the role of private equity and debt funds in sme and...
TRANSCRIPT
MOBILIZING PRIVATE EQUITY AND DEBT FUNDS FOR SME AND INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCE IN EMERGING MARKETS AND DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
Investment Funds Group Team
Outline Part I: Global evolution of private equity and debt funds
• Section 1: Overall evolution of PE funds • Section 2: Emergence of private debt funds • Section 3: Venture capital funds • Section 4: Infrastructure funds
Part II: Mobilizing PE and debt funds in emerging markets and developing countries (EMDEs)
• Section 1: Developing ecosystem for PE/VC in EMDEs • Section 2: Developing the PPP framework in EMDEs • Section 3: The role of Strategic Investment Funds (SIFs)
1
Section 1: Private equity funds assets under management (AUM) have grown from US$ 716 billion in 2000 to US$ 3.8 trillion in 2014.
2
298 377 407 402 409 563 806
1,011 1,075 1,067 993 1,007 941 1,074 1,144 418 374 360 465 554 675
898
1,265 1,204 1,413
1,783 2,029 2,332
2,546 2,644
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Dec
-00
Dec
-01
Dec
-02
Dec
-03
Dec
-04
Dec
-05
Dec
-06
Dec
-07
Dec
-08
Dec
-09
Dec
-10
Dec
-11
Dec
-12
Dec
-13
Jun-
14
Private Equity Assets under Management December 2004 - June 2014 (US$ billion)
Dry Powder Unrealized ValueSource: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
Section 1: By geographical area, the main areas of focus are the US and Europe, followed by Asia. The rest of the world is at a low level, but growing slowly.
3
Source: 2014 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13
Dry
Pow
der (
$bn)
Private Equity Dry Powder by Primary Geographic Focus 2003 – 2013 (US$ billion)
North America Europe Asia Rest of World
Section 1: Among emerging markets, emerging Asia is the main geographical focus area (with China and India leading), followed by Latin America (with Brazil leading)
4
Source: EMPEA Database
Section 1: By type of fund, buyout funds dominate, followed by real estate, venture capital and infrastructure. Mezzanine debt represents a small share of the total, but is growing.
5
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14
Dry
Pow
der (
$bn)
Private Equity Dry Powder by Fund Type 2003 – 2014 (US$ billion)
Buyout Distressed Private Equity GrowthInfrastructure Mezzanine Real EstateVenture Capital Other
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
Section 1: After dropping following the international financial crisis in 2008, private equity-backed exits have rebounded sharply in the 2010-2014 period.
6
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Aggregate E
xit Value ($bn) N
o. o
f Exi
ts
Private Equity-Backed Exits by Type Q1 2006 – Q4 2014
IPO Restructuring Sale to GP Trade Sale Aggregate Exit Value ($bn)
Section 1: The investor base for private equity funds has undergone major transformation over the past 6 years.
7
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
28%
13%
3%
8% 7%
4% 6% 6%
5% 4%
1% 2%
22%
13%
10%
6%
10%
6%
3%
12%
3%
5%
2% 3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%P
ublic
Pen
sion
Fund
s
Fund
of F
unds
Man
ager
s
Hig
h-N
et-W
orth
Indi
vidu
als
End
owm
ent
Pla
ns
Priv
ate
Sec
tor
Pen
sion
Fun
ds
Fam
ily O
ffice
s
Foun
datio
ns
Insu
ranc
eC
ompa
nies
Ban
ks &
Inve
stm
ent B
anks
Gov
ernm
ent
Age
ncie
s
Cor
pora
teIn
vest
ors
Sov
erei
gn W
ealth
Fund
s
Prop
ortio
n of
Cap
ital C
omm
itted
Investor Type
Make-up of LPs in the Average Fund by LP Type (Capital Committed to Funds Closed in 2009-2014)
2009-2011
2012-2014
Section 1: In terms of performance, private equity horizon IRR outperformed major market indices in 2014. However, this performance was driven by buyout funds, while venture capital underperformed market indices.
