the value of pcsk9 inhibitors: a matter of perspective€¦ · autosomal dominant inheritance...

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The Value of PCSK9 Inhibitors: A Matter of Perspective David Huggar, PharmD Masters of Pharmacotherapy Candidate The University of Texas at Austin College of Pharmacy Pharmacotherapy Education and Research Center University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio Learning Objectives 1. Summarize the epidemiology and pathophysiology of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) 2. Summarize recommendations for prevention of ASCVD 3. Review the PCSK9 inhibitor drug class, including relevant clinical and economic analyses 4. Identify appropriate patient population for PCSK9 inhibitor use

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Page 1: The Value of PCSK9 Inhibitors: A Matter of Perspective€¦ · Autosomal dominant inheritance pattern 2. Most mutations occur in the LDL-receptor gene—on chromosome 19 3. Mutations

TheValueofPCSK9Inhibitors:AMatterofPerspective

DavidHuggar,PharmDMastersofPharmacotherapyCandidate

TheUniversityofTexasatAustinCollegeofPharmacyPharmacotherapyEducationandResearchCenter

UniversityofTexasHealthScienceCenteratSanAntonio

LearningObjectives1. Summarizetheepidemiologyandpathophysiologyofatheroscleroticcardiovascular

disease(ASCVD)2. SummarizerecommendationsforpreventionofASCVD3. ReviewthePCSK9inhibitordrugclass,includingrelevantclinicalandeconomicanalyses4. IdentifyappropriatepatientpopulationforPCSK9inhibitoruse

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CardiovascularDisease&Hyperlipidemia

1. AtheroscleroticCardiovasculardisease(ASCVD)a. AmericanCollegeofCardiology/AmericanHeartAssociation(ACC/AHA)definitionsinclude1,2:

i. Myocardialinfarction(MI)ii. Coronaryheartdisease(CHD)iii. Unstableangina

b. OveralldeathrateattributabletoASCVD3

i. 230deaths/100,000Americansperyearii. Morethan2,150AmericansdieofASCVDeachday;1deathevery40secondsiii. 34%ofASCVD-associateddeathsoccurbeforeageof75years

c. CostsofASCVD3,4

i. EstimatedannualcostsforASCVD(2011)—$320.1billionii. Projectedtoincreasetomorethan$818billionannuallyby2030iii. Averagehospitalcharge(in2012)

1. Cardiac/vascularsurgery—$78,8972. Cardiacrevascularization—$149,4803. Percutaneousintervention—$70,027

Table1:RiskfactorsofASCVD2Modifiable Non-Modifiable

Smoker AgeObesity(BMI>30kg/m2) FamilyhistoryofearlyCVDHypertension MalesexDiabetesmellitus Race(AfricanorAsianorigin)Hyperlipidemia

2. Hyperlipidemia(HLD)a. Cholesterolisanessentialcomponentoflife5

i. Buildingblockofcellmembranesii. Componentofsteroidhormonesynthesisiii. Requiredforproductionofbileacids

b. RoleinASCVD6

i. Circulatingcholesterolpenetratesandaccumulatesinarterialwalls1. Initiatesinflammatoryresponse2. Enhancesfoamcell/plaqueformationleadingtopartialorcompleteocclusion

ii. AtherosclerosisincreasesriskofCHD,stroke,andperipheralvasculardiseasec. Lipidstransportedthroughoutbodyascomplexeswithproteins5,6

i. Low-densitylipoproteins(LDL)1. ElevatedlevelsareassociatedwithincreasedriskofCVD2. TakenupbyliverviamembraneLDL-receptors3. LDLparticlesizeinfluencesatherogenicpotential

ii. High-densitylipoproteins(HDL)1. Removescholesterolfromperipheraltissueandtransportstoliverforexcretion2. LowserumconcentrationsassociatedwithincreasedriskofCVDevents

iii. Triglycerides(TGs)1. Serumlevelsstronglyinfluencedbyrecentdietaryintake2. UnclearroleinASCVDdevelopment

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Fig.1—Cholesterolsynthesispathways

EncyclopediaBritannica.www.britannica.com/science/cholesterol.2007.

