the compact earth system model oscar v2.2: description and ......2 gasser et al.: description of...
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Supplement of Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 271–319, 2017http://www.geosci-model-dev.net/10/271/2017/doi:10.5194/gmd-10-271-2017-supplement© Author(s) 2017. CC Attribution 3.0 License.
Supplement of
The compact Earth system model OSCAR v2.2:description and first resultsThomas Gasser et al.
Correspondence to: Thomas Gasser ([email protected])
The copyright of individual parts of the supplement might differ from the CC-BY 3.0 licence.
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2 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0
5
10
15
20
(kt
yr−
1)
HFC-23
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0
HFC-32
05
1015202530354045
HFC-125
0
50
100
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200HFC-134a
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1015202530354045
HFC-143a
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101520253035
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yr−
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HFC-152a
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8
10HFC-227ea
0.000.020.040.060.080.100.120.140.160.18
HFC-236fa
0123456
HFC-245fa
0.0
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1.5
2.0
2.5HFC-365mfc
0.000.050.100.150.200.250.300.35
(kt
yr−
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HFC-43-10mee
01234567
SF6
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25NF3
02468
10121416
CF4
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0
C2F6
0.000.050.100.150.200.250.300.350.400.45
(kt
yr−
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C3F8
0.000
0.005
0.010
0.015
0.020
0.025c-C4F8
0.000
0.005
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0.015
0.020
0.025C4F10
0E-610E-620E-630E-640E-650E-660E-6
C5F12
0.00.20.40.60.81.01.2
C6F14
0.000.050.100.150.200.250.300.350.40
(kt
yr−
1)
C7F16
050
100150200250300350400
CFC-11
0100200300400500600
CFC-12
050
100150200250300
CFC-113
02468
1012141618
CFC-114
02468
101214
(kt
yr−
1)
CFC-115
020406080
100120140160
CCl4
0100200300400500600700
CH3CCl3
050
100150200250300350
HCFC-22
0102030405060
HCFC-141b
05
10152025303540
(kt
yr−
1)
HCFC-142b
02468
1012
Halon-1211
1890 1930 1970 20100.00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.8
Halon-1202
1890 1930 1970 20100123456
Halon-1301
1890 1930 1970 20100.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.41.61.8
Halon-2402
1890 1930 1970 20100
102030405060
(kt
yr−
1)
CH3Br
1890 1930 1970 20100
50100150200250300350400450
CH3Cl
Figure S1. Time-series of the anthropogenic emissions of halogenated compounds used as inputs of OSCAR (section 2.2.1).
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Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 3
1210
8642024
δAi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 1, b= 4
2101234567 i= 1, b= 5
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
δHi,b (
MtC
yr−
1)
i= 1, b= 1
0
δSi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 1, b= 4
0
i= 1, b= 5
202468
10121416
δAi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 2, b= 4
4202468
1012 i= 2, b= 5
020406080
100120140160180
δHi,b (
MtC
yr−
1)
i= 2, b= 1
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
δSi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 2, b= 4
0123456789 i= 2, b= 5
2.52.01.51.00.50.00.51.0
δAi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 3, b= 4
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.5i= 3, b= 5
020406080
100120140
δHi,b (
MtC
yr−
1)
i= 3, b= 1
0
δSi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 3, b= 4
0
i= 3, b= 5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
δAi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 4, b= 4
20
15
10
5
0
5 i= 4, b= 5
02468
101214
δHi,b (
MtC
yr−
1)
i= 4, b= 1
0
δSi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 4, b= 4
0
i= 4, b= 5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
δAi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 5, b= 4
202468
1012 i= 5, b= 5
020406080
100120140160180
δHi,b (
MtC
yr−
1)
i= 5, b= 1
0
2
4
6
8
10
δSi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 5, b= 4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30 i= 5, b= 5
5432101234
δAi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 6, b= 4
15
10
5
0
5
10 i= 6, b= 5
020406080
100120140
δHi,b (
MtC
yr−
1)
i= 6, b= 1
0
δSi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 6, b= 4
0
i= 6, b= 5
1086420246
δAi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 7, b= 4
20
15
10
5
0
5
