the swan hill region workforce development strategy · 2013-12-06 · source: swan hill rural city...
TRANSCRIPT
The Swan Hill Region Workforce Development Strategy
The Current State
Swan Hill Workforce
Aug 2013
FINAL AUG 2013
Table of contents
Contents Page
Glossary 5
Executive Summary
6
About this document 7
Population Overview 8
Population: Swan Hill’s population by district 9
Population: Age and gender profile 2006 – 2011 10
Population: Age, increasing and decreasing segments 11
Population: Projections to 2031 12
Cultural Diversity: Where residents were born and 2006 and 2011 compared 13-14
Cultural Diversity : Languages spoken at home 15-16
New residents: The municipalities people move from 17
New residents: The age when people move to Swan Hill 18
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Table of Contents (continued)
. Contents Page
Education Attainment 19
Population: Education attainment 20
Schools: Year 12 completions and VETiS 21
Educational attainment and labour market outcomes 22
Disengaged youth 23
Swan Hill Workforce 24
Swan Hill Workforce: Age profile 25
Swan Hill Workforce: Unemployment and workforce participation 26
Swan Hill Workforce: Unemployment by Swan Hill district 27
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Table of Contents (continued)
.
Contents Page
Swan Hill Workforce – Trends in Industries and Occupations 28
Employment trends in top eight industries 29
Industry employment trends for the 2001 – 2011 decade 30
Occupation Trends: Professionals in the Swan Hill LGA (2006-2011) 31
Occupation Trends: Community workers and personal workers in Swan Hill LGA (2006-2011) 32
Occupation Trends: Tradespeople and Technicians in Swan Hill (2006-2011) 33
Occupation Trends: Labourers in the Swan Hill (2006-2011) 34
Swan Hill Employers Recruitment Experiences 35
Employers’ Experiences: Difficult-to-fill occupations and recruitment 36
Employers’ Experiences and expectations 37
References 38
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Glossary
Term Description
ABS Australian Bureau of Statistics
DEEWR Department of Education, Employment and Workplace Relations
LLEN Local Learning and Employment Network
LGA A Rural Council or Shire Region
Mid Murray Employment Service Area This area includes the Swan Hill, Buloke and Gannawarra Local Government Areas
MMLEN Murray Mallee Local learning and Employment Network
NILFET Not in the Labour Force, Employment or Training
Non-school qualifications Qualifications gained beyond secondary school, e.g. Uni, TAFE, RTO
RTO Registered Training Organisation
SHRCC Swan Hill Rural City Council
Swan Hill LGA Swan Hill Local Government Area, used interchangeably with Swan Hill Rural City Council region
Swan Hill City Swan Hill city or township area of the Swan Hill Rural City Council
VET Vocational Education and Training
VETiS VET in Schools
Working age population ABS uses 15+ and DEEWR uses 15-64 unless otherwise stated
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Executive Summary
Swan Hill’s population • The population within the Swan Hill Rural City Municipality showed a small decline between 2006 and 2011. • The sharpest decline was in the 35 to 44 year age group. The number of 0-4 year olds and 20-24 year olds are increasing. • Slow growth over the next decade is projected for the municipality. Swan Hill township will experience the strongest growth. Cultural diversity • Nearly one fifth of Swan Hill residents were born outside Australia. • The number from South East Asia is increasing, growing by more than 500 between 2006 and 2011. Half were from India. Migration • Most people moving to Swan Hill from within Australian have moved from other Victorian municipalities. Most come from
neighbouring Shires and Bendigo. • Swan Hill attracts people from Melbourne, particularly the outer suburbs, such as Casey, Wyndham and Dandenong. Educational levels and VET in Schools • Swan Hill LGA is in the lowest 10 Victorian LGAs for Year 12 completion rates. • In 2006 64% of Swan Hill residents had completed year 12, much lower than the 72% average for Regional Victoria and
the 80% average for Metropolitan Melbourne. • The number of Swan Hill residents with non-school qualifications (gained beyond school. E.g. uni, TAFE) is rising. • Nearly a quarter of young women aged 20-24 living in Swan Hill are neither in paid employment nor enrolled in education. Largest and growth industries • Agriculture employs the largest number of people though the number decreased by 21% between 2011 and 2006. • The number of ‘Health and Social Assistance ‘ workers increased by 21% between 2006 and 2011. Growth occupations • Occupations experiencing strong recent growth include: registered nurses, personal carers, social workers, child care
workers and welfare workers. • Technical and trade occupations experiencing growth include, electricians, Architectural, Building and Surveying
Technicians, painters and meat workers. Difficult-to-fill roles • Loddon Murray received the lowest number of applicants for technician and trade roles. The main jobs unfilled were motor
mechanics, welders and fitter and turners. Employers report they often like prospective job hunters to approach them directly.
