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The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety) programme - IAEA Cristina Nuccetelli Dipartimento tecnologie e Salute Istituto Superiore di Sanità

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Page 1: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

The EMRAS (Environmental

Modelling for Radiation Safety)

programme - IAEA

Cristina Nuccetelli

Dipartimento tecnologie e Salute

Istituto Superiore di Sanità

Page 2: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

Introduction

The general aim of the EMRAS II Programme is to improve capabilities in the

field of environmental radiation dose assessment by means of:

• acquisition of improved data for model testing

• comparison

• reaching consensus on modelling philosophies, approaches and parameter

values, development of improved methods

• exchange of information.

The activities of the EMRAS II Programme emphasize on improvement of

environmental transfer models for reducing associated uncertainties or

developing new approaches to strengthen the evaluation of the radiological

impact to man, as well as to flora and fauna, arising from radionuclides in the

environment.

Page 3: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

EMRAS II continues some of the work of previous international exercises in the

field of radioecological modelling and focuses on areas where uncertainties

remain in the predictive capability of environmental models.

Previous international exercises:

• BIOMOVS (BIOspheric Model Validation Study) and

• BIOMOVS II (Swedish Radiation Authority in 1985)

• VAMP (Validation of Model Predictions, 1988-1996)- IAEA

• BIOMASS (BIOsphere Modelling and ASSessment, 1996-2001) - IAEA

• EMRAS which ran from 2003 to 2007 - IAEA

Introduction (cont.)

All data and pictures are from IAEA official EMRAS and EMRAS II sites.

Page 4: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

Objectives

The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling are:

• to enhance the capabilities of Member States to simulate radionuclide

transfer in the environment and, thereby

• to assess exposure levels of the public and in the environment, associated

with radionuclide releases and from existing radionuclides in the

environment.

Specific objectives in the areas of radioactive release assessment, restoration

of sites with radioactive residues, and environmental protection are:

• to test the performance of models developed for assessing the transfer of

radionuclides in the environment and radiological impact to man and

environment

• to develop and improve models for particular environments and, where

appropriate, to agree on data sets that are generally applicable in

environmental transfer models

• to provide an international forum for the exchange of experience, ideas

and research information

Page 5: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

Organization of the EMRAS II Programme

The EMRAS II Programme will be run to 2011.

It was launched at IAEA's headquarters in Vienna in January 2009.

Other two Technical Meetings

25-29 January 2010

24-28 January 2011.

45 Countries 120 participants 3 Themes 9 Working Groups

Two types of meetings:

•The annual Technical Meeting, generally held at the IAEA’s headquarters in

Vienna during the first quarter of each year. During the week long Technical

Meeting, typically Plenary Sessions will be held on the first and last days and,

the remaining three days will be used for the Working Group Meetings.

•The interim Working Group Meetings, which take place in the second or

third quarter of each year.

Page 6: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

EMRAS II Working Groups

Reference Approaches for Human Dose Assessment

Working Group 1 - Reference Methodologies for "Controlling Discharges" of Routine Releases

Working Group 2 - Reference Approaches to Modelling for Management and Remediation at "NORM and

Legacy Sites"

Working Group 3 - Reference Models for "Waste Disposal"

Reference Approaches for Biota Dose Assessment

Working Group 4 - "Biota Modelling"

Working Group 5 - "Wildlife Transfer Coefficient" Handbook

Working Group 6 - Biota "Dose Effects Modelling"

Approaches for Assessing Emergency Situations

Working Group 7 - "Tritium" Accidents

Working Group 8 - "Environmental Sensitivity"

Working Group 9 - "Urban" Areas

Page 7: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

Methodologies to set up reference models for assessing radiological

impacts

• from planned releases

• in existing exposure situations.

Wide range of scenarios (e.g. Ottawa River from Chalk River Labs; Sizewell, releases

to marine envir.)

The aim is to develop standardized and harmonized models for

assessing radiological impacts to people and the environment.

