the role of the financial sector in mitigating the global crisis in latin america

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THE ROLE OF THE FINANCIAL SECTOR IN MITIGATING THE GLOBAL CRISIS IN LATIN AMERICA. Berlin (Germany), October 2009

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Alma Balcázar, Coordinadora del Área de Sector Privado de Transparencia por Colombia, fue invitada a participar en la Conferencia “Más allá de la crisis mundial: la transparencia, un imperativo” con la ponencia titulada “Crisis Financiera Mundial: El papel del sector financiero para mitigar la crisis en América Latina”; la cual se realizó en Berlín el 17 de octubre de 2009. Durante su intervención, Alma Balcázar abordó los efectos de la crisis mundial en Latinoamérica, los bajos niveles de confianza en el sector privado y la corresponsabilidad de las instituciones y del sector financiero en la construcción de integridad.

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Page 1: The Role of the Financial Sector in Mitigating the Global Crisis in Latin America

THE ROLE OF THE FINANCIAL SECTOR IN MITIGATING THE GLOBAL

CRISIS IN LATIN AMERICA.

Berlin (Germany), October 2009

Page 2: The Role of the Financial Sector in Mitigating the Global Crisis in Latin America

CONTENT

1. The crisis in Latin America

2. Confidence in the Private Sector

3. Institutions and Integrity as possible victims of the crisis.

4. Shared Responsibility of the Financial Sector in the construction of Integrity in Latin America

THE ROLE OF THE FINANCIAL SECTOR IN MITIGATING THE

GLOBAL CRISIS IN LATIN AMERICA.

Page 3: The Role of the Financial Sector in Mitigating the Global Crisis in Latin America

1. THE CRISIS IN LATIN AMERICA

Poverty is increasing (2009)

Unemployment(Agosto 2009)

Restrictive financial conditions

Decreasing external demand and remittances

Fall in commodity prices

� 33% of Latin American are

poor. (182 million people)

� 6 million Latin American will

become poor.

Source: Interamerican Development

Bank

2007 2008 2009

PIB

4.6% 4.6%

1.1%

GDP is

decreasing

GDP

Page 4: The Role of the Financial Sector in Mitigating the Global Crisis in Latin America

2. CONFIDENCE ON THE PRIVATE SECTOR

HOW MUCH CONFIDENCE DO YOU HAVE ON THE PRIVATE

SECTOR? (%)

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

2001 2002 2005 2006 2007 2008

3632

3842 41 41

Source: Latinobarómetro 2008

56

56

50

49

48

46

43

41

37

36

36

36

35

35

32

31

30

30

41

Paraguay

Rep. Dominicana

Venezuela

Uruguay

Colombia

Brasil

Costa Rica

El Salvador

Panama

Ecuador

Chile

Peru

Mexico

Bolivia

Argentina

Guatemala

Nicaragua

Honduras

Latinoamérica

Page 5: The Role of the Financial Sector in Mitigating the Global Crisis in Latin America

2. CONFIDENCE ON THE FINANCIAL SECTOR

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

29

41 3944

2003 2004 2005 2008

Source: Latinobarómetro 2008

HOW MUCH CONFIDENCE DO YOU HAVE ON THE

BANKS? (%)60

0

10

20

30

40

50

70

80

90

59 55 52 50 49 48 47 46 43 42 38 37 3531

25

44

60

100

48

38

Page 6: The Role of the Financial Sector in Mitigating the Global Crisis in Latin America

THE MOST PROBLEMATIC FACTORS FOR

DOING BUSINESS

Source: “The Global Competitiveness Report 2009-2010. World Economic

Forum.

Inefficient government bureaucracy

Acces to financing

CORRUPTION

Restrictive labor regulation

Policy Instability

Inadequate Supply of Infrastructure

Tax regulations

Inadequately educated workforce

Tax rates

Crime and theft

Inflation

Poor work ethic in national labor force

Foreign currency regulations

Government instability / Coups

Poor public health

Page 7: The Role of the Financial Sector in Mitigating the Global Crisis in Latin America

VICTIMS OF THE CRISIS

Page 8: The Role of the Financial Sector in Mitigating the Global Crisis in Latin America

SHARED RESPONSIBILITY

Page 9: The Role of the Financial Sector in Mitigating the Global Crisis in Latin America

T.I. C

HALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR

ACTION

To promote:�Corporate Integrity Systems

�Widespread standards in Value Chains

�Collective Action initiatives

�Design and implementation of Transparency Indexes

Pushing for additional supervision of the

Financial Sector.

Give visibility to reforms and spread

best practices.

11

22

33

Page 10: The Role of the Financial Sector in Mitigating the Global Crisis in Latin America

Abraham Lincoln (1809-1865)

„The best thing about the

future is that it comes only

one day at a time.“

[email protected]

Page 11: The Role of the Financial Sector in Mitigating the Global Crisis in Latin America

Abraham Lincoln (1809-1865)

GDP EVOLUTION IN LATIN AMERICA

Source: World Bank