the falsificacion of chiral nuclear forces · 2018. 11. 20. · e. ruiz arriola university of...
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The Falsificacion of Chiral Nuclear Forces
E. Ruiz Arriola
University of GranadaAtomic, Molecular and Nuclear Physics Department
XIIth Quark Confinement and the Hadron Spectrum, Thessaloniki (Greece)
September 1st 2016
with Rodrigo Navarro Pérez, José Enrique Amaro Soriano
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References
[1] Coarse graining Nuclear InteractionsProg. Part. Nucl. Phys. 67 (2012) 359
[2] Error estimates on Nuclear Binding Energies from Nucleon-Nucleon uncertaintiesarXiv:1202.6624 [nucl-th].
[3] Phenomenological High Precision Neutron-Proton Delta-Shell PotentialPhys.Lett. B724 (2013) 138-143.
[4] Nuclear Binding Energies and NN uncertaintiesPoS QNP 2012 (2012) 145
[5] Effective interactions in the delta-shells potentialFew Body Syst. 54 (2013) 1487.
[6] Nucleon-Nucleon Chiral Two Pion Exchange potential vs Coarse grained interactionsPoS CD12 (2013) 104.
[7] Partial Wave Analysis of Nucleon-Nucleon Scattering below pion productionPhys.Rev. C88 (2013) 024002, Phys.Rev. C88 (2013) 6, 069902.
[8] Coarse-grained potential analysis of neutron-proton and proton-proton scatteringbelow the pion production thresholdPhys.Rev. C88 (2013) 6, 064002, Phys.Rev. C91 (2015) 2, 029901.
[9] Coarse grained NN potential with Chiral Two Pion ExchangePhys.Rev. C89 (2014) 2, 024004.
[10] Error Analysis of Nuclear Matrix Elements Few Body Syst. 55 (2014) 977-981.
[11] Partial Wave Analysis of Chiral NN Interactions Few Body Syst. 55 (2014) 983-987.
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 2 / 60
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[12] Statistical error analysis for phenomenological nucleon-nucleon potentialsPhys.Rev. C89 (2014) 6, 064006.[13] Error analysis of nuclear forces and effective interactionsJ.P.G42(2015)3,034013.14] Bootstrapping the statistical uncertainties of NN scattering data Phys.Lett. B738(2014) 155-159.[15] Triton binding energy with realistic statistical uncertainties (with E. Garrido)Phys.Rev. C90 (2014) 4, 047001.[16] The Low energy structure of the Nucleon-Nucleon interaction: Statistical vsSystematic Uncertainties arXiv:1410.8097 [nucl-th] (Jour. Phys. G, in press).[17] Low energy chiral two pion exchange potential with statistical uncertaintiesPhys.Rev. C91 (2015) 5, 054002.[18] Minimally nonlocal nucleon-nucleon potentials with chiral two-pion exchangeincluding ∆ resonances (with M. Piarulli, L. Girlanda, R. Schiavilla).Phys.Rev. C91 (2015) 2, 024003.[19] The Falsification of Nuclear Forces EPJ Web Conf. 113 (2016) 04021[20] Statistical error propagation in ab initio no-core full configuration calculations oflight nuclei (with P. Maris, J.P. Vary) Phys.Rev. C92 (2015) no.6, 064003[21] Uncertainty quantification of effective nuclear interactionsInt.J.Mod.Phys. E25 (2016) no.05, 1641009[22] Binding in light nuclei: Statistical NN uncertainties vs Computational accuracy(with A. Nogga) arXiv:1604.00968[23] Precise Determination of Charge Dependent Pion-Nucleon-Nucleon CouplingConstants arXiv:1606.00592[24] Three pion nucleon coupling constantsMod.Phys.Lett.A,Vol.31,No.28(2016)1630027
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 3 / 60
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Error Analysis and Nuclear Structure
What is the predictive power of theoretical nuclear physics ?
INPUT from Experiment → CALCULATION → OUTPUT vs Experiment
Experiment much more precise than theory, but how much ?
∆Mexp < 1KeV� ∆Mth =?
Theoretical Predictive Power Flow: From light to heavy nuclei
H(A) = T + V2N + V3N + V4N + · · · → E2, E3, E4, . . .
Chiral expansion allows to compute V2N , V3N , V4N . . . systematically so that one has thehierarchy
V2N � V3N � V4N � . . .
Forces depend on the renormalization scale allowing to adjust B2, B3, . . .