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About this document The Current State describes Swan Hill’s working age population and workforce
The Current State – Swan Hill Workforce is the second of eight documents that have been produced as part of the Swan Hill Region Workforce Development Strategy Project. It summarises the current population and workforce data to create a data story about the Swan Hill workforce and key trends. The data in this document contributes to the body of evidence on which the Workforce Development Strategy and Action Plan are be based. The Current State – Swan Hill Workforce The Current State document describes the Swan Hill Working population, employment by key industries and key trends. The data reveals: • Population trends, including the age spread and distribution • The working population, including cultural background, ages, gender participation, unemployment • Migration, where people are moving from and at what age • VET enrolments • Educational attainment and trends in VET enrolments • Employment trends, including growing industries and occupations • Difficult-to-fill occupations More detailed information on the four industries, which are the focus of the Swan Hill Region Workforce Development Strategy, are provided in the individual industry current state reports.
The Process
The Current State
Swan Hill Workforce
The Current State
Agriculture
The Current State
Manufacturing
The Current State
Community Sector
The Current State
Aged Care
The Future State Ac;on Plan
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Population Overview
Swan Hill’s population by district The population of the Swan Hill City is growing, while the populations in the smaller towns are declining
Manangatang
2,813 (2006)
2,577 (2011) ê 8%
Lake Boga
2,203 (2006)
2,043 (2011) ê 7%
Swan Hill City
9,920 (2006)
10,429 (2011) é 5%
Nyah / West Nyah
3,494 (2006)
3,286 (2011) ê 6%
Robinvale
2,210 (2006)
2,136 (2011) ê 3%
Total Population Swan Hill Rural Council
20,631 (2006)
20,451 (2011) ê
20,930 (2012) ERP*
Between 2006 and 2011 the population within the Swan Hill Rural City boundary showed a small decline. However, the estimated resident population (ERP) for 2012 suggests the population has returned to just above the 2006 level. While the number of people living in small towns in the region is decreasing, the number of people living in the Swan Hill City is increasing. Between 2006 and 2011 the population of the Swan Hill city increased by 5%.
Source: Swan Hill Rural City Council Website: Swan Hill Rural City Community Profile which provides demographic analysis for the City and its suburbs based on results from the 2011, 2006, 2001, 1996 and 1991 Censuses of Population and Housing. * The ERP is the estimated Resident Population, which is updated annually.
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Population: Age and gender profile The number of school age residents is decreasing and older residents are increasing
Source: Australian Bureau of Sta=s=cs 2011 Census of Popula=on and Housing
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000 Male 2001 2006 2011 Strongest
growth is among 55-74 in
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000 Female 2001 2006 2011
Sharpest decrease among 35-44
Sharpest decrease among 35-44
Population trends for males and females are similar. There are, however, differences between the age groups. While the number of young people (aged 5-14) and middle-aged (35-44) declined between 2006 and 2011, the number of people in the older age groups, from 55 to 85 increased. The 2006 and 2011 period has seen a small increase in the 0-4 age population.
Sharpest decrease among 35-44
Strongest growth is among 55-74
Small increase in male babies and toddlers
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Population: Increasing and decreasing segments Between 2006 and 2011 the working age population decreased
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011 Census of Population and Housing, Time Series Table One
-200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100
0-4 years
5-14 years
15-19 years
20-24 years
25-34 years
35-44 years
45-54 years
55-64 years
65-74 years
75-84 years
85 years and over
Population change from 2006 to 2011
Female Male
Shows an increase in segments of the working age popula5on
DECLINING | INCREASING
Between 2006 and 2011 the number of working age people in Swan Hill showed a small decline. The largest decline was in the 35-44 year age groups. However, for the same period, there were increases in segments of the working age population. The number of men aged 20-34 and women aged 20-24 increased.