Hyperlipidemia(HLD)continuedd. FamilialHypercholesterolemia(FH)7-12

i. Geneticdefectsthatresultinhypercholesterolemia1. Autosomaldominantinheritancepattern2. MostmutationsoccurintheLDL-receptorgene—onchromosome193. MutationstoApolipoproteinB(ApoB)accountfor~5%ofFHcases4. Mutationstoproproteinconvertasesubtilisintype-9(PCSK9)accountfor~1%ofFHcases

ii. HeterozygousFH(HeFH)1. AssociatedwithLDLlevels250-350mg/dL2. ~1:500peopleglobally;500,000-1,300,000casesinUS3. SevereHeFHassociatedwithsignificantlyincreasedriskofCVD

iii. HomozygousFH(HoFH)1. AssociatedwithLDLlevels>500mg/dL2. ~1:1,000,000peopleglobally;300-500diagnosedcasesinUS3. Highlevelsofplasmacholesteroloftenprevalentatbirth4. UntreatedpatientsoftenexperiencefirstmajorCVeventduringadolescence

iv. Clinicalpresentation1. Strongfamilyhistoryofelevatedcholesterollevelsorearlycardiovascularevents2. Cholesterollevelsresistanttotreatmentinparent(s)3. Xanthomas—cholesteroldepositsinskinortendons4. Xanthelasmas—cholesteroldepositsintheeyelids5. Elevatedlevelsofinflammatorymarkersreflectearlyatherogenesis6. CoronarycalcificationsignificantlymoreprominentinadolescentswithFH

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Hyperlipidemia(HLD)continuede. SupplementalpredictorsofCVrisk6,14-16

i. Apolipoprotein-B(ApoB)1. Primaryproteincomponent

ofnon-HDL2. Necessaryforlipidtransport

andLDLuptake3. Elevatedlevelsassociated

withincreasedriskofASCVDii. High-sensitivityC-reactiveprotein(hs-CRP)

1. Acutephasereactantusedtomeasureinflammation

2. ElevatedlevelsconsideredpredictiveoffutureCVDeventrisk

iii. Lipoprotein(a)1. Lipoprotein(a)transportslipidsand

reducesfibrinolysis2. Hasstructuralsimilaritiestoplasminogen3. Levelsaregeneticallydeterminedandremainrelativelyconstant

iv. Lipoprotein-associatedphospholipaseA21. Aninflammatoryenzymeassociatedwithatherosclerosis2. ElevatedlevelsshowntodoubleriskofCVevents3. Higherpredictivevaluewhenelevatedinconcertwithhs-CRP

v. Coronarycalciumscore1. Calciumdepositsinarterialwallsasresponsetoinflammation2. Calcificationstiffensarterialwallsandreduceselasticity3. SignificantlymoreprominentinadolescentswithFHthanthosewithout

Fig.3—TreatmentoptionsforHLD

Statins

•Atorvastatin•Fluvastatin•Lovastatin•Pravastatin•Rosuvastatin•Simvastatin

Niemann-PickInhibitor

•Ezetimibe

PCSK9Inhibitors

• Alirocumab• Evolocumab

FibricAcids

•Fenofibrate•Gemfibrozil

Fig.2—AHAFHDiagnosis13

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TreatmentGuidelines

Fig.4—AmericanCollegeofCardiology/AmericanHeartAssociationguidelinesfortheuseofstatintherapyinat-riskpatients17

Fig.5—NationalLipidAssociationguidelinesformanagementofhyperlipidemia2

3. Controversiessurroundinglipidgoalsa. ACC/AHA—treatment-drivenguidelines18,19

i. 4S—simvastatinreducesall-causemortalityinpatientswithpriorMIandhyperlipidemiaii. WOSCOPS—pravastatinreducedincidenceofMIanddeathinpatientswithmoderate

hyperlipidemiaandnohistoryofCVDb. NLA—LDLgoal-drivenguidelines20

i. PROVEIT-TIMI22—HigherdosestatinresultedinLDL<70mg/dLandbetteroutcomesc. Dearthofstudiescomparingtreatmentandgoal-drivenapproaches

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LDLGoal-DrivenTherapy

MurphySA,CannonCP,BlazingMA,etal.Reductionintotalcardiovasculareventswithezetimibe/simvastatinpost-acutecoronarysyndrome:TheIMPROVE-ITtrial.JAmColl

