the state of working ct, 2002
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The State of Working CT, 2002. Douglas Hall, Ph.D. Connecticut Voices for Children September 19, 2002 www.ctkidslink.org. CT’s Productivity Up, and Pulling Away from National GDP. CT Loses Ground in Employment. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
The State of Working CT, 2002
Douglas Hall, Ph.D.
Connecticut Voices for Children
September 19, 2002
www.ctkidslink.org
CT’s Productivity Up, and Pulling Away from National GDP
CT Gross State Product Per Capita, and US GDP: 1979, 1989, and 1999 (1999$)
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
$45,000
$50,000
Connecticut $25,233 $37,555 $46,245
US GDP $23,708 $28,446 $34,138
1979 1989 1999
CT Loses Ground in Employment
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
Growth in Payroll Employment, 1979-2001: CT, Northeast, & US(Annualized Change)
Connecticut 1.8% 0.1% -0.6%
NORTHEAST 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
TOTAL U.S. 1.8% 1.8% 0.3%
79-89 89-00 00-01
CT Employment, 1989-2002: Recession, Recovery, and Recession
(thousands of jobs)
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
Manufacturing -66.5 -35.1 -23.3
Trade -52.2 37.7 -5.8
Construction and Mining -30.4 16.8 -0.9
FIRE -11.2 1.5 -0.5
T.C.U. -4.6 12.2 -3.4
Government -2.1 36.3 6.3
Services 8.8 111.5 1.8
Feb-89 to Dec-92 Dec-92 to Jul-00 Jul-00 to June-02
Manufacturing Employment Down, Service Employment Up
CT, USA Manufacturing Employment, 1979-2001
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Shar
e of
tota
l em
ploy
men
t
Connecticut 31.2% 21.6% 15.1%
TOTAL US 23.4% 18.0% 13.4%
1979 1989 2001
CT, USA Service Employment: 1979-2001
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Connecticut 19.5% 25.4% 32.1%
Total US 19.1% 24.9% 31.0%
1979 1989 2001
The Services Sector Covers a Wide Range of Wages
Subsector Average Wage
(2000$)
# Employ
ed
% of Services SectorPersonal services $20,209 18,140 3.4%
Hotel and other lodging places
$20,815 11,604 2.2%
Museums and botanical gardens
$21,372 2,057 0.4%
Social services $21,740 46,916 8.8%
Motion pictures $21,751 4,178 0.8%
Amusement and recreation services
$24,620 37,618 7.1%
Educational services $38,254 40,398 7.6%
Health services $38,865 158,160
29.8%
Business services $44,125 117,886
22.2%
Legal services $55,940 14,652 2.8%
Engineering, accounting and management
$73,225 39,562 7.4%
Miscellaneous services $79,506 854 0.2%
Married Couples Working Nearly Full Time/Full Year
3,000
3,100
3,200
3,300
3,400
3,500
3,600
3,700
3,800
Hours Worked Per Year by Married Couple Families: Connecticut Compared to US, Late 1970s to Late 1990s
CT 3,281 3,704 3,701
TOTAL US 3,274 3,510 3,706
1979-81 1988-90 1998-00
…Patterns Vary by Income Though…
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Hours Worked By Connecticut Married Couple Families (by income quintiles): Late 1970s to Late 1990s
1979-81 3,281 2,489 3,064 3,367 3,711 3,769
1988-90 3,704 3,153 3,190 3,486 4,028 4,655
1998-00 3,701 2,807 3,635 3,854 3,962 4,231
All married couple
First fifth Second fifth Third fifth Fourth fifth Top fifth
…as do comparisons with national patterns
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Hours Worked by Married Couple Families in Late 1990s: CT and US(by income quintiles)
Connecticut 2,807 3,635 3,854 3,962 4,231
Total US 2,668 3,537 3,872 4,157 4,285
First fifth Second fifth Third fifth Fourth fifth Top fifth
Unionization Rates in CT are in Decline…
Unionization Rates, 1984-2001
10%
15%
20%
25%
Connecticut 19.7% 18.5% 20.2% 15.8%
United States Total 18.2% 16.4% 14.9% 13.5%
1984 1989 1995 2001
…but the Northeast maintains higher rates than the national average
September 11…and Unemployment in CT
…layoffs attributed to Post 9/11 economic downturn…
…but overall unemployment rates mirror a range of other economic indicators
Education is the Pathway to Self-sufficiency: CT Does Better Than US in High School
Graduation Rates…
Educational Attainment, Proportion of Populationwith Less than High School Education, 2000
0%2%4%6%8%
10%12%14%
Connecticut 6.6% 7.4% 5.8%
NORTHEAST 8.6% 9.9% 7.2%
TOTAL US 10.5% 12.3% 8.6%
All Men Women
…and in Advanced Degrees
Educational Attainment: Proportion with Advanced Degree, 2001
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
Connecticut 13.1% 13.6% 12.7%
NORTHEAST 11.3% 11.4% 11.2%
TOTAL US 8.9% 9.2% 8.6%
All Men Women
Low Wages in CT Exceed US and Regional Wages…
Low Wages (20th percentile), 1979-2001($ 2001)
$6.00
$6.50
$7.00
$7.50
$8.00
$8.50
$9.00
$9.50
$10.00
$10.50
Connecticut $8.20 $9.65 $9.01 $9.35 $9.82
NORTHEAST $7.90 $8.24 $7.96 $8.29 $8.59
Total US $7.63 $7.15 $7.14 $7.99 $8.07
1979 1989 1995 2000 2001
…As have Median Wages…
Median Wages (50th percentile), 1979-2001($ 2001)
$6.00
$8.00
$10.00
$12.00
$14.00
$16.00
$18.00
Connecticut $12.40 $14.57 $15.13 $15.40 $16.15
NORTHEAST $12.20 $13.50 $13.16 $13.59 $14.10
Total US $11.93 $11.90 $11.69 $12.60 $12.88
1979 1989 1995 2000 2001
…And High Wages
High Wages (80th percentile), 1979-2001($ 2001)
$10.00
$12.00
$14.00
$16.00
$18.00
$20.00
$22.00
$24.00
$26.00
$28.00
Connecticut $19.04 $22.51 $24.63 $25.23 $26.22
NORTHEAST $19.02 $21.10 $21.96 $23.45 $23.90
Total US $19.05 $19.78 $19.97 $21.49 $21.75
1979 1989 1995 2000 2001
But CT’s Wages Have Grown Unevenly…
$-
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
$30.00
Low Wages (20th percentile) $8.20 $9.65 $9.01 $9.35 $9.82
Median Wages (50th percentile) $12.40 $14.57 $15.13 $15.40 $16.15
High Wages (80th percentile) $19.04 $22.51 $24.63 $25.23 $26.22
1979 1989 1995 2000 2001
CT's Wages: 1979-2001(2001$)
…Resulting in An Enlarging Divide, or “Pulling Apart” in Income…
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
Income Quintiles (20% of Families, by Income)
Average Income of Connecticut Families: Late 1970s to Late 1990s(1999$)
1978-1980 $18,223 $36,234 $49,989 $65,577 $111,042
1988-1990 $24,024 $45,934 $65,127 $87,391 $149,558
1998-2000 $19,351 $43,266 $66,146 $94,217 $181,194
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