the gold standard

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Chapter 2, International Financial Mgmt, Eun et al 3460.02 notes by A.P. Palasvirta, PhD

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The Gold Standard. Chapter 2, International Financial Mgmt, Eun et al 3460.02 notes by A.P. Palasvirta, PhD. Historical Monetary Standards. Bronze Silver Gold U.S. Dollar Standard. The Bank of Deposit. Bank of Amsterdam (15 th century) 100% reserves of gold and silver - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: The Gold Standard

Chapter 2, International Financial Mgmt, Eun et al

3460.02 notes by A.P. Palasvirta, PhD

Page 2: The Gold Standard

Bronze

Silver

Gold

U.S. Dollar Standard

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 2

Page 3: The Gold Standard

Bank of Amsterdam (15th century)100% reserves of gold and silverDepositors brought gold, silver

Were given warehousing certificates for the amount of gold, silver minus a charge

Depositors would use the warehousing certificates as moneyLower transactions costsEasier to use

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 3

Page 4: The Gold Standard

Gold 100%

Warehouse receipts

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 4

Assets Liabilities

Page 5: The Gold Standard

Queen Elizabeth I 1563 to 1603Created the Bank of England

Held partial reserves of gold and silver The rest were in treasury bills

This was not a strict gold standard, but a gold exchange standard This bank could not refund all claims for gold

with gold

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 5

Page 6: The Gold Standard

Gold30 – 40%

T-bills60 – 70%

http://www.gata.org/node/104

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 6

currency

Assets Liabilities

Page 7: The Gold Standard

Fix the value of the unit of accountSomething immutable

Ounce of silver Ounce of gold

Gold standardUnit of account the troy ounceMedium of exchange

Coinage Gold certificates

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 7

Page 8: The Gold Standard

If the cost of mining gold increasesdeflation

Value of gold increases Value of other goods remain constant Prices decrease

If the cost of mining gold decreases Inflation

Value of gold decreases Value of other goods remain constant Prices increase

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 8

Page 9: The Gold Standard

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 9

1/P

Gold

1/P

Demand

Supply

Page 10: The Gold Standard

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 10

1/P

Gold

1/P

Supply

DemandDemand

Page 11: The Gold Standard

Two markets for gold official government market Legal unofficial private markets

Parity Price greater than market price government’s price (parity) the high price external markets price the low price

trader buys low sells high buys externally sells to government

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 11

Page 12: The Gold Standard

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 12

Par

D1

S1

Pg

Pg

Qg

D2

S2

GovernmentMarket

Private Market

Page 13: The Gold Standard

Private market gold supplies decrease holders of gold will sell first to the government arbitrageurs will buy up stocks and sell to the

government excess supply will dry up bringing market

price to equal the parity price Government gold supplies will increase

increases the money supply decrease the value of money (inflation)

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 13

Page 14: The Gold Standard

Countries fix parity price of goldusd parity price = $20.67/ounceuk parity price = 4.2474£/ounce

usd/uk£ = 4.8665$/£ They allow arbitrage between two markets

parity price of gold at Central Bank free market price of gold

De facto single currency the ounce of gold many units of account periodic falling off of the gold standard

Balance of Payments deficits settled with gold

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 14

Page 15: The Gold Standard

Mechanism which mitigates BOT surplus gold is paid to pay for excess of exports to

imports gold coming into the central bank increases

money supply inflation in the economy

your goods now more expensive in foreign markets

foreign goods less expensive to you Price-specie flow mechanism

BOP balances settled in gold Money adjusts Prices adjust International prices converge

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 15

Page 16: The Gold Standard

Gold

T-bills

gold increases due to BOT surplus

cash

currency

Money supply increases

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 16

Assets Liabilities

Page 17: The Gold Standard

Gold backs all money prices move relative to

excess demand for gold (economic growth) deflation

excess supply of gold (new gold finds) inflation

Treasuries have no independent monetary policy

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 17

Page 18: The Gold Standard

Fixed parity price (not fixed value)Unit of account varied with the cost of

mining gold Often the unit of account appreciated (increased

in value) as gold supplies were harder to mine With new gold discoveries, the unit of account

depreciated (decreased in value) as the cost of mining gold decreased

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 18

Page 19: The Gold Standard

All currencies fixed to gold Gold is the de facto currency

single world wide currencyall international trade is denominated in

gold No need to hedge exchange rate

volatility since exchange rates are constant

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 19

Page 20: The Gold Standard

When CBs execute a monetary policydiscipline of the gold standard is goneafter WWII governments ran inflationary

policies interest rate policies employment policies inflation sometimes running at 200% or more

Exchange rates fluctuatecreating uncertainty for trade

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 20

Page 21: The Gold Standard

Colonizers (France, Spain, England, Portugal)Gold standard

ColoniesSilver standard

Gresham’s LawBad money drives out good

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 21

Page 22: The Gold Standard

Germany reparations heavy and denominated in Deutsche Marks not goldGermany inflated their currency in order to

reduce the cost of reparations Inflation 1 trillion%

United States had most of the goldFrance, England paid for war materials

bought from the U.S. in gold Stock market crash of 1929

Led to protectionism Sterilization polices Depression

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 22

Page 23: The Gold Standard

WWII U.S. again the supplier of arms got most of the gold in the world

1944 end of the was the Gold Exchange Standard

The U.S. dollar became the reserve currency Traded at par value with all currencies part of

system Balance of payments imbalances were

cleared with U.S. dollars instead of gold Cheaper to ship dollars instead of gold Countries could earn interest on their foreign

exchange reserves Special Drawing Rights (SDRs)

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 23

Page 24: The Gold Standard

Creation of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) International clearing house for exchange

transactions with SDRs and dollars Special Drawing Rights

Exchange reserves held at the IMFValue weighted average of basket of major

currencies Deutsche Mark (20%), franc (12%), pound (12%),

yen (16%), us dollar (42%)

The SDR as well as the U.S. dollar became the reserve currencies

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 24

Page 25: The Gold Standard

U.S. had to run a chronic BOP deficit to supply us dollars to the worlds economies

The fixed parities between currencies dependent on certain assumptions for all economiesMonetary policies alignedFiscal policies aligned

Revaluations necessary periodicallyMonetary policies of many countries very

expansionary

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 25

Page 26: The Gold Standard

US running inflationary monetary policy to finance Vietnamese warUS increase the dollar parity price

(devalued) twice DeGaulle demanded payment of BOP

surplus with the U.S. in gold

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 26

Page 27: The Gold Standard

January 1976 All currencies will float with respect to

each other

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 27

Page 28: The Gold Standard

Gold = $1,212.1 Silver = $18.411 Platinum = $1,548.7 Paladium = $462.7

April 20, 20233460.02 gold standard notes: a.p. palasvirta, ph.d. 28