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 4 / 60
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Sources of uncertainties/bias
Input data from experimentChoose the form of the potentialHow to estimate theoretical errors based on INPUT data
INPUT = NN, 3N, · · · → OUTPUT = 4N, . . .First Step: INPUT=NN scattering dataOUTPUT=NN scattering amplitudes
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 3500
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Tlab [MeV]
θ [de
gree
s CM
]
NN-OnLine http://nn-online.org 7 June 2013
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 3500
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Tlab [MeV]
θ [de
gree
s CM
]
NN-OnLine http://nn-online.org 7 June 2013
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The issue of predictive power in Chiral Approach
Chiral forces are UNIVERSAL at long distances
V χ(r) = V π(r) + V 2π(r) + V 3π(r) + . . . r � rc
Chiral forces are SINGULAR at short distances
V χ(r) =a1
f2πr3
+a2
f4πr5
+a3
f6πr7
+ . . . r � rc
They trade model independence for regulator dependence
What is the best theoretical accuracy we can get within “reasonable” cut-offs ?
What is a reasonable cut-off ?rc =?
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 6 / 60
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Bottomline
THE PROBLEM
GOAL: Estimate uncertainties from IGNORANCE of NN,3N,4N interactionReduce computational cost
Statistical Uncertainties: NN,3N,4N DataData abundance bias
Systematic Uncertainties: NN,3N,4N potentialMany forms of potentials possible
Confidence level of Imperfect theories vs Perfect experiments
OUR APPROACH
Start with NN
Fit data WITH ERRORS with a simple interaction
Compare different interactions
Estimate uncertainties of Effective Interactions and Matrix elements
Propagate errors to A=3,4, etc.
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 7 / 60
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Tjon-Line Correlation
α-triton calculations find a linear correlation between
BΑ= 4Bt -3BdBΑ= 4Bt -3Bd
++Exp.Exp.
CD-BonnCD-Bonn
AV18AV18
NijmINijmINijmIINijmII
Vlowk HAV18LVlowk HAV18L
SRG HN3LOLSRG HN3LOL
6 7 8 9 1020
22
24
26
28
30
BtHMeVL
BΑ
HMeV
L
SRG argument with on-shell nuclear forces Timoteo, Szpigel, ERA, Few Body 2013
Bα = 4Bt − 3Bd →∂Bα
∂Bt
∣∣∣Bd
= 4
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Tjon-Lines: numerical accuracy
(with A. Nogga)∆Estattriton = 15KeV ∆E
statα = 50KeV
-7.70 -7.68 -7.66 -7.64 -7.62 -7.60
-25.0
-24.9
-24.8
-24.7
-24.6
-24.5
EH3HL HMeVL
EH4HeLHM
eVL
-9.0 -8.8 -8.6 -8.4 -8.2 -8.0 -7.8 -7.6
-30.0
-29.5
-29.0
-28.5
-28.0
-27.5
-27.0
-26.5
-26.0
EH3HL HMeVL
EH4HeLHM
eVL
4-Body forces are masked by numerical noise in the 3 and 4 body calculation if
∆numt > 1KeV ∆numt > 20KeV
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SIMPLE ESTIMATE
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Motivation
Effective Interaction [Skyrme, Moshinsky]
Useful simplifications in many body calculations [Brink, Vaughterin]
Power expansion in CM momenta
V (p′,p) =∫d3xe−ix·(p
′−p)V̂ (x)
= t0(1 + x0Pσ) +t1
2(1 + x1Pσ)(p
′2 + p2)
+t2(1 + x2Pσ)p′ · p + 2itV S · (p′ ∧ p)
+tT
2
[σ1 · pσ2 · p + σ1 · p′σ2 · p′ −
1
3σ1σ2(p
′2 + p2)]
+tU
2
[σ1 · pσ2 · p′ + σ1 · p′σ2 · p−
2
3σ1σ2p
′ · p]
+O(p4)
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 11 / 60
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Skyrme parameters as EFT counterterms
Comparing similar terms
(t0, x0t0) =1
2
∫d3x
[V3S1 (r)± V1S0 (r)
](t1, x1t1) = −
1
12
∫d3xr2
[V3S1 (r)± V1S0 (r)
](t2, x2t2) =
1
54
∫d3xr2
[V3P0 (r) + 3V3P1 (r) + 5V3P2 (r)± 9V1P1 (r)
]tV =
1
72
∫d3xr2
[2V3P0 (r) + 3V3P1 (r)− 5V3P2 (r)
]tU =
1
36
∫d3xr2
[−2V3P0 (r) + 3V3P1 (r)− V3P2 (r)
]tT =
1
5√
2
∫d3xr2V�1 (r)
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 12 / 60
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Scale dependence
Skyrme parameters fitting at different energy ranges
AV18DS Uncoupled S-Waves
DS Coupled S-Waves
