the newsonomics of the digital news decade Кен Доктор, ведущий аналитик...
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The Newsonomics of the Digital News Decade
Ken Doctor
New Industry Analyst & Author,
Newsonomics Future Media Forum
June 19, 20121Wednesday, June 13, 12
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Welcome to the Digital News Decade
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12 Laws Updated
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From Mostly Print/A Little
Digital to Mostly Digital/
Some Print
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Print Digital (‘90s)
Print Digital (‘00s)
Print Digital (‘10s)
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Follow the Money6Wednesday, June 13, 12
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In Russia & Worldwide7Wednesday, June 13, 12
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Today
What is It?5 Truths
& 3 Lies
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Truth #1
Content Wants
a Fee
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NYT: 450K subs; $100M+
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From Free to
Paid
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From Free to (Also)
Paid
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And LovesMany Fees
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Truth #2
For News(paper) Companies, Reader Revenue Will Be #1
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The Revolution of Reader Revenue
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We Sell Content16Wednesday, June 13, 12
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Why?Print advertising is in death
spiral
Digital circulation can boost circulation revenue @10%+
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U.S. Dailies 80/20
Advertising/Circulation Old Split
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U.S. Dailies Rapidly Pointing Toward 50%
New York Times: 52%, up 4% in 1 yearBoston Globe: 47%
Minneapolis Star Tribune: 43%Dallas Morning News: 38%
Time Inc: 43%, up 5% from 3 years ago
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Global Dailies*66/34UK: 48%US: 29%
EMEA: 30%Asia: 61%
Japan: 72.5%
* Outsell Data
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Global DailiesCirculation Revenue
$30 Billion* Outsell Data
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Truth #3
Digital First is Becoming
the Standard
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Dropping 4 Days a Week, Reinforcing
Sunday
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Daily Cuts in Louisiana, New York, California, Kansas, North Carolina, Michigan, Alabama
The 7-Day Daily is Going Away
.
New Orleans, Birmingham, Mobile, Grand Rapids, Ann Arbor. Media General cut smaller
seven-day papers in North Carolina and California to three days a week. GateHouse Media did the same
in Kansas.
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Johnston Press
5 Dailies Now Weekly
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The Digital First Make-Over
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John Paton’sOutsourcing
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As We Enter Into New Age of Many
News Products
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Chicago Tribune 20 Ebooks Planned
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“Mining the
Archives”
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Paywalls2012
subscriptionabonnementsuscripciónподпискаassinatura
サブスクリプション
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Membership Arrives
L.A. Times, Boston Globe, The Day, a small daily in Connecticut
The idea: Deepen the relationship to subscribers, especially All-Access
subscribers
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Truth #3
It’s a
5-Screen Future
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Desktop/LaptopSmartphone
TabletConnected TV
Connected Auto35Wednesday, June 13, 12
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2nd Screen Thinking
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All Access is the Business Model
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Truth #5
Commerce is AboutOffers
Not “Advertising”
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Lie #1
It’s All
About Mobile
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“Mobile” is
Obsolete41Wednesday, June 13, 12
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Mobile Ramp42Wednesday, June 13, 12
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It’s About Serving Customers Anywhere
& Everywhere
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The Sixth Screen?Holograms
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Lie #2
Newspapers Will
Recover
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Lie #3
Google (Amazon, Facebook & Apple)
Want to Be Your Friend
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GAFA Grows Stronger
Every Day47Wednesday, June 13, 12
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Apple
Amazon
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Digital Display
The ComingGoogle/Facebook
Duopoly49Wednesday, June 13, 12
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Global 2011: $80 Billion
50
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67%Google/Yahoo/Microsoft/AOL/Facebook Take of
Digital Advertising
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AudiencesDistribution
DevicesSelling ChannelsCustomer Touch
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Dominance
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How Do Media Make Friends?
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We’re Writing New Formula
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Welcome to thethe Beginning of
Digital News Decade
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2020: Telling Stories About Daily Newspapers
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