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    Tropical Ecology SupportProgram (TB)

    The Economic Valuationof Biological Diversity

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    Tropical Ecology SupportProgram (TB)

    The Economic Valuationof Biological Diversity

    Dr. Thomas Pln

    Eschborn, 1999

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    TB Publication No.: TB P-3e

    Published by: Deutsche Gesellschaft frTechnische Zusammenarbeit (GTZ) GmbHPostfach 5180D-65726 Eschborn

    Responsible: Tropenkologisches Begleitprogramm (TB)Dr. Claus Btke

    Author: Dr. Thomas Pln, inf Informationsmanagement,Biotechnologie / Biodiversittsnutzung,

    Lessingstr. 3a, D-93049 Regensburg, GermanyTel.: +49-941-299054, Fax: +49-941-25627,email: [email protected]

    Edited by: Michaela Hammer

    Nominal fee: DM 5,-

    ISBN:

    Produced by: TZ-Verlagsgesellschaft mbH, D-64380 Rodorf

    1999 All rights reserved

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    Foreword

    For the majority of the world's population, tropical ecosystems are a vital life-sustaining force. However, the progressive destruction and depletion of naturalresources in developing countries are jeopardising efforts aimed at achieving

    sustainable development and effective poverty reduction.The Flanking Program for Tropical Ecology is a supraregional service projectbeing run by the Deutsche Gesellschaft fr Technische Zusammenarbeit (GTZ)GmbH on behalf of the Federal German Ministry for Economic Cooperationand Development (BMZ), its mandate being to help collect and processexperience in this sector, thus improving the information status.

    On request, the program flanks specific projects with studies focusing onissues relevant to tropical ecology. By so doing, it is aiming to further develop

    concepts and approaches geared to protecting, conserving and ensuring thesustainable use of tropical ecosystems. At the same time, this research workprovides the basis for designing innovative instruments that will facilitate moreecologically-sound development cooperation in future.

    By applying scientific results at grass-roots extension level, the program assistsother projects in the implementation of international agreements, in particularAgenda 21 and the Biodiversity Convention, to which the BMZ attaches greatimportance.

    A key element of the program concept centres on a joint approach whichprovides German and local scientists with a forum for discussion. TheFlanking Program for Tropical Ecology is thus making a valuable contributionto the practice-oriented upgrading of counterpart experts and the consolidationof tropical-ecology expertise in partner countries.

    This series of publications has been produced in a generally comprehensibleform with the specific aim of presenting its results and recommendations to allorganisations and institutions active in development cooperation, and also to allthose members of the general public who are interested in environmental anddevelopment-policy issues.

    Dr. H. P. Schipulle

    Head of the Environmental Policy,Protection of Natural Resources and

    Forestry Division

    Dr. C. van Tuyll

    Head of the Rural Development Division

    Federal German Ministry for EconomicCooperation and Development (BMZ)

    Deutsche Gesellschaft fr TechnischeZusammenarbeit (GTZ) mbH

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    Contents

    I

    Table of Contents

    TABLE OF CONTENTS .....................................................................I

    LIST OF FIGURES..........................................................................IV

    LIST OF TABLES ...........................................................................IV

    GLOSSARY ...................................................................................V

    SUMMARY...................................................................................IX

    1 INTRODUCTION ......................................................................1

    1.1 Description of the development cooperation project and

    purpose of the project ................................................................. 1

    1.2 Analysis of problems.................................................................. 2

    1.3 Objectives................................................................................... 3

    2 RESULTS AND ANALYSIS........................................................7

    2.1 Decrease in biodiversity as a consequence of the lack of

    markets and of market failure ..................................................... 7

    2.2 Classification of the types of values of biological diversity ...... 11

    2.3 Examples of evaluating biological diversity ............................. 22

    2.3.1 Use value of genes and biochemicals ............................ 22

    2.3.2 Use value of species...................................................... 28

    2.3.3 Use value of ecosystems and landscapes....................... 30

    3 RECOMMENDATIONS............................................................35

    3.1 Valuation methods and techniques............................................ 35

    3.1.1 Determining direct and passive use values on

    simulated markets......................................................... 38

    3.1.2 Indirectly determining direct use values........................ 43

    3.1.3 Determining indirect use values.................................... 45

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    The Economic Valuation of Biological Diversity

    II

    3.2 The cost aspect of the conservation and destruction of

    biological diversity and the cost-benefit analysis procedure ..... 48

    3.2.1 Opportunity costs: restoration costs, sustainability

    costs, lost use values..................................................... 483.2.2 Cost-benefit analysis..................................................... 52

    3.3 Organisation of markets with appropriate prices....................... 53

    3.3.1 Monetisation and cost-benefit analyses......................... 54

    3.3.2 Dismantling failed interventions................................... 55

    3.3.3 Creation of private property rights and integrated

    biodiversity management .............................................. 563.3.4 Creation of market-based regulatory instruments.......... 58

    3.3.5 Creation of global markets............................................ 61

    3.4 Recommendations for development cooperation ...................... 65

    3.4.1 Project-oriented cost-benefit analyses using the

    available valuation instruments..................................... 66

    3.4.2 Training and capacity-building to inventor andmonitor biodiversity ..................................................... 66

    3.4.3 Creation and/or strengthening of institutional

    prerequisites for the development and

    implementation of national biodiversity strategies ........ 67

    3.4.4 Training and capacity-building to conduct cost-

    benefit analyses and valuation techniques..................... 67

    3.4.5 Supporting research capacities in developing

    countries at the frontier between ecology and

    economics 68

    3.4.6 Identification of interventions failures .......................... 70

    3.4.7 Creation of incentive instruments ................................. 71

    3.4.8 Participation of local communities in biodiversity

    yields............................................................................ 71

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    Contents

    III

    3.4.9 Assistance in the creation of property rights ................. 72

    3.4.10 Cooperation in establishing global environmental

    markets through bilateral and multilateral

    agreements.................................................................... 73

    4 BIBLIOGRAPHY ....................................................................75

    4.1 Cited references........................................................................ 75

    4.2 Other references ....................................................................... 83

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    The Economic Valuation of Biological Diversity

    IV

    List of figures

    Fig. 1: Total economic value of a biological asset 13

    Fig. 2: Classification of resources 17

    Fig. 3: Classification of economic values and attributable valuation

    methods (methods in angled brackets are less suitable ones) 37

    Fig. 4: Comparison of the resulting costs and use of protected areas 52

    List of tables

    Table 1: Use values of genes and biochemicals 28

    Table 2: Use values of species 30

    Table 3: Use values of ecosystems 33

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    Glossary

    V

    Glossary

    Allocation

    mechanism

    Mechanism for the allocation of productive factors or

    resources to certain goals

    Assimilation Admission and processing of a substrate

    Bequest value Value of keeping a resource intact for future

    generations

    Biodiversity orbiological diversity

    General term for the number, variety and diversity ofliving organisms in a certain environment or unit of

    space, divisible into the order and integration levels

    genes, species and ecosystems

    Biological resource General term for genetic resources, organisms or

    parts of organisms, populations or any other

    biological component of ecosystems of actual orpotential use or value for mankind

    Bioprospecting Exploration of biodiversity in search of commercially

    exploitable genetic and biochemical resources

    Biotic Of or relating to organisms or life processes

    Cost-benefit analysis

    (CBA)

    Collection and evaluation of relevant actions or

    measures and their alternatives in monetary terms

    Direct use value Value of biological resources or resource systems by

    consumption or production or by their direct

    interaction with market subjects

    Discounting Preference of a currently available private use, which

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    The Economic Valuation of Biological Diversity

