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Stages of a Big Project *** The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining 4. Depression 5. Acceptance *** With apologies to Elizabeth Kubler Ross

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Page 1: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Stages of a Big Project***

The Five stages of SDSS:

1. Denial2. Anger3. Bargaining4. Depression5. Acceptance

*** With apologies to Elizabeth Kubler Ross

Page 2: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

The Carnegie Supernovae Project

Wendy Freedman Carnegie Observatories

SDSS: From Asteroids to CosmologyChicago, August 18, 2008

Wendy Freedman Carnegie Observatories

SDSS: From Asteroids to CosmologyChicago, August 18, 2008

Page 3: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Supernovae Prior to SDSS-II

Intermediate redshift desert

Page 4: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

SNe Ia and Cosmology: State of the Art

Riess et al. 2004

HST ACS data

Knop et al. 2003 Astier et al. 2006

Wood-Vasey et al. 2007 WLF et al. 2008

Page 5: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Type-Ia Supernovae

• Progenitor is a white dwarf accreting material from a binary companion.

• As the white dwarf approaches the Chandrasekhar mass, a thermonuclear runaway is triggered.

• “Standardizable candles”

Page 6: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Type-Ia Supernovae (con’t)

• Rise time: ~ 20 days• Decay time: ~ 2 months• Brightness: MB ~ –19.5 at peak• Found in all types of galaxies

Spectral Classification:

No hydrogen in the spectra

Early spectra: Si, Ca, Mg (absorption features)

Late spectra: Fe, Ni (emission features )

Type Ia

Type Ic

.

Si II

Page 7: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Caveats for Supernovae and the determination of w

I. A very wide range of w and H0combinations are consistent with the current CMB and supernova data. There is a severe degeneracy between w or ΩΛ and H0.

Page 8: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

WMAP: Relax Constraint of Flat Universe

Range of non-flatmodels consistentwith WMAP data

Dashed lineΩk = -0.3 + 0.4 ΩΛ

Spergel et al. 2006

Page 9: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Caveats for Supernovae and the determination of w

II. The determination of w from supernovae alone requires the assumption of a flat Universe.

Page 10: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

SNe alone can’t measure w

Model with w = -1 and w = -0.9 agree to within ± 2 millimag, after adjusting Ωm, ΩΛ and M (the absolute magnitude or Hubble constant)

Slide due to Ned Wright

Page 11: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

SNe alone can’t measure w’

Model with w’ = 0 and w’ = -0.1 agree to within ± 1 millimag

Slide due to Ned Wright

Page 12: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Type Ia Supernovae for Cosmology

Advantages:• small dispersion • direct measure of acceleration • can be observed over wide z range • straightforward empirical tests of systematics

Page 13: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Systematic Treatment

Dust extinction

Multi-band photometry including near-IR

Evolution High-resolution spectroscopy

Photometric calibration

New calibration of standard stars optical through near-IR to <1% accuracy

Malmquist bias

High S/N light curves and spectra; requirement of pre-rise data

K-corrections Library of supernova spectra with broad wavelength, temporal and Δ m15 coverage.

Lensing Measure the average flux for a large number of supernovae in each redshift bin.

Page 14: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Dark Energy Task Force Report: Albrecht et al.SN-II700 SNe500 nearby

SN-III spectra2000 SNe

SN-IV LSST

pessimistic

optimistic

300,000 SNeSN-IVspace2000 SNe

w = -1ΩΛ = 0.73

Page 15: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

DETF Forecast: Combining Techniques

Stage II

Stage IV BAO+SN+WL (P and O)

space

Contours 95% CL

Albrecht et al. 2006Note: all same priors

Page 16: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Carnegie Supernova Project: Primary Goals

1. I-band restframe Hubble diagramObservations in the near-IR (>1μm)

“Y” , J bandsTo date only UBV restframe…

2. Reduce systematics (reddening, calibration, K-corrections…)Multi-wavelength observations

Page 17: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Carnegie Supernova Project

Swope 1-meter Magellan 6.5-meterDupont 2.5-meter

Page 18: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Carnegie Supernova Project

Swope 1-meter Magellan 6.5-meterDupont 2.5-meterLow z: High z:

•u’BVg’r’i’YJHK photometry• 2.5-meter spectroscopy

• YJ photometry• Magellan 6.5-meter

• ~75 SNe Ia at completion• observations near max• 0.2 < z < 0.7

• C40 9 month campaignsover 5 years (1350 nights)

• densely sampled photometryand spectroscopy 0 < z < 0.1

• 100 SNe Ia, 100 SNe II

Page 19: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Carnegie Supernova Project (CSP)

Chris BurnsCarlos ContrerasGaston FolatelliWendy Freedman (PI, High z)Mario HamuyBarry MadoreNidia MorellEric PerssonMark Phillips (PI, Low z)Miguel RothMax StritzingerNick Suntzeff

Collaborators:Ray Carlberg, Chris Pritchet, Mark

Sullivan, Kathy Perrett, AndyHowell (CFHT SN Legacy)

Alex Filippenko, Weidong Li (LOSS)Nick Suntzeff (ESSENCE)Josh Friemann (SDSS-II)

Dan Kelson, Eric Hsiaohttp://www.ociw.edu/csp/

Page 20: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Corrections for Dust Extinction

Cardelli, Clayton and Mathis 1989

B

I

V

R V = AV / E(B-V)U

Complications:

