the conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

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The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures Presentation by Mr. Robert Tessier, President and Chief Executive Officer CAMPUT 2005 May 2, 2005

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The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures. Presentation by Mr. Robert Tessier, President and Chief Executive Officer CAMPUT 2005 May 2, 2005. A tensely-balanced North American gas market. TCF. Past forecasts. 30. TOTAL DEMAND U.S. & CANADA. 25. SUPPLY - CANADA. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

Presentation by Mr. Robert Tessier, President and Chief Executive Officer

CAMPUT 2005

May 2, 2005

Page 2: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

2

A tensely-balanced North American gas market

SUPPLY - CANADA

SUPPLY - U.S.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1985 1990 1995 2000

TCF

PRICE OF GAS, $/MMBTU

8

6

4

2

0

TOTAL DEMANDU.S. & CANADA

Past forecasts

$ U.S.

Page 3: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

3

Liquefied natural gas: a diversification opportunity for the Northeast

Proposed terminals

Existing terminals

Page 4: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

4

Two key development factors

Time Development periods of 5 to 7 years are necessary A sector where just in time is impracticable Better be too soon than too late

Capital New infrastructure requires major capital The number of players is limited An investment environment with the least uncertainty is

favoured

Page 5: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

5

Leveraging our geographic advantage

Proposed terminals

Existing terminals

Near the coastNear the markets

Page 6: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

6

Three issues at stake

Location of infrastructure

Regulatory framework

Long-term commitments

Page 7: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

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The location: concept phase

Harbor-indutrial zone

LévisLévis BeaumontBeaumont

OPTION 1

OPTION 2OPTION 3

OPTION 4

Options

Page 8: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

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Challenges of the preliminary consultation

The promoter must consult the public very early in the formulation of the project

The site studies are still in their infancy The information on the project is general The community’s questions quickly become specific The promoter can’t have the answers The public is unhappy and suspicious An environment conducive to disinformation The dangers of slip-ups are great

Page 9: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

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Location: when we have a chance to work

Page 10: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

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Two main conclusions

Governments and industry must raise public awareness about the crucial importance of energy infrastructure

A long-term effort The regulatory agencies must be involved from the very

beginning in the consultation process Objective third party to explain the entire regulatory review process

(environment, safety, etc.) Meetings with the public and the key entities

(e.g.: city council)

Page 11: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

11

Regulatory framework

The inherent project development risks are known and accepted by the promoters

The multiplicity of overlapping government regulations generates additional uncertainty

Development harmonization solutions: Structuring of the regulatory procedures Smart regulation

Still to be done : simplify the regulatory framework Precise rules, known from the outset

Page 12: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

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Long-term commitments

Infrastructure = $$$ = Long-term horizon

The past 20 years: An increasingly efficient, open and deregulated industry Proliferation of players, reign of the spot market Increasingly complex financial market

Recent developments Collapse of Enron et al Limited number of players with acceptable credit ratings Entry of the banks: financial and physical markets

Page 13: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

13

GNL: Long term integreted players

0,25 $ - 1,00 $0,50 $ - 1,00 $

0,25 $ - 0,50 $

Natural gas production

Liquefaction

Import Terminal

Shipping

Other LDCs and market players

Page 14: The conditions required to establish natural gas infrastructures

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Conclusion

Long term commitments from every players of the LNG chain, including LDCs, are a must.