    VI

    involves social destruction, over a private use in the

    future, which also involves social preservation

    Ecosystem Fundamental functional ecological unit which

    includes organisms and environment, divisible into

    energy flows, food chains, diversity samples,

    biogeochemical food cycles, development and

    evolution, cybernetics

    Emission rights Pollution licence entitling the holder to a certain level

    of emissions

    Existence value Intrinsic value of a resource

    Global environmental

    markets (GEMs)

    Global markets which have either been enforced by

    international sets of rules or have resulted from

    voluntary agreements

    Gross national

    product (GNP)

    Total value of the goods and services produced by

    firms owned by a country

    Gross primary

    production

    Entire photosynthesis, including organic material

    used during respiration

    Habitat Place in which an organism lives

    Indirect use value Value of biological resources or achievement for

    directly used resources or ecosystems

    Market analysis Analysis of the procurements and sales prospects of

    an enterprise or an industry and the market influences

    affecting it at a certain time

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    Glossary

    VII

    Natural capital The natural wealth of biological resources

    Net primary

    production

    Quantity of organic material stored in green plants

    minus that used in respiration

    Opportunity costs Costs of alternatives that are not used

    Option value Use reserved for a later time

    Passive use value Measurement of the significance of resources or

    similar factors for us, our descendants or other

    species

    Population Total individuals belonging to a certain species in a

    certain area

    Preference Ranking of demand for certain goods by individuals

    Productivity Accumulation of one organic substance per unit of

    time

    Quasi-option value Value of delaying an irreversible decision to wait for

    additional information to help in the decision-making

    process

    Surrogate market

    concept

    Evaluation of markets for private goods and services

    related to the relevant resources and products

    Screening Purposeful search for certain substances or effects

    Travel cost approach Market approach based on the expenditure required

    for a particular journey corresponding to or

    characteristic of products or resources, etc.

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    The Economic Valuation of Biological Diversity

    VIII

    Total economic value

    (TEV)

    Sum or aggregation of direct value, indirect value,

    option/quasi-option value and passive use value of a

    resource or a resource system

    Transferable

    development rights

    (TDRs)

    International trade development rights to enable

    adequate protection of global biodiversity values, in

    particular in tropical countries

    Willingness to pay Survey to obtain a value, e.g. for biological diversity

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    Summary

    IX

    Summary

    Biological diversity is decreasing at all levels of integration at an alarming

    rate. The market prices of biological resources do not reflect their true

    values because of a lack of internalisation of external costs and benefits.

    This omission is an indication of market failure, based in particular on the

    difference between private and social/ecological benefits, on the lack of

    markets and on failed interventions.

    This paper is based on the hypothesis that the failure to allocate economic

    values to the respective components of biological diversity is one of the

    causes of this decrease in diversity. Conversely, the allocation of the

    appropriate economic values to these components should be able to halt

    this trend and to reverse it.

    After an introductory chapter, the chapter on "Results and Analysis"

    highlights the loss of biodiversity under the aspect of the lack of marketsand of market failure. It is postulated that a market-oriented strategy to

    valuate the components of biological diversity would help to stop this

    decline. Types of values of biological diversity are therefore subdivided

    into different use-dependent and use-independent categories. The

    social/ecological value of biological resources or services is made up of

    four categories of use values: the direct use value, indirect use value,

    option/quasi-option use value and passive use value. These are added

    together to give the so-called total economic value (TEV). However, there

    is a certain amount of overlap between these types of values, which means

    that there is a danger of values attributes being counted more than once in

    different value categories. The more aspects of use value that can be

    determined and compiled to form the TEV, the closer the TEV will come to

    the "real" value of a biological asset. However, if this TEV fails to be

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    The Economic Valuation of Biological Diversity

    X

    reflected by market prices, it remains a theoretical concept. Because of the

    benefits of biological diversity and the lack of information available about

    these benefits as a result of market failure, there is an urgent need for

    economic valuation studies to be carried out.

    The results of several studies carried out to assess genes and biochemicals,

    species, ecosystems and landscapes in terms of the use values of the

    respective components of biological diversity are highlighted.

    The third chapter discusses application relevance and recommendations for

    action and presents the relevant assessment methods. These methodsprimarily suggest how markets would need to be reformed in order to

    correct the present imbalance between prices and values and/or, where this

    is not possible, provide decision-making aids indicating the political

    measures that need to be taken to correct market signals.

    The contingent valuation method (CVM) and related methods of analysis

    are of particular importance in this context, because they allow combined

    valuations of the direct use value, the option/quasi-option use value and the

    passive use value of the components of biological diversity. Moreover,

    these methods are the only useful ones to determine passive or non-use

    values. Alternative indirect techniques by which to determine direct use

    values are also presented.

    Methods to determine preferences such as the CVM are not suitable to

    determine the indirect use values (e.g. ecological regulatory functions) of

    nature as a production factor, since these values support economic activities

    or even enable such activities to be carried out regardless of preferences. In

    order to determine indirect use values, methods such as productivity

    change, maintenance or optimisation work effort, the restoration cost

    approach and the production-function approach are currently being applied.

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    Summary

    XI

    The latter approach is designed to determine the physical effects that

    changes of ecological functions have on economic activities.

    In order to be able to be compared with use values and benefits, the costs

    associated with the conservation, sustainable use and restoration of

    biological diversity need to be determined. On the basis of the results of

    this analysis, the alternative that is not chosen generates opportunity costs.

    Finally, cost-benefit analyses (CBAs) allow relevant activities and their

    alternatives to be identified and valuated in monetary terms. The relevant

    cost and benefit variables have to established to allow an accurate directcomparison of the possible alternatives to be made.

    By applying valuation methods, it was able to be shown that the economic

    benefits of conserving biological diversity are limited at a local level, are

    somewhat higher at a regional and national level and become substantial at

    a global level. In contrast, the costs frequently show the opposite trend:

    They are significant at a local level and low at a regional and national level.

    In order to allow effective conservation of biodiversity, the imbalance on

    each of these levels needs to be corrected.

    In this context, four measures are discussed which should lead to an

    effective translation of the evaluation approaches into the creation of

    markets. They concern the following:

    The removal of damaging distortions of market mechanisms (deregulation)

    by dismantling failed interventions. In order to establish prices that reflect

    social costs, it is important to abolish all supportive measures that

    artificially reduce the private costs of activities detrimental to biodiversity.

    The creation of markets by privatisation and integrated biodiversity

    management based on the efficiency criterion, i.e. those who control assets

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    XII

    should also be those who profit from the benefits of these assets. This could

    be attained by establishing property rights to those biological resources to

    which vested titles do not yet exist and/or by transferring vested titles from

    the State to landowners (including those not yet entitled to land tenure dueto pending reforms).

    The introduction of control instruments, in particular market-induced

    instruments, in addition to regulatory ones. While the latter imply direct

    control (reduction/limitation) of unwanted actions in conjunction with

    legislative or politically agreed standards, market economy-based

    intervention instruments (MEIs) create economic incentives. Strictly

    speaking, MEIs include all political measures explicitly related to private

    benefits and costs by which the comparative social benefits and costs can

    be incorporated into market prices. These instruments can be subdivided

    into five categories: duties/taxes/fees, subsidies, pledge systems, tradable

    rights and compensatory incentives.

    The creation of global environmental markets (GEMs). These markets can

    be enforced by international law or can be created on the basis of voluntary

    agreements. A common feature of both approaches are bilateral or

    multilateral transfer payments. The particular practical relevance of

    approaches used to valuate conservation, sustainable use and restoration

    costs for transfer payments (e.g. transferable development rights, TDRs)

    lies in the fact that these payments can be related to the amount of money

    required in national and international budgets to be spent inter alia on

    conservation. In this respect, it is not sufficient to provide donor countries

    with financial compensation. The transfer payments must also reach those

    individuals and communities immediately involved in using and preserving

    the components of biological diversity in question.

