the global bond market prof. ian giddypages.stern.nyu.edu/~igiddy/dakar/bonds.pdfmanagement fee 20%...
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Giddy The Global Bond Market /1
Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy
The GlobalBond Market
Prof. Ian GIDDYStern School of Business
New York University
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 5
The International Capital Market
� International bank financing� Eurobonds, foreign bonds and global
bonds� Project financing
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Giddy The Global Bond Market /2
Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 7
Alternative Sources ofShort-Term Financing
FINANCINGFINANCING
DEBT EQUITYDOMESTICLOANS
DOMESTICLOANS
EUROMARKETLOANS
EUROMARKETLOANS
SYNDICATEDEUROCREDITS
SYNDICATEDEUROCREDITS
NOTE ISSUANCEFACILITIES
NOTE ISSUANCEFACILITIES
EUROCOMMERCIALPAPER
EUROCOMMERCIALPAPER
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 8
Alternative Sources ofLong-Term Financing
FINANCINGFINANCING
DEBT EQUITY
� Bank credits - syndicated lending and facilities
� Bonds�Domestic, foreign, Euro
�Public, private
�Structured, such as principle-indexed notes
� Medium-term notes� Asset-backed financing and leasing� Project financing
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Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 10
The Global Bond Market
� Domestic bonds� Foreign bond
(Issued within country of currency, by non-resident issuers)
� Eurobonds(Issued and sold in a jurisdiction outside the
country of the currency of denomination)
� Global Bonds(Issued in the domestic and the Eurobond
markets simultaneously)
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 11
The Global Bond Market
� Domestic bonds� Foreign bond
(Issued within country of currency, by non-resident issuers)
� Eurobonds(Issued and sold in a jurisdiction outside the
country of the currency of denomination)
� Global Bonds(Issued in the domestic and the Eurobond
markets simultaneously)
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Giddy The Global Bond Market /4
Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 12
International Bond Markets are Linked
� Issuers and investors compare terms in the domestic and Eurobond markets, which are linked across currencies via currency swaps
BONDMARKETSWITHINCOUNTRYOFCURRENCY
BONDMARKETSOUTSIDECOUNTRYOFCURRENCY
CurrencySwaps
Long-datedForwardExchange
Domestic US
- Gov't- Corporate
ForeignBonds
"Yankee"
DomesticJapanese
- Gov't- Corporate
ForeignBonds
"Samurai"
EurodollarBond Market
EuroyenBond Market
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 13
Foreign Bonds
� A foreign bond is a bond issued in a host country's financial market, in the host country's currency, by a foreign borrower
� The three largest foreign bond markets are Japan, Switzerland, and the U.S., representing issuance of about $40 billion in bonds annually
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Giddy The Global Bond Market /5
Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 15
Characteristics of Eurobonds
� Issued outside country of currency� Not subject to domestic registration or disclosure
requirements� In most cases take form of private placements� Placed through syndicates in many countries who sell
principally to nonresidents� Bonds are structured so as to be free of withholding tax� Bearer formBut...� Eurobonds usually influenced de facto by government
and banks of country of currency
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 16
www.ft.com
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Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 17
Pricing Bonds:The Yield Curve
bondsonline.com
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 18
Benchmark Bonds
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Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 19
Corporate Bonds: Spread over Benchmark
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 20
Bond Credit Ratings
Moody’sStandard &Poor’s Interpretation
AaaAa
AAAAA
High-quality debt instruments
ABaa
ABBB
Strong to adequate ability topay principal and interest
BaBCaaCaC
BBBCCCCCC
Ability to pay interest andprincipal speculative
D In default
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Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 21
Rating Criteria
Profitability Capital Structure
Business Model Management
Quality of earnings
Ebitda margins
Interest coverage indicators
Volatility of earnings
Cost Management
Indebtedness ratios
Distribution of debt maturities
Effects of concentrated ownership on funding capabilities
Barriers to entry
Competitive environment
Market position
Diversification: Clients, Products, Geographic
Management Structure
Strategy and Objectives
Performance Record
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 22
Deal documentation
List information requirementsDue diligence &
Meeting with management
Issuer/BankerRequests rating
Pool credit analysisLegal analysisStress testing
Credit enhancementnegotiation
Rating committeePresale reportFinal report
Rating Process
Surveillance
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Giddy The Global Bond Market /9
Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 23
Ratings and Spreads
Corporate bond spreads: basis points over Treasury curveRating 1 year 2 year 3 year 5 year 7 year 10 year 30 yearAaa/AAA 40 45 50 60 74 85 96Aa1/AA+ 45 55 60 70 84 95 106Aa2/AA 55 60 65 75 89 105 116Aa3/AA- 60 65 70 85 99 117 136A1/A+ 70 80 90 105 119 142 159A2/A 80 90 105 120 140 157 179A3/A- 90 100 110 130 150 176 196Baa1/BBB+ 105 115 128 145 165 186 208Baa2/BBB 120 130 140 160 180 201 221Baa3/BBB- 140 145 155 172 193 210 232Ba1/BB+ 225 250 275 300 325 350 440Ba2/BB 250 275 300 325 350 385 540Ba3/BB- 300 350 375 425 445 460 665B1/B+ 375 400 425 500 550 610 765B2/B 450 500 550 625 670 710 890B3/B- 500 550 650 750 875 975 1075Caa/CCC 600 650 800 900 1025 1150 1300
Source: bondsonline.com
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 24
Protection Against Default: Examples
� Collateral� Covenants� Subordination of future debt� Dividend restrictions� Sinking funds
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Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 25
Global Bonds
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 26
Key Dates in the Issuance of a Eurobond
Issuance need oropportunity identified
Announcement ofEurobond issue
Offering day:Eurobond issued
Closing day:Eurobonds delivered,
Issuer gets money
Issuerdiscussesdeal withleadmanager
Syndicateformed,bonds"presold"prior tofinal terms
Finalterms,bonds soldby sellinggroup toinvestors
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Giddy The Global Bond Market /11
Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 27
Issuing a Bond: Key Players in the Issuance of a Eurobond
MANAGERSUNDER-
WRITERS
SELLINGGROUP
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 28
Underwriting Economics
Selling Concession
60%
Underwriting Fee20%
Management Fee20%
Management Fee: Normally shared equally among managers (may be subject to a praecipium for Global Coordinator or Lead Manager)
Selling Concession: Payable as a percentage of allocation (determined by book-runner)
Underwriting Fee: Based on underwriting commitment (often less expenses of offering)
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Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 29
Pricing and Fees
The Business� Telecoms� Dot-Coms� Avons(How much volatility?)
Debt
Equity
Fees
0.15%to1.5%
5% to7%
PricingT+SpreadL+Spread
Comparables/RatiosThe marketFuture cash flow
valuation
The Issuer
Copyright ©2003 Ian H. Giddy The Global Bond Market 30
Case Study: South Africa Bond Financing
1. Why would S.A. issue a US dollar Eurobond?
2. Why has the government issued different kinds of bonds?
3. How would you explain the Eurobond issuance process and costs to an issuer?
4. What would be involved in getting a rating for a company?
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Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy
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Contact Info
Ian H. GiddyNYU Stern School of Business
Tel 212-998-0426; Fax 212-995-4233
http://giddy.org