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Status: Final Version: One © 2015 Australian Strategic Services THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… Game On, The Moves & Countermoves Of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In Tasmania ACS Tasmania State Conference 19–20 November 2015 Country Club Tasmania, Launceston Aged & Community Services • Tasmania

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Page 1: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One© 2015 Australian Strategic Services

T H E TA SS I E C H E SS B OA R D … Game On, The Moves & Countermoves Of Aged Care

& Health Care Organisations In Tasmania

ACS Tasmania State Conference 19–20 November 2015

Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Aged & CommunityServices • Tasmania

Page 2: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 2The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Contents

◆ Tasmanian Aged Care Yesterday

◆ Tasmanian Aged Care Today

◆ Tasmanian Aged Care Tomorrow

◆ TasCareD, An Innovative Resource

◆ Further Information

Page 3: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 3The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Aged Care, An Emerging Industry◆ In the previous years/post war years the three

regional public hospitals or rural hospitals provided most aged care services, eg: Toosey, Huonville

◆ In the 1950s/60s, community developed and driven residential aged care services and/or independent living services were established

◆ Majority of towns/communities developed what could be regarded as stand alone, NFP aged care organisations, eg: Peace Haven

◆ Significant amount of fundraising, donations or bequests, eg: Eliza Purton

◆ The Commonwealth Government passed the Aged Care Act in 1997

Tasmanian Aged Care Yesterday

Page 4: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 4The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Aged Care, An Emerging Industry

◆ Limited Tasmanian local government involvement in aged care services development and delivery, eg: Glamorgan Spring Bay Council/May Shaw

◆ Various Commonwealth and State government financial incentives, eg: CAM/SAM Funding

◆ A few small, stand alone NFP aged care organisations slowly grew services over time, but the majority of organisations stayed “town centric”

◆ In the 1990s, the first amalgamations of NFP aged care organisations commenced, since then an increasing trend, eg: Nazareth House, Ainslie House, etc

Tasmanian Aged Care Yesterday

Page 5: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 5The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

An Increasingly Hot Market 2006 Japara buys Cosgrove Park and Tamar

Park (closed 2013) from Park Group

Pre 2009 Calvary Community Care win home care packages

2008/09 Japara redevelops Cosgrove Park into residential care and independent living units

2013 Feros wins home care places in ACAR

2014 FBCN merges with integratedliving, following failed merger talks with FBCNW & CBSS Inc

Tasmanian Aged Care

Today

Page 6: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 6The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

An Increasingly Hot Market 2014 Japara allocated 45 residential places

in northern region (ACAR December 2014)

Submitted planning application to West Tamar Council in October 2014 for a 75 bed aged care facility, which is currently under construction

2014 RDNS wins home care places in ACAR, already operates TasCarepoint

2014 Island care acquires The Alcheringa Group (Vic)

Tasmanian Aged Care

Today

Page 7: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 7The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

An Increasingly Hot Market 2014 Fred French Trustees, Fred French and

Peace Haven agree to explore formal merger, apply to Supreme Court to vary Fred French Trust Deed

2015 Fred French, Peace Haven and Southern Homes commence formal merger investigation process

2015 Mary’s Grange into Southern Cross Care (underway)

2015 3 Tasmanian Health Organisations become one organisation

2015 RDNS and RSL Care announce merger ($1 billion combined asset base and $500 million revenue)

Tasmanian Aged Care

Today

◆ This is by no means an exhaustive list!!!!

Page 8: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 8The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

An Increasingly Hot Market ◆ Numbers refer to Commonwealth Government

funded aged care organisations

View 1

Care Type Delivered Organisations

Residential Care Only 16

Home Care Only 20

Residential & Home Care 19

Total 55

Tasmanian Aged Care

Today

Page 9: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 9The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

An Increasingly Hot Market ◆ Numbers refer to Commonwealth Government

funded aged care organisations

View 2

Care Type Delivered Organisations

Home Care 39

Residential Care 33

Total* 55

* Will not equal the two sections added together as some organisations are counted in both

Tasmanian Aged Care

Today

Page 10: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 10The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

An Increasingly Hot Market ◆ Today, private businesses, public businesses,

community businesses, State Government and non-Commonwealth government funded businesses deliver aged care services

