the george washington battleground poll · 2014-12-18 · december 7-11, 2014/ n=1,000 registered...

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December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL A national survey of 1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters

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Page 1: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

THE GEORGE WASHINGTON

BATTLEGROUND POLL A national survey of 1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters

Page 2: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction,

or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

28%

8%

64%

21%

9%

70%

21%

11%

69%

Right direction Unsure Wrong track

3/20/2014 8/28/2014 12/11/2014

Q1

Page 3: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

August 23-28, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

32%31% 31%

29%

32%

39%

34%

24%

67%69%

21%21%

28%37%37%

28%

38%

32%33%

28%

38%

36%

34%40% 41%40% 39%

70%

64%

73%

59%

54%

59%

64%63%

62%

72% 75%

59%

59%

61%

57%56%

57%55%

52%54%

55%56%

51%

62%

54%

67%

60%

6/1/04 10/1/04 10/1/05 9/1/06 12/1/09 8/1/10 10/21/10 9/1/11 2/12/12 8/12/12 9/27/12 11/5/12 10/31/13 3/14/14 12/11/14

Right Direction Wrong Track Unsure

Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do

you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

Q1

Page 4: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as

President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?

44%

3%

53%

44%

5%

51%

43%

7%

50%

Approve Unsure Disapprove

3/20/2014 8/28/2014 12/11/2014

Q2

Page 5: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

August 23-28, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

48%

43%

7%

50%

44%44%

49%50%53%

41%

45%

50%

48%

49%

49%46% 45%

52%

44%

5%3%5%3%3%2%2%

5%4%4%2%3%2%5% 3% 5%

51%

53%

49%

54%52%

47%48%

49%

48%

49%48%

45%

51%

45%

50% 52%

10/20/10 5/12/11 9/1/11 11/9/11 2/22/12 5/3/12 8/8/12 9/20/12 9/27/12 10/18/12 11/5/12 12/6/12 10/31/13 1/16/14 3/20/14 8/28/14 12/14/14

Approve Unsure Disapprove

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?

Q2

Page 6: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

Did you vote in the November 2014 elections for Congress?

83%

16% 1%

Yes No Unsure

Q3

Page 7: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

What drove your vote for Congress? Would you say it was… (If “Yes” in Q3, Asked of N=832 Respondents, or 83% of Sample)

10%

9%

19%

6%

4%

13%

27%

2%

Feelings about

President Obama

ACA/Obamacare

The economy

Social Security and

Medicare

Women’s issues

Behavior of your

Member of Congress

Combo/Other

Unsure/Refused

Q4

Page 8: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

What do think is the most important issue that Congress should be

dealing with next year? Would you say it is…

14%

29%

12%

15%

9%

18%

1%

Jobs

The economy

Health care

Illegal immigration

Foreign threats

Combo/Other

Unsure/Refused

Q5

Page 9: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

Do you think that the 2016 Presidential Election is more likely to be

focused on…

The role of government and how government does its work, or Issues

facing the country?

37%

49%

7% 7%

Role of government Issues Both/Neither/Other Unsure

Q6

Page 10: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

Which of these statements better describes your view of the

federal government in Washington…

Government should do more to solve problems and help meet the needs of

people; or Government is doing too many things better left to businesses and

individuals?

52%

43%

3% 3%

Government should

do more

Government is

doing too many

things

Both/Neither/Other Unsure

Q7

Page 11: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

Which of these statements better describe what the federal

government in Washington should be doing?

42%

49%

Government should ensure

employment

Government should get out of way

The government in

Washington should see to it

that every person has a job

and a good standard of

living

The best thing that the

government in Washington

can do is to get out the way

and let the free market help

people succeed

Q8

Page 12: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

Please tell me which of these viewpoints comes closest to your own?

50%

43%

Fairer and tougher enforcement of

regulations

Fewer burdensome regulations

Some people say that we need fairer

and tougher enforcement of

regulations in the U.S. to protect

American workers and families and

to give the little guys, including

small businesses, a fair chance to

compete.

Other people say that we need fewer

burdensome government regulations

because these regulations only work

to make things more difficult for

small businesses and individuals to

create jobs and economic growth.

Q9

Page 13: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

How much would you say that you trust the government in Washington?

Would you say that you trust it…

Just about always, Most of the time, Only some of the time, or Never?

2%

13%

59%

24%

1%

Just about always

Most of the time

Only some of the

time

Never

Unsure/Refused

Q10

Page 14: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

How much would you say that you trust your state government?

Would you say that you trust it…

Just about always, Most of the time, Only some of the time, or Never?

4%

26%

51%

18%

1%

Just about always

Most of the time

Only some of the

time

Never

Unsure/Refused

Q11

Page 15: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

Would you say that you approve or disapprove of U.S. efforts

against ISIS?

53%

16%

31%

Approve No Disapprove

Q12

Page 16: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

How worried are you that there will be another major terrorist attack in the

U.S.? Would you say that you are…

Very worried, Somewhat worried, Not too worried, or Not at all

worried…that there will be another major terrorist attack in the U.S.?

28%

43%

20%

8%

2%

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure/Refused

Q13

Page 17: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

How worried would you say you are about the current economic conditions?

Would you say that you are…

Very worried, Somewhat worried, Not too worried, or

Not at all worried?

35%

42%

16%

6%

1%

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure/Refused

Q14

Page 18: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

Do you think that economic conditions in the United States are…

Getting better, Good and staying the same, Poor and staying the same, or

Getting worse?

30%

11%

25%

31%

2%

Getting better

Good and staying

the same

Poor and staying

the same

Getting worse

Unsure/Refused

Q15

Page 19: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

Do you believe that the next generation will be better off

economically than the current generation?

22%

8%

71%

Yes Unsure No

Q16

Page 20: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

Do you think that the Affordable Care Act, also called Obamacare,

went too far, did not go far enough, or was about right?

49%

23%

20%

6%

48%

22%

22%

7%

46%

24%

22%

7%

Too far

Not far enough

Was about right

Unsure/Refused

1/16/2014 3/20/2014 12/11/2014

Q17

Page 21: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

Were you personally contacted by a political campaign, political party, or

other political organization in ways like receiving mail, receiving a phone

call or e-mail, having someone visit your home or talk to you, or through

social media like Facebook or Twitter?

77%

1%

22%

Yes Unsure No

Q20

Page 22: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

Which of the following methods were used to contact you during the 2014

political campaigns? For each of the following methods, please tell me if yes, you

had contact from a campaign or political organization through this method or no,

you did not have contact through this method. (If “Yes” in Q20, Asked of N= 776 Respondents, or 77.4% of Sample)

92%

48%

83%

24%

23%

32%

8%

51%

17%

76%

77%

68%

Postal mail

E-mail

A phone call

Personal visit to your

home

Personal meeting in

a public place

Social media like

Facebook or Twitter

Yes No

Q21.1 – 21.6

Page 23: THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014-12-18 · December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in

December 7-11, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

And, would you say that you were directly contacted too many

times, about the right amount, or too few times by campaigns and

political organizations? (If “Yes” in Q20, Asked of N=776 Respondents, or 77.4% of Sample)

51%

38%

9%

2%

Too many

About the right

amount

Too few times

Unsure/Refused

Q22