the effectiveness of eu conditionality and china as a threat
TRANSCRIPT
Foreign Policy of the EU The Effectiveness of EU Conditionality and China as a Threat Luis Cornago Bonal 02/01/2016 Copenhagen Business School CPR: 230593LUB1 Final Exam / First Examination
10 pages / 22653 words
Professor Kirstian L. Nielsen
1. Introduction
Today, the European Union is the world’s leading provider of
development and humanitarian aid. Since its beginning in 1957, the European
Economic Community (EEC), later called the European Union (EU) (1992), has
wanted to embody such values as peace, economic and social progress,
democracy, and the rule of law and human rights (Cameron, 2011).
Internationally, following Dimier (2014), “the EEC has presented itself as a
benevolent actor concerned with bringing those benefits to the rest of the world
through instruments like external aid and trade” (Dimier, 2014, p.1).
Consequently, European Development policy, inter alia, has gained increasing
importance within the European Union’s foreign policy. Looking at today’s data,
the EU foreign aid handled by the EU Commission represents 12% of all
international financial aid (Börzel & Risse, 2004). Moreover, according to
OECD data, in 2001 about 55 per cent of total aid was provided by the EU (EU
and member states combined).
Cooperation with developing countries can trace its history back to the
establishment of the EEC. Initially, the EEC came to an agreement with
different former colonies of some Member States. From then on relations with
African, Caribbean and Pacific countries (ACP), Asia and Latin America,
Mediterranean countries and the Middle East and Eastern neighboring
countries have gradually developed with the aid of instruments such as the
European Development Fund (EDF), along with other agreements, conventions
and partnerships. For example, the EDF was established with the EEC under the
Treaty of Rome in 1957 and is the main European financial aid resource for ACP
countries, funded by the voluntary contributions of the Member States. The EU
development policy centered on the Lomé agreements, the first of which was
signed in 1975 between the EU and the ACP countries.
However, the development policy has gone through significant and
important reforms over the years, and it would not be until 1990s when the EU
would include conditionality in its development policy. As Santiso (2003) notes,
“in the course of the 1990s, the promotion of democracy, the strengthening of
good governance and the enhancement of the rule of law have progressively
become both an objective and a condition for the assistance of the EU to
developing countries” (Santiso, 2003, p. 107).
The purpose of this paper is primarily to understand the changes of EU
development policy as well as show some of its main challenges. In order to
have a clear picture and understanding of how we’ve arrived at its current
situation, we must also focus on other political actors outside of the EU, such as
Africa and China, or organizations such as the World Bank.
2. The Evolution of EU Development Aid: a Neo-Institutionalist
Approach
In Constructing Conditionality: the Bureaucratization of EC
Development Aid (2006) Véronique Dimier takes a neo-institutionalist
approach to explain how the introduction of conditionality was the first
consequence of that long process of institutional change started in the 1970s.
The neo-institutionalist analysis highlights how institutions constrain and limit
the role of individuals, but also how individuals can shape the institution
(Steinmo & Thelen, 1992).
Keeping this framework in mind, Dimier argues that the successive EEC
enlargements, starting with the UK entry in 1973, and the bureaucratization of
the Directorate General for Development and Cooperation (DG8) of the
European Commission are the main keys to understanding the evolution of the
European development aid over the past forty-five years. Bureaucratization
means the rationalization of procedures of the criteria for aid attribution as well
as the depersonalization of procedures (Dimier, 2006).
Historically, the French colonial administrators led by Jacques Ferrandi,
played a leadership role in the DG8 that was largely facilitated by the
institutional framework of the Treaty of Rome (1957) and the political context of
the time, namely a balance of power between member states very favorable to
France (Dimier, 2001). Therefore, Ferrandi’s team barely readapted their
colonial methods to the new DG8 context and instead continued to be “anti-
bureaucratic and based on close personal relationships with the African elites”
(Dimier, 2006, p. 265) for a long time.
3. IV Lomé Convention and the Introduction of Conditionality
The Lomé IV agreement of 1989 between the EU and the so-called ACP
countries (mostly former colonies of Great Britain, France and Belgium) was the
first multilateral development agreement to incorporate political conditionality
(Börzel & Risse, 2004). Ten years later, in 1999, the EU adopted the European
Initiative for Development and Human Rights (EIDHR) regulations as a
comprehensive strategy “in support of democratization, the strengthening of
rule of law and the development of a pluralist and democratic civil society”
(EIDHR 976/1999, preamble; see in Börzel & Risse, 2004, p.2).
In 2000, the Cotonou Agreement was signed, replacing the Lomé System.
