the most effective price promotion

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The most effective promotion A competitive study across LATAM markets Juan A. Tello (SKIM) Manuel M. Zamora (Mondelez)

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SKIM has taken on the challenge of systematically measuring and comparing the effectiveness of 20+ types of promotions across 4 countries in Latin America, for two CPG product categories. To add a fundamental layer to our understanding of what works and doesn't work in LATAM markets, we aimed to identify key underlying behavioral economic principles driving the success of certain promotions.

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Page 1: The most effective price promotion

The most effective promotion A competitive study

across LATAM markets

Juan A. Tello (SKIM)

Manuel M. Zamora (Mondelez)

Page 2: The most effective price promotion

Up to 60% of purchase

decisions are made in front of

the shelf

And only 5% of human

decision making is rational

Page 3: The most effective price promotion

Yet, customers attention is very limited… lost in context

Assimilate max 5

pieces of information

at once

Shoppers “chunk”

information to simplify

the task

Page 4: The most effective price promotion

Promotions are

becoming an

important asset to

deliver brand

strategy for most

companies and

capture customer’s

attention

Page 5: The most effective price promotion

Powerful insights

driving promotional

strategy

Top promos in Colombia according to Shopper Study 2013: • Packaging trade, • Cinema tickets • Musical events and concerts • Cell phone minutes (77%

prepaid) Design a

promotion easily accessible

by shoppers

Page 6: The most effective price promotion

Role of promotions

varies depending on

the brand’s position

in the market

Leader Challenger VS

Page 7: The most effective price promotion

Improve Gross

Margins

Wise

marketing

trade

investments

Improve

profitability of

stocks of

retailers/

distributors

Companies should be selective in order to

Find right level

of promotion for

the category

Improve ROI

Max.

incremental

sales and

reduce

cannibalization

Productivity has become the name of the game

Find the sweet spot

between incremental

sales and value – fuel

sustainable growth

Page 8: The most effective price promotion

Lower ROI

Beware the loss of

promotion

sensitivity if abused

over time

Page 9: The most effective price promotion

Promotion effectiveness

Incomplete Disaggregate

Anecdotal

Scattered

Page 10: The most effective price promotion

4 Countries

Mexico

Colombia

Brazil Argentina

Laundry Detergent

Breakfast Cereal 2

Product categories

Page 11: The most effective price promotion

21 Types of

Promotion

Discounts by volume

Buy 3

packs for a

20%

discount

Buy One

Get One

Free

(BOGOF)

Buy two

Get One

Free (3x2)

Coupons/rebates

Coupons

inside

Rebates

(get 20%

back)

Store

rewards points

Bonus

points on

loyalty card

Price reduction

Price

From-To

(10% & 20%

reduction)

Absolute

saving $

amount

(10% & 20%

reduction)

Relative %

saving

(10% & 20%

reduction)

Satisfaction guaranteed

100%

satisfaction

guaranteed

($ refund)

100%

satisfaction

guaranteed

(product

replacement)

Sweepstakes

Instant

prize on the

inside of the

label

Sweeps-

takes

(register)