8
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
1 Year to Jun 2014 3 Years to Jun 2014 5 Years to Jun 2014 10 Years to Jun 2014
Annu
aliz
ed R
etur
ns
Private Equity Horizon IRRs vs. Public Indices as of 30 June 2014
All Private Equity
Buyout
Venture Capital
S&P 500
MSCI Europe
MSCI Emerging Markets
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
Outline
Section 1: Overall Evolution of PE Funds
Section 2: Emergence of Private Debt Funds
Section 3: Venture Capital Funds
Section 4: Infrastructure Funds
9
Section 2: Since the international financial crisis in 2008, private debt funds (including mezzanine funds) have grown rapidly.
10
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Debt Report
60
86 91 94
141
108
23
39 46
58
79
64
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Year of Final Close
Annual Private Debt Fundraising 2009 - 2014
No. of Funds Closed
Aggregate Capital Raised($bn)
Section 2: By geographical area, the main areas of focus are North America, followed by Europe and Asia and the rest of the world.
11
Source: Preqin Special Report: Private Debt Report, November 2014
17% 17%
15% 17% 13% 14%
22%
22%
20% 26%
21% 33%
62%
31%
65% 57%
66% 52%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD
Pro
porti
on o
f Fun
ds
Year of Final Close
Breakdown of the Number of Private Debt Funds Closed by Primary Geographic Focus 2009 - 2014 YTD (As at 11.20.2014)
North America
Europe
Asia & Rest of World
Section 2: By type of fund, mezzanine funds dominate, followed by direct lending and distressed debt.
12
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Debt Report
23%
16%
42%
15%
4%
Primary Strategy of Private Debt Fund Managers Established Since 2008
Direct Lending
Distressed Debt
Mezzanine
Special Situations
Venture Debt
Outline
Section 1: Overall Evolution of PE Funds
Section 2: Emergence of Private Debt Funds
Section 3: Venture Capital Funds Section 4: Infrastructure Funds
13
Section 3: After reaching a peak in 2008, venture capital fund raising dropped significantly following the international financial crisis in 2009 and 2010. It rebounded significantly in 2011, but has tapered off since then.
14
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
59% 54% 67%
56% 43%
31% 42%
22% 22%
18% 36%
35% 49%
40%
19% 24% 15%
8% 22% 20% 18%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Aggr
egat
e C
apita
l Rai
sed
($bn
)
Year of Final Close
Annual Venture Capital Fundraising by Primary Industry Focus 2008 – 2014 (US$ billion)
Healthcare
Information Technology
Other
Section 3: By stage, venture capital deal flow is led by angel/seed deals, followed by round 1 deals and round 2 deals, showing the critical role played by private equity at early stages of development of SMEs. Venture debt represents less than 7% of the total.
15
22%
2%
25%
3%
20%
1%
13%
10%
13%
10%
16%
7%
8%
12%
8%
12%
9%
11%
4%
12%
3%
9%
5%
9%
3%
13%
3%
12%
3%
13%
2% 5% 2% 3%
3%
2%
1% 2% 1% 2%
1%
1%
32% 27% 32%
30% 31%
22%
6% 5%
6% 9%
6%
4%
8% 13%
7% 10% 8%
31%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
No. of Deals Aggregate DealValue
No. of Deals Aggregate DealValue
No. of Deals Aggregate DealValue
2012 2013 2014
Prop
ortio
n of
Tot
al
Proportion of Number and Aggregate Value of Venture Capital Deals by Stage 2012 – 2013
Angel/Seed Series A/Round 1 Series B/Round 2 Series C/Round 3
Series D/Round 4 and Later Growth Capital/Expansion PIPE Unspecified Round
Venture Debt Add-on & Other
Source: Preqin Global Private Equity Reports, 2014 & 2015
Section 3: By geographical area, venture capital deal flow is highly concentrated in North America, followed by Europe and China. The rest of the world represents a small share of the total.
16
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report * Figures exclude add-ons, grants, mergers, secondary stock purchase and venture debt
73% 69% 73% 69% 67% 71% 67% 62%
14% 13%
15% 14%
11% 12% 17%
11%
8% 12%
8% 12% 17% 11% 7%
15%
3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 6%
1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 4% 5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Prop
ortio
n of
Agg
rega
te D
eal V
alue
Proportion of Aggregate Value of Venture Capital Deals by Region, 2007 - 2014*
North America Europe China India Israel Other
Section 3: By industry, venture capital deal flow is led by internet, followed by software, healthcare and telecoms.