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Population: Projections to 2031 The populations of Swan Hill and Robinvale townships are projected to increase
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011 Census of Population and Housing. Community Profile
2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Swan Hill (RC) - Central SLA 10,685 11,248 11,724 12,150 12,504 Swan Hill (RC) - Robinvale SLA 4,330 4,422 4,477 4,547 4,620 Swan Hill (RC) - Balance SLA 7,260 7,329 7,322 7,328 7,324
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Popu
latio
n Pr
ojec
tions
Population Projections to 2031
NOTE: SLA is a Statistical Local Area as defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics
The region’s population is expected to grow slowly over the next 20 years. Most of this growth will be in the Swan Hill township. Robinvale’s population is also projected to show small growth. The population in the region outside the two main towns is expected to experience a small increase to 2016 and then plateau.
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Cultural Diversity: Where residents were born In the last decade the number of residents born in South East Asian countries has grown
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011 Census of Population and Housing , Table builder to 4 digit level of detail
The 2011 Census showed more than 18% of the 20,500 people living within the Swan Hill Rural Council boundary were born outside Australia. Italy was the most common country of birth outside Australia, followed by India, then England. In the last decade, the Swan Hill region has attracted fewer people from England and South Eastern Europe and more people from South East Asia, the largest numbers from India.
295 271
198
162 159 146
119
80 79 72
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Italy India England New Zealand Tonga Vietnam Philippines Fiji Afghanistan Malaysia
2011 -‐ Top 10 countries of birth (excluding Australia)
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Cultural Diversity: 2006 and 2011 compared In the last decade the number of residents born in South East Asian countries has grown
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011 Census of Population and Housing, Table builder to 4 digit level of detail
-‐22
-‐21
-‐17
-‐15
18
19
20
24
25
26
38
40
51
53
227
-‐50 0 50 100 150 200 250
Korea, Republic of (South)
Italy
New Zealand
England
Fiji
Sudan
Malaysia
Cambodia
Indonesia
Hong Kong (SAR of China)
Thailand
Vietnam
Philippines
Taiwan
India
2006 to 2011 change in country of birth
Between 2006 and 2011 the number of Swan Hill residents from South East Asia grew by more than 500. Nearly half of these people were from India.
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Cultural Diversity: Languages spoken at home More residents are speaking Asian languages at home
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011 Census of Population and Housing Table builder to 4 digit detail level
643
340
23
130
39
43 74
51
6 22
9 21 58
538
335
181
178
106
91
75
74
66
62
58
58
49
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Top languages spoken in the home (excluding English) Swan Hill (RC) 2006
Swan Hill (RC) 2011
Reflecting an increasingly diverse population, the number of languages other than English spoken in the home in Swan Hill is increasing. Italian, Tongan and Punjabi are the three most common languages spoken in the home, excluding English.
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Malayalam: spoken in India Tagalog: spoken in Philippines
Cultural Diversity: Languages The most common languages spoken at home has changed in the last decade
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011 Census of Population and Housing, Time Series Table 10
-200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200
Italian
Greek
Khmer
Persian (includes Dari)
Thai
Hindi
Tagalog (includes Filipino)
Vietnamese
Cantonese
Mandarin
Total
Punjabi
Other
Language spoken at home
Female change Male change
This graph highlights the growth in the number of residents of the Swan Hill Municipality speaking South East Asian languages. The number of residents speaking Punjabi, Mandarin or Cantonese language at home is increasing in the region.
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New residents: The municipalities people move from New residents come from neighbouring council regions, regional Victorian towns, Melbourne and overseas
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011 Census of Population and Housing
Place of residence one year ago (Local Government Area ) No.
