the far side of the earth
TRANSCRIPT
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“The Far Side of the Earth”Reed Hundt
April 14, 20141
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Image of China4
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Software Eats Everything
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China versus USA: American perspective on China’s point of view 6
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POP 300 Million POP 1.3 Billion
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V = p (1 + r) to the power of t
• $17T at 3% in 10 years = $23T
• At 5% = $28T
• At 7% = $33T
• At 0% = $17T
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Muslims in China: same as in Saudi Arabia9
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How big is China? Same number of Christians as Spain…..7th
century Nestorian stele; Almudena Cathedral
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China used more cement 2011-13 than USA 1900-1999
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Xi, 5’11”,62: President, G.S. of CCCP, undisputed ruler of biggest country with biggest economy on Earth, with Famous singer Peng aka Mrs. Xi 12
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Born Red; widely read; son of Mao’s propaganda minister; father of Harvard graduate
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Chai Jing/Under the Dome: 200m downloads in two weeks, 30m comments in two hours, then banned…..Smog Politics vs. Coal & Oil
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Xi Strategy
• Moderately Prosperous Society
• Deep Reform (anti-corruption, anti-pollution),
• Rule of Law (IP, contract, SOE limited)
• Strict Party Governance (anti-corruption, centralized power, incarceration)
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Ali Baba = Google +Ebay + Amazon
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Ok Cupid Algorithm Auction: The Art of Code and Computer Arts
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AI: programming from data, not formula; deep learning;Knowledge Graph; Google Now
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Tell us “What to do,” “When to do it,” “How to do it.”
New medium uses old medium as its content… only at first
And Maybe Machines Pay Less Attention to Us
Yik Yak Vine Instagram Snapchat
Level Money Medium WhatsApp Facebook
Amazon Netflix Amazon Instant
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Wireless Reaches Everywhere, Everyone
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25 Million
~5 Billion(>80% of adults to own
smartphone by 2020)
2004 2024
Global Adoption of Smartphones
Source: IDC
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But Wireless Epochs Rise and Fall at Great Speed
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0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Q3/2005 Q1/2008 Q1/2012 Q1/2016 Q1/2019
Millions of smartphones shipped per quarter
Blackberry Nokia Samsung Xiaomi Apple
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3G
3.5G
4G
Winners Catch the Generational Wave
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0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Q3/2005 Q1/2008 Q1/2012 Q1/2016 Q1/2019
Millions of smartphone shipped per quarter
Blackberry Nokia Samsung Xiaomi Apple
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5g: 40 Times More Spectrum
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600MHz
900MHz
1.5GHz
1.7GHz
1.9GHz
2.1GHz
2.5GHz
2.7GHz
3.5GHz
4.2GHz
Spectrum Used for 2G, 3G and 4G Mobile Communications
24GHz
90GHz
Additional Spectrum for 5G Mobile Communications
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Focus on User
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• Virtual Remote
Communications
• Telepresence
• Remote Tactile
Experience
• Critical Real-Time
Machine Type
Communications
(MTC)
• Navigation and
Infotainment
• Autonomous
Vehicles
• Perception at
a Distance
• Embedded
Multi-view
• Remote Healthcare
• Continuous Diagnostics
• Video and Audio
• Multi-Angle
Viewing
MMI1 Communications Transportation Systems Connected Health
Tactile Real-Time Control Augmented Reality Ultra High Definition
The Coolest Uses for 5G…Not Yet Invented.
1. MMI – Man-Machine Interface
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TPP= grand strategy
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50% world consumption/emerging economies (2030)….So, create channels, customer loyalty
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