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    Summary

    XIII

    After describing application-relevant methods and mechanisms, ten

    specific recommendations are made for development cooperation (DC):

    the establishment of project-oriented cost-benefit analyses applying the

    available valuation methodology for the DC projects themselves,

    training and capacity-building to inventory and monitor biodiversity in

    the partner countries,

    the creation and enforcement of institutional frameworks for the

    development and implementation of national biodiversity strategies,

    training and capacity-building within the partner countries to carry out

    cost-benefit analyses and valuation techniques,

    the support of research capacities in developing countries at the frontier

    between ecology and economics,

    the identification of failed interventions and consultation concerningtheir dismantling,

    consultation on the establishment of economic incentives, especially

    market-based ones,

    the development of strategies for the participation of local communities

    in biodiversity yields,

    assistance in the creation of vested titles/property rights and

    cooperation in creating GEMs on the basis of bilateral and multilateral

    agreements.

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    Introduction

    1

    1 Introduction

    1.1 Description of the development cooperation projectand purpose of the project

    In December 1994, with the financial support of the German Forum on

    Environment and Development, the present author submitted a carefully

    considered preliminary study on "Economic concepts in the valuation of

    biological diversity". This study contained a short presentation and

    evaluation of economic valuation concepts of biological diversity.

    After discussions had been held with those involved in the Deutsche

    Gesellschaft fr technische Zusammenarbeit (GTZ) GmbH's Tropical

    Ecology Support Programme (TB), this preliminary study was developed

    into a final study to be translated into English and laid out in accordance

    with the guidelines for TB research projects. Above all, it was to be

    revised to enable it to be used for practical purposes: How are valuation

    studies on biological diversity carried out and what methods are available

    to obtain adequate payment for the determined values?

    First of all, the German version of the study was therefore revised to meet

    comprehensibility criteria. In order to enable it to be put to practical use, it

    was also supplemented by a description of the methods used to valuatebiological diversity, procedures used for cost-benefit analyses (CBAs),

    recommendations regarding the organisation of markets with appropriate

    prices and supplementary recommendations for development cooperation

    (DC). Finally, the revised text was translated into English.

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    2

    1.2 Analysis of problems

    Biological diversity or biodiversity is the umbrella term for the number,

    variety and diversity of living organisms in a certain environment and unit

    of space. It is subdivided into the following order and integration levels:

    genes (and their derivatives),

    species and

    ecosystems.

    On all three of these levels of integration and on a global scale, biological

    diversity is decreasing at an alarming rate. This paper is based on the

    hypothesis that the failure to allocate economic values to the respective

    components of biological diversity is one of the causes of this decrease in

    diversity. Conversely, the allocation of the appropriate economic values to

    the components in question should be able to halt and even reverse this

    trend.

    If market prices reflected the actual value of biological resources (including

    resource systems) and of their services (especially ecological ones), i.e. if

    external costs were internalised and the costs of the respective resources

    thus corresponded to all the values attributable to them, and if not only

    their private value but also their social (and ecological) value became

    apparent on the market to a sufficient degree, this notion should support

    conservation and the sustainable use of biological diversity. In addition, the

    socio-economic benefits of biological resources need to be determined as

    comprehensively as possible and translated into marks or dollars. Even if

    complete monetisation of the components of biological diversity cannot be

    achieved (e.g. because access to certain goods and resources is impossible

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    Introduction

    3

    to monitor and control), it might nevertheless be possible to arrive at an

    approximate value for these components.

    1.3 Objectives

    This study is concerned with existing valuations of the components of

    biological diversity, i.e. those to which market prices have been assigned,

    either as raw materials or as refined products. In addition, the various

    methods of direct and indirect valuation that are used to try to capture the

    "real" value of biological resources over and above their actual market

    prices are listed and classified.

    Which methods are available to determine the direct and indirect use values

    of biological resources? To what extent do biological resources contribute

    directly or indirectly to the economic prosperity and the socio-economic

    development of political economies? Or, put differently, what is the "real"

    value that authors attach to commercially used and usable biological

    resources? And how do they estimate the indirect value of biological

    resources, most obvious in functions such as flood protection,

    photosynthesis, climate stabilisation and soil protection?

    Many different approaches exist. One common procedure is the calculation

    of those costs that are incurred by restoration ecology. Another procedure

    is based on the market prices of biological resources using the theoreticalconcept of maximum sustainable harvests. A further approach addresses

    ecological and economic productivity. In this study, an attempt is made to

    categorise the various approaches and to evaluate their respective deficits,

    without overlooking the pitfalls of an exclusively economically oriented

    valuation approach.

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    4

    On the basis of the deficits that are identified, hypotheses of quality goals,

    values and costs of biological diversity are derived. Scientific, political and

    economic aspects are considered in order to establish which economic

    and/or monetary preconditions need to be fulfilled in order to enablebiodiversity to be conserved and restored.

    Using cost-benefit analyses, the social conservation, sustainable use and

    restoration of biological diversity in monetary terms and their related costs

    and benefits can be compared with the private and social values of

    competitive benefits and costs. The following three steps are presented:

    the consequences of these competitive scenarios are identified,

    these scenarios are quantified in terms of their respective economic

    benefits and costs and

    cost-benefit analyses are summarised and compared.

    However, even if this comparison favours the conservation alternative, this

    does not yet result in a conservation effect. This can only happen if the

    actual use value and its cost advantages become visible on the market in

    market prices. This can be accomplished as follows:

    by creating markets for the components of biological diversity,

    by using free market instruments to correct the existing price

    imbalances,

    by using regulatory interventions to impose balancing effects that even a

    functioning market could not achieve.

    This also raises the question of financing instruments that could generate

    the crucial incentive for the conservation, sustainable use or restoration of

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    Introduction

    5

    biological diversity at a national and international level. The concluding

    discussion concerns how financial instruments that already exist or that are

    in preparation should be considered and how they should be developed or

    modified.

    This paper is organised as follows:

    Following this introductory chapter, the second chapter on "Results and

    Analysis" highlights the loss of biodiversity under the aspect of the lack of

    markets and of market failure. It is postulated that a market-oriented

    valuation of the components of biological diversity would help to counterthis loss. To this end, types of values of the components of biological

    diversity are then subdivided into different use-dependent and use-

    independent categories. Finally, actual and target values of genes, species

    and ecosystems are presented and illustrated using examples.

    In the third chapter on "Recommendations", methods are presented to

    valuate biological diversity for the different use values. The second section

    of this chapter deals with the cost aspect of conservation and presents the

    instrument of cost-benefit analysis. In the third section, measures are

    discussed which should lead to an effective translation of the evaluation

    approaches into the creation of markets. These measures are developed into

    recommendations for DC.

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    Results and Analysis

    7

    2 Results and Analysis

    2.1 Decrease in biodiversity as a consequence of the lack

    of markets and of market failure

    The notion that economic well-being may not be impaired and that it may

    even be enhanced if the profits obtained by depleting natural capital are

    reinvested in reproducible capital is not particularly new in the literature on

    theoretical economics. It has been suggested that reinvestment of the profits

    derived from the intertemporal efficient use of exhaustible natural

    resources in reproducible and hence non-exhaustible capital will ensure a

    constant stream of consumption over time (e.g. Hartwick 1977; Solow

    1974, 1986).

    In the context of ecological crisis, however, the increasing rate of loss of

    biological resources has led to a fundamental reappraisal of the role of the

    living environment in the economy in recent years. Biodiversity is nowincreasingly regarded as a form of natural capital that supports economic

    activities. In Art. 2 of the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD),

    biological diversity is therefore defined as "variability among living

    organisms from all sources including, inter alia, terrestrial, marine and

    other aquatic ecosystems and the ecological complexes of which they are

    part". This definition "includes variety within species, between species andof ecosystems". In the same passage, biological resources are characterised

    as including "genetic resources, organisms or parts thereof, populations or

    any other biotic component of ecosystems with actual or potential use or

    value for humanity".

