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THE CUBAN MISSILE CRISIS TO THE BRINK AND BACK

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THE CUBAN MISSILECRISIS

TO THE BRINK AND BACK

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Thirteen Days• For thirteen days in October 1962 the U.S.

and Soviet Union faced off in a conflict ofnuclear combat readiness.

• The crisis was the tensest and most volatileevent of the Cold War. The two superpowersnarrowly averted nuclear holocaust. Anuclear exchange would have put a half abillion people in grave danger. 120 millionAmericans would most certainly haveperished in a nuclear war with the Soviets.

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October 14th

• An American U-2 spy planephotographed evidence of theconstruction of nuclear warhead deliverysystems as well as offensive nuclearweapons.

• That same day President Kennedy hadtraveled to campaign against Republicansenator Homer Capehart. JFKconsidered Capehart’s repeatedwarnings that the Soviets were planningto install offensive weapons in Cuba aform of grandstanding designed to thwartthe Kennedy administration’s domesticagenda.

• On October 15th analysts at the NationalPhotographic Information Centerconcluded that the pictures showed 8ballistic missile launch pads. McGeorgeBundy, special assistant for nationalsecurity affairs, briefed JFK on thethreats posed by the IRBMs, which werecapable of carrying nuclear warheadsover 600 miles.

U-2 photo of truck convoy

U-2 photo of MRBM sites

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The Bay of Pigs Fiasco• While campaigning for president in 1960,

JFK charged the Eisenhower administrationwith allowing a “missile gap” to occur in thearms race against the Soviets and thecreation of a Communist state in Cuba.

• Once in office JFK discovered that plans toretake Cuba had been in place. The CIAhad been training and supplying an army of1,500 anti-Castro exiles. After hearing thecounsel of his military advisers, JFK orderedthe CIA to proceed with plan to overthrowCastro.

• American planners erroneously believedthat once the exile landed at the Bay of Pigsone third of Castro’s army would desert theCommunists and join the invasion force.They predicted another third would simplydesert, and the remaining third would beoverwhelmed by the invasion.

• The invasion of April 1961 proved to be adisaster. JFK refused to follow through on apromise to provide the exiles with U.S. navaland air support. Castro’s forces remainedloyal and easily defeated the exiles within afew days

• The international community caught the U.S.clumsily attempting to overthrow thegovernment of another nation.

• Although most of the faulty planning hadtaken place under Eisenhower, JFK had nochoice but to accept full responsibility for thedisaster.

Captured force of exiles

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Inexperienced President• JFK performed poorly at the Vienna summit

in June 1961. Khrushchev pushed JFKaround. But the young president learnedfrom the experience and was determinednot to be caught off guard again.

• Tensions rose over further the contentiousissue of Berlin as thousands of refugees fledCommunist East Berlin. JFK understoodthat Khrushchev had to act aggressively tohalt the exodus. When the Soviets erecteda wall in violation of internationalagreements, JFK chose not to act.

• Kennedy knew this sense of urgencyexplained why the Soviet premier waswilling to risk nuclear war by placingoffensive missiles in Cuba. The presidentalso surmised that Khrushchev wasattempting to neutralize the hundreds ofmissiles the U.S. placed on the borders ofthe Soviet Union. JFK privatelyacknowledged that if he had been in thepremier’s position that he would have donethe same. The president knew that he wasnot going to press the button first, andneither was Khrushchev.

Berlin Wall, 1961 or 1962

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Operation Mongoose• JFK lost considerable faith in the

competence of his militaryadvisers.

• Still the president remaineddetermined to remove Castro frompower.

• Attorney General Robert F.Kennedy directed a plan tooverthrow the Castro regime.

• Later the administration developedthree invasion plans.

• But JFK continually discounted thepossibility that the Soviets werepositioning nuclear weapons inCuba. Soviet premier NikitaKhrushchev personally assuredthe president that no offensiveweapons would be placed onCuba.

