the economics of market power for kwm_final
TRANSCRIPT
HoustonKemp.comHoustonKemp.com
The Economics of Market Power
An introduction to the analysis of market
power for King & Wood Mallesons
Dr Luke Wainscoat
Senior Economist, HoustonKemp
24 November 2015
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1. Market Power
2. Barriers to Entry
3. Competition from Existing Suppliers
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We all know competition when we see it
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Competition No competition
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• Features:
› Many firms – individual firms are ‘price takers’
› Many consumers – individual consumers are ‘price takers’
› Homogeneous goods
› No barriers to entry
• Outcomes:
› Price=average cost
› Zero economic profit (revenue=opportunity cost)
› Firms operate at efficient scale
› Price=Marginal revenue=Marginal cost
What is perfect competition?
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What is a monopoly?
• Features:
› A single firm which is a ‘price maker’
› The higher the price, the less it sells
› Barriers to entry prevent new suppliers entering
• In practice
› Monopoly licensing
› Natural monopoly
› Proprietary knowledge
protected by patent
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$
Quantity
Marginal
cost
Demand=marginal
revenue
Price (Perfect
competition)
Output (Perfect
competition)
Output is lower and prices are higher under a monopoly
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Two elements to a monopolist’s marginal revenue
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Monopoly increases
output by one unit
Quantity sold increases
Price Revenue
Output
Price falls
Loss of revenue
from lower price
on existing sales
Additional revenue
from one additional
saleRevenue
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Output is lower and prices are higher under a monopoly
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$
Quantity
Marginal
cost
Output
(Monopoly)
Price
(Monopoly)
Demand
Marginal revenue
(monopoly)
Price (perfect
competition)
Output
(Perfect
competition)
Producer surplus
Consumer
surplus Dead weight loss
Richard A. Posner ‘the economic
theory of monopoly provides the only
sound basis for antitrust policy’
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Logic of monopoly applies to any firm with market
power
• Marginal revenue < price
• Firms produce and sell less than in a perfectly
competitive market
• There is deadweight loss / inefficiency
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But – some market power is good!
• Market power is the ‘reward’ for offering a better
product than competitors
• Cost of intervention
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Market power is the ability profitably to raise
prices above the competitive level
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Market
power
Absence of
competition
Absence of
competitive
constraints
Outcome not
consistent with
competition
Existing
firms
Potential
entrants
Customer
buyer
power
Profits Prices Output
Queensland Wire: ‘ability of a firm to
raise prices above the supply cost
without rivals taking away customers
in due time’
Melway: ‘capacity to act
unconstrained by the conduct
of competitors’
Boral: ‘absence of constraint
from the conduct of
competitors or customers’
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Evidence of market power
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Market
power
High profits and
margins
Market
power
High profits
and margins
• Many reasons for high profits
• Measuring profitability for economic analysis is very
difficult
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1. Market Power
2. Barriers to Entry
3. Competition from Existing Suppliers
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A single supplier can be perfectly competitive
• Perfectly contestable market
› One supplier
› Technology/knowhow for production
available to all
› Fixed, but no sunk costs
• Outcome
› Price=average costs
• But
› Fixed costs often sunk – no
‘hit and run’ entry
› New entrants may have higher
variable costs
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Barriers to entry allow incumbents to set prices above
the competitive level without entry occurring
• Some disagreement on exact definition
• Something that allows the incumbents to earn above-normal
profits
• A cost of producing that must be borne by an entrant but not
incumbents
• Additional profit earned as a sole consequence of being
established in the industry
• Barriers to entry allow firms to have market power
• Extent to which the threat of entry restricts market
power depends upon:
› Likelihood of entry
› Timeliness of entry
› Impact of entry on the incumbents
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There are three types of entry barriers
• Structural
› Economies of scale
› Sunk costs
• Strategic
• Legal/regulatory
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Evidence
• History of entry and exit
› Lots of entry=low barriers
› But, low entry does not imply high barriers
• Would timely entry occur if prices rose above
competitive levels?
› What does new entrant need to do?
› Sunk costs of entry
› Variable costs of new entrants?
› Profitability of entry
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1. Market Power
2. Barriers to Entry
3. Competition from Existing Suppliers
Comparing the two most common forms of
competition used
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Price is above the perfectly competitive level
when firms decide what quantity to produce
• Firms independently and simultaneously decide their
own quantity/capacities
• Products are homogeneous
• Prices determined by total amount supplied by all
firms
• Examples:
› Airlines
› Farms
› Mining
• Equilibrium
› Firms choose quantity such that Marginal Revenue is equal to
Marginal Cost
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Two elements to marginal revenue
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Firm increases output by
one unit
Quantity sold increases
Price Revenue
Output
Price falls
Loss of revenue
from lower price
on existing sales
Additional revenue
from one additional
saleRevenue
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Price competition can lead to perfect competition
even with two suppliers.
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Price
10
9
8
12
Marginal
cost
1 2
2
1
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Prices are greater than the perfectly competitive
level when products are differentiated
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1
2
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A merger will put pressure on prices to rise
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Ice cream
seller 1
increases
prices
Quantity sold falls
Increased
revenue
for ice
cream
seller 2
Price Revenue
Output
Price rises
Quantity sold increases
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Evidence
• Step 1 – How does competition operate?
› What decisions do firms make?
› How do they make those decisions?
› Other forms of competition - bargaining, auctions,
competitive fringe, import price taker
• Step 2 – Features of the market
› Number of firms
› Capacity constraints
› Differentation
› Market shares (revenue/quantity)
› Barriers to entry
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Quantitative and qualitative evidence
• Aim is for both types of evidence to tell the same
coherent story
• Eg 2-1 merger in manufacturing industry
› Competition operates by matching import prices
› Qualitative evidence
Internal documents regarding how set prices
› Quantitative evidence
Showed empirically that price of domestic products followed that
of imports
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Key points
• Barriers to entry are always important to assessing
market power
• Impact of existing suppliers depends upon the form
of competition
• Quantity/capacity competition – market shares are
important
• Price competition – key aspects are:
› Capacity constraints
› Level of differentiation
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Effect of mergers – Cournot competition
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Effect of mergers – Bertrand competition
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Effect of mergers – Bertrand competition
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