kCM [MeV]
t 0[M
eVfm
3]
380360340320300280260240220200
0−200−400−600−800−1000−1200−1400
AV18DS Uncoupled S-Waves
DS Coupled S-Waves
kCM [MeV]
x0
380360340320300280260240220200
1
0.5
0
−0.5
−1
AV18DS Uncoupled S-Waves
DS Coupled S-Waves
kCM [MeV]
t 1[M
eVfm
5]
380360340320300280260240220200
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
AV18DS Uncoupled S-Waves
DS Coupled S-Waves
kCM [MeV]
x1
380360340320300280260240220200
0.1
0.05
0
−0.05
−0.1
AV18DS
kCM [MeV]
t 2[M
eVfm
5]
380360340320300280260240220200
2780
2775
2770
2765
2760
2755
2750
2745
AV18DS Coupled S-Waves
kCM [MeV]
x2
380360340320300280260240220200
−0.82−0.825−0.83−0.835−0.84−0.845−0.85−0.855−0.86
AV18DS
kCM [MeV]
t V[M
eVfm
5]
380360340320300280260240220200
140
135
130
125
120
115
110
105
AV18DS
kCM [MeV]
t U[M
eVfm
5]
380360340320300280260240220200
148014701460145014401430142014101400
AV18DS
kCM [MeV]
t T[M
eVfm
5]
380360340320300280260240220200
−3600−3800−4000−4200−4400−4600
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Simple estimate
Fermi type shape density
ρ(x) =ρ0
1 + e(r−R)/a
Error band for stable nuclei binding energy
0 50 100 150 200 250
0
2
4
6
8
10
A
-B(A)/AMeV
∆B
A=
3
8A∆t0
∫d3x ρ(x)2
∆t0 = 10MeVfm3 → 75MeVfm3
∆B/A = 0.6MeV → 2.5MeV
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Skyrme Parameters
Nuclear and Neutron matter
Error grows linearly with the density
∆Bn.m.A
=3
8∆t0ρ ∼ 3.75ρ
∆BnA
=1
4∆[t0(1 − x0)]ρn ∼ 3.5ρn
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
�n fm
- 3
B/N
MeV
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6
- 10
0
10
20
30
40
�n.m. fm
- 3
B/A
MeV
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The voices of wisdom
“There is no way to deduce the uncertainty of calculated nuclear ground state energies,obtained in ab initio or any other many-body method, from the variance of a set of phaseshift equivalent nucleon-nucleon (NN) interactions.The paper does not make any sense to me and is not suitable for publication in anyjournal. ”Referee I
“ There is no doubt that even within a (hypothetical) possibility to solve the nuclearmany-body problem exactly, errors in knowing the many-body Hamiltonian must carryover to properties of finite nuclei. The idea is novel and very interesting.The paper raises a very important question of how the errors related to the estimation ofnuclear forces may propagate to the calculated biding energies of nuclei”.Referee II
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Our contribution
np+pp LARGEST database analysis so far = 6713
Scrupulous statistical error analysis
6 statistically equivalent chiral or non-chiral interactions
Propagation of errors to light nuclei
Upgrade of the simple calculation
∆B/A = 2− 2.4MeV
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 17 / 60
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The sophisticated calculation
Uncertainty analysis and order-by-order optimization of chiral nuclear interactionsB.D. Carlsson, A. Ekström, C. Forssén, D.Fahlin Strömberg, G.R. Jansen, O. Lilja, M.Lindby, B.A. Mattsson, K.A. WendtPhys.Rev. X6 (2016) no.1, 011019
Take into account 2N and 3N chiral forces order by order, different regularizations andestimates of higher orders
∆B16O16
= 4MeV
Much worse than the semiempirical mass formula
Most dependence on the cut-off Λ or the regularization
Is this the predictive power of theoretical nuclear physics ?
Conservative vs realistic uncertainty estimates
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ANATOMY OF NUCLEAR FORCES
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Fundamental approach: QCD
Lattice form factor gπNN ∼ 10− 12Lattice NN potential g2πNN/(4π) = 12.1± 2.7QCD sum rules gπNN ∼ 13(1)
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Long distances
Nucleons exchange JUST one pionp
p
p
p
p
p
p
p
p
p
n
n
n
n
n
n
ππ π
ππ
n n
n n
0
0 0
+ −
g −g
g g −g −g
2 g 2 g 2 g2 g
Low energies (about pion production) 8000 pp + np scattering data (polarizations etc.)
