the east steeles nexus - amazon web services€¦ · •ever growing house prices and rents since...
TRANSCRIPT
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THE EAST
STEELES NEXUS Understanding and explaining poverty in Northern Scarborough and Southern Markham
John Stapleton
Open Policy
February 2018 – Draft 2
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Acknowledgements
• This slide show would not be possible without the strong
assistance of:
• J. David Hulchanski (Neighbourhood Change CURA)
• Richard Maaranen (Neighbourhood Change CURA
• Harvey Low: City of Toronto
• Jordan Raghunandan: USTC student
• Mimi Lau: Scarborough Community Renewal
Organization
• Tim Frakes: York Region
The East Steeles Nexus 2
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WHAT AND WHERE IS THE
EAST STEELES NEXUS? Part 1
The East Steeles Nexus 3
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What is the ‘East Steeles Nexus’?
• The ‘East Steeles nexus is an area of the Toronto Region
defined by its high rate of poverty. Only north Rexdale
whose centre is ‘Jane Finch’ has a similar level of poverty
in the Toronto Region.
• Poverty in the East Steeles Nexus is growing
• The following 2015 census map from the Neighbourhood
Change Community University Research Alliance (CURA)
shows the East Steeles Nexus in comparison to the
communities that surround it.
The East Steeles Nexus 4
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The East Steeles Nexus 5
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Where is the ‘East Steeles Nexus’?
• Steeles Avenue is a multi-lane road that defines the
northern border of the City of Toronto and the southern
borders of Markham and Vaughan.
• The northern border along Steeles stretches
approximately 40 km. from the Scarborough Durham town
line to Albion Road in North Rexdale
• The east Steeles nexus is bordered by Victoria Park
Avenue on the West, Scarborough Pickering Town line on
the east, Highway 401 on the south, and Highway 407 on
the north.
The East Steeles Nexus 6
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A Closer look
The East Steeles Nexus 7
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An even closer look
The East Steeles Nexus 8
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Why an East Steeles Nexus of Poverty?
Are there forgotten areas where many things are nearby but not THERE?
• No university or colleges
• No Subway there OR planned
• No LRT
• Continuous deep poverty but no NIA
• No north South 400 series
But North Rexdale area with similar poverty has
• York University
• A Seneca College campus
• 4 subway stops
• Airport LRT stops
• Continuous deep poverty but several NIA's
• Highway 400 north south
The East Steeles Nexus 9
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November 1, 2017 10
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East Steeles Nexus in Scarborough
The East Steeles Nexus 11
• Of 30 census tracts, only 3 have very low poverty rates
• 7 census tracts have high or very high levels of poverty
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East Steeles Nexus in Markham
The East Steeles Nexus 12
• Only three census tracts in Markham between Steeles
Avenue and the 407 have very low poverty rates.
407
404 Pickering
Steeles Avenue
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Working Poverty in Markham is in south
perched on Steeles
The East Steeles Nexus 13
Highest concentration of
working poor in York
Region is in the East
Steeles Nexus
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Working Poverty in Scarborough is
concentrated in Northern Scarborough
The East Steeles Nexus 14
• Working poverty in the
East Steeles Nexus is
unbroken from the 404
to Scarborough
Pickering Town Line
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Poverty (2015) vs. Working Poverty
(2012) in the East Steeles Nexus
• Poverty (Census) 2015
• Working Poor 2012
The East Steeles Nexus 15
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WHY AN EAST STEELES
NEXUS OF POVERTY Part 2
The East Steeles Nexus 16
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The East Steeles Nexus is a puzzle
• Ever growing house prices and rents since 2007
• More luxury cars in driveways
• Area has abundance of single detached homes
• New home buyers must have ever higher incomes to be
eligible to buy (see next slide)
• Rental affordability moves ever lower
• Yet Poverty and inequality continue to grow in the East
Steeles nexus. This slide deck attempts to explain the
phenomenon of growing poverty in an ever more
expensive area of the City of Toronto and York Region.
The East Steeles Nexus 17
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House price increases in the centre of the
East Steeles Nexus (Milliken)
The East Steeles Nexus 18
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Why is there an East Steeles Nexus of
poverty? • New Immigrants and refugees
• High immigrant and refugee settlement area
• More non official language speakers
• High south Asian immigration and visitor population with no social security agreements with Canada
• Higher household size (more dependants)
• Transportation issues
• Poorer transit
• No overnight parking (also in North York)
• Scarborough only district with no North/south 400 series highway
• Shelter Costs
• Lower shelter costs
• Many families in larger homes
• Rooming houses illegal
The East Steeles Nexus 19
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Why is there an East Steeles Nexus of
poverty? • Taxes and Services
• Property tax lowest in Toronto Region
• Correspondingly lower level of services
• Lower level of neighbourhood beautification
Income levels
Income levels generally below median
• Toronto Settlement Patterns
• High influx of new settlement in GTA
• East Steeles nexus has least expensive homes and lowest rents
• Higher family sizes
The East Steeles Nexus 20
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NEW IMMIGRANTS &
REFUGEES Part 3
The East Steeles Nexus 21
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Visible Minorities
Toronto East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough only)
The East Steeles Nexus 22
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Refugees since 1980
Toronto East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough only)
The East Steeles Nexus 23
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Non –official mother tongue
Toronto East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough only)
The East Steeles Nexus 24
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No knowledge of French or English
Toronto East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough only)
The East Steeles Nexus 25
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High Incidence of Chinese & Black in East
Steeles Nexus
Toronto East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough only)
The East Steeles Nexus 26
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Why nationality and race matters
• The East Steeles Nexus is largely Chinese (western
portion) and Black (eastern portion)
• The Philippines is the only south Asian nation with a
social security agreement with Canada. The two most
populous nations in the world (China and India) do not
have an agreement.