Overseas 207
Mildura (RC) 59
Wakool (A) 58
State Undefined 53
Gannawarra (S) 50
Greater Bendigo (C) 48
Buloke (S) 45
Balranald (A) 29
Casey (C) 23
Wyndham (C) 18
Brisbane (C) 16
Greater Dandenong (C) , Greater Geelong (C), Moreland (C) 13
Ballarat (C), Cardinia (S), Yarra (C), Yarriambiack 12
Mornington Peninsula (S) 11
Campaspe (S), Hume (C), The Coorong (DC) 10
The 2011 ABS Census provides a snapshot of where new residents to Swan Hill have moved from. It reveals: Of the current Swan Hill residents who had moved at least once between 2006 and 2011: • Nearly 1,400 people moved from other parts of Victoria
• More than 500 had moved from NSW
• Nearly 180 people had moved from Queensland • Nearly 130 had moved from South Australia
New Swan Hill residents are coming from a range of LGAs. • The largest numbers are moving from the surrounding
Shires i.e. Mildura, Wakool and Gannawarra, and Bendigo.
• Swan Hill is also attracting people from across
metropolitan Melbourne, particularly the outer Melbourne suburbs, such as Casey in the East and Wyndham in the West.
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New residents: The age when they move to Swan Hill People across all working age groups are moving to Swan Hill as well as leaving Swan Hill
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011 and 2006, Census of Population and Housing. Compiled and presented by profile.id cited on the Swan Hill Rural Council Website.
The largest net migration occurs in the 18-24 age group, as would be expected as young people leave to pursue further education. In the 25-34 age groups the difference between the number of people moving in and moving out is small, which supports the perception that there are working age people moving to Swan Hill or returning to Swan Hill to raise families.
Age Group Coming to Swan Hill
Leaving Swan Hill Net Migration
5-11 years 261 332 -71
12-17 years 197 278 -81
18-24 years 325 694 -369
25-34 years 552 580 -28
35-44 years 359 432 -73
45-54 years 232 325 -93
55-64 years 212 254 -42
65 and over 207 204 +3
Total 2,345 3,099 -754
These figures are based on the 2011 Census questions: Q10 Where does this person usually live? and Q12 Where did this person usually live five years ago? (at 9 August 2006)
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Education Attainment
Population: Educational attainment The number of people with qualifications is increasing, but year 12 completion rate remain low
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011 Census of Population and Housing, Data extracted from Swan Hill Community Profile Table 30: Non –School Qualification: Level of Education by Age By Sex
Year 12 Completion Rate (2006 Census)
Area %
Swan Hill LGA 64%
Gannawarra LGA 71%
Buloke LGA 69%
Greater Shepparton (C) 69%
Greater Bendigo 76%
Horsham 73%
Mildura 66%
Mount Alexander 60%
Moira 68%
Wangaratta 71%
Regional Victoria 72%
Metropolitan Melbourne 80%
Swan Hill LGA is in the lowest 10 LGAs in Victoria for Year 12 completion rates. 2006 data showed the year 12 completion rate for Swan Hill residents age was 64% much lower than the 72% average for Regional Victoria and the 80% average for Metropolitan Melbourne. The number of Swan Hill residents with non-school qualifications is rising. A Certificate III or IV is the most common qualification, followed by a Bachelor Degree.
Non-school Qualification 2001 2006 2011
Post Grad Degree 53 78 95
Grad Dip/Grad Cert 165 179 179
Bachelor Degree 762 924 1,115
Advanced Dip/Diploma 585 757 977
Certificate NFD* 52 151 180
Certificate III & IV 1,922 2,268 2,634
Certificate I & II 257 185 196
Total (All Quals Stated) 3,796 4,542 5,376
Education not fully defined 142 206 135
Level of education not stated 1,797 2,086 1,847
*NFD means Not Fully Defined
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School: Year 12 completions and VETiS Nearly 40% of Year 12 students go on to study Bachelor degrees
Source: MMLLEN Environmental Scan 2013, Table 73 and On Track data, cited on p60.
