 10 years?’ And I submit to you that the second question is actually

    the more important of the two – because you can build a

    business strategy around the things that are stable in

    time…” -Jeff BezosFounder and CEO

    Amazon.com

    http://www.asset-map.com/

  • When decisions are complex or there is a high cost of being

    wrong, people want another

    human’s insight for confidence.

    The Financial Services Business...

    Source: Duran, Joe. “Clash of the titans: Bionic advisers vs. Robo-advisers”, InvestmentNews.com. 4 Dec 2014. Web 12 Aug 2015.www.asset-map.com

    Asset-Map, LLC © 2018 All Rights Reserved.

    http://www.asset-map.com/

  • www.asset-map.comAsset-Map, LLC © 2018 All Rights Reserved.

    http://www.asset-map.com/

  • 2017 Noble Prize Winner for Economics

    People don’t think rationally when making financial

    decisions.

  • Mitch Anthony

    Financial Advisor magazine, May 2018

    Emotion-Driven Planning Will Accelerate SoonPeople want their money managed in ways that improve their lives.

    Old Premise

    Do you have enough money?

    New Premise

    Are you managing your money in a way that improves your life?

  • DOL Rule•DOL Fiduciary Standard•Robo-Advisors, RIA•Commoditization of transactions without adviceLEADING TO NEW DIFFERENTIATED COMPETITION•Low Cost Advisors•Alternative Channels•Comprehensive Solutions

  • Commissions Under Pressure

    Commissions banned fee for service

    Norway Finland United Kingdom Netherlands

    Australia

  • Maximizing the Social Returns of a Career in FinanceApril 12, 2015

  • Now in Five Languages

  • PURPOSELiving a Life

    of Significance

    Wheel of Fulfillment

    INSPIRED

  • Critics of Capitalism“Acclaimed as one of the

    most influential books of the decade”

    THESISCapitalism only benefits the rich

  • “Firms that subscribe to a PURPOSE for being, that is

    different from and goes beyond making money.”

    Defined

    By Raj Sisodia

    10/01/98 – 9/30/13

    S&P+5.32%

    Firms of Endearment

    +21.17%

  • Why Stories Work

    • Builds trust relationships• Stories are memorable and co-creative• The more emotional the more impactful• Stories begat stories• Create a biochemical bond

  • Wheel of Fulfillment

    PURPOSELiving a Life

    of Significance

    COMMITMENT

    INSPIRED

  • Face Your Fears

  • How would you like to know everything you need to know about

    capital markets?

  • Consider Ownership vs. “Loanership”Stocks Have Historically Outperformed Cash and Bonds

    Average Annual Returns 01/01/1928 through 12/31/2017

    3.06% 3.43%

    4.93%

    11.37%Stocks, Bonds, Bills & Inflation

    01/01/1928 through 12/31/2016

  • Consider Ownership vs. “Loanership”Stocks Have Historically Outperformed Cash and Bonds

    Average Annual Returns 01/01/1928 through 12/31/2017

    3.06% 3.43%

    4.93%

    11.37%

    0.38%1.88%

    8.32%

    • Inflation Erodes Return - Cost of living goes up…Purchasing Power goes down.

    • Longer Life Expectancies may require higher “real returns”

  • -70.

    -35.

    0.

    35.

    70.

    105.

    � 28 Down Years

    Past performance is no guarantee of future resultsSource: Historical data from Dow Jones and Company, Inc..

    Dow Jones Industrial AverageAnnual Percentage Change (1/1/1929 through 12/31/2011)

    � 56 Up Years

    •Nobody knows when the market direction will turn

    •Understand the difference between “Risk” and “Volatility”

    Stock Market Goes Up and Down

    Chart1

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    Series1

    0

    -17.17

    -33.76

    -52.67

    -23.11

    66.78

    4.1

    38.56

    24.84

    -32.8

    28.04

    -2.97

    -12.72

    -15.33

    7.57

    13.82

    12.07

    26.66

    -8.14

    2.26

    -2.15

    12.86

    17.64

    14.36

    8.43

    -3.77

    43.97

    20.77

    2.27

    -12.77

    33.97

    16.4

    -9.35

    18.7

    -10.81

    17.01

    14.56

    10.89

    -18.94

    15.2

    4.28

    -15.19

    4.81

    6.12

    14.58

    -16.58

    -27.58

    38.33

    17.87

    -17.27

    -3.15

    4.19

    14.94

    -9.23

    19.6

    20.27

    -3.73

    27.66

    22.58

    2.26

    11.85

    26.96

    -4.34

    20.32

    4.18

    13.72

    2.14

    33.45

    26.01

    22.64

    16.1

    25.22

    -6.17

    -7.1

    -16.76

    25.32

    3.15

    -0.61

    16.29

    6.43

    -33.8

    18.8

    9.4

    5.6

    Sheet1

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    Series10-17.17-33.76-52.67-23.1166.784.138.5624.84-32.828.04-2.97-12.72-15.337.5713.8212.0726.66-8.142.26-2.1512.8617.6414.368.43-3.7743.9720.772.27-12.7733.9716.4-9.3518.7-10.8117.0114.5610.89-18.9415.24.28-15.194.816.1214.58-16.58-27.5838.3317.87-17.27-3.154.1914.94-9.2319.620.27-3.7327.6622.582.2611.8526.96-4.3420.324.1813.722.1433.4526.0122.6416.125.22-6.17-7.1-16.7625.323.15-0.6116.296.43-33.818.89.45.6