Cardiol.2016;67(4):353-61.Objective • ToidentifywhetheradditionalLDL-loweringaddingezetimibetostatintherapyis

clinicallybeneficialDesign • Multicenter,double-blind,randomizedcontrolledtrial

• n=18,144• Medianfollow-up:6years

InclusionCriteria

• Age≥50years• RecenthospitalizationforACS• LDL-C≥50mg/dL

ExclusionCriteria

• StrokeorTIA• Useofstatinmorepotentthansimvastatin40mg• UntreatedLDL≥125mg/dL,treatedLDL≥100mg/dL• PlannedCABGforACSevent

PrimaryOutcome

• Compositeof:CVmortality,majorCVevent,ornonfatalstroke

Interventions • Simvastatin40mg+ezetimibe10mgdaily,or• Simvastatin40mg+placebodaily

Results Primaryoutcome:• CompositeofCVmortality,majorCVevent,ornonfatalstroke:32.7%vs.34.7%[HR0.94;CI0.89-0.99;p=0.016]

Secondaryoutcomes:• Compositeofall-causemortality,majorCVevent,ornonfatalstroke:38.7%vs.40.3%[HR0.95;CI0.9-1.0;p=0.03]

• CompositeofCVmortality,nonfatalMI,urgentrevascularization:17.5%vs.18.9%[HR0.91;CI0.85-0.98;p=0.02]

• All-causemortality:15.3%vs.15.4%[HR0.99;CI0.91-1.07;p=0.78]• MortalityfromCVcauses,MI,orstroke:20.4%vs.22.2%[HR0.9;CI0.84-0.96;p=0.003]• Stroke:4.2%vs.4.8%[HR0.86;CI0.73-1.0;p=0.05]• MI:13.1%vs.14.8%[HR0.87;CI0.8-0.95;p=0.002]• LDLat1-yearfollow-up:53.2vs.69.9mg/dL(p<0.001)

Safety • Nodifferenceinpre-specifiedsafetyendpointsAuthor’sConclusion(s)

• Lipid-loweringtherapywithezetimibeplussimvastatinimprovedclinicaloutcomes,supportingintensivelipid-loweringtherapyafteraninitialCVevent.

ReviewerCritique

• Useofmoderate-intensitystatininhigh-riskpopulationisnotstandardofcare• LowerserumLDLassociatedwithsignificantdecreasesinMI,stroke,andCV-relatedmortality

• Establishesaroleforadditionofnon-statintherapyinhigh-riskpatients

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ProproteinConvertaseSubtilisin/KexinType-9(PCSK9)

4. PhysiologicfunctionofPCSK922a. DegradeshepaticLDLreceptorsb. FewerLDLreceptorsresultsinhigherserumLDLconcentrationsc. Sterolreceptorelementbindingproteins(SREBP-2s)regulatePCSK9andLDL-receptorproductiond. StatinsinduceproductionofPCSK9e. PCSK9functioncanbeinhibitedwithmonoclonalantibodies(mAbs)

i. Bindtheepidermalgrowthfactor-likeA(EGF-A)domainii. EGF-AisthecatalyticdomainwherePCSK9bindsandinitiatesLDL-Rdegradation

Fig.6—TheroleofPCSK9inlipidmetabolism

5. PCSK9roleinCVD

a. Gain-of-function(GOF)mutationstoPCSK9promoteLDL-receptordegradationandresultinhighserumLDLconcentrations,earlystrokeandMI22,23

i. ThreegenerationsofFrenchfamilywithGOFmutationhadserumLDLconcentrationsof466mg/dLb. Loss-of-function(LOF)mutationstoPCSK9inhibitLDL-receptorbreakdownandresultinlowserumLDL

concentrations22,24i. TwowomenwithLOFmutationsresultedinserumLDLconcentrationsmeasured~15mg/dLii. IncreasedratesofLOFmutationsinblacksfoundtoresultin28%lowerserumLDLconcentrations

andnearly90%lowerriskofCAD6. PCSK9Inhibitors25,26

a. Alirocumab(Praluent®)[Regeneron/Sanofi]—fullyhumanmAbapprovedJuly24th,2015i. 75mg,150mgsqinjectionevery2weeksii. AWP~$14,600/year

b. Evolocumab(Repatha™)[Amgen]—fullyhumanmAbapprovedAugust27th,2015i. 140mgsqinjectionevery2weeks,or420mgsqinjectionevery4weeksii. AWP~$14,100/year

c. Investigationali. RN316(bococizumab)[Pfizer]—humanizedmAbii. LY3015014[EliLilly]—fullyhumanmAb

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Fig.7—TimelineofPCSK9inhibitordiscoveryanddevelopment

GearingME.Apotentialnewweaponagainstheartdisease:PCSK9inhibitors.HarvardUniversity.2015.

