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The National Risk Index A New Tool to Communicate and Interpret Community Risk Nathan Montague ABS Consulting June 21, 2018

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The National Risk Index

A New Tool to Communicate and Interpret Community Risk

Nathan MontagueABS ConsultingJune 21, 2018

β€’ What is the NRI?

β€’ How was it developed?

β€’ What are the components?

β€’ How can I use the NRI site?

β€’ What is the purpose and vision?

Overview

What is the National Risk Index?

NRI Components

Social Vulnerability (SoVI)

Community Resilience (BRIC)

Built Environment (Hazus GBS)

Natural Hazard Incidence

Natural HazardsHazard Source

Avalanche CO Avalanche Information Center

Coastal Flood NOAA National Weather Service, Storm Events Database, and Coastal sea level rise

Cold Wave NOAA North American Climate Extremes Monitoring, National Weather Service, and

Storm Events Database

Drought National Drought Mitigation Center

Earthquake National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program

Hail NOAA Storm Prediction Center and Storm Events Database

Heat Wave NOAA North American Climate Extremes Monitoring and Storm Events Database

Hurricane NOAA National Hurricane Center and Storm Events Database, Hazus Wind Probabilistic

Geodatabase

Ice Storm U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

Hazard Source

Landslide U.S. Geological Survey

Lightning NOAA Severe Weather Data Inventory, Storm Events Database, and National Center for

Environmental Information

Riverine Flood FEMA Special Flood Hazard Exposure Mapand National Flood Hazard Layer

Snowstorm/Blizzard NOAA Storm Events Database and NationalOperating Hydrologic Remote Sensing

Center

Strong Wind NOAA Storm Prediction Center and Storm Events Database

Tornado NOAA Storm Prediction Center and Storm Events Database

Tsnuami/Seiche NOAA National Center for Environmental Information, individual state sponsored datasets from HI, CA, OR, WA, and AK

Volcano UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

Wildfire U.S. Geological Survey and U.S. Forest Service

Composite Risk Index & Equation

Preliminary Future

οΏ½ 𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻 Γ— 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐻𝐻𝐸𝐸 Γ— 𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝐸𝐸𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝐻𝐻𝑃𝑃 𝑉𝑉𝐸𝐸𝑃𝑃𝑉𝑉𝐸𝐸𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝑉𝑉𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑉𝑉𝑃𝑃 Γ—

𝑆𝑆𝐸𝐸𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝐻𝐻𝑃𝑃 𝑉𝑉𝐸𝐸𝑃𝑃𝑉𝑉𝐸𝐸𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝑉𝑉𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑉𝑉𝑃𝑃 Γ—1

𝑅𝑅𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝐸𝐸𝑉𝑉𝑃𝑃𝐸𝐸 = 𝑁𝑁𝐻𝐻𝑉𝑉𝑃𝑃𝐸𝐸𝑉𝑉𝐻𝐻𝑃𝑃 𝑅𝑅𝑃𝑃𝐸𝐸𝑅𝑅 𝐼𝐼𝑉𝑉𝐻𝐻𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸

How was the NRI developed?

Pre-NRI Issues:

1) Decentralized data2) Data at local scale3) Not easily viewed on a

map4) One risk displayed5) If multivariate, then

independent of each other

NRI Solution:

1) Centralized risk data2) National scale3) Intuitive map display4) Individual & multivariate5) Risk Index combines risks

NRI Contributors

NRI Contributors

Academia

Local Government

Regional Government

Federal Government

State Government

Non-ProfitPrivate

FEMA

Identify hazard types

& dataset sourcesDesign & develop a

National Risk Index tool

Data Analytics

Working Group

Natural Hazards

Vulnerability and

Resilience

Data Analytics

NRI Working Groups

How does the NRI site function & communicate risk?

Multiple Location Comparison Report

Multiple Location Comparison Report

Single Location Report

Single Location Report

Single Location Report

β€’ Enhance Hazard Mitigation Plans

β€’ General public risk awareness and engagement

β€’ Support FEMA RiskMAP and THIRA

β€’ Inform long term community recovery

β€’ Integrate into programmatic outreach (NFIP)

β€’ Hazard mitigation grant program application and

prioritization

β€’ Natural hazards and resilience research

β€’ Targeted investment of federal risk reduction programs

β€’ Baseline risk assessment for highlighting areas that could benefit from

more detailed analysis

Vision for how the NRI can be used

β€’ Late summer 2018β€’ Fema.gov URLβ€’ Methodology reports availableβ€’ Data downloadβ€’ Links to data sourceβ€’ Official NRI email for support

Additional release info

Questions?

Contact: [email protected]