Cotonou insisted on the relevance of the relations between development,
democracy, human rights, the rule of law, and good governance as well as the
political dialogue that prevents the use of sanctions. Besides that, Cotonou
considered an additional way to encourage developing countries to stick to the
clauses: programming. Thus the EU financial assistance would depend
exclusively on the performance of the recipient country in respect to different
indicators related to the promotion of democracy. Most remarkably, instead of
being arranged by the agreement, the conditions for financial allocation had to
now be bargained. As a result, this would increase the incentives for recipient
countries to comply with the EU development policy principles (Börzel and
Risse, 2004). Similarly, Cameron affirms that the agreement “aims to
strengthen the political dimension, provide more flexibility and entrust the ACP
states with greater responsibilities” (Cameron, 2012, p. 193).
Therefore, it seems more than clear that democracy promotion by the
hand of political conditionality has become an increasingly important part of the
EU’s foreign policy. However, according to Dimier (2014), we have to be
cautious and remain aware that many of DG8’s neo-patrimonial methods and
practices are still present in the European development policy.
4. EU-Africa: a Triangular Approach
Since its conception, the European Union has played a very important
role in Africa. Consequently, European policy towards Africa has existed ever
since European integration process started. In fact, the European Union is not
only the world’s largest supplier of official development assistance and
humanitarian aid but also Africa’s major donor –more than 40 percent of EU
aid and humanitarian assistance goes to Africa (Faria, 2004). As we saw earlier,
the EU’s policy towards Africa was initially very molded by the colonial links
some of its member states –especially France and Belgium— had with recently
independent African states (Heldring and Robinson, 2012).
In the case of Africa, the two last Lomé agreements and the Cotonou
agreement were important proof of how EU-Africa relations were becoming
more politicized and securitized (Faria, 2004). Furthermore, Africa “has the
potential to provide for the re-legitimization of the EC’s development policies,
the experimentation and development of the ESDP and the Europeanization of
member-states’ African and security policies” (Bagayoko & Gibert, 2009, p.
806).
In this way, what started as an almost exclusive focus on economic and
social development has turned into a broader approach where the political
dimension has gained more relevance “partly due to the recognition of the
‘failure’ of development policies or impact on the development of the recipient
countries” (Faria, 2004, p. 31). Somehow, the reconsideration of the European
development policy towards Africa –with a clear link between peace, stability
and development– took place, according to Joao de Deus Pinheiro, the former
EU Commissioner for development aid, on account of the worrying increase in
the number of violent conflicts in the 1990s (Pinheiro 1999; see in Olsen, 2002).
While focusing on development aid and conflict prevention, DGVIII tried
to empower African capacity for conflict management and political and
economical issues, which “manifested itself in a number of initiatives to develop
closer relations between the EU and the Organization for African Unity (now
African Union)” (Olsen, 2002, p. 90). This interest for a better understanding
and collaboration of parts became clearer in the agreement between the New
Economic Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD) in 2001 and the
African Union (AU) in 2002. These occurrences show that on the one hand the
EU took a step forward in considering the AU as a credible and legitimate
change agent and, on the other hand, that the regional organizations had begun
to tackle all these issues. In fact, the Cotonou Agreement mentioned the
principle of ‘ownership’ (of the development strategies), which means that
“reforms and policies will rapidly be appropriated by local governments and
communities so as to guarantee the sustainability of these reforms and prevent
further external interventions” (Bagoyoko & Gibert, 2009, p. 792).
The idea that drives this triangular approach (the linkage between
security, good governance and economic development) is that “development can
only be achieved in a secure and democratic environment, conducive to long-
term investments” (Bagoyoko & Gibert, 2009, p. 789). The European Security
Strategy (2003) – the so-called ‘Solana Document’, adopted in December 2003
(Council of the European Union, 2003) – also promoted this holistic approach
and in doing so claimed an international power status.
Bagayoko & Gibert (2009) warned how this approach, in particular the
merging of development and security programs, could possibly end up in a more
military-based approach to development programs. Thus some commentators
note that the three concepts are not as compatible as the current holistic
approach to development suggests. Others accuse the approach of not taking
into account the complexities of the different recipient countries or even
suggest, as Mansfield and Snyder (1995) do, that transitions to democracy
usually bring about instability and can be counterproductive for a state’s
development strategy.
5. China’s Role in Africa
Many commentators have pointed out that the European Union’s
development assistance leadership role in Africa has been challenged in the last
decades. Emerging economies such as China, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi
Arabia, Korea, Venezuela, India, Kuwait and Brazil, among others, have been
increasing their aid to poorer countries (Woods, 2009). Indeed, none of these
countries form part of the donors’ club established within the OECD, called the
OECD Development Assistance Committee (DAC). If we focus more specifically
on the African countries’ aid recipients, Chinese influence in Africa is on the
rise. It has become the continent’s largest trade partner and it has recently
established its first mission to the African Union (Kishi & Raleigh, 2015). The
main beneficiaries include Ethiopia, South Africa, Ghana, and Mozambique.