    In order for biological diversity and resources to be able to contribute to

    general prosperity, their economic yields have to become comparable to

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    The Economic Valuation of Biological Diversity

    8

    and higher than competitive sources. In other words, if the yields from

    investments that reduce the natural capital are higher than those that sustain

    it, the consumption of natural capital is economically justified (Barbier et

    al. 1994, pp. 53f.).

    This economic justification, however, is currently disappearing. Market

    prices of biological resources do not reflect the true value of these

    resources because they do not include external costs and benefits. The

    failure to include such external effects in the price is an indication of

    market failure.

    This market failure can have different causes:

    Difference between private and social benefits: Where components of

    biological diversity are traded on markets, their market prices usually

    reflect only the private benefits and not the social (and ecological)

    benefits that are attributable to them in different degrees from the local

    to the global level. The assignment of market prices to marketed

    components of biological diversity thus does not mean that these prices

    reflect their actual economic values. Partially reliable methods to

    establish the social value of the components of biological diversity are

    lacking. Above all, there are no mechanisms that permit the integration

    of such valuation results into market prices.

    Lack of property rights to components of biological diversity or the

    discounting problem, i.e. preference of a currently available private use,

    which involves social destruction, over a private use in the future, which

    also involves social preservation, makes it more difficult to find a

    solution to this problem.

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    Results and Analysis

    9

    Lack of markets: The problem is not only that only certain attributes of

    the biological components that are traded on markets are included in

    market prices, but that most biological resources and ecological services

    are not traded on markets at all, while there are markets for alternative

    uses. The market does not take into account anthropogenic influences on

    biological diversity or the effects of biological diversity on humans.

    Local and/or global markets for the relevant components of biological

    diversity in which the market subjects could convert their value

    conceptions of biological/ecological goods and services into purchases

    and sales by aid of the price mechanism are lacking.

    Interventions failures: Additional market failures as a consequence of

    politic failure, e.g. by disincentives (e.g. subsidies, direct income

    transfers, tax exemptions), making existing markets inefficient and

    favouring the depreciation or destruction of biological resources (clear-

    cutting, cultivation of certain species, nutrient supplies detrimental to

    the ecosystem).

    Despite these limitations, the ability of the market to bring private and

    social benefits closer together and to contribute to a reduction of the threat

    to biological diversity should not be underestimated. "Finally, the quality of

    an allocation mechanism (= mechanism for the allocation of productive

    factors or resources to certain goals) may not exclusively be judged on thebasis of a comparison of its results with ideal results, which are ultimately

    not attainable by any allocation mechanism (the so-called Nirvana

    approach). (...) Since in reality only incompletely functioning allocation

    mechanisms are available, it is worth asking what the market may

    contribute in pragmatic terms to taking care of natural resources" (Endres

    and Querner 1993, p. 139). By setting prices that reflect the real economic

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    value, the social interest in the conservation of biological resources

    becomes translatable into an individual interest.

    Overcoming this market failure therefore implies the following:

    the inclusion of the social values and costs of biological diversity in

    market prices,

    the creation of markets for the value-oriented mobilisation of demand

    for and supply of biological resources and

    the abolition of price-distorting political and economic interventions.

    The benefit that a certain component of biological diversity gives its

    consumers governs the purchase decision (e.g. pharmacologically

    exploitable resource, resource that can be exploited in tourism) and thus

    also the price. This benefit corresponds to the value that a potential

    consumer attaches to the respective component. One of the most important

    tasks of the monetisation of biological diversity is therefore to reflect this

    benefit and/or value in the market price. The appropriate methodology will

    be dealt with in a later section.

    According to Hampicke (1991, pp. 104f.), regarding biological diversity in

    economic and monetary terms obviously does not mean dealing with the

    monetary value of a species or nature on its own ("this kind of monetisationapproach would not be allowed"). The question is actually how much it

    would cost to stop destruction of these resources and/or to re-establish their

    maximum possible functional capacity. "It cannot be agreed that this goes

    beyond the borders of what is admissible in monetary analyses. The

    criticism not infrequently expressed by the public that this kind of

    monetisation can only be based on misunderstandings could be avoided if

    people listened more carefully to what most economists really said." "If a

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    level of nature conservation is postulated that makes nature almost

    inviolable, then in economic terms this means that it is not possible to fall

    below this minimum level of species conservation even against paying

    demand - in purely mathematical terms, the price of this is infinitely high.It would only be at our disposal if the costs of nature conservation were

    unreasonably high, which might be interpreted as meaning that they are so

    high they cannot be expressed in monetary terms e.g. if human lives have

    to be sacrificed. Then a decision must be made between two non-

    monetisable alternatives, a decision nobody would be envied for having to

    make."

    2.2 Classification of the types of values of biological

    diversity

    The demand for biological goods results from the different value

    preferences of market subjects. Use values are relative and linked to market

    subjects and their preferences, i.e. all decisions on political allocation result

    in opportunity costs (i.e. the costs of alternatives that are not used). In cost-

    benefit analyses (see Sect. 3.2.2), the alternatives can then be weighed up

    against each other. The social value of biological resources or services is

    thus composed of four categories of use value:

    Use-dependent values

    1. The direct value of biological resources or resource systems is derived

    from their direct use (by consumption or production) or from their direct

    interaction with market subjects. Some biological resources are traded on

    markets, and their direct use values (e.g. agriculturally useful plants and

    animals, wood, medicinal plants, wildlife watching) are included in their

    market prices. Expenditure on the use of ecosystems for tourism, hunting

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    or fishing also reflects their direct market values. As already mentioned,

    these market prices are incomplete, because they do not take account of

    certain social value attributes.

    2. The indirect value of biological resources or services results from the

    value that these have for directly used resources or ecosystems. Many

    biological resources derive their value from their indirect economic

    importance for directly used resources. Indirect values result from (a)

    their benefit for other directly used species and/or their genes (indirect

    biocoenotic value), (b) their importance for ecological services, e.g.

    protection from erosion, assimilation of biological waste materials,

    microclimatic stabilisation, water retention, carbon storage (indirect

    ecosystem value), and (c) their importance for future evolution (indirect

    evolutionary value).

    3. The option use value describes a use reserved for a later time. The option

    to use biological resources at a later date is kept open by valueassignment. The quasi-option value refers to the delay of an irreversible

    decision to wait for additional information to help in the decision-

    making process. Because future information connected with the resource

    in question may be valuable, this resource remains untouched for the

    time being. Due to gaps in our knowledge, it can be difficult to assess

    risks and uncertainties when carrying out an evaluation; together with

    the partially irreversible consequences of the alternative use of the

    components of biological diversity, this means that the concept of the

    quasi-option value is becoming increasingly important.

    Use-independent values

    4. The passive use value of biological diversity results from the importance

    attributed to it for us, our descendants or other species. It can be

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    subdivided into its bequest value (the value of keeping a resource intact

    for future generations) and its existence value (the value conferred by

    ensuring the survival of a resource). The non-use or passive use value of

    biological resources is nearly completely determined by ethicalconsiderations and is of importance where individuals who do not intend

    to use components of biological diversity would nevertheless feel a loss

    if these disappeared (Brown 1990; Randall 1991).

    The direct value, indirect value, option/quasi-option value and passive use

    value of resources or resource systems add up to give their total economic

    value (TEV, Fig. 1).

