the (not provided) tool - measurefest october 2013

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The Not Provided Tool. Using the evidence we have. Dr. David Sewell, SEO consultant www.freshegg.co.uk 0845 373 1077

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Page 1: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

The Not Provided Tool.Using the evidence we have.

Dr. David Sewell, SEO consultantwww.freshegg.co.uk 0845 373 1077

Page 2: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

Such a shame…

Courtesy of www.notprovidedcount.com

Page 3: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

What are the common approaches?

• Extrapolate the % breakdown of brand terms into the “(not provided)” visits, at different scales

• Extrapolate the % breakdown of visits with keywords into the “(not provided)” visits, at different scales

• Use landing pages, custom filters to replace “(not provided)” with “np – {landing page URL}”

• Use rank, add another filter to append rank passed in the referral string “np – {rank} - {landing page}”

Page 4: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

Gathering the evidence.

• Governs visibility in SERPs for many key terms

• Clues to search trends

• Visit to visitor matching across devices

Locations

Page 5: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

Gathering the evidence.

• Affects visibility in SERPs for many key terms

• Differing search intent

• Data in motion

Devices

Page 6: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

Gathering the evidence.

• Also indicators of intent

• Brand

• Product / service awareness

• or longer tail query

Landing Pages

Page 7: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

Gathering the evidence.

Location + Device +

Landing Page +Behavioural

Metrics

Page 8: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

Multi-layer perceptrons (MLP)(neural network).

Evidence Hidden LayersOutput

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Training the Net.Evidence Hidden Layers

Output TargetΣ

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Page 10: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

The Not Provided Tool:Making models.

Evidence drawn from Google Analytics API

Evidence and target keywords passed to Google Prediction API

Model Ready for Use

Page 11: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

The Not Provided Tool: Making models.

• Seasons

• Week Days

• Weekends

• Daily

Page 12: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

The Not Provided Tool: Test Accuracy.

Test using evidence from known visits

Compare output from model against known keywords

Page 13: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

The Not Provided Tool:Run Analysis.

Use evidence from unknown visits

Gain insights into (not provided) keywords

Page 14: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

The Not Provided Tool: Results.

Page 15: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

Compare models against extrapolations…

Page 16: The (not provided) Tool - MeasureFest October 2013

Thank you!Dr. David Sewell, SEO consultantwww.freshegg.co.uk0845 373 1077@seoeditorsTry it! www.notprovidedtool.com