7. Currentlitigationa. AmgencontendsRegeneron/Sanofiinfringedonevolocumabpatentsb. Regeneron/Sanofiarguethepatentswereinvalidc. UScourtsruledinfavorofAmgeninMarchd. Praluent™maybetakenoffthemarket

8. FDAapprovedindications25,26a. AdditionalloweringofLDLinpatientsunabletocontrolserumlevelswithcurrenttreatmentoptionsb. Asanadjuncttodietandmaximally-toleratedstatintherapyinselectpatientgroups

Table3:FDAapprovedindicationsforPCSK9inhibitorsDrug Adjunctive

therapyforHeFH

AdjunctivetherapyforHoFH

Adjunctivetherapyinpatientsw/clinicalASCVDrequiringadditionalLDL-lowering

Alirocumab √ √Evolocumab √ √ √

9. Safety25-27

a. Adverseeffects:i. Diarrhea,increasedserumtransaminases,injection-sitereactions,hypersensitivityreactions,

infection,myalgiaii. Neurocognitiveimpairment

1. 2ndmostcommonpatient-reportedadverseeffectofstatins2. Mechanismofdevelopmentisunclear,orevenrelatedtocholesterollevels

a. Decreasedratesofneuronalre-myelinationduetodecreasedcholesterolb. Decreasedcholesteroldeliverytoneuronscausingimpairedsynapticfiring

3. FDAhasmandatedfurtherassessmentinphaseIVstudies

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PreliminaryOutcomes

Title ODYSSEYLONGTERM27 OSLER28

OSLER-1 OSLER-2Objective • Toobtainlonger-termdataon

alirocumab’ssafetyandLDLcholesterolreduction

• Toobtainlonger-termdataonevolocumab’ssafety,side-effectprofile,andLDLcholesterolreduction

Design • Multicenter,double-blind,parallel-group,randomized,controlledtrial

• n=2,310• ITTanalysis

• Twoopen-label,randomized,controlledtrialso OSLER-1:PhaseIIo OSLER-2:PhaseIII

• Eachtrialcomposedof5-7smallertrials• n=4,465

InclusionCriteria • ≥18years• Highriskforcardiovascularevent:

o HeFHo CHDorriskequivalent

• LDL-C≥70mg/dL• Receivinghigh-dosestatintherapyormaxtolerated≥4weeks

• 18-80years• Highriskofcardiovascularevent• LDL75-189mg/dL• Stableonstatintherapy≥4weeks

ExclusionCriteria • LDL<70mg/dLorTG>400mg/dL• Recentorfutureplasmaexchange• ACS,stroke,orPVDinterventioninprevious3mos.

• NYHAclassIIIorIV• HoFH

• ClinicaldiagnosisofHoFH• Lipoproteinapheresisinpreceding4months• Malignancy• RecentMIorstroke• 10-YearFraminghamriskscore>10%

Interventions • Statin+alirocumab150mgsqQ2W• Statin+placebosqQ2W• Randomized2:1

• Standardtherapy+evolocumabo Evolocumab140mgQ2W,oro Evolocumab420mgQ4W

• Standardtherapy+placebo• Randomized2:1

MeanAge 60.4vs.60.6years 57.8vs.58.2yearsHxofCHD 68%vs.70% 19.8%vs.20.6%MedianTClevel 153vs.152mg/dL 202vs.205mg/dL

MedianLDLlevel 123vs.122mg/dL 120vs.121mg/dLPrimaryOutcomes • ChangeinLDL-Cfrombaselinetoweek24:

-74.2vs.-3.6mg/dL(p<0.001)• Incidenceofadverseevents:69.2%vs.64.8%(p=NR)

SecondaryOutcomes

• LDL-C<70mg/dL:79.3%vs.8.0%(p<0.001)• LDL-CΔfrombaseline-week78:-52.4mg/dLvs.+3.6mg/dL(p<0.001)

• Post-hocmajorCVevents:1.7%vs.3.3%(p=0.02)

• NonfatalMI:0.9%vs.2.3%(p=0.01)

• %changeinLDL-Cfrombaseline:61%(CI59-63%,p<0.001)