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 3500
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Tlab [MeV]
θ [de
grees
CM]
NN-OnLine http://nn-online.org 7 June 2013
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 3500
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Tlab [MeV]
θ [de
grees
CM]
NN-OnLine http://nn-online.org 7 June 2013
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Nucleon-Nucleon Scattering
Scattering amplitude
M = a+m(σ1 · n)(σ2 · n) + (g − h)(σ1 ·m)(σ2 ·m)+ (g + h)(σ1 · l)(σ2 · l) + c(σ1 + σ2) · n
l =kf + ki
|kf + ki|m =
kf − ki|kf − ki|
n =kf ∧ ki|kf ∧ ki|
5 complex amplitudes → 24 measurable cross-sections and polarization asymmetriesPartial Wave Expansion
Msm′s,ms(θ) =
1
2ik
∑J,l′,l
√4π(2l + 1)Y l
′m′s−ms (θ, 0)
× Cl′,s,Jms−m′s,m′s,ms
il−l′(SJ,sl,l′ − δl′,l)C
l,s,J0,ms,ms
, (1)
S-matrix
SJ =
e2iδJ,1J−1 cos 2�J iei(δJ,1J−1+δJ,1J+1) sin 2�Jiei(δJ,1J−1+δ
J,1J+1
)sin 2�J e
2iδJ,1J+1 cos 2�J
, (2)E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 22 / 60
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Analytical Structure
s = 4(M2N + p2)→ ELAB = 2p2/MN
Partial Wave Scattering Amplitude analytical for |p| ≤ mπ/2
TJll′ (p) ≡ SJll′ (p)− δl,l′ = pl+l′∑n
Cn,l,l′p2n
Nucleons behave as elementary (AT WHAT SCALE ?)
8000 np+pp data
Π2Π3Π4Π5Π
Ρ,Ω,Σ
NNNNΠ
-0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
Re ELAB HGeVL
ImE
LA
BHG
eVL
Nucleons are heavy → Local Potentials
Vnπ(r) ∼g2n
re−nmπr
Crucial long range electromagnetic effects are localE. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 23 / 60
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Charge dependent One Pion Exchange
VOPE,pp(r) = f2ppVmπ0 ,OPE(r),
VOPE,np(r) = −fnnfppVmπ0,OPE(r) + (−)(T+1)2f2c Vmπ± ,OPE(r),
where Vm,OPE is given by
Vm,OPE(r) =
(m
mπ±
)2 13m [Ym(r)σ1 · σ2 + Tm(r)S1,2] ,
S1,2 = 3σ1 · r̂σ2 · r̂ − σ1 · σ2
Ym(r) =e−mr
mr
Tm(r) =e−mr
mr
[1 +
3
mr+
3
(mr)2
]
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Small short range
OPE exchange
V1π(r) = −f2πNNe−mηr
r
TPE exchange
η-exchange
Vη(r) = −f2ηNNe−mηr
r
2Π
1Π
NN 1S03.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
rHfmL
VHrL
HMeV
L
3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0
-0.015
-0.010
-0.005
0.000
rHfmL
VΗ
HrLHM
eVL
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Small but crucial long range
Coulomb interaction (pp) e/r
Magnetic moments ∼ µpµn/r3, µpµp/r3, µnµn/r3Lowered χ2/ν ∼ 2→ χ2/ν ∼ 2→ 1Summing 1000-2000 partial waves
Vacuum polarization (Uehling potential,Lamb-shift)
Relativistic corrections 1/r2
Coulomb
Mag.Mom.
Rel.Coul.
Vac.Pol.
10 100 1000 104 10510-27
10-22
10-17
10-12
10-7
0.01
rHfmL
Vpp
,em
HrLHM
eVL
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Effective Elementary
When are two protons interacting as point-like particles ?
Electromagnetic Form factor
Fi(q) =
∫d3reiq·rρi(r)
Electrostatic interaction
V elpp(r) = e2
∫d3r1d
3r2ρp(r1)ρp(r2)
|~r1 − ~r2 − ~r|→ e
2
rr > re ∼ 2fm
Pointlike protons
Extended protons
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.00.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
rHfmL
Vpp
,em
HrLHM
eVL
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Quark Cluster Dynamics (qcd)
Atomic analogue. Neutral atoms
Non-overlapping atoms exchange TWO photons (Van der Waals force)
Overlapping atoms are not locally neutral; ONE photon exchange is possible (Chemicalbonding)
R/2
xi
yiηi
ξiR/2
c.m.
c.m.
ClusterB
ClusterA
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Finite size effects
NN potential in the Born-Oppenheimer approximation Calle Cordon, RA, ’12
V̄ 1π+2π+...NN,NN (r) = V1πNN,NN (r) + 2
|V 1πNN,N∆(r)|2
MN −M∆+
1
2
|V 1πNN,∆∆(r)|2
MN −M∆+O(V 3) ,
Bulk of TWO-Pion Exchange Chiral forces reproduced
Finite size effects set in at 2fm → exchange quark effects become explicitHigh quality potentials confirm these trends.