SS-4 missile in Red Square

Castro andKhrushchev

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The Executive Committee• Once JFK learned of the “hard evidence” of missile bases capable of

launching nuclear attacks on American cities, he ordered Bundy to organizea meeting in the Cabinet Room. Ex. Comm. included Robert F. Kennedy,Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara, Deputy Secretary of DefenseRoswell Gilpatric, Bundy, Vice President Lyndon B. Johnson, Secretary ofState Dean Rusk, Treasury Secretary Douglas Dillon, CIA director JohnMcCone, Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman Maxwell Taylor, Assistant Secretaryof Defense Paul Nitze, UN ambassador Adlai Stevenson, former secretaryof state Dean Acheson, and others.

• Everyone agreed that the missiles had to be removed one way or another.The U.S. and its allies would have virtually no warning if the missiles wereever launched from Cuba and posed a grave threat to peace and security.Khrushchev understood this, but he gambled because the Soviets laggedfar behind the U.S. in the escalating nuclear arms race. The Soviet missilebase in Cuba gain a more favorable position in the nuclear balance ofpower. Khrushchev also hoped that the missiles in Cuba would provide himwith a powerful bargaining position that could force the U.S. into givingconcessions in other places, such as Europe.

• Ex. Comm. deliberated every day throughout the crisis, while the presidentmaintained his regular schedule until an appropriate decision could bereached.

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The Options• RFK kept JFK informed of the deliberations.• JFK demanded to know how long it would be

before the missiles could be fired.• Seven options included:

– Send the Soviets a formal statement ofprotest.

– Bring the issue before the UN SecurityCouncil.

– Impose economic sanctions on the SovietUnion.

– Form a blockade (quarantine) aroundCuba.

– Conduct a surprise “surgical air strike”against the missile sites.

– Invade Cuba to oust Castro and removethe missile threat.

– Launch a nuclear assault directly on theSoviet Union.

• Most initially favored an extensive air strike. Butthe president wanted to be sure before heproceeded. As JFK explained to his aideKenneth O’Donnell, “These brass hats have onegreat advantage in their favor. If we listen tothem, and do what they want us to do, none ofus will be alive later to tell them that they werewrong.”

RF 101 C

Low-level recon aircraft

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The Deliberations• JFK and his advisers understood that

diplomatic measures alone would take toomuch time and that the weapons would beoperational before the crisis could beresolved.

• Taylor acknowledged that air strikes may onlydestroy 90% of the missiles.

• Llewellyn Thompson, former ambassador tothe Soviet Union and expert on the Kremlin,warned that an air strike would probably killSoviet technicians and that Khrushchev’sresponse could not safely be predicted.

• An invasion would certainly result in highcasualties and potentially take too much time.

• RFK vehemently opposed invasion and airstrikes on the grounds that it defied U.S.military tradition and that the worldcommunity would view it as unfoundedaggression and an overreaction. Theattorney general passionately argued for anintermediate course of action—a blockade.

Ex. Comm. meetings

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The Decision• RFK favored a blockade because it show

strong resolve, prevent more missilesfrom reaching Cuba, and perhaps buysome limited time for further diplomacy.

• On October 19th Treasury SecretaryDillon broke with Ex. Comm. membersfavoring bombing and agreed with RFKthat a “sneak attack” would be too muchlike Pearl Harbor. A consensus graduallydeveloped in favor of trying a blockadefirst, and if that did not work, thenresorting to air strikes.

• On October 20th JFK agreed to ablockade because it was the mostreasonable and expedient option. Heclearly understood that doing nothingwould lead to impeachment and forcingKhrushchev into a corner with no room toback down could be catastrophic. JFKalso ordered McNamara to prepare themilitary for war.

JFK announces his decision

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The Address• The U.S. began to evacuate noncombatants from the naval base at Guantanamo Bay and moving in

additional marines on October 22nd.• Meanwhile, speechwriter Theodore Sorensen finished composing JFK’s address to the national

audience. JFK delivered the report to the American people via radio and television on the evening ofOctober 22nd. The president announced that the U.S. Navy would place Cuba under a quarantinedesigned to prevent additional “offensive military equipment” from reaching Cuba.