10 i= 7, b= 5
020406080
100120140
δHi,b (
MtC
yr−
1)
i= 7, b= 1
0.000.020.040.060.080.100.120.14
δSi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 7, b= 4
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6 i= 7, b= 5
2
1
0
1
2
3
4
δAi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 8, b= 4
0.20.10.00.10.20.30.40.50.60.7 i= 8, b= 5
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
δHi,b (
MtC
yr−
1)
i= 8, b= 1
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0
δSi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 8, b= 4
0.00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.8 i= 8, b= 5
1890 1930 1970 20105432101234
δAi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 9, b= 4
1890 1930 1970 201010
5
0
5
10 i= 9, b= 5
1890 1930 1970 201005
101520253035
δHi,b (
MtC
yr−
1)
i= 9, b= 1
1890 1930 1970 20100.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
δSi,b (
Mha y
r−1)
i= 9, b= 4
1890 1930 1970 20100.000
0.002
0.004
0.006
0.008
0.010
0.012 i= 9, b= 5
Figure S2. Time-series of the LULCC drivers used as inputs of OSCAR (section 2.2.2). The first column shows the change in cropland area;the second that in pasture area; the third shows harvest in forest; the fourth shifting cultivation for cropland; the fifth shifting cultivation forpastures. The rows correspond to the nine regions of figure S4.
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4 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
∆TS (K)
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1+
∆M
LD/M
LD
0 (−
)
CESM1-BGC
R2 = 0.98
2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
∆TS (K)
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1IPSL-CM5A-LR
R2 = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
∆TS (K)
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2MPI-ESM-LR
R2 = 0.99
Figure S3. Fits of the parameters of the mixed layer depth of the surface ocean (section 2.3.1).
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Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 5
North AmericaSouth & Central AmericaWestern Europe
North Africa & Middle-EastTropical AfricaFormer Soviet Union
China regionSouth & South-East AsiaPacific Developed region
Figure S4. Biospheric regions (i.e. the i-axis defined in section 2.3.2) used in this paper: (i= 1) North America; (i= 2) South & CentralAmerica; (i= 3) Western Europe; (i= 4) North Africa & Middle-East; (i= 5) Tropical Africa; (i= 6) Former Soviet Union; (i= 7) Chinaregion; (i= 8) South & South-East Asia; (i= 9) Pacific Developed region.
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6 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 1
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.97R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.92 / 0.96
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 2
R2(log) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.99R2(hyp) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.98
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 3
R2(log) = 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.97R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.98
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 4
R2(log) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.99R2(hyp) = 0.99 / 0.96 / 0.99 / 0.98
1.0
1.5
2.0
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 5
R2(log) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99R2(hyp) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.99
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 6
R2(log) = 0.99 / 1.0 / 0.99 / 1.0R2(hyp) = 0.99 / 1.0 / 0.99 / 0.99
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 7
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.99R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.98
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 8
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.97R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.97
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 9
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.99 / 0.99R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.92 / 0.98 / 0.97
Figure S5. Fits of the parameters of the NPP response based on the "BCC-CSM1.1" model (section 2.3.2). Each panel is one of the nineregions (see figure S4), and the different colors are for the biomes: forest (green), mixed shrubland and grassland (blue), cropland (yellow),and pasture (cyan). The R2 are given in this exact order, for the logarithmic (log) and hyperbolic (hyp) fits. Decadal running means areshown; and the fits are the dotted and plain black lines, for the logarithmic and hyperbolic formulations respectively.