Estimated 2012 VET Enrolments for Loddon Mallee LLEN Region
Total No. Share of VET Enrolments
Hospitality 105 14.5%
Sport& Recreation 83 11.5%
*Engineering 75 10.4%
Automotive 63 8.7%
Building and Construction 60 8.3%
*Community Services 60 8.3%
*Agriculture 58 8%
Business 41 5.7%
*Cert III in Children’s Services
9 1.2%
Year 12 Destinations (2011 cohort) • 39% Bachelor degree • 11.6% Cert IV • 3.6% Cert I-III • 8.9% Apprenticeship • 2.7% Traineeship • 15.2% Deferred • 3.6% Employed full time • 8.9% Employed part time • 5.4% Looking for work • 0.9% NILFET
School VET Enrolments • In 2012 an estimated 722 school
students were enrolled in VET subjects
• 46 were undertaking school-based apprenticeships
• More than 25% of VET students were undertaking either hospitality or sport and recreation subjects
• Engineering had 75 enrolments, the highest number among the traditional trades
Early school leavers destinations (2011 cohort) • 11% were unemployed or not in the Labour Force • 39% gained an apprenticeship • 30% were employed
NB: Compared to other LLEN (Local Learning and Employment Networks) regions, the MMLLEN had a higher rate of early school leavers either in an apprenticeship or employed.
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Educational attainment and labour market outcomes The lower a person’s education level the higher their chance of unemployment
Mid Murray residents with qualifications at the Certificate I & II Ievel or Year 12 and below have the highest rates of unemployment .
‘Mid Murray’ includes Buloke, Gannawarra and Swan Hill LGAs.
Source: DEEWR Small Area Statistics Sept 2012 http://www.deewr.gov.au/employment/Imi/pages/salm.aspx, cited in Murray Mallee LLEN Environmental Scan 2013
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
Bachelor Degree or higher
Advanced Diploma and Diploma Level
Cer;ficate III & IV Level
Year 12 or equivalent Cer;ficate I & II Level Below Year 12
Par=cipa=on Rate (Mid Murray ESA) Employment Rate
Unemployment Rate
FINAL AUG 2013 22
Disengaged youth Female youth between 20-24 are the most likely segment to be neither in employment or education
Between 2006 and 2011 the number of disengaged young males, that is 15-24 year olds not in paid employment or enrolled in education, increased.
For the same period the number of disengaged young females in the 15-19 age bracket decreased, but the number of disengaged females aged 20-24 increased.
Nearly a quarter of young women aged 20-24 living in Swan Hill are neither in paid employment or enrolled in education. This may reflect Swan Hill’s higher than average teenage birth rate, which is double the rate for Victoria.
Many disengaged youth are indigenous youth who have left school early. Agencies estimate this group consists of about 100 individuals (including young mothers) at any time.
Source: DEEWR Small Area Statistics Sept 2012 http://www.deewr.gov.au/employment/Imi/pages/salm.aspx, cited in Murray Mallee LLEN Environmental Scan 2013, p.19
Buloke 2006 Buloke 2011 Gannawarra 2006
Gannawarra 2011 Swan Hill 2006 Swan Hill 2011
%Female 20-‐24 year olds 27.2 19.2 17.4 26.4 23.6 24.7
% Female 15-‐19 year olds 4.0 10.6 10.2 7.0 9.0 7.4
%Male 20-‐24 year olds 6.7 16.3 12.2 10.9 8.8 10.1
% Male 15-‐19 year olds 3.7 7.0 8.9 6.0 7.7 8.5
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
Percen
tage
Young People not in Paid Employment or Enrolled in Educa=on
FINAL AUG 2013 23
Employment Overview: Participation and unemployment
Swan Hill Labour Force: Age profile Swan Hill LGA has a workforce of nearly 9,000 people
Swan Hill has more than 16,222 people aged 15 or over. Nearly 9,000 of these people are in the workforce.
The largest segment of the Swan Hill workforce is aged between 45-54 years.
Just over 5,710 people aged 15 or over living in Swan Hill are not in the labour force.