17
Source: Preqin Global Private Equity Reports, 2014 & 2015
27% 22% 25% 23% 26% 29%
18%
14% 21% 20% 20% 17%
18% 25%
16% 22% 15% 15%
12% 9%
14% 10% 15% 16%
8% 8%
8% 9% 9% 7% 2% 2%
3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 9% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
No. of Deals Aggregate DealValue
No. of Deals Aggregate DealValue
No. of Deals Aggregate DealValue
2012 2013 2014
Prop
ortio
n of
Tot
al
Proportion of Number and Aggregate Value of Venture Capital Deals by Industry 2012 – 2014
Internet Software & Related Healthcare Telecoms
Other IT Business Services Clean Technology Consumer Discretionary
Industrials Semiconductors & Electronics Other
Outline
Section 1: Overall Evolution of PE Funds
Section 2: Emergence of Private Debt Funds
Section 3: Venture Capital Funds
Section 4: Infrastructure Funds
18
Section 4: Unlisted infrastructure funds AUM have grown from US$ 7 billion in 2002 to US$ 296 billion in 2014.
19
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
3 4 11 15 37
61 63 64 68 90 82 87
105
4 5 6 9
16
33 49 60
92
127 149 157
191
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350D
ec-0
2
Dec
-03
Dec
-04
Dec
-05
Dec
-06
Dec
-07
Dec
-08
Dec
-09
Dec
-10
Dec
-11
Dec
-12
Dec
-13
Jun-
14
Asse
ts u
nder
Man
agem
ent (
$bn)
Unlisted Infrastructure Assets under Management December 2002 - June 2014
Unrealized Value($bn)
Dry Powder ($bn)
Section 4: By project stage, infrastructure fund deals are led by secondary stage, followed by greenfield and brownfield.
20
Source: 2014 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
59% 28%
13%
Breakdown of Unlisted Infrastructure Deals by Project Stage 2008 – 2013
Secondary Stage
Greenfield
Brownfield
Section 4: By geographical area, the main areas of focus are North America, followed by Europe and Asia.
21
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
53 32
11 9
93
59
20 19
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
North America Europe Asia Rest of World
Asse
ts u
nder
Man
agem
ent (
$bn)
Fund Primary Geographic Focus
Unlisted Infrastructure Assets under Management by Fund Primary Geographic Focus as of June 2014
Unrealized Value ($bn)
Dry Powder ($bn)
Section 4: By industry, infrastructure fund deal flow is led by renewable energy, followed by transport, social infrastructure and energy.
22
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
39% 35% 33% 34% 36% 39% 41%
15% 14% 17% 14% 13%
17% 19%
8% 17% 11% 16%
18% 14%
15% 13% 10%
14% 15% 13%
13% 8%
19% 17% 20% 16% 15% 12% 14%
3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 4% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Prop
ortio
n of
Dea
ls
Breakdown of Infrastructure Deals by Industry, 2008-2014
OtherTelecomsUtilitiesEnergySocialTransportRenewable Energy
Section 4: By type of investor, superannuation schemes dominate, followed by endowment plans, public pension funds and private sector pension funds.
23
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
7.0%
4.4%
3.3%
2.7% 3.1%
4.4%
9.0%
6.6%
5.2% 4.9% 4.5% 4.4%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
Sup
eran
nuat
ion
Sch
eme
End
owm
ent
Pla
n
Pub
licP
ensi
on F
und
Priv
ate
Sec
tor
Pen
sion
Fun
d
Foun
datio
n
Ass
et M
anag
er
Aver
age
Infr
astr
uctu
re A
lloca
tion
(A
s a
Prop
ortio
n of
AU
M)
Average Current and Target Allocations to Infrastructure by Investor Type, 2014
Average CurrentAllocation
Average TargetAllocation
Section 4: Since 2007, infrastructure investment funds have outperformed the private equity class.