• JFK stated: “Within the past week, unmistakable evidence has established the fact that a series ofoffensive missile sites is now in preparation on that imprisoned island. The purpose of these bases canbe none other than to provide a nuclear strike against the Western Hemisphere…. The urgenttransformation of Cuba into an important strategic base—by the presence of these large, long-range andclearly offensive weapons of sudden mass destruction—constitutes an explicit threat to the peace andsecurity of all the Americas.” JFK went on to announce that the U.S. would impose a quarantine andincrease surveillance. He declared: “It shall be the policy of this nation to regard any nuclear missilelaunched from Cuba against any nation in the Western Hemisphere as an attack by the Soviet Union onthe United States, requiring a full retaliatory response.” Kennedy then said the U.S. would reinforce thenaval base at Guantanamo Bay. The president, furthermore, called for meetings of the OAS and UN.JFK then challenged the Soviet premier end the crisis: “I call upon Chairman Khrushchev to halt andeliminate this clandestine, reckless, and provocative threat to world peace and to stable relationsbetween our two nations. I call upon him further to abandon this course of world domination, and to joinin an historic effort to end the perilous arms race and to transform the history of man.”

• Some historians have charged Kennedy with brinkmanship, while some others have criticized hisdecision to take a strong public position on Soviet missiles in Cuba.

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Reactions• All over the world people worried

that they may die at any moment.• On October 22nd the Kennedys

discussed the blockade order:JFK:  It looks really mean, doesn't it?  But on theother hand there wasn't any choice.  If he's going toget this mean on this one, in our part of the world[unclear], no choice.  I don't think there was achoice .RFK:  Well, there isn't any choice.  I mean, youwould have been, you would have been impeached.JFK:  Well, I think I would have been impeached.[Unclear exchange]If there had been a move to impeach, I would havebeen under [unclear], on the grounds that I saidthey wouldn't do it, and . . .RFK:  [Unclear] something else.  They'd think upsome other step that wasn't necessary.  You'd be . .. But now, the fact is, you couldn't have done anyless.

• Rusk presented the Americancase to the OAS. The OASunanimously voted to sign theproclamation order that put thequarantine into effect on October24th.

RFK and JFK

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The Quarantine• The president authorized the navy to

disable any vessel bound for Cuba thatrefused to stop and be inspected.

• JFK worried that the Soviets wouldretaliate against Berlin.

• McCone reported that some Sovietvessels had stopped short of thequarantine line. Rusk replied, “We’reeyeball to eyeball, and the other fellowjust blinked.” JFK, however, was notconvinced. But he hoped to avoid anyconfrontation with the Soviets. The Sovietdecision not to run the blockade providedboth governments with additional time tonegotiate a peaceful settlement.

• Newly released reconnaissance photosshowed that the Soviets were working onthe missile sites around the clock.

• Members of Ex. Comm. felt intensepressure to recommend invasion.

The Soviet ship the Groznycrosses the quarantine line butstops after U.S. Navy ships firestar shells across her bow.

Cuban anti-aircraft guns

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One Last Round of Diplomacy• As the military prepared for total war, RFK met with Soviet ambassador Anatoli Dobrynin to warn

him that only two days remained before the U.S. would feel obligated to take military action.• On October 26th Alexander Fomin, an official at the Soviet embassy and Washington station chief

for the KGB, called John Scali, a diplomatic correspondent for ABC News. Fomin proposed thatthe Soviets would remove the missiles from Cuba in exchange for a U.S. pledge not to invadeCuba. Scali responded by meeting with intelligence chief Roger Hilsman, who arranged Scali anaudience with Rusk. The secretary of state returned to a meeting with RFK and Bundy. A fewminutes later Rusk gave Scali a handwritten response to memorize: “I have reason to believethat the United States Government sees real possibilities in this and supposes thatrepresentatives of the two governments could work this matter out with [UN Secretary General] UThant and each other. My impression is, however, that time is very urgent.”