• Morocco is the only one of almost 60 African countries
with a social security agreement
• This means that almost all new permanent residents in
the East Steeles Nexus must wait 10 years for Old Age
Security
The East Steeles Nexus 27
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Why nationality and race matters
• Almost all new family class immigrants are subject to
sponsorship agreements
• New sponsorship agreements are for 20 years meaning
no GIS for older adults arriving –some will wait till they are
very elderly
• No Ontario Drug Benefits are provided to sponsored
immigrants
• Others on Super Visas get nothing in Canada.
• Filipinos on the other hand can receive OAS after one
year once they turn 65
The East Steeles Nexus 28
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Why nationality and race matters
• While house prices have increased considerably more
than inflation since 2007, poverty in the East Steeles
Nexus is growing at the same time.
• Many reports of multiple families living in single family
dwelling in Scarborough and Markham have been made
The East Steeles Nexus 29
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TRANSPORTATION Part 4
The East Steeles Nexus 30
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Getting to work takes longer: percentage of
commutes taking longer than 45 minutes
Mid Toronto East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough only)
The East Steeles Nexus 31
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High and Low Percentages of 45 minute
commute times
Mid Toronto East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough only)
The East Steeles Nexus 32
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Leaving earlier…
Commute by Departure Time
Mid Toronto
Leaves later – travels less
East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough Only)
The East Steeles Nexus 33
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Average Travel times in minutes:
Public Transit
Toronto Scarborough
No data for East Steeles Nexus
The East Steeles Nexus 34
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Map of average travel time in minutes
Public transit
Mid Toronto East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough only)
The East Steeles Nexus 35
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Subway Lines (noted in red)
Toronto
East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough map but includes Markham)
The East Steeles Nexus area has no subway or
LRT service
The Stouffville GO train has three stops in the Nexus:
Milliken, Agincourt and Unionville
The East Steeles Nexus 36
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North-South 400 Series Highways GTA
and East Steeles Nexus
GTA (6) East Steeles Nexus (0)
The East Steeles Nexus 37
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SERVICES AND HOUSING Part 5
The East Steeles Nexus 38
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Neighbourhood improvement areas
noted in light blue –Toronto only
Toronto East Steeles Nexus
(None)
The East Steeles Nexus 39
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Housing Affordability:
Paying more than 30% for rent
Toronto East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough Only)
The East Steeles Nexus 40
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Higher Household size in East Steeles
Nexus
Toronto by Household Size East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough only)
The East Steeles Nexus 41
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Housing suitability
Toronto East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough only)
The East Steeles Nexus 42
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ROOMING HOUSES Part 6
The East Steeles Nexus 43
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Rooming houses are illegal in
Scarborough & Markham
Toronto’s Legal Rooming houses Rooming house pilot in East
Steeles Nexus (Scarborough only
The East Steeles Nexus 44
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Rooming Houses illegal in Scarborough
and Markham • Rooming house illegality may be contributing to the
proliferation of rooming houses
• With housing and rental demand at all time highs, illegal rooming houses can act freely as tenants encouraged to stay quiet.
• Illegal operators don’t report their rental for taxation periods and have greater control over tenants who face eviction if they raise issues
• Many Illegal operators prefer illegal status as they are not required to make needed repairs or report income.
• Those found to be illegally operating see it as the price of doing business in a highly lucrative market
• 2:00 a.m. to 6:00 a.m. parking bans have little or no effect in Scarborough and increase poverty by forcing working families out of Scarborough.
The East Steeles Nexus 45
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INCOMES &RELATED
DATA Part 7
The East Steeles Nexus 46
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Income levels are lower
Toronto East Steeles Nexus
(Scarborough only)
The East Steeles Nexus 47
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Food Bank visits are rising
Toronto Scarborough
(No data for East Scarborough nexus)
The East Steeles Nexus 48
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The surge in Food Bank Visits in
Scarborough
The East Steeles Nexus 49
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The East Steeles Nexus 51
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1970-2015:
CHANGE OVER TIME From Neighbourhood Change CURA
The East Steeles Nexus 53
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The East Steeles Nexus 54
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1980: One lower income tract
The East Steeles Nexus 55
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1990: Six lower income tracts
The East Steeles Nexus 56
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1995: East Steeles Nexus forms
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2000: East Steeles Nexus deepens
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2005: Very low poverty for 1st time
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2007: almost half of tracts in deep poverty
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2010: Only 5 tracts not in poverty
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2012: Unbroken line of poverty on east Steeles
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2015: Deep Poverty defines the ESN
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THANK YOU Questions?
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