WG1 - Reference Methodologies for Controlling

Discharges of Routine Releases

Page 8: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

WG3 - Reference Models

for Waste Disposal

• Environmental changes

– climate

– changes in landscape

– groundwater and sea levels

– changed land use by humans.

• Processes at the transition zone between the geosphere and

the biosphere

– identified a variety of potentially relevant geosphere-biosphere

interfaces

– details will be site specific.

• Important migration and accumulation processes within the

biosphere, which in many cases are radionuclide and/or site

specific.

Page 9: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

WG4-Biota Modelling

The aim of the work is to improve Member States' capabilities for

protection of the environment by comparing and validating

models being used, or developed, for biota dose assessment (that

may be used) as part of regulatory process of licensing and

compliance monitoring of authorised releases of radionuclides.

Beaverlodge uranium mine - CanadaLittle Forest Burial Ground-waste disposal

Australia

Page 10: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

WG5 - Wildlife Transfer Coefficient Handbook

The aim of the Working Group is to contribute to the development and

implementation of an online Wildlife Transfer Parameter Database which

will be applied in the production of a Technical Reports Series (TRS)

Handbook on Wildlife Transfer Coefficients.

In parallel a core group was established by the IAEA in cooperation with

International Union of Radioecology (IUR) to develop an online

concentration ratio database, initially populated with the ERICA data, to

provide data tables for the Handbook.

A further objective of the Working Group is to provide a peer review of the

text of the above mentioned Handbook.

Page 11: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

WG6 - Biota Dose Effects Modelling

The Working Group works with 5 subgroups to derive relationships

between exposures to ionizing radiation and effects on flora and fauna.

1. Update Data Base

2. Dose Response Curves and species sensitivity curves

3. Population Models and Alternative Methods

4. Multiples Stressors

5. Canadian Benthic Data

All subgroups contribute to Reports and Guidance Documents

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WG7-Tritium Accidents

The Working Group focuses on the

development of a dynamic reference

model to estimate exposure to tritium

subsequent to accidental releases.

The processes involved in the transfer

of tritium in the environment will be

analysed in dependence on the

environmental conditions, season and

time of the day.

A main issue is the integration of

actual weather data to enable reliable

estimation of the tritium behaviour.

The Cardiff case

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WG8 - Environmental Sensitivity

environmental sensitivity: rural and semi-natural

environments within the framework of assessments after an

emergency situation.

a) formulate the concept of environmental sensitivity;

b) compile a list of sensitivity factors;

c) design scenarios;

– Agricultural (Europe and Canada)

– Alpine (Central Europe)

–Temperate forest (Europe and Canada)

–Arctic (Europe and Canada)

–Freshwater aquatic environment

–Coastal marine environment

d) carry out modelling exercises

Page 14: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

WG 9 – Urban areas

urban situations: dispersion and retention of radionuclides in urban

environments

(a) Atmospheric dispersion, short-range;

b) Atmospheric dispersion, mid-range;

c) Contaminant transport and countermeasures.

8 participants

5 participants

Page 15: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

The aim of the Working Group is to assess

• the environmental impacts and risks

• the effect of remediation measures

The work concentrates on the areas affected by

residues of the mining industry (phosphorus, uranium,

metals, etc.) and on contaminations due to past

activities.

WG2 - Reference Approaches to Modelling for

Management and Remediation at "NORM and

Legacy Sites"

Page 16: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

WG2-Models

Model

name

Model

type

Application Transport processes

modelled

Endpoints calculated

CROM Gaussian

plume module,compartmental

model

Screening Gaseous and liquid discharge;

Atmospheric dispersion ofradionuclides (Gaussian

plume) and transfer through

terrestrial food-chains

External, inhalation and

ingestion Dose .(Activities in soil,

sediment and water ?)

PC-CREAM(Set of

modules)

1.PLUME:atmospheric

dispersion

2. DORIS:marine (coast)

dispersion

3. FARMLAND:food chaincalculations

4. GRANIS:gamma radiationfrom ground

5. RESUS:resuspendedmaterial

6. ASSESSOR:results from other

modules and

calculates annual doses

Routine continuous

releases toatmosphere, river,

estuarine, marineenvironments;

detailed committedeffective dose

assessment,collective dose

assessment;

screeningassessment

available within theriver model.

