the “predictive” battlespace: leveraging the power of event-driven architecture in defense
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Welcome Don AdamsCTO Worldwide Public SectorTIBCO Software Inc.Predictive Battlespace
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
Network Centric Warfare /Network Enabled Capabilities
• Speed• Precision• Agility
•Efficiency•Responsiveness•“Just in Time” Logistics•Smaller Inventory•Smaller Footprint
Network-Centric
Enterprise
Network-Centric
Warfare
Infostructure
•Increased Tempo• Increased Lethality•Increased Survivability
Integrated Enterprise
More TEETHLess Tail
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
PredictiveBusinessTM
Source: Ranadivé, V., The Power to Predict, 2006.
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
What is Complex Event Processing?Detecting Threats and Opportunities with PredictiveBusiness®
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
Notional Predictive Battlespace Environment
EVENT PRE-PROCESSING
EVENTSOURCES
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.
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LEVEL ONE
EVENTREFINEMENT
USERINTERFACE
Predictive Battlespace Environment
DB MANAGEMENT
HistoricalData
Profile &Patterns
DISTRIBUTED
LOCAL
EVENTSERVICES
.
.EVENT
PROFILES..
DATABASES
.
.OTHER DATA
LEVEL TWO
SITUATIONREFINEMENT
LEVEL THREE
IMPACTASSESSMENT
LEVEL FOUR
PROCESSREFINEMENT &SPECIALIZED
ANALYSIS
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
HTTP request / response
Structured messages
Screen Audit events
Message Audit events
Screen/ message Audit events
IndicatorDetectionRules
A Traditional Event-Driven Architecture
IndicatorDetectionRules
QueueClient/Server
Channel
Queue IndicatorDetectionRules
EMSChannel
Queue IndicatorDetectionRules
Screen Based
ChannelIndicator Event
Network TAP
Sen
sor
Pre
pro
cessin
g
ServiceAPI
Queue IndicatorDetectionRules
HTTPChannel
Queue IndicatorDetectionRules
APIChannel
…1234Joe01021970…..
Indicator Event
Indicator Event
Indicator Event
Indicator Event
Structured messages
Queue
Unix/ VTChannel
IndicatorDetectionRules
IndicatorEvent
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
Emerging Event-Decision Architecture
POEIProfiles
Purpose-BuiltAnalytics
Distributed Multisensor Infrastructure
Joint/Coalition Sensors
Human Sensors
Edge Sensors Intel WatchCenter
Order of Battle
Predictive Battlespace Environment Sensors are Everywhere!
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
Structured Processing for Complex Events
Multi-level inference in a distributed event-decision architectures– Level 5 – User Interface
• Human visualization, interaction and situation management
– Level 4 – Process Refinement• Decide on control feedback, for example resource allocation, sensor
management, parametric and algorithm adjustment
– Level 3 – Impact Assessment• Impact threat assessment, i.e. assess intent on the basis of situation
development, recognition and prediction
– Level 2 – Situation Refinement• Identify situations based on sets of complex events
– Level 1 – Event Refinement• Identify events & make initial decisions based on association and correlation
– Level 0 – Event Preprocessing• Cleansing of event-stream to produce semantically understandable data
Level of Inference
Low
Med
High
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
Hi-ResImagery
LinguistGrids
ImpactAssess
HumanSources
AlertService
VIQ Imagery
WatchCenter
KnownTerrorSites
Multi-Int Correlate
ThermalImagery
Watch Correlate
Imagery analysis
Example Bayesian Logic
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
TIBCO BusinessEvents™ Overview
FDS/IDS Logfiles Edge Devs
Collection, NormalizationMetric of Managed Objects, Normalized Non-Contextual Events
Metadata Repository
SemanticModel
EventsRules
Design Environment
StateModel
Event Management,Correlation, Aggregation,Inference and Analysis
Correlated, Analyzed, Contextual Dialogue Events
Rules, Knowledge, Patterns, Models
Visualization,Reporting,Alert Management
ApplicationInterface Feeds
Visualization:Detection Metrics
SensorsAgents
Synthetic Warehouse
Visualization:Process View
Dialogue Manager
Inference Engine
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
A Scenario
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
Safe Haven
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
The convoy rushes off
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
AeroVironment Global Observer
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
Reaper
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
An out of the way restaurant
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
Chang Industries SkySeer
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
The Door of the Restaurant
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
Aurora Flight Sciences Excalibur
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
A bad day
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
Detailed Predictive Battlespace Environment
BE 3 BE 1 BE 1
BE 4
BE 3
BE 2 BE 2
BE 1
BE 4 BE 4
BPM 1 BPM 4 BPM 3
BPM 2
Adapter
SAT RCV
T
I
NT
A
K
E
B
U
S
JDL level
0
Facial IQ
Video IQ
MASTOR Linguistic
Grid
JDL level
0
SOA
SOA
SOA
SOA
DATA
Warehouse
Video IQ
Imagery Exploit
BE 1 BE 2 BE 3 BE 4
HBDR
GBE
Terabyte cache
GBE
HBDR
Adapter
Exabyte
Cache
Adapter
Deployed PBE
T T
GBE
Terabyte cache
GBE
Deployed DII
DII
Terabyte cache
Multi-tier DMZ Media Scrub
Audio Scrub
ActiveMatrix Policy Manager
JDL level
0
SOA
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
Example Publications, Webinars and Tools
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC
Questions
April 21-23, 2008
Renaissance Washington, DC25
Thank You!Don AdamsVice President, CTO WW Public SectorTIBCO Software Inc
Contact Information:+1 (650) [email protected]