Charity

Charitable

Cause

Bundles

Comple-

mentary

Bundle

Free gift

with

purchase

Sampling

Free

sample

Same price,

more product

20% more

for same

$ deal

Page 12: The most effective price promotion

2 metrics

Persuasion Reach

Page 13: The most effective price promotion

The Most Effective Promotions Based on promo effectiveness

Buy 1 get 1 free

3 for the price of 2

Freesamp

Freegift Buy3Get20% Bundle

20% more

RelSav – 20%

Charity 20%

Instant Trip

Refund 100%

Replace 100%

SweepTrip Rebate 20%

AbsSav-10%

AbsSav-20%

F->T 20%

F->10% LoyalCard 30%

RelSav 10%

Coupons 20%

Page 14: The most effective price promotion

Economical alternatives

to BOGOF & 3x2

Free Gift Buy3Get20% +

Freesamp

- FreeGift

Buy3Get20%, Freesamp

+ InstantTrip

Buy3Get20%, Freesamp, InstantTrip

+ FreeGift

44% 50% 52% 54%

1 promo 2 promos 3 promos 4 promos

Page 15: The most effective price promotion

Economical alternatives

to BOGOF & 3x2

Buy3Get20%, Freesamp, InstantTrip

+ FreeGift

54%

An Extra Item An Uncertain

Promotion A Price

Discount Free Sample

Optimal Quartet of Promotions

4 promos

Page 16: The most effective price promotion

Buy3Get20%, Freesamp, InstantTrip

+ FreeGift

Relative Results

Laundry Detergent

Breakfast Cereal

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

1 2 10 3 4 5 7 9 6 8 11 16 12 15 13 19 17 14 18 20 21

Differences by product category

Correlation of 0.99

BO

GO

F

3x

2

Fre

eG

ift

Fre

eS

am

p

Bu

nd

le

20

% m

ore

Bu

y2

Ge

t20

%

F >

T 2

0%

Ab

sS

av –

20

%

RelS

av –

20

%

Ins

tan

t T

rip

Refu

nd

10

0%

Ch

ari

ty 2

0%

F >

T 1

0%

RelS

av –

10

%

Rep

lac

e10

0%

Lo

ya

lCa

rd 3

0%

Co

up

on

s 2

0%

Ab

sS

av –

10

%

Reb

ate

20

%

Ch

ari

ty 2

0%

Page 17: The most effective price promotion

Quality of the GIFT matters

Page 18: The most effective price promotion

Locally Effective Alternatives Top Promotions

Argentina

Free Samples

Free Gifts

More for same price

Bundles

Brazil

Free Samples

Instant prizes

Sweepstakes

10% discounts

Loyalty Card Points

Rebates

Replacements

Colombia

Instant Prizes

Bundles

More for same price

Free Gifts

Free Samples

Loyalty Card Points

Coupons

Sweepstakes

Mexico

Free Gifts

Free Samples

Bundles

From-to discounts

Sweepstakes

Instant prizes

Coupons

What to do

What NOT to do

Sweepstakes

Rebates

Coupons

Replacements

Refunds

Page 19: The most effective price promotion

ARE THE MOST CHARITABLE DOESN’T ENJOY A GOOD GAMBLE ARE MORE MATHEMATICALLY MINDED

Page 20: The most effective price promotion

Promotion Specific Insights

Cause Related

Uncertain Rewards

Same Discount, Different Wording

Page 21: The most effective price promotion

HOW TO EFFECTIVELY

COMMUNICATE A

PRICE REDUCTION

Page 22: The most effective price promotion

REDUCTION

3 Different Ways

The effectiveness of each wording depends on… Starting base price Magnitude of discount Currency denomination

Relative % Discount

Absolute Savings

From – To Pricing

A psychological barrier has been crossed

YES NO

Currency denominations

are high

Absolute Savings

YES

NO

- 20% Save $2 From $ 11

to $ 9 Save $2

Page 23: The most effective price promotion

Effective alternative

>4=$

“More product for the same price”

More palatable financial

proposition

Improve Brand loyalty

outperforms a straight % reduction

Involves pack & manufacturing

changes

Page 24: The most effective price promotion

Engagement

Loss aversion Salience Format

Affect-

reciprocity Priming Free Anchoring

Scepticism Prospect Prominence /

order Endowment

The more

the merrier

11 Behavioral Economic Principles

Page 25: The most effective price promotion

Engagement

Loss aversion Salience Format

Affect-

reciprocity Priming Free Anchoring

Scepticism Prospect Prominence /

order Endowment

11 Behavioral Economic Principles

The power of “free” can make people consume what they wouldn't under normal circumstances

Page 26: The most effective price promotion

Engagement

Loss aversion Salience Format

Affect-

reciprocity Priming Free Anchoring

Scepticism Prospect Prominence /

order Endowment

11 Behavioral Economic Principles

Promos with a bigger visual impact offering more product do show higher effectiveness levels

Page 27: The most effective price promotion

Engagement

Loss aversion Salience Format

Affect-

reciprocity Priming Free Anchoring

Scepticism Prospect Prominence /

order Endowment

11 Behavioral Economic Principles

Mixed results. Lack of immediate or compelling enough rewards which overcome scepticism, leads to subpar promos

Page 28: The most effective price promotion

Engagement

Loss aversion Salience Format

Affect-

reciprocity Priming Free Anchoring

Scepticism Prospect Prominence /

order Endowment

11 Behavioral Economic Principles

Mixed results. Promos shielding shoppers from a potential buyers’ regret. Refunds and replacements take a defensive position while product sampling is more proactive

Page 29: The most effective price promotion

Key Behavioral Economic Principles

Most Effective Promos

Promo Pitfalls

LOSS OF PROMOTION

SENSITIVITY IF ABUSED OVER TIME

LOWER ROI

Free Sample A price discount

An uncertain promotion An extra item

Alternative promos:

Page 30: The most effective price promotion

Drop by booth 16 to find out more

www.skimgroup.com

Juan A. Tello (SKIM)

Manuel M. Zamora (Mondelez)