  • Left Brain – Right Brain

  • Investment Principles

    Principles1) Faith2) Patience3) Discipline

    Behaviors

    1) Asset Allocation

    © 2008 Nick Murray All rights reserved. Used with permission. From Nick Murray's book Behavioral Investment Counseling

    www.nickmurray.com

  • Asset Allocation

  • Investment Principles

    Principles1) Faith2) Patience3) Discipline

    Behaviors

    1) Asset Allocation

    2) Diversification

    3) Rebalancing

    © 2008 Nick Murray All rights reserved. Used with permission. From Nick Murray's book Behavioral Investment Counseling

    www.nickmurray.comAsset allocation does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. There is no guarantee that a diversified portfolio will enhance overall returns or outperform a non-diversified portfolio. Diversification does not protect against market risk.

    Rebalancing a portfolio may cause investors to incur tax liabilities and/or transaction costs and does not assure a profit orprotect against a loss.

  • What is the defining Issue of the 21stCentury?

    •Terrorism?•Global Warming?•Energy?

  • DISCOVEROctober, 2012

    The Aging Population of the World

    © 2012 Kalmbach publishing

  • “It seems likelythat the future

    will favor women

    entrepreneurs”

  • Many people greatly underestimate the time they will spend in retirement

    The Risks

    85 92

    88 94

    9792

    65

    65

    65 At least one person has a chance of living beyond:

    Male

    Female

    Couple

    50% chance of living beyond

    25% chance of living beyond

    Popularretirement

    age

    Source: Society of Actuaries, RP-2014 Mortality Tables Report

  • Bloomberg BusinessWeek July 28, 2003 © 2003-2010 The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc.

    Everyone Wants to Retire(Preferably before they die)

    “We need to move back in

    with your parents”

  • Wall Street Journal, April 23, 2003

  • Mother-in-Law

  • Caregiving Ramifications are a Particular Issue for Women

  • America Is Running Out of Family Caregivers, Just When It Needs Them Most

    Smaller, more far-flung families mean fewer unpaid helpers

    Wall Street JournalJuly 22, 2018

  • Robyn Lewis-Oglesby

  • New Challenges

    Turn assets into income

    Manage risk not just money

    Make the most of what you got

  • Consumer Change of Focus

    Return onInvestment

    Reliabilityof Income

    Accumulation Phase

    Distribution Phase

  • Purchasing Power Risk/ Inflation

    1988Postage stamps cost about $0.25

    2018Postage stamps cost about $0.50

  • Year 5 Year 10 Year 15 Year 20 Year 25 Year 30Income $115,927 $134,392 $155,797 $180,612 $209,378 $242,726

    How $100,000 income must grow to keep up with 3% CPI

    Chart1

    Year 5

    Year 10

    Year 15

    Year 20

    Year 25

    Year 30

    Income

    115927

    134392

    155797

    180612

    209378

    242726

    Sheet1

    Income

    Year 5$115,927

    Year 10$134,392

    Year 15$155,797

    Year 20$180,612

    Year 25$209,378

    Year 30$242,726

  • 1988

    S&P 500

    272.21

    (8/1/1988)

    $.25 cost

  • 2018

    S&P 5002,813.36

    (8/1/2018)

    $.50 cost

  • Photo © Joseph Jordan

  • MDRT Excerpt

    Video by MDRT

  • Life of Significance

    Photo Public Domain; published before 1923 and public domain in the U.S.

    Chief Seattle

  • Photo © Joseph Jordan

    Slide Number 1External Drivers of ChangeTechnologySlide Number 4“I very frequently get the question: ‘What’s going toThe Financial Services Business...Slide Number 72017 Noble Prize Winner for Economics�Slide Number 9DOL RuleCommissions Under PressureSlide Number 12Slide Number 13Wheel of FulfillmentSlide Number 15Slide Number 16Slide Number 17Why Stories WorkWheel of FulfillmentFace Your FearsSlide Number 21Slide Number 22Slide Number 23Slide Number 24Stock Market Goes Up and DownLeft Brain – Right BrainInvestment PrinciplesAsset AllocationInvestment PrinciplesWhat is the defining Issue of the 21st Century?The Aging Population of the WorldSlide Number 32The RisksEveryone Wants to Retire�(Preferably before they die)Slide Number 35Mother-in-LawCaregiving Ramifications are a Particular Issue for WomenAmerica Is Running Out of Family Caregivers, Just When It Needs Them MostSlide Number 39Robyn Lewis-Oglesby New ChallengesConsumer Change of FocusPurchasing Power Risk/ InflationHow $100,000 income must grow to keep up with 3% CPI19882018Slide Number 47Slide Number 48Slide Number 49Slide Number 50Life of SignificanceSlide Number 52