• LDL<70mg/dLat12weeks:73.6%vs.3.8%• Cardiovasculareventrates:0.95%vs.2.18%[HR0.47,CI0.28-0.78(p=0.003)]

AnyAE 81%vs82.5%(p=0.4) 69.2%vs.64.8%(p=NR)SeriousAE 18.7%vs.19.5%(p=0.66) 7.5%vs.7.5%(p=NR)Myalgia 5.4%vs.2.9%(p=0.006) 6.4%vs.6.0%(p=NR)NeurocognitiveAE 1.2%vs.0.5%(p=0.17) 0.9%vs.0.3%(p=NR)

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Pharmacoeconomics

10. Sowhat?30-32a. Americansspent~$310billiononallmedicationsin2015

i. $18.7billionspentoncholesterol-loweringmedicationsb. PCSK9inhibitorsprojectedtobethecostliestdrugclassever

i. Estimated$16B-$150billionadditionalspendannuallyintheUSc. Anestimated3in5bankruptciesareduetomedicalbillsd. Hospitalandhealth-systempharmaciestraditionallyviewedascost-centers

11. ACC/AHAeconomicanalysis33a. Publishedformalrecommendationsforinclusionofcostinassessingthevalueofcareb. Valueisdefinedasafunctionofresults(eg.safety,outcomes)andcostc. Summaryofimplementationrecommendations

i. Analysesshouldbeundertakenfromthesocietalperspectiveii. AnalysesshouldbelimitedtouseofdatarelevanttotheUnitedStatesorNorthAmericaiii. Thresholdsforvalueshouldincludeanupperandlowerboundaryiv. Performancemeasuresshouldconsidercostanalysesresults

12. Pharmacoeconomicanalysis34-38a. Subsetofoutcomesresearchintendedtoprovideobjectivemeasuresofvalueb. Valueisassumedfromtheperspectiveofeithersociety,payers,providers,orpatientsc. Fourbasictypesofanalysescomparecostsinputsofaproduct/servicewithoutcomes

Table3:PharmacoeconomicanalysesMethodology CostMeasurementUnit OutcomeMeasurementUnit

Cost-minimizationanalysis $orothermonetaryunit N/A;assumedequivalentCost-benefitanalysis $orothermonetaryunit $orothermonetaryunitCost-effectivenessanalysis $orothermonetaryunit AcommonnaturalunitCost-utilityanalysis $orothermonetaryunit Quality-adjustedlifeyear(QALY)or

otherutilityAnalysesshouldemployoneof:societal,payer,provider,orpatientperspective

Adaptedfrom:RascatiKL.Essentialsofpharmacoeconomics.2nded.Baltimore,MD.LippincottWilliams&Wilkins.2014.

d. Cost-effectivenessanalysis(CEA)i. Comparesrelativecostsandoutcomesof≥2products/servicesii. Cannotcompareproducts/serviceswithdifferentoutcomemeasuresiii. Doesnotaccountfordifferencesinside-effectprofiles

e. Cost-utilityanalysis(CUA)i. Comparesrelativecostsandutility-weightedoutcomesof≥2products/servicesii. Utilityweightsarea0.0(death)to1.0(perfecthealth)measureofoutcomepreferenceiii. Incorporatespatientorsocietalpreferencesintovaluemeasures

f. Measuringvaluei. Willingness-to-pay(WTP):Howmuchpeoplearewillingtopaytoreducethechanceofanadverse

healthoutcomeii. Incrementalcost-effectratio(ICER):(CostA–CostB)/(OutcomeA–OutcomeB)iii. Quality-adjustedlifeyears(QALYs):Outcomesinyearsoflifegained,adjustedforpatientpreferenceiv. Budgetaryimpact:theestimatedoverallcostofaddingaproducttotheformulary

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Pharmacoeconomicanalysiscontinued34-38

g. Historicvaluebenchmarksi. Regularlycited$50,000/QALYthresholdstemsfromacongressionalmandatethatdialysisbe

coveredforMedicarerecipientsii. TheWorldHealthOrganization(WHO)valuesQALYsat3xGDPpercapita

h. Recentvaluebenchmarksi. NewtreatmentoptionsforhepatitisCwereevaluatedashigh-to-reasonablevalueat

≤$20,000/QALYii. Meta-analysesofcurrentdialysisvaluereportsICERsbetween$65,496-$488,360perQALY

EconomicLiterature

TiceJA,OllendorfDA,CunninghamC,PearsonSD,KaziDS,etal.PCSK9inhibitorsfortreatmentofhighcholesterol:effectiveness,valueandvaluebasedpricebenchmarks.ICERNovember2015.