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
1.6 1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3
VC
(r)
[MeV
]
r [fm]
BO-TPE no-FFBO-TPE axial-FF
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
1.6 1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3
VS(r
) [M
eV]
r [fm]
BO-TPE no-FFBO-TPE axial-FF
-1
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
1.6 1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3
VT(r
) [M
eV]
r [fm]
BO-TPE no-FFBO-TPE axial-FF
-1
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0
1.6 1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3
WC
(r)
[MeV
]
r [fm]
BO-TPE no-FFBO-TPE axial-FF
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.6 1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3
WS(r
) [M
eV]
r [fm]
OPE no-FFOPE axial-FF
BO-TPE no-FFBO-TPE axial-FF
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1.6 1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3
WT(r
) [M
eV]
r [fm]
OPE no-FFOPE axial-FF
BO-TPE no-FFBO-TPE axial-FF
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COARSE GRAINING
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The number of parameters (for ELAB ≤ 350 MeV)At what distance look nucleons point-like ?
r > 2fm
When is OPE the ONLY contribution ?
rc > 3fm
What is the minimal resolution where interaction is elastic ?
pmax ∼√MNmπ → ∆r = 1/pmax = 0.6fm
How many partial waves must be fitted ?
lmax = pmaxrc = rc/∆r = 5
Minimal distance where centrifugal barrier dominates
l(l + 1)
r2min≤ p2
How many parameters ?(1S0,3 S1) , (1P1,3 P0,3 P1,3 P2), (1D2,3 D1,3D2,3D3), (1F3,3 F2,3 F3,3 F4)
2× 5 + 4× 4 + 4× 3 + 4× 2 + 4× 1 = 50E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 31 / 60
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0.6 1.2 1.8 2.4 30.0
FINITE NUCLEON SIZE
QUARK EXCHANGE
ONE PION EXCHANGE
p=350 MeV
L=0
L=1
L=2
L=3
L=4
1S0,3S1
1G4,3G3,3G4,3G5,E4
POINT−LIKE NUCLEON
1P1,3P0,3P1,3P2,E1
1D2,3D1,3D2,3D3,E2
1F3,3F2,3F3,3F4,E3
TPE
(ω, ρ, σ)
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 32 / 60
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Delta Shell Potential
A sum of delta functions
V (r) =∑i
λi
2µδ(r − ri)
[Aviles, Phys.Rev. C6 (1972) 1467]
Optimal and minimal sampling of the nuclear interaction
Pion production threshold ∆k ∼ 2 fm−1
Optimal sampling, ∆r ∼ 0.5fm
Delta ShellAnalitic Potential
r [fm]
543210
0
−0.2−0.4−0.6−0.8−1
−1.2−1.4
k = 1.1 fm−1, u(r)2
r [fm]
543210
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
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Coarse Graining the AV18 potential
Delta ShellAV18
r [fm]
V[fm
−1]
43.532.521.510.50
4
3
2
1
0
-1
Delta ShellAV18
r [fm]
V[fm
−1]
43.532.521.510.50
4
3
2
1
0
-1
N = 600N = 54N = 42N = 30N = 18
ELAB [MeV]
δ[deg]
350300250200150100500
706050403020100
-10-20-30
N = 5N = 4N = 3N = 2N = 1
ELAB [MeV]
δ[deg]
350300250200150100500
706050403020100
-10-20
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Delta Shell Potential
3 well defined regions
Innermost region r ≤ 0.5 fmShort range interactionNo delta shell (No repulsive core)
Intermediate region 0.5 ≤ r ≤ 3.0 fmUnknown interactionλi parameters fitted to scattering data
Outermost region r ≥ 3.0 fmLong range interactionDescribed by OPE and EM effects
Coulomb interaction VC1 and relativistic correction VC2 (pp)Vacuum polarization VV P (pp)Magnetic moment VMM (pp and np)
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STATISTICS
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 36 / 60
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Self-consistent fits
We test the assumption
Oexpi = Othi + ξi∆Oi i = 1, . . . , NData ξi ∈ N [0, 1]
Least squares minimization p = (p1, . . . ,)
χ2(p) =N∑i=1
(Oexpi − Fi(p)
∆Oexpi
)2→ min
λiχ2(pχ2(p0) (3)
Are residuals Gaussian ?