    TEV = F (DUV, IUV, OV, QOV, BV, EV)

    TEV = UV + NUV = (DUV + IUV + OV + QOV) + (BV + EV)

    TEV: Total economic value

    UV: Use value

    NUV: Non-use value

    DUV: Direct use value

    IUV: Indirect use value

    OP: Option value

    QOV: Quasi-option value

    BV: Bequest value

    EV: Existence value

    There is some overlap between the different types of values, which means

    that there is a risk of the same value attributes being counted more than

    Fig. 1: Total economic value of a biological asset

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    necessary in order to give them a fair chance on the market. (On the

    creation of markets by monetisation, see Sect. 3.3).

    ad 2.The indirect use value of a particular component of biological

    diversity is not usually taken into account by market prices. Its

    expression in monetary terms becomes more realistic the more

    indirect the particular use is. While an indirect biocoenotic use of soil

    micro-organisms (e.g.Leguminosae are associated with nitrogen-

    fixing bacteria) for the direct use of legumes is relatively easy to

    derive, the central ecological role that elephants play in the

    diversification of African savannas and forests, the spreading of seeds,

    the prevention of scrubland, the expansion of grassland and the

    reduction in numbers of the tsetse fly is considerably more difficult to

    quantify, and indirect ecological use values, in particular, do not

    readily lend themselves to direct economic assessment. Determining

    these use values by value preferences becomes increasingly difficult

    and ultimately impossible due to the complexity of the object and of

    system properties that are emerging in the light of present ecological

    knowledge.

    ad 3.Difficult theoretical calculations in decision-making suggest that

    decisions with irreversible results should be examined particularly

    carefully in terms of possible consequences; moreover, in situations in

    which there is both an irreversible and a reversible alternative, the

    reversible one should be chosen. While the basic idea of the option

    value is to maintain access options on components of biological

    diversity that are not used at present, the idea of the quasi-option value

    is to use expenditure on biodiversity conservation to diminish

    uncertainty and/or to avoid irreversible decisions (Hampicke 1991,

    pp. 87f.). The difficult methodical question here is how much society

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    However, market prices are not only based on demand and the value

    preferences of market subjects it indicates. The market prices of biological

    resources are also determined by

    d) supply and by exclusivity of their usability, i.e. by (actual and

    intellectual) property rights and their effectiveness. Purely public goods

    (e.g. air, water) or a jointly usable resources pool (e.g. the welfare effects

    of the forest) can in fact be attributed with values, but because they are

    not scarce, they remain outside the market.

    Figure 2 shows the relation between the sustainability criterion (c) and thesupply aspect (d).

    Others cannot be excluded

    from the use of resources

    Others can be excluded

    from the use of resources

    Use of resources by A does not

    influence consumption by

    others

    Purely public goods

    Resources under

    Jointly usable resource pool

    (e.g. national) sovereignty

    Use of resources by A does

    influence consumption by

    others

    Private goods

    ad a-c)The values of competitively usable resources have to be determined

    in separate valuation steps and be evaluated comparatively in cost-

    benefit analyses (see Sect. 3.2.2). Their results differ particularly due

    to the conflict between interests of private and social use. It is thedominance of private use interests in the market that frequently

    Fig. 2: Classification of resources

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    make value preferences much more visible in markets by means of

    property interests.

    Regardless of whether a local, national or global perspective is taken,

    normative valuation approaches have to be integrated into the TEV of

    biological resources in order to take proper account of rights of access and

    property, unless the goods concerned are public ones.

    At the beginning of this paper, the hierarchical division of biological

    resources into the levels of genes, species and ecosystems was presented.

    TEVs can be determined on each of these three levels (and on furtherintermediate levels). However, the TEV of a gene or a biochemical will

    obviously not be suitable to show the TEV of its host species, and the TEV

    of a species (or a biocoenosis) is not sufficient to illustrate the value of the

    respective ecosystem. To use an analogy, the total value of a screw cannot

    be used deduce the value of an engine, the value of an engine cannot be

    used to determine the value of an aeroplane and the value of an aeroplanedoes not indicate the value of an airport. The significance of economic

    valuation depends on the integration level on which it was carried out.

    In this respect, it is not surprising that particular attention is paid to the

    application of economic valuation approaches at the level of the ecosystem

    (Barbier et al. 1994). If cost-benefit analyses (see Sect. 3.2.2) of an

    ecosystem's TEV result in the conservation option, this also includes a

    number of components of biological diversity on the lower integration

    levels for which individual TEVs do not need to be determined (and which

    would presumably not be technically feasible). If cost-benefit analyses of

    an ecosystem result in the options sustainable use, restoration or alternative

    use, then supplementing the TEV on lower hierarchical levels may become

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    nature that cannot be understood, but of an economics that does not want to

    know anything about it".

    One method of approximation is the production-function approach. The

    transformation of ecological value units into economic ones could be

    successful on the basis of productivity, both an ecological and an economic

    concept. Ecological productivity (net and gross primary production) has a

    theoretically assignable (potential) maximum, which could be defined as

    the productivity of the primary ecosystems ("world-wide wilderness

    productivity") and/or by the theoretical productivity of ecosystems after the

    sudden end of human influences ("potential natural productivity").

    Cultivated ecological systems may obviously show the same net

    productivity (agricultural areas including external fertiliser supply) but a

    smaller gross productivity than autochthonous ecosystems. (Due to the

    ecological degradation phenomena such as nutrient washing and soil

    erosion that accompany the creation of cultivated ecological systems,

    however, their net primary production also diminishes over time; 20% of

    cultivable soil has been lost over the past 30 years world-wide). Even back

    in 1986, humans consumed 40% of the global terrestrial net primary

    production (Vitousek et al. 1986).

    However, even if ecosystems were ranked by determining their TEVs, this

    would not correspond to ecologically specified rankings (e.g. on the basis

    of productivity criteria). This is partially because of the inclusion of non-

    use values (whereby a mountainous region that is not particularly

    productive, but attractive might gain a higher monetary value than a highly

    productive grassland, for example). However, it is primarily due to the fact

    that there are at present still no methods or scientific information to

    approximate the actual indirect use value. For instance, we need to

    understand the role of species in mediating the key structuring processes in

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    ecosystems over a range of environmental conditions. This requires

    ecological and economic production functions to be specified (Perrings

    1995, p. 889).

    It also requires not just snapshots of the value of ecosystem function, but

    also time series that show how the value of such functions is changing. Not

    only the ecological aspect, but also the evolutionary component is not taken

    into consideration sufficiently in economic valuation approaches of

    biological diversity, although awareness of the value of the genetic

    resources of plants and their relatives in the wild has risen in economic

    terms as well, implicitly acknowledging its importance (see e.g. Mooney

    and Fowler 1991). However, it is only by regarding natural ecosystems in

    economic terms as durable in situ production, experimentation and storage

    sites of biodiversity evolution that conservationists' expectations linked to

    bioprospecting strategies can have a chance of being realised.

    2.3 Examples of evaluating biological diversity

    This section deals with estimates of the value of genes, species and

    ecosystems arrived at using the valuation methods described previously and

    methodologically illustrated in Sect. 3.1 (see Perrings 1995, pp. 844 ff.).

    2.3.1 Use value of genes and biochemicals

    Whereas the utilisation of genes (animal and plant breeding) or natural

    products used to be linked to the cultivation of the respective species, new

    biotechnologies now permit genes and biochemicals to be utilised

    independently of their parent species, e.g. in cell cultures or transgenic

    organisms. This makes the examples discussed in this section different

    from product examples such as ivory or timber, whose use remains bound

    to the species producing them. However, the borders between the two types

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    are transient, and it may be more profitable not to make use of these

    biotechnological options and to obtain certain natural products from

    complete (cultivated or wild living) individuals of the species of origin.

    The direct use value of genetic diversity results from delivering the raw

    material with desirable properties for the pharmaceutical, agricultural and

    food production industry. Modern biotechnology and genetic engineering

    (with the potential for intra- and inter-species gene transfer they offer)

    allow the use potential of genetic resources to be extended and therefore

    lead economically to an increase and/or a supplementary effect to the direct

    use value of genetic resources and their derivatives (natural products).