Source: DEEWR Small Area Sta=s=cs Sept 2012 hUp://www.deewr.gov.au/employment/Imi/pages/salm.aspx, cited in Murray Mallee LLEN Environmental Scan 2013
Table 4. Labor Force 2011 – Swan Hill LGA (Persons)
Persons / Age Group 15-19 year
20-24 years
25-34 years
35-44 years
45-54 years
55-64 years
65-74 years
75-84 years
85 years & over Total
Employed, worked:
Full-time(a) 221 619 1,123 1,146 1,483 937 153 25 6 5,713
Part-time 323 197 393 505 521 467 163 27 0 2,596
Employed, away from work(b) 31 13 60 55 72 85 35 6 3 360
Hours worked not stated 24 43 48 55 60 30 19 3 0 282
Total 599 872 1,624 1,761 2,136 1,519 370 61 9 8,951
Unemployed, looking for:
Full-time work 35 46 67 68 47 23 3 0 0 289
Part-time work 35 21 29 41 20 17 10 0 0 173
Total 70 67 96 109 67 40 13 0 0 462
Unemployment Rate 10.5 7.1 5.6 5.8 3 2.6 3.4 4.9
Total labour force 669 939 1,720 1,870 2,203 1,559 383 61 9 9,413
Not in the labour 652 219 476 447 442 794 1,273 1,009 398 5,710
Labour force status not stated 84 89 173 183 154 134 107 106 69 1,099
Total Persons (15 years and over) 1,405 1,247 2,369 2,500 2,799 2,487 1,763 1,176 476 16,222
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The Swan Hill Workforce: Unemployment and workforce participation Swan Hill has comparatively lower unemployment and slightly lower workforce participation rates
In 2011 the adult population (15+) in the Swan Hill Rural Council region was 16,227.
Three quarters of the adult population (15+) are in the workforce. This is slightly lower than the workforce participation rate for Victoria and Australia as a whole.
DEEWR Data indicates women in the Mid Murray Employment Area (includes, Swan Hill, Gannawarra and Buloke Rural Councils) have a participation rate of 67%, much below the Australian participation rate for this age group of 75%.
Source: DEEWR Small Area Labour Markets, June 2012, ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011
2011 Swan Hill Unemployment and Workforce Participation Rates
Region Unemployment Rate Workforce Participation Rate
Teenagers (15-19)
All Adult (15+)
All Adult (15+)
Swan Hill 14.1% 4.6% 74.7%
Mid Murray ESA 15.0% 4.1% 74.0%
Victoria 21.2% 5.4% 75.6%
Australia 21.9% 5.2% 75.8%
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Unemployment by Swan Hill District Official unemployment levels have been relatively stable for the past 18 months
Robinvale experiences the least fluctuations in unemployment levels in the Swan Hill LGA.
Swan Hill Central (Township) experiences the greatest fluctuations in unemployment in the region.
Source: DEEWR Small Area Statistics http://www.deewr.gov.au/employment/Imi/pages/salm.aspx,
Number of Unemployed People – Swan Hill LGA Districts June 2011 to June 2012
June 2011
Sept 2011
Dec 2011 March 2012 June 2012 Sept 2012 Dec
2012
Swan Hill (RC) Central 304 291 291 295 316 316 320
Swan Hill (RC) – Robinvale 113 112 114 115 117 116 118
Swan Hill (RC) Bal 172 157 152 150 154 154 161
TOTAL 589 560 557 560 587 586 599
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Swan Hill Workforce: Trends in Industries and
Occupations
Employment trends in top eight industries The ‘Health Care and Social Assistance’ industry has shown the strongest employment growth
Industry 2006 2011 % Change
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 1,834 1,445 -21% !
Health Care and Social Assistance 892 1,076 +21% "
Retail 1,072 1,045 -2% !
Manufacturing 759 727 -4% !
Education & Training 677 683 +1% "
Public Admin and Safety 440 435 -1% !
Accommodation and Food 491 415 -16% !
Construction 451 412 -9% !
More than 1,400 people work in Agriculture in Swan Hill. Agriculture employs the most people but has showed the greatest decline in employment of all industries over the last five years.
Source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2006 and 2011
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Industry employment trends for the 2001 – 2011 decade Over the last decade three industries experienced a decrease in employment
-‐34%
18%
-‐26%
16% 18%
104% 21% 19% 22% -‐42% 15% -‐10%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Top 12 Employing industries in Swan Hill LGA
Base employment number Decrease from 2001 to 2011 Increase from 2001 to 2011
Source : Data cited in Murray Mallee LLEN Environmental Scan 2013 FINAL AUG 2013 30
Industry employment trends for the 2001 – 2011 decade Over the last decade three industries experienced a decrease in employment
Source : ABS Census of Population and Housing, data cited in Murray Mallee LLEN Environmental Scan 2013
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-‐34%
18%
-‐26%
16% 18%
104% 21% 19% 22% -‐42% 15% -‐10%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Top 12 occupa=ons in Swan Hill LGA by Industry
Base employment number
Decrease from 2001 to 2011
Increase from 2001 to 2011
Occupation Trends: Professionals in the Swan Hill LGA (2006-2011) The number of professionals in Swan Hill is increasing Occupation 2006 2011 Change
Registered Nurses 177 229 29% "
Primary School Teachers 174 155 11% !