Nevertheless, as Kragelund (2008) notes “the presence of non-DAC donors in
Africa is neither a new nor an extraordinary phenomenon” (Kragelund, 2008, p.
555).
In 2007, Moises Naim in Foreign Policy clearly summarized the Western
fears about the emerging donors. When he asks readers “what’s wrong with the
foreign aid programs of China, Venezuela and Saudi Arabia” he answers: “They
are enormously generous. And they are toxic”. Chinese aid is not planned to
impact recipient state’s governance or sovereignty. It is mainly intended to
benefit China. On the one hand, there is a security and political issue. From the
perspective of the DAC donors, China, Venezuela, Saudi Arabia and others are
supporting rouge states such as Sudan and Zimbabwe, “making regional and
global security and stability more precarious” (Woods, 2008, p. 1207). On the
other hand, economically speaking there could also be consequences for the
recipient countries. In 2006 the head of the OECD DAC commented how the
loans from emerging donors to low-income countries could worsen their debt
situation, delay necessary adjustments (since the conditionality is minimum), or
even throw away resources on unproductive investments (Manning, 2006).
Most literature agrees then on the main difference between the European
Union development policy and the one put into practice by most of the non-DAC
donors: political conditionality standards. As we have previously seen, the EU
has progressively moved towards a policy more dependent on not only the
recipients’ economic performance but also on the social progress, the respect for
human rights, and rule of law. From the western side, many argue that China’s
aid policy lowers standards, undermines democratic institutions and increases
corruption since they do not establish any requirement in order to receive the
aid. In this way the emerging donors are said to be throwing away progress
made by the World Bank or the European Union towards setting up clear codes
and standards to promote human rights, the respect for minorities, or safeguard
the environment (Woods, 2008).
For example, in Naim’s previously mentioned article he refers to the
expansion of Indonesia’s electrical grid by constructing plants that use a highly
polluting, coal based Chinese technology when “no international agency would
have signed off on such an environmentally unfriendly deal”. Even Obama has
claimed against China’s non-interference policy when he sought to differentiate
the United States from China, noting that “economic relationships can’t simply
be about building countries’ infrastructure with foreign labor or extracting
Africa’s natural resources” (Baker, 2015). Similarly, during his visit to Africa last
summer, Obama affirmed that the United States offers a better, more
empowering vision for the continent’s future than China does. In addition,
according to a recently published AidData report, there are reasons to be
skeptical towards Beijing’s “hands-off” policy in Africa. The report shows that
African leaders are almost three times more likely to spend Chinese
development aid in areas where they have ethnic ties.
Contrary to the skepticism towards China’s aid policy, other authors
argue that “the hysteria surrounding the emerging donors is overplayed”
(Woods, 2008, p. 1212), especially in the economic performance side. For
instance, Reisen (2008) recollects data that demonstrates a positive impact on
debt tolerance through stimulating exports, infrastructure investment, and
GNP. On the more political side, he shows how countries where China’s
presence is evident, such as Angola and Nigeria, have improved in the reduction
of corruption contrary to what was expected. Furthermore, new research also
challenges the Western pundits’ narrative about China’s activities in Africa
(Dreher, Fuchs, Parks, Strange, & Tierney, 2015). They find that Chinese ODA
(official development assistance) to Africa is strongly oriented toward poorer
countries.
6. Chinese Aid and Political Violence in African Countries
New research has also recently shed some light on the political
implications of China’s non-interference aid policy in Africa, supporting the idea
that this policy has terrible consequences for the continent. In a working paper
Roudabeh Kishi and Clionadh Raleigh investigate the relationship between
Chinese aid and political violence in Africa. They find that “Chinese aid to
African states increase the risk of civilian abuse by giving state leaders and
politicians access to funds with which to carry out this violence” (Kishi &
Raleigh, 2015). In other words, when a state gets more Chinese aid, its military
increases its violence against civilians. Additionally, they also study to which
extent we would see a similar effect on countries that receive Western aid.
However, Western aid does not seem to be followed by any such increase in
violence.
We have seen above that the international community, including the
European Union, has lately favored an approach to development and aid that
places emphasis on a triangular linkage between security, good governance and
economic development. That is to say that a secure and democratic environment
is a required condition in order to achieve development –through foreign aid
and multiple other ways. These findings on the increase of political violence in
African countries that receive Chinese aid are just more proof of the importance
of a holistic approach when we deal with development, foreign aid, and political
conditionality.
