the north celtic sea basin: a resurgent proven hydrocarbon ... · the presentation materials do not...

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The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon Province Ireland Oil & Gas Summit 2013

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Page 1: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon

Province

Ireland Oil & Gas Summit

2013

Page 2: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

2

Disclaimer

These presentation materials (the “Presentation Materials”) do not constitute or form any part of any offer or invitation or inducement to

sell or issue or purchase or subscribe for any shares in Lansdowne Oil & Gas plc (“Lansdowne”) nor shall they or any part of them, or

the fact of their distribution, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract with Lansdowne, or any other person,

relating to any Lansdowne securities. Any decision regarding any proposed purchase of shares in Lansdowne must be made solely on

the basis of the information issued by Lansdowne at the relevant time. Past performance cannot be relied upon as a guide to future

performance. The Presentation Materials are not intended to be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of

persons. They are being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, forwarded to any other person or

published, in whole or in part, for any other purpose. In particular they, directly or indirectly, must not be distributed to persons in the

United States of America, its territories or possessions or Australia or Canada or Japan or the Republic of Ireland or South Africa. Any

such distribution could result in a violation of law in those territories.

The Presentation Materials do not constitute or form part of a prospectus prepared in accordance with the Prospectus Rules (being the

rules produced and implemented by the Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”) by virtue of the Prospectus Rules Instrument 2005) and

have not been approved as a prospectus by the FCA (as the competent authority in the UK). The Presentation Materials do not contain

any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is defined in section 102(b) FSMA or otherwise and do not constitute

or form part of any offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite or purchase Lansdowne securities nor shall they, or any part of them,

form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract with Lansdowne relating to any Lansdowne securities.

No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in the Presentation Materials or on the

completeness, accuracy or fairness of such information and/or opinions expressed herein. No representation or warranty, express or

implied, is made or given by or on behalf of Lansdowne or any of its directors, officers, partners, employees or advisers as to the

accuracy or the completeness of the information or opinions contained herein and no responsibility or liability is accepted by any of

them for any such information or opinions or for any errors or omissions.

Page 3: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

3

Key Points

Proven Petroleum Systems

Underexplored

Resurgent Activity

Page 4: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

4

Key Points

Proven Petroleum Systems

Basin Definition

Stratigraphy Source rocks

Reservoir rocks

Petroleum Systems

Page 5: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

5

North Celtic Sea Basin Definition

Page 6: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

6

North Celtic Sea Basin Definition

Page 7: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

7

Stratigraphy and Source Rocks

Page 8: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

8

Lower Jurassic Source rocks

Page 9: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

9

Lower Jurassic Source rocks

Page 10: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

10

Upper Jurassic Source Rocks

Page 11: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

11

Upper Jurassic Source Rocks

Page 12: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

12

Cretaceous Gas Play

Cretaceous Gas Play • Shallow water 270 – 300 ft

• Reservoirs c. 2500- 4500ft subsea

• Dry Gas (c 99% methane)

• Production to date • Kinsale 1.7 TCF

• Ballycotton c 61 BCF

• Seven Heads c 25 BCF

Page 13: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

13

Stratigraphy and Reservoir Rocks

Page 14: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

14

Celtic Sea Petroleum Systems

Page 15: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

15

Key Points

Proven Petroleum Systems

Underexplored

Resurgent Activity

Page 16: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

16

Wells Drilled off south coast of Ireland

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

FASTNET

SCS

NCS

103 Wells

Page 17: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

17

Wells Drilled - NCSB

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

NCS

NCS

88 Wells

Page 18: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

18

NCSB - minus development wells

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

NCS

80 Wells

Page 19: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

19

NCSB - wells on KH, 7H/Barryroe and

Ballycotton

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

COMM FIELDS

E&A

16

64

Page 20: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

20

NCSB - minus wells on producing

structures & Barryroe

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

E&A

E&A

64 wells

Page 21: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

21

Underexplored

64 wells

But a number of these are on discoveries & their appraisals

Cretaceous Hook Head – 50/11-1, 50/11-2, 50/11-3, 50/11-4

Ardmore – 49/14-1, 49/14-2

Galley Head – 48/18-1

Schull – 57/2-2, 57/2-3

Carrigaline – 48/24-4

Old Head – 49/23-1, 49/23-2z

Page 22: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

22

NCSB - Cret. tech success structures

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1970197219741976197819801982198419861988199019921994199619982000200220042006200820102012

