The Future of Agriculture

www.nikolasbadminton.com

Today’s World

“I know there's a farmer out there somewhere who never wants a PC and that's fine with me.”

Bill Gates

2.87bn smart phones by 2020.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/330695/number-of-smartphone-users-worldwide/

“The amount of data on the planet is set to grow 10-fold in the next six years to 2020 from around 4.4 zettabytes to

44ZB.”

http://www.computerweekly.com/news/2240217788/Data-set-to-grow-10-fold-by-2020-as-internet-of-things-takes-off

http://www.visualcapitalist.com/chart-largest-companies-market-cap-15-years/

Data is the new oil.

“The amount of data on the planet is set to grow 10-fold in the next six years to 2020 from around 4.4 zettabytes to 44ZB.”

http://www.computerweekly.com/news/2240217788/Data-set-to-grow-10-fold-by-2020-as-internet-of-things-takes-off

“Food production must increase with 60% to be able to feed the growing

population expected to hit 9 billion in 2050.”

United Nations

Internet of Things

And, the future…

Automation & Drones

Big DataArtificial Intelligence

Water…

Internet of Things

“The Internet of Things (IoT) is the network of physical objects or "things" embedded with electronics, software,

sensors, and network connectivity, which enables these objects to collect and

exchange data.”

Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_of_Things

The promise: • Higher productivity and more efficient

use of land, water and fertilizer. • Greater transparency. • Big data, and the software to collect it.

“94% of all businesses have seen a return on their IoT investments.”

CMO.com

Source: http://www.cmo.com/articles/2015/4/13/mind-blowing-stats-internet-of-things-iot.html

Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/

Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/https://www.realagriculture.com/2017/01/sclerotinia-biosensor-could-text-you-when-its-time-to-spray/

InnoTech Alberta - Sclerotinia detection in canola

“Moocall believes it could reduce the mortality rate of cows and calves by 80%.

More than 110,000 calves and 50,000 cows die each year due to birthing complications. In

addition to saving lives, it can save farmers money, with cows costing between £1,000 and £5,000 a pop, and also increase productivity.”

Challenges • Cost efficiency • Connectivity • Security • Maintenance and Upgrades • Data, data, data • Training

Big Data

The promise • Better decisions that prevent

mistakes and increase efficiency. • Machine learning. • Optimized planting • Identify disease outbreaks. • Creating better seeds and hybrids

Source: http://www.cmo.com/articles/2015/4/13/mind-blowing-stats-internet-of-things-iot.html

Farm at Hand - Enterprise Resource Planning

Source: https://www.deere.com/en_US/corporate/our_company/news_and_media/press_releases/2014/agriculture/2014aug21_mjd_operations_center.page

Farmer’s Business Network

Source: https://www.farmersbusinessnetwork.com/

Farm Data Simplified. Analyze your soils, seeds, fertilizers, chemicals, yields,

economics, and weather.

Real World Seed Intelligence. Find optimal planting populations and practices on over 700

varieties.

Farmers Connecting. Join thousands of advanced farmers in the digital coffee shop -

this is the new way to share.

Farmer’s Business Network

But, there are some real concerns around big data usage…

Source: http://www.wsj.com/articles/startups-mine-market-moving-data-from-fields-parking-lotseven-shadows-1416502993

“UBS predicts that Wal-Mart’s second quarter sales will be up from the first quarter, but

down a percent against the same period a year ago.

But the satellite analysts figure that the number will come in 0.7 percent higher—not lower—based on the traffic surge they saw in the

parking lots.”http://www.cnbc.com/id/38722872

• Acquires worldwide data from agriculture, financial markets and climate, mapping the value-added information.

• Analyzes more than 200k data units per day collected through public and private agrometeorological stations, mapping drones, news, social networks and satellite images.

• Interpret data and build crop production and climate risk scenarios through realtime farm analysis.

SCICROP“THE S&P AND BLOOMBERG FOR AGRICULTURE.”

Challenges • Who owns the data? • How easy is it to acquire data? • Who profits off of the analytics? • How secure are the services?

Artificial Intelligence

The promise • Machine learning. • Automation. • Improved planning and efficiency. • 24/7/365 operations.

"AI is the new electricity”

Andrew NG, Chief Scientist, Baidu

“42% of Canadian jobs at high risk of being affected by

automation.”

http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/automation-job-brookfield-1.3636253

Retail salesperson. Administrative assistant. Food counter attendant.

Cashier. Transport truck driver.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/automation-job-brookfield-1.3636253

Will we be out of work?

Canada needs 182,000 people to fill positions for information systems analysts and consultants, computer and network operators, Web technicians, software

engineers and others in by 2019.

Read more: http://www.itworldcanada.com/article/canada-needs-182000-people-to-fill-these-it-positions-by-2019/287535#ixzz4bVmgXEZs

In 2015 only 29,000 people graduated from an IT field.

http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2016/03/12/it-jobs-skills-shortage-canada_n_9440872.html

Challenges • Changing how we train people for

work in a more technical world. • Training AI and building trust. • Maintenance. • Security.

Automation & Drones

The promise • Improved efficiencies • Ability to work longer hours • Reduced risk of injury to workers

“Because of limited arable land, productivity must increase 25% to

help meet that goal.”

The Robot ReportSource: http://www.therobotreport.com/news/ag-in-transition-from-precision-ag-to-full-autonomy

“Agricultural robot market size to grow from $817 million in 2013 to

$16.3 billion by 2020.”

ResearchMozSource: http://www.therobotreport.com/news/ag-in-transition-from-precision-ag-to-full-autonomy

Source: http://www.idtechex.com/research/reports/agricultural-robots-and-drones-2017-2027-technologies-markets-players-000525.asp

Autonomous Tractors

“more than 300k tractors equipped with autosteer or tractor guidance were sold in 2016, rising to more

than 660k units per year by 2027..”