* Public Businesses, eg: Japara

* Private Businesses, eg: Bupa, Kincare

* Community Businesses (NFP/Church/Charitable), eg: Uniting AgeWell (Vic/Tas)

* State Government, eg: THO

* Non-Commonwealth Government Funded, eg: Senior Helpers Tas, The Carer’s Phone/Prompt Care

Tasmanian Aged Care

Today

Page 11: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 11The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Tasmanian Aged Care

Today

Highly Capital Intensive

Inefficiencies

Highly Labour Intensive

Cross-subsidisation

Hig

h Le

gisla

tion

& R

egul

atio

n

Ove

r Ser

vici

ng

“Fixed” IncomeOver Rising Costs

Margins/Profit Squeeze

Ageing people, increasingly, short stays,

chronic health/ complex health

challenges requiring high care – sub-acute

© 2015 ASSPL

=

Prevailing Business/Service Model

Page 12: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 12The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Tasmanian Aged Care

TodayRedesign & Re-engineer Business/Service Model

Envision The Future, Develop The Strategy

Financial Modelling, Financial Planning

Restructure & Right Size Structure/Positions

Transition the People, Transition the CultureSystems Development

Time

Strategic Intent & Strategic Direction

Government Funded,

Welfare Paradigm

“Old Days, Old Ways”

Customer Driven, Deregulated, Competitive

Market Paradigm

“New Days, New Ways”

© 2015 ASSPL

Need For A Double Jump

◆ Transition to a new paradigm, whilst transitioning the organisation

Page 13: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 13The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Tasmanian Aged Care

Today

Commercialisation, Privatisation, Deregulation & Customer Choice◆ The Commonwealth Government aged care,

hospital and health care and disability reforms and policies have unleashed the combined forces of:

… commercialising organisations, eg: Feros Care

… privatising services, eg: NSW Home Care

… deregulating markets, eg: Home Care

… 100% customer choice, eg: NDIS

◆ The worlds of aged care, hospital and health care are colliding, whilst aged care and disability are colliding…aged care being in the middle of both collisions

Page 14: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 14The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Tasmanian Aged Care

Today Eg: Bupa, Japara,

Southern Cross Care (Tas), One Care (Tas),

Uniting AgeWell (Vic/Tas), Feros Care (National),

integratedliving, Anglicare (Tas), Calvary Community Care

Eg: Island Care (Tas/Vic), Hobart District Nurses, Corumbene

eg: Toosey, Fred French, Aged Care Deloraine, Huon Eldercare, South East Community Care, Peace Haven, May Shaw, Meercroft Care

© 2015 ASSPL

A Tiered Industry Has Emerged

◆ Nationally aged care providers can be strategically or organisationally categorised into Tier 1, Tier 2 or Tier 3.

Page 15: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 15The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Tasmanian Aged Care

Today

Tier One Providers

Tier Two Providers

© 2015 ASSPL

Financial Resources

Strategic Moves/Increasing & Excerting Downward

PressureBandwidth Increasing

Bandwidth ReducingUpward Strategic Moves,

Expanding Geographic Services

Pressure from Above, Constrained & Contained Bandwidth Reducing

HumanResources

Tier Three Providers

A Tiered Industry Has Emerged

Page 16: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 16The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Tasmanian Aged Care

Today

A Tiered Industry◆ The big strategic moves, primarily made by

Tier 1s/high-end Tier 2s, eg: Southern Cross Care

* Mary’s Grange (Tas) * Fairway Rise (Tas)

Island Care * Alcheringa (Vic) * Pyramid Hill (Vic) * Coates (Vic)

integratedliving * FBCN (Tas) * Package Transfers * Statewide CHSP (HACC)

Hobart District Nursing Services (District Nurses)

* Palliative Care Statewide

Page 17: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 17The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Tasmanian Aged Care

Today

From Tiered To Towered◆ Today’s prevailing industry triangle will continue

to be shaped by: * customers, carers and families’ choice and

demands * market/industry drivers and forces * Commonwealth and State government

reforms and policies

Tier Two

© ASSPL

Tier One

Tier Two

Tier Three© ASSPL

Tier Two

Tier One

Tier Three© ASSPL

Tier Three© ASSPL

Tier One

Page 18: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 18The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Tasmanian Aged Care

