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The
Org
anic
Res
earc
h Ce
ntre
UK organic sector and market trends2015 and 16
Susanne Padel, Organic Research Centre
The
Org
anic
Res
earc
h Ce
ntre Organic land area (kha) in UK nations
Source: Defra annual organic farming statistics
Source: DEFRA
The
Org
anic
Res
earc
h Ce
ntre Development of organic crop area: UK
Source: Defra Organic Farming Statistics 2015
2016 Organic Market Report
Organic Market Growth compared with non-organic
‐2
‐1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Sep 13 Nov13
Jan 14 Mrz 14Mai 14 Jul 14 Sep 14 Nov14
Jan 15 Mrz 15Mai 15 Jul 15 Sep 15 Nov15
Jan 16 Mrz 16Mai 16 Jul 16 Sep 16 Nov16
Jan 17
Organic Non‐organic
Organic
Non organic
The
Org
anic
Res
earc
h Ce
ntre Most important product categories (2015)
Dairy/chilled convenience
27%
Eggs4%
Fruit, vegetables and
salad22%
Baby food10%
Red meat5%
Poultry5%
Fish1%
Canned & packed grocery
15%
Beers& Wines2% Other
9%
Source: 2016 Organic Market Report Multiple retail only
The
Org
anic
Res
earc
h Ce
ntre Development of sales channels
0,00
500,00
1000,00
1500,00
2000,00
2500,00
2012 2013 2014 2015
Other independent
Catering
Box schemes/mailorderMultiples
Strongest growth in the independent sectors
Profile of the Organic Consumer based on OTB market research
The UK organic consumer is more likely to be:• Younger (20‐44 years)• Be AB social class• Live in a larger household (have
children)• Be working
Their attitudes….• Passionate about food• Care about their health (and act on it)• Care and social and environmental
issues
They are well read and informed
The
Org
anic
Res
earc
h Ce
ntre UK organic sector trends index
‐
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Land area
No of holdings
Retail value
The
Org
anic
Res
earc
h Ce
ntre Conclusions
• “The consumers are on our side” (Paul Moore, OTB)• Retail market firmly back in growth: 7.1% growth in 2016
Five years of consecutive growth and catching up Product availability not always keeping up with demand
• New promotion campaign of OTB in collaboration with organic Denmark (Co‐funded by industry and the EU)
• Production base remains challenging, some interest in conversion • Impact of Brexit as yet unclear
Uncertainty of policy support (especially Wales & NI) Export opportunities helped by the loss of value of GBP Not so good news for those importing into the UK
• Data availability on UK production, organic price trends and import/export remains very limited
Will be published on 21 Feb 2017https://www.soilassociation.org/certification/market‐research‐and‐data/buy‐the‐organic‐market‐report/