Source: http://www.idtechex.com/research/reports/agricultural-robots-and-drones-2017-2027-technologies-markets-players-000525.asp

http://www.autonomoustractor.com/

http://www.autonomoustractor.com/

Weed Control

Source: http://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/industrial-robots/bosch-deepfield-robotics-weed-control

WineBot

Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/

Herding Drone

Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/

Rosphere

Source: http://www.upm.es/internacional/UPM/UPM_Channel/News/9ec27b9df516f310VgnVCM10000009c7648aRCRD

And now, a look to the skies.

“The average size of a Canadian farm was 315 hectares in 2012. But in Saskatchewan,

the average size was 675 hectares.”

Statistics Canada

Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/

Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/

Farm Drones - Lancaster

“In 40 minutes, 120 hectares can be surveyed by Lancaster, the metre-long, 1.4-kilogram drone is used with various plug-and-play

imaging sensors, including infrared and hyper-spectral, which depict more than 100 channels of light that can reveal problem areas invisible

to the human eye.”

Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/

What can it do? • 3D terrain mapping • Plant height • Weed detection • Plant counting • Canopy cover • Crop health indexes • Season monitoring

What about some smaller applications with bigger

impacts?

Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/

“Honey bees are responsible for $30 billion a year in crops.”

“One of every three bites of food comes from plants pollinated by honeybees and other

pollinators. Yet, major declines in bee populations threaten the availability of many fresh ingredients consumers rely on for their

dinner tables.”

Whole Foods

Source: http://robobees.seas.harvard.edu/

Bee drones have wide-ranging applications • Autonomously pollinating a field of crops. • Hazardous environment exploration. • Search and rescue (e.g., in the aftermath of a

natural disaster). • High resolution weather and climate mapping. • Traffic monitoring. • Surveillance.

Source: http://robobees.seas.harvard.edu/

Challenges • Securing and patrolling the farm’s ground and

airspace. • Navigating legislation and remaining compliant. • Training and maintenance. • Hacking and theft. • Rogue UAVs.

Solar & Electric

“The solar and wind industries are each creating jobs at a rate 12 times faster than

that of the rest of the U.S. economy.”

http://fortune.com/2017/01/27/solar-wind-renewable-jobs/

“There is not a single crop that we could have grown on that land that would

generate the income that we get from the solar farm.”

http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2016/04/solar-power-more-lucrative-than-crops-at-some-us-farms.html

“Solar companies, meanwhile, are paying top dollar, offering annual rents of $300 to

$700 an acre, according to the NC Sustainable Energy Association.”

http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2016/04/solar-power-more-lucrative-than-crops-at-some-us-farms.html

https://us.sunpower.com/commercial-solar/industries/agriculture/

“New investments [in solar in Canada] dropped 46% in 2016, bringing it to the lowest its been in a decade, according to

data from Bloomberg New Energy Finance.”

http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2017/02/07/solar-power_n_14636622.html

What about electric vehicles (EVs)?

http://www.bloomberg.com/features/2016-ev-oil-crisis/

400K preorders

https://www.alke.com/agricultural-vehicles

https://electrek.co/2016/12/05/john-deere-electric-tractor-prototype/

SESAM

John Deer SESAM spec •Two 150 kW electric motors •130 kWh lithium-ion battery •Up to four hours or 55 km of range •Three hours recharge

Diesel > Biofuel > Electric

Diesel > Biofuel > Electric

2023 to 2025

Security

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pL9q2lOZ1Fw https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hcoVMXLTQzw

Power Grids Traffic Grids

“Between April 2014 and the end of 2015, the FBI received 4,291 reports of ransomware attacks. Losses over that period totaled nearly $50 million.”

FUSION

http://fusion.net/story/278801/hackers-ransomware-hospital-smart-cities/

Your farm will be at risk.

Water

Source: http://waterfootprint.org/en/

Source: http://waterfootprint.org/en/

Source: http://waterfootprint.org/en/

“86% of the people in the developed world will live in cities by 2050.”

United Nations

Hydroponics

"We're growing in 16 days what otherwise takes 30 days in a field - using

95% less water, about 50% less fertilizers, zero pesticides, herbicides, fungicides"

David Rosenberg, CEO, AeroFarms

Source: http://www.cnbc.com/2015/06/24/vertical-farming-the-next-big-thing-for-food-and-tech.html

http://www.ecobaingardens.ca/

Aquaponics

https://www.springwise.com/dutch-shoppers-pick-herbs-supermarket-garden/

The Future?

Smartdust

Human Augmentation

New foods

Gene Editing

Alt-Power

Alt-Power

http://blogs.rsc.org/cs/2012/09/25/a-centenary-for-solar-fuels/

http://ourpower.ca/field-trip-hydrostor/

http://www.new-harvest.org/

http://www.new-harvest.org/

From $325,000 to $11.36

https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2016-hampton-creek-just-mayo/https://www.soylent.com/

Further to the south of England in Basingstoke, animal genetics firm Genus

has tapped the same "CRISPR-Cas9" technique to develop the world's first pigs

resistant to a devastating and common viral disease, in a tie-up with U.S. researchers.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-science-gene-editing-farming-idUSKCN0YH1FS

https://backchannel.com/the-crazy-tiny-next-generation-of-computers-17e89e472839#.2uyvj154o

C’mon get serious…

The Farmer Innovator

Data Science Automation & Drones

SecurityResearch & Development

SustainabilityInternet of Things

The Future of Agriculture

www.nikolasbadminton.com