Purpose • ToevaluatethecomparativeclinicaleffectivenessandcomparativevalueofPCSK9inhibitorsasaclassforpatientswithelevatedLDL

Design • Cost-utilityanalysiso Carevalueo Budgetaryimpact

ScenariosModeled

• Familialhypercholesterolemia(FH)• ClinicalCVD—secondaryprevention

o Statin-intolerant(assumed10%)o Statin-tolerant,notatLDLgoal(<70mg/dL)

• Willingness-to-paythresholdso $50,000/QALYo $100,000/QALYo $150,000/QALY

PopulationsModeled

Outcomes • Costperquality-adjustedlife-year(QALY)Methods • UsedCVDpolicymodel

o EntireUSadultpopulationage35-74yearsin2015o Assumedhealthsystemperspectiveforbothanalyses

• Definedfamilialhypercholesterolemiaas:o LDL>250mg/dLwithoutstatinuseo LDL≥200mg/dLwithstatinuse

• Stratified10%ofthepopulationwithhistoryofCVDtomodelstatin-intolerance• Appliedlifetimehorizonof95-yearsold• Discountedfuturecostsandbenefitsby3%eachsuccessiveyear

Assumptions • Costsfromthehealthsystemperspective• DrugeffectsonoutcomesaredirectlyproportionaltodegreeofLDLreduction

Abletotoleratestatin?

Yes-Treatmentwithstatinalone-Treatmentwithstatinplusezetimibe-TreatmentwithastatinplusPCSK9inhibitor

No-Notreatment-Treatmentwithezetimibealone-TreatmentwithaPCSK9inhibitor

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• PCSK9inhibitorshavenoeffectonriskofstroke• Tenpercentofpersonsexposedtostatinsareintolerant• Ageandsexspecificcostswereextrapolatedfromnationaldata• Annualcostbasedonwholesaleacquisitioncost

o Ezetimibe—$2,828/yro PCSK9inhibitors(class)—$14,350/yr

• ~2.6millionpersonswouldreceiveaPCSK9inhibitorinthefollowing5years• Budgetimpactthresholdis$904million

Results Value-basedpricebenchmarksforPCSK9inhibitortherapy

Population CareValuePrice:$100K/QALY

CareValuePrice:$150K/QALY

MaxPriceatPotentialBudgetImpactThreshold

Value-BasedPriceBenchmark

FH(n=453,443) $5,700/yr $8,000/yr $10,278/yr $5,700-$8,000/yrCVDstatin-intolerant(n=364,948)

$5,800/yr $8,300/yr $12,896/yr $5,800-$8,300/yr

CVDnotatLDLgoal(n=1,817,788)

$5,300/yr $7,600/yr $2,976/yr $2,976/yr

Total(n=2,636,179)

$5,404/yr $7,735/yr $2,177/yr $2,177/yr

FH:familialhypercholesterolemia;CVD:cardiovasculardisease;LDL:low-densitylipoprotein;QALY:quality-adjustedlifeyearAuthor’sdiscussion

• PCSK9inhibitorsmaysubstantiallyreducenon-fatalMIs,non-fatalstrokes,andcardiovasculardeathoveralifetime

• PCSK9inhibitorsgeneratedICERsthatexceedcommonly-acceptedthresholds• An85%reductioninlistpricewouldbenecessarytoavoidaddingexcessivecostburdenstothe

healthcaresystemReviewer’scritique

• CVDmodelnotapplicabletopatients<35yearsold• FHdiagnosisnotin-linewithcurrentrecommendationsfordiagnosis• UsedhistoricLDLtreatmentgoalvaluesnolongerstandardofcare• Tenpercentstatinintolerancerateisanoverestimation• Outcomeeventreductiondoesnotreflectresultsfromrecentstudies• DrugeffectsonCVDwerebasedonLDLreductionalone• Sensitivityanalysesofbasecasesconsistentlysensitivetolowerpriceandlongeranalysishorizon• Usedarbitrarybudgetimpactthresholdthatdoesnotreflectrealworldpolicy

