the world in 2009: ict facts and figures
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The World in 2009: ICT Facts and Figures. Jaroslaw K. PONDER Strategy and Policy Coordinator International Telecommunication Union infoDev/UNCTAD workshop on “Measuring the Broadband Economy” Hammamet, Tunisia 23 November 2009. A decade of ICT growth. Mobile in the developing world. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
InternationalTelecommunicationUnion
Committed to Connecting the World
The World in 2009:The World in 2009:ICT Facts and FiguresICT Facts and Figures
Jaroslaw K. PONDERStrategy and Policy Coordinator
International Telecommunication Union
infoDev/UNCTAD workshop on “Measuring the Broadband Economy”
Hammamet, Tunisia 23 November 2009
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A decade of ICT growth
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Mobile in the developing world
Between 2008 and 2009, mobile cellular penetration in developing countries surpassed the 50% mark to reach an estimated 56% end 2009
There are now more than twice as many mobile subscriptions in the developing world than in the developed world (3.2 billion vs. 1.4 billion)
China 750 million, India 480 million
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Mobile: catching up quickly
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Internet and fixed broadband 26% of world population (1.7 billion people)
are using the Internet (64% in developed, 17.5% in developing countries)
1 billion Internet users in developing countries, one third of which in China
Almost 500 million fixed broadband subscribers globally, China overtook US in 2008 as largest market
Half of the 200 million broadband subscribers in the developing countries are in China
23.3% broadband penetration in developed countries; 3.5 % penetration in developing countries
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In the developing countries, the monthly cost of fixed broadband is on average 289 PPP$.This corresponds to about 300% of average monthly GNI per capita.
In the developed countries, fixed broadband prices correspond to about 2% of average monthly income.
Expensive broadband
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The rise of mobile broadband …
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… but not everywhere (yet)
38.7% mobile broadband penetration in developed countries; 3% penetration in developing countries
Out of 600 million mobile broadband subscriptions, only 160 million in developing countries
Europe: 220 million subscriptions Africa: 13 million subscriptions
Many developing countries have not yet launched 3G licenses
Growing rapidly – numbers will change quickly
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Mobile broadband today
Enablers of growth:- Competition- New market players- New business models- Falling prices- Growing speeds- Improved QoS- Bundled packages- Flat rates- Cheaper devices
Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database
Top 20 mobile broadband economies (total numbers), 2008
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11
Competition in selected services, world, 2007
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Basicservices
Mobilecellular (2G)
Internetservices
Wirelesslocal loop
DSL 3G FixedWireless
Broadband
Monopoly Competition
Competition A competitive market
environment is key to promote investment, spur growth and extend connectivity
Removing market entry barriers & open access policies may speed up market development and provide a win-win scenario for investors, service providers & consumers
Additional reforms could ensure a level-playing field for all market players
Competition in selected services, 2008
Source: ITU Telecommunication Regulatory Database
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ICTs at home, 2009
People
Households
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IMT on the riseGrowth in IMT 2000 technologies
1832 38 38
30 32
1120 30 30
26
3013 13
24 24
12 12
80
99
109 111
1
19
6
44
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
3908
3
both WCDMA+CDMA
WCDMA+HSDPA
WCDMA only
CDMA+EV-DO
CDMA 1x
2007
Growing variety of: Technologies Operators Commercial IMT networks Business models (MVNOs,
operators sharing network elements, etc.)
Service offers Subscribers Networks coverage Cheaper handsets
Source: ITU Trends in Telecommunication Reform 2007: The Road to NGN
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Is there still room for growth?
Note: Prediction based on one network deploymentSource: ITU (2007), "CPM Report on technical, operational and regulatory/procedural matters to be
considered by the 2007 World Radiocommunication Conference"
Predicted Total1280 MHz Low1720 MHz High
Identified
Low DemandNet Additional MHz needed
High Demand Net Additional MHz needed
Region One (Europe, Africa and Middle East)
693 MHz 587 MHz 1027 MHz
Region Two (Americas) 723 MHz 557 MHz 997 MHz
Region Three (Asia) 749 MHz 531 MHz 971 MHz
Predicted spectrum requirements by the year 2020 for IMT
Major new subscribers during 2007 came from BRIC economies
Brazil: 15 millionRussia: 20 millionIndia: 45 millionChina: 80 million
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Regulatory incentives to promote BWA in developing Countries
Market liberalization -- competition drives investment Need to develop/enforce pro-competition regulations Support entry by all interested parties and technologies Wireless access technologies likely to play a key role Encourage small-scale market operation, especially for rural areas More flexible licensing practices, e.g. unified licenses/general
authorizations Innovative spectrum practices Infrastructure sharing/Open Access to promote fibre backbones Tax incentives Subsidies: grants for community planning efforts, subsidized or low-
interest loans
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Services delivered over BWA platforms
Voice High-speed Internet access Mobile VoIP Mobile TV, mobile IPTV and multimediaApplications: M-education M-health M-business
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More Information
http://www.itu.int/ict