• Several potential sources:(MW, host, circumstellar,IGM)

• Intrinsic color vs reddeningdegeneracy

• low z:<E(B-V)> = 0.12 ± 0.14

• high z:<E(B-V)> = 0.06 ± 0.13

Page 21: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Reddening / Intrinsic Color• Current largest systematic effect • Degeneracy between reddening and intrinsic color

CSP: Two independent approaches1. Solve for individual reddenings using

“unreddened” sample (Phillips et al. 1999)

2. Use a “reddening-free magnitude, ww = i Rλ (B-V) = i0 Rλ (Β-V)0 Folatelli et al. 2009

Page 22: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Improved K-corrections• 125 spectra

covering I band

• match spectraltemplates to observed colors

• uncertaintiesrange from ± 0.005 to ± 0.1mag

CSP {

Ca triplet

Hsiao et . al astro-ph 0703529

Page 23: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

CSP Approach

• Internal double-blind tests

photometric zero pointsgalaxy template subtractionlight-curve templatesdecline-rates, max light magnitudesreddenings

Page 24: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Other Effects

• Spiral galaxies host slower(and more luminous) SNe Ia

• The scatter in the Hubblediagram is a function ofgalaxy type (lower for E’s)

• Effect of metallicity andenvironment on cosmologyappears to be smallLocal Template

Mean High z

UVSpectra

Sullivan et Sullivan et

al. (2003)al. (2003)

Ellis et Ellis et

al. (2007)al. (2007)

Page 25: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

• CFHT Legacy Survey • ESSENCE

CSP Collaborations

• LOTOSS (KAIT)• SN Factory

High z:

Low z:

Intermediate z:• SDSS-II

CSP follow-up and collaboration

Page 26: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

The Low-z CSPPI: Mark Phillips

SN2006X

Page 27: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Sources for Low-z SupernovaeLOSS + many others

CSP Low z Target Sample:

100 SNe Ia100 SN II25 SN Ibc

Page 28: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Low-z SNe Ia: Optical Light Curves

Δm15(B)

0.90

1.83

Page 29: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Examples of CSP Low-z Light Curves

Page 30: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

• SN 2006X• NGC 4321

(M100)•Spectra from

du Pont andMagellan /LDSS2

Carnegie Supernova Project Low-z

Nidia MorellSN2006X

Page 31: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

• 20 well-observed SNe Ia• Folatelli, Phillips et al. (in prep.)• WLF, Sturch, Madore, Burns et al. (in prep.)

Absolute MagnitudeVersus Decline Rate

BV Hubble Diagrams

Page 32: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Carnegie Supernova Project: High z

SNLSSDSS-IIESSENCE

Redshift z

• 74 SN Iaobserved with0.11 < z < 0.70

• 56 with at leastone template

23 withcompletereductions,reddenings

Num

ber

Page 33: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Carnegie Supernova Project: High zExample i’-bandlight curves: low z

• Observe pre-maximum

• Follow 3-7epochs

Less than 10days aftermaximum

• Gaps less than5 days

1st peak

2nd peak

CSP1.8

1.1

High z:

Page 34: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Carnegie Supernova Project: High z

z = 0.59

z = 0.52

i

r

i

JY

Templatelight curvesbased on low-redshiftCSP data.

I-band (YJ)photometryfrom Magellan

Optical BVRphotometryfrom:SNLSESSENCESDSS-II

Page 35: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Carnegie Supernova Project: High z

z = 0.59

z = 0.52

i

r

JY

I-band (YJ)photometryfrom Magellan

Optical BVRphotometryfrom:SNLSESSENCESDSS-II

e.g.,Magnitudeuncertainties

<Y> z±0.03 0.1-0.3±0.06 0.3-0.5±0.08 0.5-0.7

Page 36: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

CSP Template Light Curves

i

CSP Low z example light curves:use for templates

rV

Bu

g

B. Madore

Light curve parameters:

Determine Δ m15 – declinerate values and time of maxusing χ2 minimization

Page 37: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Carnegie Supernova ProjectCSP data:

23 Type Ia supernovae0.18 < z < 0.68

24 Type Ia supernovae0.01 < z < 0.07

First I-bandHubble diagramat z > 0.07

WLF et al. (2008)

i ‘- band

Page 38: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Carnegie Supernova Project: High z

CSP + BAO data:Eisenstein et al. 2005

ΩDE > 0 at a >>3-σconfidence level.

ΩDE = 0.72 ± 0.08 (stat)± 0.05 (sys)

CSP

BAO

Joint constraints

Assumptions:w = -1wa = 0

Page 39: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Carnegie Supernova Project: High z

Joint constraintsCSP+BAO(Eisenstein 2005):

ΩM = 0.28 ± 0.02 (stat)w0 = -1.01 ± 0.09 (stat)

± 0.08 (sys)

Systematic errors included

CSP

BAO

W0

ΩM

BAO

CSP

Assume flatness

Page 40: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae

Summary of Cosmological Parameters

Future: 100 SNe Ia (low z)75 SNe Ia (high z)

Comparable uncertainties to other optical surveys oflarger sizes due to smaller systematic uncertainties.

Currently ~1/3 offinal sample

Page 41: The Five stages of SDSS: 1. Denial 2. Anger 3. Bargaining ...sdss2008.uchicago.edu/depot/freedman-wendy.pdf · SDSS: From Asteroids to Cosmology Chicago, August 18, 2008. Supernovae