13. ICERreportsummary39

a. ICERmodeledPCSK9useinstatintolerantandintolerantpatientsi. Comparedtoezetimibeuseii. Baselinestatinuse

b. Utilizedacost-benefitanalysistocomparevalueofezetimibeandPCSK9inhibitorsasadd-ontherapiesc. ICERfindsPCSK9inhibitorsonlyviableastreatmentoptionswithoutrestrictionatapriceof$2,177—aprice

lessthanthecurrentAWPofezetimibed. Findingsarebasedonquestionablemodelingofpopulationandeventratese. Costsmisspotentiallysignificanteventsavoided

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Conclusion14. Clinicalsummary40,41

a. PCSK9inhibitorssignificantlydecreaseserumLDLcholesteroli. EvolocumabdecreasedLDLby~61%at48-weeksii. AlirocumabdecreasedLDLby61%at24weeks,and58%at78weeks

b. LDLcholesterollevelsbelow70mg/dLmayresultinfurtherimprovedCVDoutcomesi. MeanabsoluteLDLlevelwas48mg/dLat24weeksoftherapyinODYSSEY

c. Interimanalysesindicateadditional48-53%eventreductionwhenaddedtostatintherapyd. Studiesofsafetyconcludeneitherdrugpossessesasignificantadverseeffectprofile

i. Similarratesofadverseeventsleadingtodiscontinuationwereobservedbetweenalirocumabandplacebo,respectively:

ii. SlightlyhigherratesofneurocognitiveeventswithPCSK9inhibitorscomparedtoplacebo(notstatisticallysignificant)

e. Interimoutcomesanalysestrendingtowardssignificanteventreduction

15. Costsummary39a. PCSK9inhibitorsprojectedtobecostliestdrugclassinhistoryatcurrentaveragewholesaleprices(AWPs)

i. PraluentAWP:$14,600/yearii. RepathaAWP:$14,100/year

b. ICERfindings:i. ICERsatlistpricerangefrom$274,00-$302,00perQALYformodeledpopulationsii. Limitingusetoonlypost-MIpatientsstillresultsincosts>$150,000/QALYiii. ConcludedclassisviableatalowerpricethancurrentAWPforZetia®iv. Markedflawsinmodelingandcostassumptions

c. Emergingpay-for-performancedealscompensatepayersforunmetclinicaloutcomes

16. Clinicalrecommendationsa. Reserveasadd-onagentsinpatientswithgenetically-confirmedFHafterinitiatingstatintherapy

i. PrimarypreventioninpatientswithHoFHii. Primarypreventioninpatientswithhigher-riskHeFHiii. SecondarypreventioninmostpatientswithHeFH

b. Reserveasadd-onagentsforsecondarypreventioninhigh-riskpatientswithoutFHc. Keepawatchfuleyeonoutcomesdatalikelytobemadeavailableby2017

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AppendixAppendix1:Selectstudiesassessingstatin-inducedLDL-loweringandCVDoutcomes18-20,45-53

Trial N Intervention MeanbaselineLDL(mg/dL)

MeanLDLreduction

CVDeventreductionrate

NNT

Placebocontrolled4S(1994) 4444 Simvastatin20mg 188 35% 34%(p<0.0001) 15WOSCOPS(1996) 6595 Pravastatin40mg 192 26% 31%(p<0.001) 42AFCAPS/TEXCAPS(1998)

6605 Lovastatin20-40mg 150 25% 37%(p<0.001) 24

MIRACL(2001) 3086 Atorvastatin80mg 124 58% 16%(p=0.048) 39ALLHAT-LLT(2002) 3638 Pravastatin40mg 146 28% 9%(p<0.96) 43HPS(2002) 20536 Simvastatin40mg 131 30% 23%(p<0.0001) 19CARDS(2004) 2838 Atorvastatin10mg 117 40% 37%(p<0.001) 24ASPEN(2006) 2410 Atorvastatin10mg 113 30% 10%(NS) 4MEGA(2006) 8214 Pravastatin10-20mg 157 18% 33%(p=0.01) 6SPARCL(2006) 4731 Atorvastatin80mg 133 42% 26%(p<0.001) 15JUPITER(2008) 17802 Rosuvastatin20mg 108 50% 44%(p<0.00001) 82StatincomparativeefficacyPROVEIT-TIMI22(2004)

4162 Atorvastatin40mgvs.pravastatin40mg

106vs.106 95vs62mg/dL

16%(p<0.005) 2

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