Secondary School Teachers 170 148 13% !
Accountants 84 88 5% "
Vocational Education Teachers (Aus) / Polytechnic Teachers (NZ) 36 39 8% "
Welfare, Recreation and Community Arts Workers 27 35 30% "
Agricultural and Forestry Scientists 37 32 14% !
Generalist Medical Practitioners 14 30 114% ""
Human Resource Professionals 25 24 4% !
Counsellors 16 20 25% "
Nurse Managers 8 18 125% ""
Midwives 9 14 56% "
Social Workers 10 14 40% "
Source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2006 and 2011 . Table generated using Tablebuilder
FINAL AUG 2013 32
Occupation Trends: Community workers and personal workers in Swan Hill (2006 – 2011) The number of ‘community workers’ is increasing
Occupation 2006 2011 Change
Aged and Disabled Carers 118 158 34% "
Child Carers 79 92 16% "
Education Aides 79 74 6% !
Police 66 68 3% "
Waiters 60 68 13% "
Welfare Support Workers 50 59 18% "
Bar Attendants and Baristas 49 39 20% !
Nursing Support and Personal Care Workers 39 50 28% "
Ambulance Officers and Paramedics 21 31 48% "
Enrolled and Mothercraft Nurses 43
26 39% !
Carers of aged people and people with disabilities has shown strong growth. It is one of the largest occupations in Swan Hill and one of the fastest growing occupations in Australia.
Source: ABS Census of population and Housing, 2006 and 2011. Table generated using Tablebuilder
FINAL AUG 2013 33
Occupation Trends: Tradespeople and technicians in Swan Hill (2006-2011) Employment in the traditional trades and technical roles has been stable
Occupation 2006 2011 Change
Motor Mechanics 155 152 2% !
Electricians 70 96 37% "
Structural Steel and Welding Trades Workers 90 89 1% !
Metal Fitters and Machinists 87 81 7% !
Plumbers 59 66 12% "
Hairdressers 57 47 17% !
Cooks 35 43 23% "
Carpenters and Joiners 46 40 13 % !
Chefs 32 39 22% "
Painting Trades Workers 20 31 55% "
Gardeners 43 31 24% !
Nurserypersons 25 23 8% !
Architectural, Building and Surveying Technicians 6 20 233% ""
Source: ABS Census of population and Housing, 2006 and 2011. Table generated using Tablebuilder FINAL AUG 2013 34
Occupation Trends: Labourers in the Swan Hill (2006-2011) The number of people working as labourers is decreasing
Occupation 2006 2011 Change
Crop Farm Workers 495 349 29% !
Commercial Cleaners 155 150 3% !
Kitchenhands 76 64 16% !
Shelf Fillers 58 39 33% !
Labourers nfd 39 37 5% !
Packers 50 36 28% !
Meat Boners and Slicers, and Slaughterers 29 35 21% "
Other Farm, Forestry and Garden Workers 41 34 17% !
Garden and Nursery Labourers 49 32 35% !
Livestock Farm Workers 46 29 35% !
Handypersons 37 27 27% !
Food and Drink Factory Workers 28 17 39% !
More people living in Swan Hill work as crop farm workers than any other job. Meat workers is the only labouring job which is showing employment growth.