    The size of the market for biotechnologically manufactured products

    world-wide is now more than US $250 billion per year, and private

    biotechnological research and development (R&D) investments in the

    countries of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development

    (OECD) amount to approximately US $9 billion per year. The annualgrowth rates vary between 8% (biotechnological processes) and 20%-35%

    (gene technology processes). For example, the United States' proceeds of

    sale in 1992 amounted to approximately US $5 billion, i.e. a 35% increase

    compared to the previous year (Burrill and Lee 1992; cited in Downes

    1993). For the year 2000, a tenfold increase is expected (Industrial

    Biotechnology Association 1992; cited in Downes 1993).

    Like the existing and potential market prices specified in the following

    examples, these are usually distorted by transfer components, and

    corrections therefore have to be made for economic cost calculations (cf.

    Hampicke 1991, pp. 180f.). Above all, however, the obtained or attainable

    price for the respective biological resources is not determined ecologically,

    but solely on the basis of market criteria.

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    under optimal conditions, a maximum economic yield of US $10,000 per

    species might result. With respect to endangered habitats in which the

    relevant species exist, a maximum of $20 per hectare might be paid.

    On the basis of respective contracts, prospecting companies have so far

    been willing to pay approximately $50-200 per unprocessed in situ sample

    (Laird 1993). However, it would be too simplistic to infer the market value

    of the genetic material from these amounts, because it is primarily the

    labour-intensive collection that is paid for and not the material itself.

    Pharmacologically useful biomolecules

    According to a study by the OECD (1987), about 25% of all medicaments

    in the OECD countries are of plant origin; if we include those countries that

    are not industrially developed, the overall world-wide proportion increases

    to 75%. In the OECD member countries, plant-based medicaments

    amounting to more than DM 100 billion were sold in 1985. Two fifths of

    all modern U.S. pharmaceutical products contain one or more ingredients

    of natural origin (Oldfield 1984).

    The commercial value of medicines derived from species living in the wild

    is estimated at more than US $40 billion p.a. world-wide, and the figure for

    the United States in 1980 was US $8112 billion. The present share of the

    genetic material used for pharmaceutical products originating from the

    South amounts to about US $4.7 billion. The present hectare yields of

    medicinal plants from the tropical rain forest are estimated to range from

    $262 to $1000 (Pearce and Moran 1994).

    Assuming a rate of extinction of 10%, an estimated 2067 plant species will

    have become extinct by the year 2000, 16 of them of special

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    pharmaceutical interest; Farnsworth and Soejarto (1985) have estimated

    this to entail an economic loss of US $3.25 billion ($16203 million).

    By means of bioprospecting, i.e. screening biological diversity in search of

    commercially exploitable genetic and biochemical resources, the value of

    the germ plasm for medicinal purposes from the South, which currently

    amounts to approximately US $4.7 billion, might rise over the next

    10 years to US $47 billion. For Costa Rica, Aylward (1993) estimated the

    value of "pharmaceutical prospecting" at $4.81 million per successfully

    prospected product. However, these figures have to be related to capital

    outlays of over US $200 million for the development of a single successful

    pharmaceutical ready for the market (Krattiger and Lesser 1994).

    Mendelsohn and Balick (1995) are sceptical regarding the future economic

    importance of bioprospecting. They estimate the entire social value of non-

    discovered tropical pharmaceuticals at only approximately US $150 billion

    or US $48 per hectare, and the market value for private enterprises at US$3 billion or US $1 per hectare.

    A rough estimation of the pharmaceutical value of extinct plant species on

    behalf of UNEP came to the conclusion that the average "pharmaceutical"

    loss for each of these species amounts to approximately $80,000 (UNEP

    1993). This figure is problematic, however, because some "best-sellers"

    that have earned the companies that sell them millions (e.g. aspirin, taxol)

    are included in this estimate.

    Genetic resources of plants

    The complexity of modern and traditional breeding practices means that

    only a very general approximation of the actual monetary value is possible,

    and even then only for the most common grain varieties. This uncertainty

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    in putting a number on the existing market value is reflected in estimations

    concerning the contribution of the genetic resources of the South to the

    valuation of food production in the North. For wheat and corn, the figures

    are estimated at US $75 million p.a. for Australia, US $500 million p.a. forthe United States and US $2.7 billion p.a. for all the OECD countries

    together (Mooney and Fowler 1991). According to Woodruff and Gall

    (1992), about half of the increase in agricultural productivity in this century

    can be directly attributed to artificial selection, recombination and intra-

    species gene transfer.

    Calculations by the U.S. seed industry show that a genetic trait of a plant in

    the Third World that can be used for breeding purposes may contribute

    over $2 billion annually to the yields of U.S. wheat, rice and corn

    producers. The U.S. Department of Agriculture estimates that genetic plant

    material has led to an average increase in productivity of about 1% a year,

    with an initial monetary value far exceeding US $1.billion.

    Bioprospecting as a source of new cultivated plants and of raw materials to

    breed improved plant varieties and as a supplier of natural pesticides and

    renewable resources such as fibres and botanical chemicals has great

    potential (Plotkin 1992).

    At the beginning of the next millennium, the world-wide biotechnology

    food sector will increase to US $20 billion (a sixfold increase).

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    Components used Evaluation method

    applied

    Estimated

    value (US $)

    Source

    Plants Market analysis:estimations of

    proceeds of sale

    2,580,000 Farnsworth andSoejarto 1985

    Plants Market analysis 474,000 Principe 1989

    Trees Market analysis 7,500 McAllister 1991

    Plants Evaluation of thenumber of lives saved

    23,700,000 Principe 1989

    Species from Cameroon Costs of renewingpatents

    15-150 Ruitenbeek1989

    Species from Costa Rica Market analysis,estimated licence fees

    253 HarvardBusiness School

    Plants of the rain forest Market analysis andevaluation of human

    lives saved

    585-1,050,000 Pearce andPuroshothaman

    1992

    Pharmaceutical bioprospecting for acommercially successful plant

    product

    Market analysis: netreturns on

    bioprospecting

    4.81 million Aylward 1993

    Living organisms Market analysis:returns on purchase +

    licence fees

    52-46,000 Reid et al. 1993

    2.3.2 Use value of species

    In contrast to Sect. 2.3.1., the components of biological diversity dealt within this section are used as total organisms.

    Use of plants

    Of the approximately 250,000 higher plant species that have been described

    world-wide, about one third probably has edible components, i.e. around

    80,000 species. About 15,000 species (including spice plants, herbs, etc.)

    Table 1: Use values of genes and biochemicals

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    are actually used for human nutrition (Heywood 1994, personal

    communication). Supraregionally or world-wide, about 150 species are

    cultivated for human nutrition. However, only five varieties of grain

    (wheat, corn, rice, barley and millet) account for 50% of vegetable nutritionin humans, and 20 species supply 90% of the world-wide demand (Myers

    1989).

    The quantity of renewable resources currently used and processed world-

    wide amounts to approximately 2 billion tons of timber, 2 billion tons of

    grain (including the food supply) and 2 billion tons of other products such

    as sugar-cane, carrots, oil and leguminous plants. The global timber trade is

    worth approximately $80 billion annually.

    According to Peters et al. (1989), the present net value of sustainably used

    biological raw materials (rubber, fruits, wood) from the rain forest in Peru

    amounts to $6330 per hectare, i.e. more than sixfold the value of utilisable

    wood ($490/ha). In the German chemical industry, about 2 million tons ofrenewable resources are utilised at present (i.e. 10% of the entire

    consumption of raw materials).