Ri =Oexpi −Othi
∆OiOthi = Fi(p0) i = 1, . . . , N (4)
If Ri ∈ N [0, 1] self-consistent fit.Normality test for a finite sample with N elements → Probability (Confidence level)p-value
χ2min = 1± σ√
2
νν = NDat −NPar p = 1−
∫ σσdte−t
2
√2π
Histograms, Moments, Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Tail Sentitive QQ-plots
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 37 / 60
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Normality tests
Does the sequencexexp1 ≤ x
exp2 ≤ · · · ≤ x
expN ∈ N [0, 1]
We compute the theoretical points
n
N + 1=
∫ xthn−∞
dte−t
2/2
√2π
The Q-Q plot is xthn vs xexpn
For large Nxthn − xexpn = O(1/
√N)
Complete database. N = 8125
420-2-4
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
Complete database
Theoretical Quantiles N(0, 1)
EmpiricalQuantiles
420-2-4
4
2
0
-2
-4 Kolmogorov-Smirnov
Tail Sensitive
All residuals
(a)
QTh
QEm
p−
QTh
43210-1-2-3-4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 38 / 60
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Granada-2013 np+pp database
Selection criterium
Mutually incompatible data. Which experiment is correct? Is any of the two correct?
Maximization of experimental consensus
Exclude data sets inconsistent with the rest of the database
1 Fit to all data (χ2/ν > 1)2 Remove data sets with improbably high or low χ2 (3σ criterion)3 Refit parameters4 Re-apply 3σ criterion to all data5 Repeat until no more data is excluded or recovered
3σ consistent data. N = 6712
Complete database. N = 8125
420-2-4
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
3σ consistent data
Theoretical Quantiles N(0, 1)
EmpiricalQuantiles
420-2-4
4
2
0
-2
-4 Kolmogorov-Smirnov
Tail Sensitive
3σ residuals
(b)
QTh
QEm
p−
QTh
43210-1-2-3-4
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
-0.5
-1
-1.5
-2
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Fitting NN observables
Database of NN scattering data obtained till 2013
http://nn-online.org/http://gwdac.phys.gwu.edu/NN provider for Android
Google Play Store
[J.E. Amaro, R. Navarro-Perez, and E. Ruiz-Arriola]
2868 pp data and 4991 np data
3σ criterion by Nijmegen to remove possible outliers
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 40 / 60
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Fitting NN observables
Delta shell potential in every partial wave
V JSl,l′ (r) =1
2µαβ
N∑n=1
(λn)JSl,l′δ(r − rn) r ≤ rc = 3.0fm
Strength coefficients λn as fit parameters
Fixed and equidistant concentration radii ∆r = 0.6 fm
EM interaction is crucial for pp scattering amplitude
VC1(r) =α′
r,
VC2(r) ≈ −αα′
Mpr2,
VV P (r) =2αα′
3πr
∫ ∞1
dx e−2merx[1 +
1
2x2
](x2 − 1)1/2
x2,
VMM (r) = −α
4M2p r3
[µ2pSij + 2(4µp − 1)L·S
]
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 41 / 60
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To believe or not to believe
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 100000.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
Ndat
Χ2Ndat
25Σ
2Σ
1ΣGr-All
TLAB < 350 MeV
SAID-2007
GrHSelectedL
NijmHSelectedL
AV18 CD-Bonn
χ2min/ν = 1±√
2/ν
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A=2 STATISTICAL UNCERTAINTIES
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 43 / 60
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To fit or not to fit
N- Experimental Data Oexpi ±∆Oi with i = 1, . . . , NTheory with P-parameters Othi = Oi(p1, . . . , pP )
Distance between theory and data
||Oth(p)−Oexp||2 =∑i
[Othi −O
expi
∆Oi
]2
Closest theory to data (Least Squares Method, Lagrange)
D2min = minp||Oth(p)−Oexp||2
Statistical interpretation: Maximum likelihood
Propose fits with natural parameters
Reject fits with bound states other than the deuteron
Check fit residuals a posteriori
χ2min/ν = 1±√
2/ν
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Fit Phases or fit data ?
Phase shifts are NOT experimental observables UNLESS we have a complete set of 10measurements (cross sections and polarization asymmetries) for a given energy.
Data is difficult since magnetic moments are 1/r3 difficult 1000-2000 partial waves inmomentum space approaches
Fitting phases is easier but
100
101
102
103
104
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
χ2/N
ELAB,Max (MeV)
LO pp
LO np
NLO pp
NLO np
N2LO pp
N2LO np
Local chiral effective field theory interactions and quantum Monte Carlo applications A. Gezerlis, I. Tews, E. Epelbaum,
M. Freunek, S. Gandolfi, K. Hebeler, A. Nogga and A. Schwenk, Phys. Rev. C 90 (2014) no.5, 054323
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Are residuals irrelevant ?
Even if you have a “good” fit , it can be inconsistent
Fit N2LO for TLAB125MeVOptimized Chiral Nucleon-Nucleon Interaction at Next-to-Next-to-Leading Order; A. Ekström, G. Baardsen, C. Forssén,
G. Hagen, M. Hjorth-Jensen, G.R. Jansen, R. Machleidt, W. Nazarewicz, T. Papenbrock, J. Sarich; Phys.Rev.Lett. 110
(2013) no.19, 192502
-2
-1
0
1
2
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
QEm
p−
QTh
QTh
Tail SensitiveKolmogorov-Smirnov
residualsscaled residuals
scaled standarized residuals
Gross Systematic errors !!