24
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180D
ec-0
7M
ar-0
8Ju
n-08
Sep-
08D
ec-0
8M
ar-0
9Ju
n-09
Sep-
09D
ec-0
9M
ar-1
0Ju
n-10
Sep-
10D
ec-1
0M
ar-1
1Ju
n-11
Sep-
11D
ec-1
1M
ar-1
2Ju
n-12
Sep-
12D
ec-1
2M
ar-1
3Ju
n-13
Sep-
13D
ec-1
3M
ar-1
4Ju
n-14Inde
x R
etur
ns (R
ebas
ed to
100
as
of 3
1 D
ecem
ber 2
007)
PrEQIn Index: Infrastructure vs. All Private Equity December 2007 – June 2014
PrEQIn All Private EquityIndex
PrEQIn InfrastructureIndex
Section 4: Following low levels of activity until 2005, unlisted private infrastructure debt funds increased rapidly until the financial crisis in 2008. Following a sharp drop in 2009, infrastructure debt funds recovered quickly, raising US$ 7.5 billion in 2013.
25
Source: 2014 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
5
3
6
9
1
6 7
10
7
1.8 1.2
3.5 3.6
0.2
1.3
6.2
3.4
7.5
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1998
-200
5
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Year of Final Close
Annual Infrastructure Debt Fund Raising, 1998-2013
No. of FundsClosed
Aggregate CapitalRaised ($bn)
Section 4: By geographical area, the main areas of concentration are North America, followed by Europe and the rest of the world
26
Source: 2014 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
15
19 19
21
18.3
10.9
6.3
8.2
0
5
10
15
20
25
North America Europe Asia Rest of World
Breakdown of Unlisted Infrastructure Debt Fund Universe by Primary Geographic Focus, 2013
No. of FundsClosed/Raising
Aggregate CapitalRaised/Targeted ($bn)
Section 4: The number of listed infrastructure funds raised increased from 2001 to 2011 with a drop in 2012 and peaking in 2013.
27
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
21
27
32
39 40 37
39 36 35
42
6
5
8
1 5 2 10
2
1 3
3 5
1
3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
No.
of F
unds
Listed Infrastructure Fund Launches, 2005-2014
No. of FundsDe-Listed
No. of FundsLaunched
No. of FundsAlready Trading
Section 4: Listed infrastructure funds AUM have grown from US$ 4.6 billion in 2004 to US$ 21.4 billion in 2013 (valued at vintage).
28
Source: Preqin Database and staff calculations Note: The table represents 44 listed infrastructure funds from Preqin database and AUM shown is at vintage
4.6
7.8 9
12 12 12
13.4
14.8 14.8
21.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
AUM of Listed Infrastructure Funds (US$ billion)
Part II: Mobilizing PE and debt funds in EMDEs
Section 1: Developing the ecosystem for PE/VC in EMDEs
Three pillars:
• Pillar 1: legal and regulatory framework for PE/VC operations
• Pillar 2: legal and regulatory framework for investments by institutional investors in asset class
• Pillar 3: business enabling environment
29
Pillar 1: legal and regulatory framework for PE/VC operations
Fund regulator and capacity PE/VC fund and fund manager regulations
• fund legal structure (incl compartments) • qualified assets • qualified investors • management company legal structure • qualification of persons who conduct the business of management company • disclosure of ultimate controllers of management company • disclosure and resolution of conflict of interest • delegation of core manager functions • own funds • asset valuation rules • content of fund prospectus • disclosure to investors • auditing • reporting • depositary rules • cooperation with supervisory agency • penalties
30
Pillar 1: legal and regulatory framework for PE/VC operations Tax treatment
• tax residency for foreign investment funds • tax pass through for fund legal structures (capital gains tax, withholding tax) • double taxation agreements Investor protection • protection of minority shareholder rights • protection for investors in funds Interest in portfolio companies • restrictions on issue or transfer of shares Buyouts • regulations on buyouts by public auction • regulations on buyouts of listed companies Protection of intellectual property rights • legal and regulatory framework for patents and trademarks • international treaties • enforcement Bankruptcy procedures/creditor rights/partner liability • legal and regulatory framework for bankruptcy
• treatment of foreign and domestic creditors • partner liability
• enforcement
31
Pillar 1: legal and regulatory framework for PE/VC operations Exits
• listing rules on main exchange • listing rules on SME exchange