Today

Increasing Acuity, “The Sweet Spot”

Aged Care Services

Aged Care Services

Hospital & Health Services

Hospital & Health Services

HomeServices

RetirementLiving

Services

IndependentLiving

Services

Supported Independent

LivingServices

ResidentialCare

Services

Sub-acute Services

Acute Services

High Dependency

Services

IntensiveCare

Services

© 2015 ASSPL

People who are ageing & have

emerging or actual chronic health or complex health

challenges & require high care –

sub-acute services

Page 19: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 19The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Tasmanian Aged Care Tomorrow

What To Do About Tomorrow?◆ The big strategic question is, on what basis does

a board, chief executive officer and executive team make their strategic decisions about organisational strategies, capital development and business development:

* understanding past, present and future industry/sector trends and characteristics

* robust strategic thinking, strategic discussion and strategic planning

* detailed research and analysis of customers, markets/sub-markets and associated elements

Page 20: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 20The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Tasmanian Aged Care Tomorrow

◆ TasCareD is a comprehensive and integrated aged care database

◆ In summary, TasCareD provides a wide range of:

* organisational profiles

* community profiles

◆ TasCareD is an extremely powerful, data and information rich resource/tool that enables boards, chief executive officers and executives to make evidence-based/informed planning, project and strategy decisions

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Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 21The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Tasmanian Aged Care Tomorrow

Strictly Private & Commercially Confidential

TasCareD…The Tasmanian Aged Care Database

TasCareD…The Tasmanian Aged Care Database Status: Final Version: Master Date: 18 November 2015 ©2015 ASSPL

DSS A

ged Care Providers

Non-funded Age

d C

are

Prov

ider

s

DHHS Home Care/Disability ProvidersATO/T

axati

on Data

ABS &

DVA Population Data

Socio-economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) Data

Community Profiling Tool

Community Profiling Tool

Centrelin

k Dat

a

© 2015 ASSPL

Page 22: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 22The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Tasmanian Aged Care Tomorrow

Community ProfilesPostcode (can sort by LGA or ACPR)

7264 (Ansons Bay, Eddystone, Weldborough)

7004 (Battery Point, South Hobart)

ABS SEIFA (Advantage & Disadvantage)

866 (Australian average is 1000)

1046 (Australian average is 1000)

ABS SEIFA (Advantage & Disadvantage) - Rank w/ Tasmania

12 – a higher rank equates to a higher level of advantage 100

100 – a higher rank equates to a higher level of advantage

ATO Average total income or loss $34,425.13 $62,411.43

ATO % of individuals who receive an Australian Government pension or allowance

7.41% 6.06%

ABS No/% growth in 65-84 year olds (for applicable SA2)

1183/120.71 503/44.95

ABS No./% growth in people aged 85+ (for applicable SA2)

113/29.43 837/104.98

◆ Japara submitted a planning application to West Tamar Council in October 2014 for a 75 bed aged care facility, this is currently under construction

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Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 23The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Tasmanian Aged Care Tomorrow

TasCareD Benefits, Value & Costs◆ Brings together seven data sets to form a

unique, single resource rich database of data and information about Tasmanian Aged Care

◆ Includes population forecasts done specifically for aged care planning

◆ Can provide a snapshot of Tasmanian communities or more in depth analysis

◆ Easy access and usage, built in Excel

◆ Costs: $10,000 Large organisations $5,000 Medium organisations $2,500 Small organisations

Page 24: THE TASSIE CHESSBOARD… · Status Final Version One 2015 Australian Strategi Servies 5 The Tassie Chessoard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations

Status: Final Version: One

© 2015 Australian Strategic Services 24The Tassie Chessboard…Game On, The Moves & Countermoves of Aged Care & Health Care Organisations In TasmaniaThursday, 19 & Friday, 20 November, 2015, Country Club Tasmania, Launceston

Further Information

Michael Goldsworthy Principal Consultant Australian Strategic Services PO Box 275 Romsey Victoria 3434

Tel: 03 5429 6331 Mobile: 0418 130 581 Email: [email protected]

Aaron Goldsworthy Consultant

Tel: 03 5429 6331 Email: [email protected]