Source: ABS, Census for Population and Housing, 2006 and 2011. Table generated using Tablebuilder
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Swan Hill Employers: Recruitment Experiences
Employers’ Experiences: Difficult-to-Fill occupations and recruitment Technicians and Trades Workers are the most difficult to recruit for Mid Murray employers
Source: DEEWR, Survey of Employers’ Recruitment Experiences, July 2012, Mid Murray Employment Service Area
7.2%
7.4%
1.4%
1.7%
16.7%
0.0%
8.7%
28.9%
4.3%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
All Regions 12 months to September 2012
Mid Murray ESA
Labourers
Sales Workers
Machinery Operators and Drivers
Clerical and Administra;ve Workers
Community and Personal Service Workers
Technicians and Trades Workers
Managers and Professionals
Vacancies not filled -‐ mixed results (most recent recruitment)
Mid Murray* employers reported the following occupations were difficult to fill: • Cert IV and above: Motor mechanics, Civil engineers, Registered nurses, GPs, Chefs and Retail managers
• Cert III and below: Truck drivers, Bar attendants and Baristas, Motor vehicle and vehicle parts salespersons, crop farm workers
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*Mid Murray refers to the SHRCC, Buloke and Gannawarra LGAs
Employers’ experiences and expectations Employers looking for suitable trades workers and technicians face the most difficulties
Source: DEEWR, Survey of Employers’ Recruitment Experiences, July 2012, Mid Murray Employment Service Area
The DEEWR Nov 2012 Survey of Mid Murray Employers’ Recruitment Experiences surveyed 343 Employers in the ‘Mid Murray Employment Services Area. This research found the following: • Employers received the lowest number of applicants for technicians and trades worker roles. • The main unfilled jobs were Motor mechanics, welders and Fitters and Turners. Skill shortages were evident for machinery
operators and Drivers. The main reasons employers consider applicants are unsuitable for roles were: • Insufficient experience to perform job duties (52%) • Lack of employability skills and personal characteristics (51%) • Insufficient qualifications or training (22%) • Poor interview skills/written applications (21%) Mid Murray Employer Recruitment Expectations • 33% of employers in all industries expect to recruit • 57% of Manufacturing employers expect to recruit • 50% of Health and Social Assistance employers • 43% in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
Mid Murray Employers Expectations re increasing staffing • 17% of employers expected to increase staff • 37 % of Manufacturing employers expect to increase staff • 11% Health and Social Assistance employers expect to increase staff • 43% of Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing employers
DEEWR conclusions re Mid Murray labour market in Nov 2012: • ‘Labour market is relatively strong’ • Labour market challenges are: lower education levels, disengaged youth, applicant quality
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References The following documents were reviewed in this Project
1. Australian Bureau Of Statistics, Census of Population and Housing, 2001, 2006 and 2011
2. DEEWR, Labour Market Research and Analysis branch, Nov 2012, Mid Murray Employment Service Area, presentation by Sandra Taylor-Steele
3. Department of Victorian Communities, Regional Skills Shortage Survey Summary: Swan Hill and Region, 2006
4. Draft Loddon/Mallee Northern Regional Growth Plan
5. Local Learning and Employment Network (LLEN), 2013 Environmental Scan 2013
6. Loddon Mallee Regional Strategic Plan, Northern Region
7. Swan Hill Rural City Council Community Profile (compiled by .id)
8. Swan Hill Rural City Council, 2011, Economic Development Strategy 2011-2016
9. Swan Hill Rural City Council, 2012, Robinvale Economic Development Strategy 2012-2017
10. Swan Hill Rural City Council, Lake Boga Economic Development, Tourism and Marketing Strategy 2012 -2017
11. Sunraysia Institute of TAFE, 2012, Start your Career at SuniTAFE 2012
12. The Allen Consulting Group, Skills and Training Needs of the Agricultural Sector in Hume, Loddon Mallee and South East Metro. Report to the Higher Education and Skills Group, DEECD, 2012
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Contact Us: Workforce Planning Australia GPO Box 381 MELBOURNE VIC 3001 (03) 9206 8000
Disclaimer
The material contained in this report has been prepared for the Swan Hill Region Workforce Development Strategy Steering Committee by Workforce Planning Australia who aims to provide high quality content and has endeavoured to ensure the information was correct and current at the time of publication. Workforce Planning Australia does not guarantee or accept any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information disclosed. To the extent permitted by law, Workforce Planning Australia and its employees exclude all liability for any loss or damage (including indirect, special or consequential loss or damage) arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information whether or not caused by any negligent act or omission. If any law prohibits the exclusion of such liability, Workforce Planning Australia limits its liability to the extent permitted by law, to the re-supply of the information.
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