• The State Department received a desperate personal letter from Khrushchev to Kennedy.Experts agreed that Khrushchev was quite stressed. Essentially Khrushchev hinted that if theU.S. agreed to lift its blockade and pledge not to invade Cuba, the Soviet Union would remove itsnuclear weapons from Cuba.

• On October 27th, just as the members of Ex. Comm. began discussing Krushchev’s letter, PressSecretary Pierre Salinger burst into the meeting with the news that Khrushchev had released apublic letter demanding that the U.S. remove its Jupiter missiles in Turkey in exchange for theremoval of missiles from Cuba. The Jupiter missiles, however, were obsolete. The president hadalready ordered their removal months earlier, but the Turks protested. JFK could not publiclyagree to remove the missiles from Turkey because America’s foes and allies would consider theact “selling out.” Many suggested that the Soviets were merely stalling so that the nuclearweapons in Cuba would soon be operational

• Later JFK decided to follow through on Bundy’s suggestion that the U.S. would agree to the termspresented by Khrushchev in the first letter and ignore the second letter.

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RFK Secretly Meets Dobrynin• The attorney general asserted that the

president could not make a public dealinvolving the removal of missiles inTurkey. But RFK assured Dobryninthat the Jupiter missiles would beremoved from Turkey in the nearfuture. Kennedy also gave Dobrynin adeadline. If the Cuban missiles werenot dismantled within forty-eight hours,the U.S. would destroy them.

• On October 28th Khrushchev acceptedthe deal. The Soviet premier hadbadly miscalculated the sternAmerican reaction to the placement ofoffensive missiles in Cuba, though hisrestraint in the crisis helped to assurea peaceful solution. Khrushchev soonleft office in disgrace, while Kennedy’sreputation soared.

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Aftermath• For two weeks the world seemed headed for nuclear war and holocaust.

After going to the brink of catastrophe, the two superpowers betterunderstood the dangers of nuclear weapons. The crisis may have led to alessening in tensions even if major differences remained unresolved.

• Both leaders agreed to the installation of a “hot line” between the WhiteHouse and Kremlin to facilitate instant communication in the event ofanother crisis.

• Both JFK and Khrushchev saved the world from nuclear war by resisting thehardliners in their respective governments and by skillfully using diplomacyto end the crisis. JFK also negotiated a limited test ban treaty that slowedthe proliferation of nuclear weapons.

• JFK acknowledged the futility of nuclear war in an address at AmericanUniversity: “Total war makes no sense in an age when great powers canmaintain large and relatively invulnerable nuclear forces and refuse tosurrender without resort to those forces…. We are both caught up in avicious and dangerous cycle in which suspicion on the one side breedssuspicion on the other, and new weapons beget counterweapons.”

• The notion of mutually assured destruction may have acted as a deterrentafter all.

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BibliographyDallek, Robert. An Unfinished Life: John F. Kennedy 1917-1963.

Boston: Little, Brown, 2003.Kenney, Charles. John F. Kennedy, The Presidential Portfolio: History

As Told Through The Collection Of The John F. Kennedy LibraryAnd Museum. Introduction by Michael Beschloss. New York:Public Affairs, 2000.

Reeves, Richard. “John F. Kennedy”. In: ‘To The Best Of My Ability’:The American Presidents. Edited by James M. McPherson andDavid Rubel New York: Dorling Kindersley, 2000. pp. 250-256.

Weinstein, Allen and David Rubel. The Story of America: Freedomand Crisis from Settlement to Superpower. New York: DorlingKindersley, 2002.

The Kennedy Tapes: Inside The White House During The CubanMissile Crisis. Edited by Ernest R. May and Philip D. Zelikow.Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press, 1997.