    Use of game animals

    Prescott-Allen and Prescott-Allen (1986) estimate the monetary

    contributions of wild and semi-wild animals and plants as accounting for

    approximately 4% of the gross national product (GNP) in the United States

    and Canada. Barnes and Pearce (1991) have shown that the direct use value

    of certain forms of wildlife management is financially more productive

    than the transformation of game reserves into pasture areas (cf. Table 2).

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    Components of biodiversity

    used

    Evaluation

    method applied

    Estimated

    value (US $)

    Source

    Wildlife watching value of elephants,Kenya

    CVM; travel costmethod

    25million/year

    Brown and Henry 1989

    Ivory exports before the export ban,Africa

    35-35million/year

    Barbier et al. 1990

    Use of wild buffaloes, Zimbabwe 3.5-4.5/ha Child 1990

    Export of non-coniferous woodproducts, entire tropics

    11 billion/year Barbier et al. 1994

    Harvest of wood fruits and latex,Peru

    6330/ha Peters et al. 1989

    Fish and firewood from wetlands,Nigeria

    38-59/ha Barbier et al. 1991

    Improvement of the survivalprobability of the Northern spottedowl

    CRM 21/person andyear

    Brown et al. 1994

    CVM, contingent valuation method; CRM, contingent ranking method.

    2.3.3 Use value of ecosystems and landscapes

    Ecological resources and services that can be derived from the production,

    carrier and information functions of ecosystems produce economic yields

    in the form of direct use values. Direct use values include timber and non-

    wood products, medicinal plants, plant genes, hunting and fishery,recreation and tourism, education and human living areas, since all these

    products and services are the result of a direct use of forests. Direct use

    presupposes access to forest resources, among other things.

    In contrast, indirect use does not require access to forest resources. The

    most important indirect use values of biological diversity include the

    regulatory functions of ecosystems. Each ecosystem is composed of a

    Table 2: Use values of species

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    whole range of physical, biological and chemical components. Interaction

    between these components results in specific types of ecosystem functions

    or characteristics such as the nutrient cycle, biological productivity, water

    regime and sedimentation. These regulatory ecological functions arefundamental to numerous secondary ecological functions and services,

    which again are of fundamental importance in human life and societies

    (e.g. erosion protection, water retention, detoxification, assimilation of

    biological waste, climatic stabilisation, carbon storage).

    As far as the role of individual species in the mediation of such regulatory

    functions is understood, it is principally possible to establish the indirect

    use value of such species. Indeed, the relationship between individual

    organisms and ecosystem functioning is of central importance in the

    concept of indirect use valuation.

    Immler (1989) assumes that roughly a third of GNP (based on the German

    GNP) would be necessary to re-establish the disturbed non-human naturalservices and processes.

    Most studies assessing the economic value of forests only take account of

    partial values and not the TEV (for a relevant review, see Perrings 1995,

    pp. 886f.). Indirect and non-use values are usually completely neglected,

    and direct use values are also frequently only incompletely considered.

    The first attempt to estimate the TEV of tropical forest habitats was

    undertaken by Castro (1994). Castro calculated an average net actual value

    of $1278-$2871 per hectare for Costa Rica's game wilderness. Multiplied

    by the total area of 1.3 million hectares, this gave a present total value of

    $1.7-$3.7 billion, of which, according to this study, 34% benefits Costa

    Rica and 66% the world community.

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    Kaosard et al. (1994) evaluated not the total, but almost the total economic

    value of the Khao Yai Park in Thailand (not including non-use values for

    people who do not live in Thailand and estimations of carbon storage). The

    comparative evaluation with agriculturally managed areas arrived at afigure of $250 per hectare (see Table 3).

    Barbier et al. (1991) showed that the direct use of the Hadejia Jama'are

    floodplain in Nigeria for fishery, the production of firewood and migration

    agriculture results in economic yields that are higher than alternative

    irrigation projects upstream.

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    Components used Evaluation method

    applied

    Estimated value

    (US $)

    Source

    Nature tourism, Cameroon: 19/ha Ruitenbeek 1989Sustaining soil fertility byforests and inundationcontrol, Cameroon

    Productivity change 8/ha and 23/ha Ruitenbeek 1989

    Khao Yai Park, Thailand CVM, travel costmethod

    80 million/year,400/ha/year

    Kaosard et al.1994

    Ecotourism, Costa Rica Travel cost method 1250/ha Tobias andMendelsohn 1991

    Importance of wetlands forcrab production, ArabianSea

    Production-functionapproach

    Ellis and Fisher1987

    Valuation of reserves,Madagascar

    Production-functionapproach, CVM, travel

    cost method

    566,070-2,160,000 Munasinghe 1993;Kramer et al. 1993

    Carbon storage by forests,Brazil

    1300/ha/year Pearce 1990

    Importance of mangroves

    for agriculture, fishery,Indonesia

    536 million Ruitenbeek 1992

    Water retention by forests,USA

    232-388/acre Bowes andKrutilla 1989

    Forest in Peru, Rio Nanay Productivity method(comparisons of

    income)

    6300/ha for non-timber products

    vs. 1000 for clear-cutting

    Peters et al. 1989

    Primeval forest, Costa Rica TEV 102-214/ha/year,

    1278-2871/ha,133-278

    million/year, 1.7-3.7 billion

    Castro 1994

    Table 3: Use values of ecosystems

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    3 Recommendations

    3.1 Valuation methods and techniquesBecause of the benefits of biological diversity and the lack of information

    about these benefits due to market failure, there is an urgent need for

    economic valuation studies to be carried out. In the following, relevant

    valuation methods are thus presented. Arguments in favour of their

    application include the following:

    they give valuable information on how markets need to be reformed in

    order to correct the present bias and/or, where this is not possible,

    they provide decision-making aids indicating political measures that

    should be taken to correct market signals.

    When applying these valuation methods, however, it is important to

    remember what is actually being measured by the valuation technique, e.g.

    direct use benefits, net benefits including use and non-use benefits, etc.,

    and the reliability of the different data and methodologies in assessing these

    different benefits yields (Perrings 1995, p. 878).

    As Fig. 3 shows, the use value categories "direct use values", "indirect use

    values", "option/quasi-option values" and "non-use values", which together

    give the TEV, allow the application of various valuation methods. In the

    following, these methods are presented and the range of effects to be

    valued is considered.

    Not all of these methods are able to completely determine biodiversity-

    related costs and benefits. Each of them, however, is useful in the correct

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    context. Roughly speaking, we can differentiate between monetisation

    methods as follows (see OECD 1996, p. 74):

    on the basis of actual market prices (market analyses),

    on the basis of simulated market prices (contingent valuation and

    ranking; individual choice model),

    on the basis of surrogate market prices (e.g. the travel cost approach and

    hedonic price approach) and

    on the basis of the production-function approach (e.g. value of changesof productivity, avoided damage costs).

    Since, in the context of this study, we are interested in the external use

    values of biological diversity that are not reflected by actual market prices,

    the subsequent discussion is limited to valuation approaches for simulated

    markets (Sect. 3.1), surrogate markets (Sect. 3.2) and the production-

    function approach (Sect. 3.3). The common instrument of market analysis

    is therefore not discussed here.

    The presently available set of valuation methods show very large

    differences not only in valuation methodology, but also in their

    conceptional treatment of the problem. For instance, there is still no

    consensus on how to determine the existence value (Perrings 1995, p. 891).

    These methods presuppose acceptance by those with political

    responsibility. They have to guarantee that the monetisation requirements

    that are identified become economically effective by income transmissions,

    taxes, etc.

