the north celtic sea basin: a resurgent proven hydrocarbon ... · the presentation materials do not...
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The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon
Province
Ireland Oil & Gas Summit
2013
2
Disclaimer
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rules produced and implemented by the Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”) by virtue of the Prospectus Rules Instrument 2005) and
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form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract with Lansdowne relating to any Lansdowne securities.
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Key Points
Proven Petroleum Systems
Underexplored
Resurgent Activity
4
Key Points
Proven Petroleum Systems
Basin Definition
Stratigraphy Source rocks
Reservoir rocks
Petroleum Systems
5
North Celtic Sea Basin Definition
6
North Celtic Sea Basin Definition
7
Stratigraphy and Source Rocks
8
Lower Jurassic Source rocks
9
Lower Jurassic Source rocks
10
Upper Jurassic Source Rocks
11
Upper Jurassic Source Rocks
12
Cretaceous Gas Play
Cretaceous Gas Play • Shallow water 270 – 300 ft
• Reservoirs c. 2500- 4500ft subsea
• Dry Gas (c 99% methane)
• Production to date • Kinsale 1.7 TCF
• Ballycotton c 61 BCF
• Seven Heads c 25 BCF
13
Stratigraphy and Reservoir Rocks
14
Celtic Sea Petroleum Systems
15
Key Points
Proven Petroleum Systems
Underexplored
Resurgent Activity
16
Wells Drilled off south coast of Ireland
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
FASTNET
SCS
NCS
103 Wells
17
Wells Drilled - NCSB
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
NCS
NCS
88 Wells
18
NCSB - minus development wells
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
NCS
80 Wells
19
NCSB - wells on KH, 7H/Barryroe and
Ballycotton
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
COMM FIELDS
E&A
16
64
20
NCSB - minus wells on producing
structures & Barryroe
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
E&A
E&A
64 wells
21
Underexplored
64 wells
But a number of these are on discoveries & their appraisals
Cretaceous Hook Head – 50/11-1, 50/11-2, 50/11-3, 50/11-4
Ardmore – 49/14-1, 49/14-2
Galley Head – 48/18-1
Schull – 57/2-2, 57/2-3
Carrigaline – 48/24-4
Old Head – 49/23-1, 49/23-2z
22
NCSB - Cret. tech success structures
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1970197219741976197819801982198419861988199019921994199619982000200220042006200820102012
CRET DISC
E&A
12
52
23
NCSB - minus producing & Cret. tech
success structures
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
E&A
E&A
52 Wells
24
Underexplored
52 wells
But a number of these are on discoveries & their appraisals
Jurassic Helvick – 49/9-2, 49/9-3Y, 49/9-6
Dunmore – 50/6-1, 50/6-4
25
NCSB – showing Jurassic disc/appraisal
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
JURA DISC & APP
E&A
5
47
26
NCSB – minus Jurassic disc/appraisal
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
E&A
E&A
27
NCSB – Just Exploration wells
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
EXPLORATION
EXPLORATION
59 EXPLORATION
WELLS
ONLY 2 SINCE 1995
- BLACKROCK 49/26-1A
- OLD HEAD 49/23-1
BLACKROCK
DRY
OLD HEAD
GAS
28
NCSB – Drilling Depth
-14000
-12000
-10000
-8000
-6000
-4000
-2000
0
Wells drilled in NCSB in chronological order
Total
Depth
TVDSS
in feet
29
NCSB – Drilling Depth
-14000
-12000
-10000
-8000
-6000
-4000
-2000
0
Wells drilled in NCSB in chronological order
Total
Depth
TVDSS
in feet
Deepest well in the basin
57/2-1 12,385 ft
30
NCSB – Drilling Depth
-14000
-12000
-10000
-8000
-6000
-4000
-2000
0
Wells drilled in NCSB in chronological order
Total
Depth
TVDSS
in feet
9 wells beneath 10,000ft
(10% of wells)
31
NCSB – Drilling Depth
-14000
-12000
-10000
-8000
-6000
-4000
-2000
0
Wells drilled in NCSB in chronological order
Total
Depth
TVDSS
in feet
35 wells above 6,000ft
(40% of wells)
32
Well - Stratigraphy at TD
33
Key Points
Proven Petroleum Systems
Underexplored
Resurgent Activity
34
NCSB – 3D Seismic
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
1970197219741976197819801982198419861988199019921994199619982000200220042006200820102012
3D SEISMIC
3D SEISMIC
Helvick Helvick
SW Kinsale
35
NCSB – 3D Seismic
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
1970197219741976197819801982198419861988199019921994199619982000200220042006200820102012
3D SEISMIC
3D SEISMIC
An exploration well has
yet to be sited using 3D
seismic
90% of 3D Seismic in the basin acquired
since 2011
36
3D Seismic
Midleton Ballycotton
Rosscarbery
Amergin Barryroe
Polarcus Samur on Location 2011
37
Barryroe – (Lansdowne 20%)
Basal Wealden sandstone tested at 3,514 bopd
& 2.93 mmscfgd
38
Barryroe – Schematic Cross - Section
Source: Providence Resources
39
Barryroe – CPR Estimates
Source: Providence Resources
Reservoir Interval 1C
(MMBO)
2C
(MMBO)
3C
(MMBO)
Middle Wealden
STOIIP (RPS)
Recoverable (RPS)
31
4
287
45
706
113
Basal Wealden
STOIIP (NSAI)
Recoverable (NSAI)
338
85
761
266
1,135
511
TOTAL STOIIP
TOTAL Recoverable
369
89
1,048
311
1,841
624
LANSDOWNE (20%)
NET RECOVERABLE
18 62 125
Note: The table above excludes recoverable solution gas (i.e. 207 BCF or 34.5 MMBOE in the 2C case)
Additional potential in drilled Lower Wealden and Purbeckian sandstones and in undrilled deeper
Jurassic section
40
The Future
Wells located on 3D seismic
Pre-inversion structures
Deeper targets
41
Amergin
Base Chalk
Apto-Albian
Hauterivian
Valanginian
BCU
Kimmeridgian
Bathonian Lmst
North South
42
Conclusions
Proven Petroleum Systems
Underexplored
Resurgent Activity
The North Celtic Sea Basin: A Resurgent Proven Hydrocarbon
Province
Ireland Oil & Gas Summit
2013