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Frequentist or Bayes ?
Frequentist: What is the probability that given a theory data are correct ?
Bayesian: What is the probability that given the data the theory is correct ? (priors,random parameters)
χ2augmented → χ2data + χ2parametersBoth approaches agree for NData � NParameters. We have NDat ∼ 7000 and NPar = 40
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Maximal energy vs shortest distance
The full potential is separated into two pieces
V (r) = Vshort(r)θ(rc − r) + V χlong(r)θ(r − rc)
Data are fitted up to a maximal TLAB
TLAB ≤ maxTLAB ↔ pCM ≤ Λ
Max TLAB rc c1 c3 c4 Highest χ2/ν
MeV fm GeV−1 GeV−1 GeV−1 counterterm
350 1.8 -0.4(11) -4.7(6) 4.3(2) F 1.08350 1.2 -9.8(2) 0.3(1) 2.84(5) F 1.26125 1.8 -0.3(29) -5.8(16) 4.2(7) D 1.03125 1.2 -0.92 -3.89 4.31 P 1.70125 1.2 -14.9(6) 2.7(2) 3.51(9) P 1.05
D-waves, forbidden by Weinberg counting, are indispensable !
Data and χ-N2LO do not support rc < 1.8fm !(Several χ-potentials take rc = 0.9− 1.1fm)
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 48 / 60
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Deconstructing chiral forces
The full potential is separated into two pieces
V (r) = Vshort(r)θ(rc − r) + V χlong(r)θ(r − rc)
Under what conditions are the short distance phases compatible with zero
|δshort| ≤ ∆δ rc = 1.8fm
3G3
1251007550250
0.04
-0.28
-0.6
-0.92
-1.24
ǫ3
1251007550250
4.05
3.15
2.25
1.35
0.45
3D3
TLAB [MeV]
1251007550250
2.2
1.6
1
0.4
-0.23F3
1251007550250
0.6
0.2
-0.2
-0.6
-11F3
1251007550250
-0.1
-0.7
-1.3
-1.9
-2.5
3F21.06
0.78
0.5
0.22
-0.06ǫ2
-0.3
-0.9
-1.5
-2.1
-2.7
3P212.6
9.8
7
4.2
1.4
3D222.5
17.5
12.5
7.5
2.5
1D24.5
3.5
2.5
1.5
0.5
3D1
-1.6
-4.8
-8
-11.2
-14.4
ǫ112.6
9.8
7
4.2
1.43S1
146
118
90
62
343P1
-1.8
-5.4
-9
-12.6
-16.21P1
-1.8
-5.4
-9
-12.6
-16.2
3P0
10.4
7.2
4
0.8
-2.41S0
60
50
40
30
20
This is equivalent to set counterterms in given partial waves directly to cero
δshort = 0↔ Cshort = 0
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To count or not to count
We can fit CHIRAL forces to ANY energy and look if counterterms are compatible withzero within errors
We find that if ELAB ≤ 125MeV Weinberg counting is INCOMPATIBLE with data.
You have to promote D-wave counterterms.N2LO-Chiral TPE + N3LO-Counterterms → Residuals are normalPiarulli,Girlanda,Schiavilla,Navarro Pérez,Amaro,RA, PRC
We find that if ELAB ≤ 40MeV TPE is INVISIBLE
We find that peripheral waves predicted by 5th-order chiral perturbation theory ARE NOTconsistent with data within uncertainties
|δCh,N4LO − δPWA| > ∆δPWA,stat
Dominant contributions to the nucleon-nucleon interaction at sixth order of chiral perturbation theory D.R. Entem, N.
Kaiser, R. Machleidt, Y. Nosyk Phys.Rev. C92 (2015) no.6, 064001
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Statistical vs Systematics
Statistically equivalent interactions with χ2min/ν = 1±√
2/ν DO NOT overlapp
3I5
35025015050
-0.15
-0.45
-0.75
-1.05
-1.35
ǫ5
35025015050
3.15
2.45
1.75
1.05
0.35
3G5
TLAB (MeV)35025015050
0.2
0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
3H5
35025015050
-0.14
-0.42
-0.7
-0.98
-1.26
1H5
35025015050
-0.25
-0.75
-1.25
-1.75
-2.25
3H4
0.9
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
ǫ4
-0.2
-0.6
-1
-1.4
-1.8
3F4
3.6
2.8
2
1.2
0.4
3G4
9
7
5
3
1
1G4
2.25
1.75
1.25
0.75
0.25
3G3
-0.6
-1.8
-3
-4.2
-5.4
ǫ37.2
5.6
4
2.4
0.8
3D3
5.4
4.2
3
1.8
0.6
3F3
-0.4
-1.2
-2
-2.8
-3.6
1F3
-0.7
-2.1
-3.5
-4.9
-6.3
3F2
1.5
1.1
0.7
0.3
-0.1
ǫ2-0.35
-1.05
-1.75
-2.45
-3.15
3P2
18
14
10
6
2
3D227
21
15
9
3
1D2
δ(deg.)