7. But Is Europe Taking Conditionality that seriously?
Woods (2008) affirms that many Western commentators have
exaggerated the extent to which direct conditionality –related to corruption,
human rights, or environmental standards imposed by OECD DAC donors– has
been successful.
Alesina and Dollar (2000) try to explain the reasons why foreign aid has
been only partially successful at promoting growth and human rights or
reducing inequality. Firstly, they find the answer in the poor performance of the
bureaucracies of the recipients’ countries. The second reason, and more relevant
for our discussion, involves the patterns of the flow of foreign aid. They
conclude that factors such as colonial past and voting patterns in the United
Nations explain more of the distribution of aid than the political institutions or
economic policy of recipients. Strikingly, they find that “a non-democratic
former colony gets about twice as much aid as a democratic non-colony”
(Alesina and Dollar, 2000, p. 55). For instance, French assistance –France
being one of the three “big” donors along with Japan and the United States– is
not correlated with poverty levels or democracy after controlling for their
strategic partners in former colonies and UN friends. However, we cannot
extrapolate these results to the European development policy since these
authors focus on each country individually.
Since the 1990s the European Union has made important efforts to
include democracy and human rights in development cooperation. However,
public intellectuals such as Easterly (2013) have questioned that promotion of
democracy is the main issue driving development policies in Europe or the
United States. In order to know the current situation of EU democracy
promotion in Africa, Del Biondo (2015) explores “whether countries that
facilitates the EU’s interest or good development performers are shielded from
sanctions” (Del Biondo, 2015, p. 74). The author concludes that conditionality
and sanctions are only applied in the absence of donor interest, except in Kenya
and Niger, where the EU threatened with sanctions despite those being
strategically important countries.
8. Conclusion
The purpose of this paper was to primarily show the increasing
importance of conditionality in the EU development policy. With Europe being
the traditionally major donor to Africa, we have considered it also relevant to
put a special emphasis on Africa and to explore the evolution of the EU’s role in
the continent over the years. In order to have a wider perspective of its current
situation, we have also tackled the growing Chinese influence in Africa —
because it is perceived as threatening by most European elites— and how
China’s foreign aid policy, primarily based on the lack of any kind of
conditionality towards the recipients’ countries can have terrible consequences
—politically, economically, and environmentally.
I would like to add that what has been discussed in this paper is merely a
modest approach to an immense, complex, and ongoing discourse about all
these issues. For example, in the case of China’s non-interference policy impact
on Africa the empirical analysis that emerges from literature on the topic is
contradictory. On the one hand, we have found much evidence supporting the
idea that Beijing’s aim is to buy the loyalty of African elites —providing them aid
with no conditionality— and secure access to the continent’s rich natural
resources, without caring about the negative political or economic consequences
for African people. On the other hand, in recent years we have seen renowned
commentators start to question this view and instead suggest that China’s
involvement with Africa has a positive impact on debt tolerance through
stimulating exports, infrastructure investment and GNP, and does not increase
the chances of corruption.
In the case of our main object of study, the European Union, we have to
recognize that some important improvements have been made towards the
rationalization of procedures of the criteria for aid attribution, reducing the
influence of the French neocolonial approach to development policy. Moreover,
the triumph within the EU institutions of the triangular approach —the linkage
between security, good governance and economic development— along with the
understanding that development can only be achieved in a secure and
democratic environment can be also considered a positive step forward in the
perfection of the EU development policy.
In relation to the current situation, we have found that conditionality and
sanctions still tend to be applied only in the absence of donors’ strategic
interests or former colonies ties. We cannot overlook that, independently of
China’s lack of conditionality in its development policy, the European Union
still has to improve in the allocation of aid and the use of sanctions. Therefore,
the EU should move forward with a more performance-based type of
conditionality. Nevertheless, it is very possible that conditionality alone does
not improve standards. As Woods’s notes, “a more inclusive process for setting
standards needs to be developed” (Woods, 2008, 1212). The references to
ownership in recent years are a good sign of this direction. In addition, to gain
legitimacy in the international arena it is important to speak with one voice.
Thus, the approach of different European countries regarding development
policy should be as homogenous as possible.
Previous research has referred to the realist-idealist discussion of
whether interests or norms affect either the aid allocation or conditionality use.
By now the only statement we can make, taking our own research into
consideration is that the realist perspective —where the international actors
primarily worry about their power position— is the most satisfactory
explanation to understand how conditionality and foreign aid allocation work in
the European Union.
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