CRET DISC

E&A

12

52

Page 23: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

23

NCSB - minus producing & Cret. tech

success structures

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

E&A

E&A

52 Wells

Page 24: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

24

Underexplored

52 wells

But a number of these are on discoveries & their appraisals

Jurassic Helvick – 49/9-2, 49/9-3Y, 49/9-6

Dunmore – 50/6-1, 50/6-4

Page 25: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

25

NCSB – showing Jurassic disc/appraisal

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

JURA DISC & APP

E&A

5

47

Page 26: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

26

NCSB – minus Jurassic disc/appraisal

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

E&A

E&A

Page 27: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

27

NCSB – Just Exploration wells

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

EXPLORATION

EXPLORATION

59 EXPLORATION

WELLS

ONLY 2 SINCE 1995

- BLACKROCK 49/26-1A

- OLD HEAD 49/23-1

BLACKROCK

DRY

OLD HEAD

GAS

Page 28: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

28

NCSB – Drilling Depth

-14000

-12000

-10000

-8000

-6000

-4000

-2000

0

Wells drilled in NCSB in chronological order

Total

Depth

TVDSS

in feet

Page 29: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

29

NCSB – Drilling Depth

-14000

-12000

-10000

-8000

-6000

-4000

-2000

0

Wells drilled in NCSB in chronological order

Total

Depth

TVDSS

in feet

Deepest well in the basin

57/2-1 12,385 ft

Page 30: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

30

NCSB – Drilling Depth

-14000

-12000

-10000

-8000

-6000

-4000

-2000

0

Wells drilled in NCSB in chronological order

Total

Depth

TVDSS

in feet

9 wells beneath 10,000ft

(10% of wells)

Page 31: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

31

NCSB – Drilling Depth

-14000

-12000

-10000

-8000

-6000

-4000

-2000

0

Wells drilled in NCSB in chronological order

Total

Depth

TVDSS

in feet

35 wells above 6,000ft

(40% of wells)

Page 32: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

32

Well - Stratigraphy at TD

Page 33: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

33

Key Points

Proven Petroleum Systems

Underexplored

Resurgent Activity

Page 34: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

34

NCSB – 3D Seismic

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

1970197219741976197819801982198419861988199019921994199619982000200220042006200820102012

3D SEISMIC

3D SEISMIC

Helvick Helvick

SW Kinsale

Page 35: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

35

NCSB – 3D Seismic

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

1970197219741976197819801982198419861988199019921994199619982000200220042006200820102012

3D SEISMIC

3D SEISMIC

An exploration well has

yet to be sited using 3D

seismic

90% of 3D Seismic in the basin acquired

since 2011

Page 36: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

36

3D Seismic

Midleton Ballycotton

Rosscarbery

Amergin Barryroe

Polarcus Samur on Location 2011

Page 37: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

37

Barryroe – (Lansdowne 20%)

Basal Wealden sandstone tested at 3,514 bopd

& 2.93 mmscfgd

Page 38: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

38

Barryroe – Schematic Cross - Section

Source: Providence Resources

Page 39: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

39

Barryroe – CPR Estimates

Source: Providence Resources

Reservoir Interval 1C

(MMBO)

2C

(MMBO)

3C

(MMBO)

Middle Wealden

STOIIP (RPS)

Recoverable (RPS)

31

4

287

45

706

113

Basal Wealden

STOIIP (NSAI)

Recoverable (NSAI)

338

85

761

266

1,135

511

TOTAL STOIIP

TOTAL Recoverable

369

89

1,048

311

1,841

624

LANSDOWNE (20%)

NET RECOVERABLE

18 62 125

Note: The table above excludes recoverable solution gas (i.e. 207 BCF or 34.5 MMBOE in the 2C case)

Additional potential in drilled Lower Wealden and Purbeckian sandstones and in undrilled deeper

Jurassic section

Page 40: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

40

The Future

Wells located on 3D seismic

Pre-inversion structures

Deeper targets

Page 41: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

41

Amergin

Base Chalk

Apto-Albian

Hauterivian

Valanginian

BCU

Kimmeridgian

Bathonian Lmst

North South

Page 42: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

42

Conclusions

Proven Petroleum Systems

Underexplored

Resurgent Activity

Page 43: The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon ... · The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is

The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon

Province

Ireland Oil & Gas Summit

2013