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The Organic Research Centre UK organic sector and market trends 2015 and 16 Susanne Padel, Organic Research Centre

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Page 1: The Organic Research Centrericenewstoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/UK... · The Organic Research Centre UK organic sector and market trends 2015 and 16 Susanne Padel, Organic

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UK organic sector and market trends2015 and 16

Susanne Padel, Organic Research Centre

Page 2: The Organic Research Centrericenewstoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/UK... · The Organic Research Centre UK organic sector and market trends 2015 and 16 Susanne Padel, Organic

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ntre Organic land area (kha) in UK nations

Source: Defra annual organic farming statistics

Source: DEFRA

Page 3: The Organic Research Centrericenewstoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/UK... · The Organic Research Centre UK organic sector and market trends 2015 and 16 Susanne Padel, Organic

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ntre Development of organic crop area: UK

Source: Defra Organic Farming Statistics 2015

Page 4: The Organic Research Centrericenewstoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/UK... · The Organic Research Centre UK organic sector and market trends 2015 and 16 Susanne Padel, Organic

2016 Organic Market Report

Page 5: The Organic Research Centrericenewstoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/UK... · The Organic Research Centre UK organic sector and market trends 2015 and 16 Susanne Padel, Organic

Organic Market Growth compared with non-organic

‐2

‐1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Sep 13 Nov13

Jan 14 Mrz 14Mai 14 Jul 14 Sep 14 Nov14

Jan 15 Mrz 15Mai 15 Jul 15 Sep 15 Nov15

Jan 16 Mrz 16Mai 16 Jul 16 Sep 16 Nov16

Jan 17

Organic Non‐organic

Organic

Non organic

Page 6: The Organic Research Centrericenewstoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/UK... · The Organic Research Centre UK organic sector and market trends 2015 and 16 Susanne Padel, Organic

The

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ntre Most important product categories (2015)

Dairy/chilled convenience

27%

Eggs4%

Fruit, vegetables and 

salad22%

Baby food10%

Red meat5%

Poultry5%

Fish1%

Canned & packed grocery

15%

Beers& Wines2% Other

9%

Source: 2016 Organic Market Report Multiple retail only

Page 7: The Organic Research Centrericenewstoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/UK... · The Organic Research Centre UK organic sector and market trends 2015 and 16 Susanne Padel, Organic

The

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ntre Development of sales channels

0,00

500,00

1000,00

1500,00

2000,00

2500,00

2012 2013 2014 2015

Other independent

Catering

Box schemes/mailorderMultiples

Strongest growth in the independent sectors

Page 8: The Organic Research Centrericenewstoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/UK... · The Organic Research Centre UK organic sector and market trends 2015 and 16 Susanne Padel, Organic

Profile of the Organic Consumer based on OTB market research 

The UK organic consumer is more likely to be:• Younger (20‐44 years)• Be AB social class• Live in a larger household (have 

children)• Be working

Their attitudes….• Passionate about food• Care about their health (and act on it)• Care and social and environmental 

issues

They are well read and informed

Page 9: The Organic Research Centrericenewstoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/UK... · The Organic Research Centre UK organic sector and market trends 2015 and 16 Susanne Padel, Organic

The

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ntre UK organic sector trends index

 ‐

 50

 100

 150

 200

 250

 300

 350

 400

'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15

Land area

No of holdings

Retail value

Page 10: The Organic Research Centrericenewstoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/UK... · The Organic Research Centre UK organic sector and market trends 2015 and 16 Susanne Padel, Organic

The

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ntre Conclusions

• “The consumers are on our side” (Paul Moore, OTB)• Retail market firmly back in growth: 7.1% growth in 2016

Five years of consecutive growth and catching up  Product availability not always keeping up with demand 

• New promotion campaign of OTB in collaboration with organic Denmark (Co‐funded by industry and the EU)  

• Production base remains challenging, some interest in conversion • Impact of Brexit as yet unclear 

Uncertainty of policy support (especially Wales & NI)   Export opportunities helped by the loss of value of GBP Not so good news for those importing into the UK

• Data availability on UK production, organic price trends and import/export remains very limited

Will be published on 21 Feb 2017https://www.soilassociation.org/certification/market‐research‐and‐data/buy‐the‐organic‐market‐report/