10.8
8.4
6
3.6
1.2
3D1
-3
-9
-15
-21
-27ǫ1
5.4
4.2
3
1.8
0.6
3S1
144
112
80
48
16
3P1
-3.5
-10.5
-17.5
-24.5
-31.5
1P1
-3.5
-10.5
-17.5
-24.5
-31.5
3P0
11
4
-3
-10
-17
1S0
63
45
27
9
-9
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COUPLING CONSTANTS
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 52 / 60
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Arqueological Flashback
Chronological recreation of pion-nucleon coupling constants
Nijmegen determinations
f2 from NN data
f2p from pp data
Year
201020001990198019701960
0.084
0.082
0.08
0.078
0.076
0.074
0.072
0.07
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The pion-nucleon coupling constants f 2p , f20 and f
2c
(a)
f2c × 102
f2 p×
102
7.727.77.687.667.647.627.67.587.56
7.64
7.63
7.62
7.61
7.6
7.59
7.58
7.57
7.56
7.55
7.54
7.53
(b)
f2c × 102
f2 0×
102
7.727.77.687.667.647.627.67.587.56
8.2
8.15
8.1
8.05
8
7.95
7.9
7.85
7.8
(c)
f2p × 102
f2 0×
102
7.647.637.627.617.67.597.587.577.567.557.547.53
8.2
8.15
8.1
8.05
8
7.95
7.9
7.85
7.8
Fits to the Granada-2013 database.f2 f20 f
2c CD-waves χ
2pp χ
2np NDat NPar χ
2/ν
0.075 idem idem 1S0 3051 3951 6713 46 1.0510.0761(3) idem idem 1S0 3051 3951 6713 46+1 1.051- - - 1S0, P 2999 3951.40 6713 46+3 1.0430.0759(4) 0.079(1) 0.0763(6) 1S0, P 3045 3870 6713 46+3+9 1.039
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The πNN vertices
N=1000
fΠ pp- fΠ nn
fΠ pn- fΠ nnfΠ pp- fΠ pn
0.270 0.275 0.280 0.285 0.290
0.270
0.275
0.280
0.285
0.290
p
p
p
n
n
n
π π πo o+
0.2755(7) 0.276(1) 0.287(3)
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Neutrons interact more strongly than protons
neutron-neutron
proton-proton
3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
rHfmL
VΠ
HrLHM
eVL
proton-proton
neutron-neutron
3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
rHfmL
VΠ
HrLHM
eVL
neutron-neutron
proton-proton
3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.00.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
rHfmL
VΠ
HrLHM
eVL
neutron-neutron
proton-proton
3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0
-1.6
-1.4
-1.2
-1.0
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
rHfmL
VΠ
HrLHM
eVL
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Chiral Two Pion Exchange
Fit to from Granada-2013 np+pp database TLAB < 350MeV
(a)
c1 [GeV−1]
c3
[G
eV−
1]
3210-1-2-3-4
-2.5
-3
-3.5
-4
-4.5
-5
-5.5
-6
-6.5
(b)
c1 [GeV−1]
c4
[G
eV−
1]
3210-1-2-3-4
5.5
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
(c)
c3 [GeV−1]
c4
[G
eV−
1]
-2.5-3-3.5-4-4.5-5-5.5-6-6.5
5.5
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
Fit to from Granada-2013 np+pp database TLAB < 125MeV
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
-10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8
c3[G
eV
−1]
c1 [GeV−1]
22.53
3.54
4.55
5.56
6.5
-10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10
c4[G
eV
−1]
c1 [GeV−1]
22.53
3.54
4.55
5.56
6.5
-11-10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1
c4[G
eV
−1]
c3 [GeV−1]
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CONCLUSIONS
E. Ruiz Arriola (UGR) The Falsification of Chiral Nuclear Forces Confinement 2016 58 / 60
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Conclusions
Chiral nuclear forces have MANY advantages
Weinberg’s paper has over 1000 citations
Many calculations have been undertaken using 2,3,4 body forcesBUT:
Many forms of Chiral nuclear forces can be falsified
Only validated forces against data (and not phases) allow to make serious error analysis
One should be able to make REALISTIC error estimates not just conservative ones
Cut-off dependence is the largest source of error
We must not count our chickens before they are hatched !
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