Exchange controls • regulations on inward investments • regulations on outward transfers of profits and capital gains
Corporate governance requirements • corporate governance requirements for funds • corporate governance requirements for investee companies
Contract enforcement • contract enforcement through court system • contract dispute resolution framework
Perceived corruption • transparency international index • doing business index
Accounting • IFRS implementation
32
Pillar 2: Legal and regulatory framework for investments by institutional investors in asset class
Laws/regulations for investments by pension funds in PE/VC asset class
• rules-based regime: limits on investment in asset class • risk-based regime: benchmark portfolio
Laws/regulations for investments by insurance companies in PE/VC asset class
• rules-based regime: limits on investment in asset class • risk-based regime: roadmap to Solvency II/risk-based regulatory regime
33
Pillar 3: Business enabling environment
Supply side • Business incubators • Business accelerators • Angel investors • Angel investor groups
Demand side • Seed co-investment funds • Hybrid PE/VC funds
34
Section 2: Developing the PPP framework in EMDEs
Legal framework
• enable contract form encompassing multiple obligations (DBFOM: design-build-finance-operate-maintain)
• enable DBFOM contract for both user-pay and government-pay models • enable tender model based on dialogue with prospective bidders
Selection, preparation and appraisal • guidelines to assess and select PPP projects at all levels of government
• focus on affordability, commercial feasibility and value for money Fiscal management
• relevance for government-pay projects • valuation of contingent liabilities • public debt limits Institutional framework and architecture • roles of procuring agency, promoter, treasury, general attorney • creation of specialized bodies
35
Section 2: Developing the PPP framework in EMDEs (cont’d)
Key drivers for mobilization of institutional investors including infrastructure PE/debt funds
• Significant project pipeline • Successful track record including resolution of disputes • Strong process management framework • Clarity of legal framework (PPP legality, enforceability and procurement
transparency) • Strong political commitment and support • Public acceptability • Fiscal sustainability
36
Section 3: The role of Strategic Investment Funds (SIFs)
•SIFs being created by increasing number of governments and regional economic communities to serve as anchor investors for international and domestic institutional investors in domestic projects
•Sectors: SOE turnaround, infrastructure PPP projects, SMEs
•Original inspiration: Singapore Temasek, Malaysisa Khazanah, South Africa Public Investment Corporation
•More recent examples:
• EU: European Fund for Strategic Investments (EFSI)
• Sénégal: Fonds Souverain d’Investissement Stratégique (FONSIS)
• Chile: Strategic Investment Fund
•Under preparation
• Indonesia, Congo, Côte d’Ivoire, Morocco
37
Section 3: The role of SIFs (cont’d)
SIF Feasibility: key elements
governance structure: • separation between ownership and management functions • fund board defining overall investment strategy • fund management company responsible for investment and exit
decisions • funds/compartments targeting specific sectors/investor risk profile
regulatory framework
• funds regulated by capital market authority
investment strategy • SIF to invest as GP in infrastructure fund • SIF to invest as LP in SME PE/VC funds managed by private manager
and GP
38
Section 3: The role of SIFs (cont’d)
human resource strategy • recruitment from private sector (investment banking, project finance,
private equity/venture capital) through international private recruitment agency
project selection criteria
• double trigger: IRR/ERR
fund manager remuneration • fund management fees, share of carry, hurdle rate
preliminary market sounding • international and domestic institutional investors incl pension funds,
insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds (SWFs), private equity and debt funds
39
Investment Funds Group Team
40
Contact information: Michel Noel [email protected] 202-203-0874
Samuel Schneider Consultant
Patrick J. McGinnis Consultant
Sevara Atamuratova Research Analyst
Shanthi Divakaran Sr. Financial Sector Specialist
Michel Noel Head
Thelma Ayamel Program Assistant
Havard Halland Economist