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    3.1.1 Determining direct and passive use values on simulated markets

    Sociological interviewing methods are the most practicable approaches to

    determine the economic value of the components of biological diversity. In

    principle, these methods can be differentiated according to two interview

    objectives:

    to attribute a value to the components of biological diversity concerned

    (contingent valuation method, CVM) on the basis of analyses of

    willingness to pay (WTP) and willingness to accept (WTA) or

    to rank values (contingent ranking method, CRM).The best way to apply the direct valuation method is to determine the

    WTP/WTA of one environment-related use for the person being

    interviewed or the one that corresponds to his or her personal opinion and

    knowledge, e.g. recreation options. WTP analyses on the basis of losses of

    environmental/biological diversity are more problematic. Moreover, we

    still have some way to go before the psychological and cognitive processesthat influence the formulation of answers can be definitively assessed.

    Even if the direct valuation method is not exact enough for carrying out

    cost-benefit analyses or for legislative purposes, provided that specific

    questions are asked, its results may nevertheless be used as a

    supplementary public opinion poll to establish earmarking priorities

    concerning the use and conservation of biodiversity, particularly because it

    is the only method that is able to translate non-use values into market prices

    (Blamey and Common 1993).

    The main problem of this method is undoubtedly related to the possible

    disparity between the data obtained from interviewees concerning their

    WTP and the amounts that they are actually willing to pay if the need arises

    (Ruck 1990, p. 330). In Australia, for instance, CVMs and related methods

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    are not generally recognised as accepted methods, since the values that are

    determined are seen as improbably high (Blamey 1996).

    Contingent valuation method (CVM)

    In a direct analysis of WTP or willingness to renounce, value preferences

    are determined on the basis of interviews. This method is referred to as the

    CVM, not least because of the hypothetical nature of the situation

    ("simulated market situation"). It is applied to determine direct use, non-use

    or passive use (existence and bequest values) and option/quasi-option use

    values, but not indirect use values. Thus CVM (and the analogous CRM)differ from all other important economic valuation methods, which can

    only be used to determine one type of use value.

    According to Pearce and Moran (1994), the CVM is the most important

    method for the economic valuation of biodiversity, largely because it is the

    only one that directly reflects the non-use-orientated (bequest and

    existence) values of biodiversity. In addition to information retrieval and

    information exchange during the interview process, verbatim minutes and

    tape recordings allow the interviewer to analyse the biodiversity-related

    knowledge and understanding of the interviewee ("think-aloud analysis").

    Interest in this method has greatly increased over the last 10 years:

    because it is the only procedure that can be used to evaluate non-use-

    values,

    because well-conceived and correctly conducted interviews might be as

    valid as valuations of direct use values obtained by other methods and

    because the conception, analysis and interpretation of stated preferences

    have also improved, e.g. the "scientific sampling" and "benefit

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    estimation" theories have improved the computerised data

    administration and analysis of public opinion polls and their validity.

    The first stage of a CVM involves providing interviewees with background

    information about the relevant biological resources. They are given further

    information about the quality, quantity and the time-scale of changes.

    In the second stage, a payment instrument is selected. This involves asking

    interviewees whether they would be willing to pay into a hypothetical fund

    or whether they would prefer a tax or a price increase. At this stage, it is

    very important for the interviewer to propose a reliable payment instrumentand to be able to depict a plausible and acceptable scenario for the

    interviewee.

    In the third stage, a method has to be selected that allows the WTP or

    willingness to renounce to be determined as accurately as possible. In an

    open-ended approach, interviewees have to state the maximum amount that

    they would be ready to pay or renounce. If a "dichotomous choice"approach is used, the interviewee is confronted with a concrete amount that

    is varied within a group of interviewees to come as close as possible to the

    "real" value (see Perrings 1995, pp. 845f.; Hampicke 1991, pp. 118ff.;

    Pearce and Moran 1994, pp. 58ff.).

    Valuation of the direct value assigned to a product or service on the basis

    of the interview requires verification of the reliability and validity, and

    answers need to be examined to identify any possible falsifications.

    In order to obtain exact and reliable answers regarding the WTP,

    standardised guidelines can be used, such as those developed by the U.S.

    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Committee (NOAA;

    Arrow 1993):

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    1. Sample type and size - probability sampling is essential. The choice of samplespecific designs and size is a difficult technical question that requires the guidance

    of a professional sampling statistician.

    2. Minimize non-responses - high non-response rates would make CV (contingentvaluation) survey results unreliable.

    3. Personal interview - it is improbable that reliable value estimates can be elicitedwith mail surveys. Face-to-face interviews are usually preferable, although

    telephone interviews have some advantages in terms of costs and centralized

    supervision.

    4. Pretesting for interviewer effects - an important respect in which CV surveys differfrom actual referendum is the presence of an interviewer (except in the case of mail

    survey). It is possible that interviewers contribute to 'social desirability' bias, since

    preserving the environment is widely viewed as something positive. In order to test

    this possibility, major CV studies should incorporate experiments that assess

    interviewer effects.

    5. Reporting - every report of a CV study should make clear the definition of thepopulation sampled, the sampling frame used, the sample size, the overall sample

    non-response rate and its components (e.g., refusals), and item non-responses on all

    important questions. The report should also reproduce the exact wording and

    sequence of the questionnaire and of other communications to respondents (e.g.,

    advance letters). All data from the study should be archived and made available to

    interested parties.

    6. Careful pretesting of a CV questionnaire - respondents in a CV survey areordinarily presented with a good deal of new and often technical information, well

    beyond what is typical in most surveys. This requires very careful pilot work and

    pre-testing, plus evidence from the final survey that respondents understood and

    accepted the description of the good or service offered and the questioning

    reasonably well.

    7. Conservative design - when aspects of the survey design and the analysis of theresponses are ambiguous, the option that tends to underestimate the willingness-to-

    pay is generally preferred. A conservative design increases the reliability of the

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    Contingent ranking method (CRM)

    The CRM is the stepsister of the CVM. The different feature in this

    interview situation is that respondents are confronted with a set of options

    that they are asked to rank according to their valuation scale. For each of

    the options, the interviewer designates a set of characteristics and describes

    how the options differ. The resulting costs should be delineated for each

    option.

    Asking questions about relative valuations and specifically costed

    alternatives facilitates the choice for the interviewee; conversely, however,it becomes more difficult to determine the actual monetary limit.

    Further methodological progress

    The "stated preference" method (SPM; Adamowicz 1994; Louviere 1994)

    promises further improvements in the direct valuation process. Application

    of the SPM (which was originally developed for the marketing andtransportation business) allows consumer responses to be made to a larger

    range of subject characteristics than is normally possible using direct

    valuation analysis.

    3.1.2 Indirectly determining direct use values

    The indirect or surrogate market valuation methods are all based on the factthat the commodities "nature" or "biological resources" are consumed

    together with complementary private goods with well-known or easily

    determinable prices. These indirect approaches are techniques that derive

    preferences from actual market-based observations. Preferences for a

    biodiversity commodity can be assumed if an individual buys a product that

    is somehow related to the biodiversity commodity in question. The relevanttechniques are as follows:

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    the travel cost method,

    the "hedonic price" approach,

    the avertive behaviour approach and

    the dose-response method.

    Surrogate market techniques focus on markets for private commodities and

    services that are related to biological (or environmental) resources or

    products. The products or services sold on these surrogate markets

    correspond to the products/resources in question, because individualsreveal their preferences for a biodiversity commodity by purchasing a

    related object or service. "Strongly simplified: If a bird watcher spends DM

    1000 on a telescope, then he is obviously willing to pay at least DM 1000

    to watch birds" (Hampicke 1991, p. 115).

    However, the potential of surrogate market approaches is limited for

    several reasons:

    No hypothetical conclusions can be drawn. If the natural commodity is

    no longer available, there will be no expenditure on the surrogate object

    (in the case described above, the telescope) either.

    The method only measures the intensity of a personal interest ("user

    value"), and not the interest in conserving biological diversity

    ("existence value").

    The relationship between private expenditure and the conservation goal

    is frequently weak (e.g. telescopes may also serve other purposes).

    Experiencing nature is often non-specific; many people experience