the value of information lecture4

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    The Value of Information

    In modern supply chains,

    information replaces inventory.

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    Value of Information Helps reduce variability in the supply chain. Helps suppliers make better forecasts,

    accounting for promotions and market changes. Enables the coordination of manufacturing and

    distribution systems & strategies. Enables retailers to better serve their

    customers by offering tools for locatingdesired items.

    Enables retailers to react and adapt to supplyproblems more rapidly.

    Enables lead time reductions.

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    Factors Contributing to Supply

    Chain Variability

    Demand forecasting

    Lead timeBatch ordering

    Price fluctuation

    Inflated orders

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    The Bullwhip effectIn recent years many suppliers and

    retailers have observed that whilecustomer demand for specificproducts does not vary very much,inventory and back-order levels

    fluctuate considerably across theirsupply chain.

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    Bullwhip EffectFluctuations in orders increase as they move up

    the supply chain from retailers to wholesalers

    to manufacturers to suppliersDistorts demand information within the supply

    chain, where different stages have verydifferent estimates of what demand looks like

    Results in a loss of supply chain coordination

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    Retailer

    Wholesaler

    Distributor

    Manufacturer

    External Demand

    Delivery lead time

    Delivery lead time

    Delivery lead time

    Order lead time

    Order lead time

    Order lead time

    Production lead time

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    The Effect of Lack of

    Coordination on Performance Manufacturing cost (increases) Inventory cost (increases) Replenishment lead time (increases) Transportation cost (increases) Labor cost for shipping and receiving (increases) Level of product availability (decreases) Relationships across the supply chain (worsens)

    Profitability (decreases) The bullwhip effect reduces supply chain

    profitability by making it more expensive to providea given level of product availability

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    Methods of Coping with

    Bullwhip EffectReducing uncertainty

    Reducing variability

    Lead time reduction

    Strategic partnerships

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    Obstacles to Coordination

    in a Supply ChainIncentive Obstacles

    Information Processing Obstacles

    Operational Obstacles

    Pricing Obstacles

    Behavioral Obstacles

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    Managerial Levers to

    Achieve CoordinationAligning Goals and Incentives

    Improving Information Accuracy

    Improving Operational Performance

    Designing Pricing Strategies toStabilize Orders

    Building Strategic Partnerships andTrust

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    Aligning Goals and Incentives Align incentives so that each participant has

    an incentive to do the things that will

    maximize total supply chain profits Align incentives across functions

    Pricing for coordination

    Alter sales force incentives from sell-in (tothe retailer) to sell-through (by theretailer)

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    Improving Information

    AccuracySharing point of sale data

    Collaborative forecasting and planning

    Single stage control of replenishment Continuous replenishment programs (CRP)

    Vendor managed inventory (VMI)

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    Improving Operational

    Performance Reducing replenishment lead time Reducing lot sizes

    1. Computer-assisted ordering, B2B exchanges2. Shipping in LTL sizes by combining shipments3. Technology4. Changing customer ordering behavior

    Rationing based on past sales and sharing

    information to limit gaming Turn-and-earn Information sharing

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    Designing Pricing Strategies

    to Stabilize Orders Encouraging retailers to order in smaller lots and

    reduce forward buying Moving from lot size-based to volume-based

    quantity discounts (consider total purchases over aspecified time period) Stabilizing pricing

    Eliminate promotions (everyday low pricing,EDLP)

    Limit quantity purchased during a promotion Tie promotion payments to sell-through rather

    than amount purchased Building strategic partnerships and trust

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    Building Trust across Supply Chains1. Deterrence-based view

    2. Process-based view

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    Designing a Relationship

    with Cooperation and TrustAssessing the value of the

    relationship and its contributions

    Identifying operational roles anddecision rights for each party

    Creating effective contracts

    Designing effective conflictresolution mechanisms

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    Effect of Interdependence on

    Supply Chain Relationships

    P

    artner RelativelyPowerful High level ofInterdependence

    Low level ofInterdependence

    OrganizationRelativelyPowerful

    Org.Dependence

    Partners dependence

    High

    HighLow

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    Information & Supply Chain

    trade-offs The lot size-inventory trade-off

    The inventory-transportation cost trade-off

    The lead time-transportation cost trade-off

    The product variety-inventory trade-off

    The cost-customer service trade-off