Atmospheric dispersion

Transfer through the terrestrial environment: wet deposition,

resuspension, migration in soil,

transfer to plants and in animals,external irradiation due to surface

deposition;

Estuary models

Marine model – MARINA II –

water movement, sediments,

sediment/water interaction,

exposure pathways – exposure

pathways from ingestion of seafood

and from sediments;

River models – simple dilution,

hydraulic models, dynamic models

– simple screening;

1. PLUME average

radioactivity conc. in air.

2. DORIS rad conc in

seawater and sediments.

3. FARMLAND - annual

average

rad conc in the most popular

foodstuffs.

4. GRANIS external gamma

exposure to anindividual from

deposited radioactivity in soil.

5. RESUS annual average

radconc in air due to the

resuspension of

previously deposited activity.

6. ASSESSOR - individual

or collective doses

Page 17: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

WG2-Models (cont.)

Model

name

Model

type

Application Transport processes

modelled

Endpoints

calculated

RESRAD

ONSITE

OFFSITE

Suite of modules, e.g.

guassian Plume for atmospheric

discharges,

semi-empirical models for sediment-water

interactions (Kds) and transfer through food

chains (transferfactors) etc

Detailed Solid

waste-near surface

disposal,

surface disposal,landfill –

screeningor detailed

assessment, sitecharacterisation

Surface, near surface Multi soil

compartments with one primarycontaminated soil layer and

secondary contaminated

zone.Time-dependent soil processes: leaching, erosion

and ground water transport.Equilibrium approach for

external irradiation, ingestionand inhalation pathways.

Total annual

effective dose, doseconcentrations from

individual pathways,

activity concentrations in air,

soil and water, etc.

IAEA SRS-19

The SRS models have distinct models for

considering thedispersion of nuclides

following

(i) atmosphericrelease (guassian

plume)(ii) river

(iii) small lake(iv) large lake

(v) estuary

(vi) coastal

Generic-screening

assessment. Routine

release situations

(long operationtimes for

installationsdischarging liquid

radioactivematerial) -

equilibrium

Gaseous and liquid discharge;Atmospheric dispersion of

radionuclides (Gaussian plume)and transfer through terrestrial

food-chains.

Activity concentrations in

soil (atmosphericmodel) water

(aquatic models).

Concentrations insediment, plants and

animals may be appropriately

derived using Kdsand concentration

factors

and others...

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1rst scenario:

Gela phosphogypsum landfill

55 hectares, 1 km from the sea

Available data:

• Radionuclide concentration in

phosphogypsum, leachate

• Meteorological, hydrological

Modelling

– Three models (RESRAD, DOSDIM, ReCLAIM)– Model-model intercomparison

– Modeller-modeller intercomparison (RESRAD)– Validation against measurements

WG2-Scenarios

Page 19: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

WG2-Scenarios (cont.)

Page 20: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

Notwithstanding the WG2 focus on NORM scenarios,

the approaches, methodologies and models (e.g.

RESRAD) can be easily transposed to any situation

with large “source term” in contact with environment.

This is true for the most part of the EMRAS II WG issues.

WG2- methodology and applicability

Page 21: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

EMRAS II programme, like EMRAS, is an important opportunity to develop methodologies and compare results but, more

interesting, it is the frame where different approaches and points

of view can be shared.

This is the reason why IAEA will continue to promote this kind of

international exercise after the EMRAS II end (January 2012)

EMRAS III (?) will probably start in 2012.

EMRAS is really open to any researcher who wants to contribute

and it is possible to join a WG in any moment.

http://www-ns.iaea.org/projects/emras/

http://www-ns.iaea.org/projects/emras/emras2/default.asp?s=8&l=63

Conclusions

Page 22: The EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety ...dati.arpa.fvg.it/.../Chernobyl_25/presentazioni_convegno/NUCCETELL… · The objectives of EMRAS in environmental modelling

Per ricevere il questionario potete mandare una mail a

[email protected]

invito