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Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 7
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 1
R2(log) = 0.97 / 0.88 / 0.92 / 0.86R2(hyp) = 0.97 / 0.88 / 0.89 / 0.85
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25CESM1-BGC | i= 2
R2(log) = 0.95 / 0.97 / 0.95 / 0.98R2(hyp) = 0.94 / 0.93 / 0.93 / 0.94
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 3
R2(log) = 0.96 / 0.94 / 0.93 / 0.94R2(hyp) = 0.94 / 0.92 / 0.89 / 0.92
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4CESM1-BGC | i= 4
R2(log) = 0.95 / 0.93 / 0.9 / 0.93R2(hyp) = 0.93 / 0.91 / 0.88 / 0.91
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 5
R2(log) = 0.97 / 0.94 / 0.88 / 0.93R2(hyp) = 0.96 / 0.94 / 0.85 / 0.93
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6CESM1-BGC | i= 6
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.92 / 0.95R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.89 / 0.94
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 7
R2(log) = 0.96 / 0.97 / 0.84 / 0.97R2(hyp) = 0.97 / 0.96 / 0.82 / 0.97
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5CESM1-BGC | i= 8
R2(log) = 0.95 / 0.86 / 0.82 / 0.87R2(hyp) = 0.94 / 0.84 / 0.82 / 0.86
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 9
R2(log) = 0.96 / 0.68 / 0.96 / 0.73R2(hyp) = 0.96 / 0.65 / 0.97 / 0.7
Figure S6. Same as figure S5 but for the "CESM1-BGC" model.
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8 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
CanESM2 | i= 1
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.82 / 0.97 / 0.84R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.81 / 0.98 / 0.82
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0CanESM2 | i= 2
R2(log) = 0.96 / 0.97 / 0.99 / 0.97R2(hyp) = 0.96 / 0.97 / 0.99 / 0.97
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
CanESM2 | i= 3
R2(log) = 0.93 / 0.96 / 0.96 / 0.96R2(hyp) = 0.94 / 0.96 / 0.96 / 0.96
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
CanESM2 | i= 4
R2(log) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.99R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.99
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
CanESM2 | i= 5
R2(log) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 1.0 / 0.99R2(hyp) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.98
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6CanESM2 | i= 6
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.94 / 0.95 / 0.94R2(hyp) = 0.97 / 0.92 / 0.96 / 0.92
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
CanESM2 | i= 7
R2(log) = 0.99 / 0.96 / 0.97 / 0.96R2(hyp) = 0.99 / 0.95 / 0.98 / 0.95
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0CanESM2 | i= 8
R2(log) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98R2(hyp) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
CanESM2 | i= 9
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.97R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.97
Figure S7. Same as figure S5 but for the "CanESM2" model.
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Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 9
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
HadGEM2-ES | i= 1
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.39 / 0.47R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.39 / 0.47
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5HadGEM2-ES | i= 2
R2(log) = 1.0 / 0.75 / -0.08 / -0.07R2(hyp) = 0.99 / 0.75 / -0.13 / -0.12
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
HadGEM2-ES | i= 3
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.86 / 0.2 / 0.24R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.86 / 0.19 / 0.23
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5HadGEM2-ES | i= 4
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.56 / 0.05 / 0.05R2(hyp) = 0.97 / 0.55 / 0.07 / 0.07
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
HadGEM2-ES | i= 5
R2(log) = 0.99 / 0.92 / 0.3 / 0.29R2(hyp) = 1.0 / 0.91 / 0.32 / 0.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
6HadGEM2-ES | i= 6
R2(log) = 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.67 / 0.7R2(hyp) = 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.67 / 0.7
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
HadGEM2-ES | i= 7
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.84 / -0.06 / -0.05R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.83 / -0.08 / -0.07
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5HadGEM2-ES | i= 8
R2(log) = 1.0 / 0.6 / -0.11 / -0.12R2(hyp) = 0.99 / 0.57 / -0.11 / -0.12
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
HadGEM2-ES | i= 9
R2(log) = 0.99 / 0.6 / 0.27 / 0.32R2(hyp) = 0.99 / 0.6 / 0.29 / 0.35
Figure S8. Same as figure S5 but for the "HadGEM2-ES" model.
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10 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 1
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.98R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 2
R2(log) = 0.97 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99R2(hyp) = 0.95 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 3
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98R2(hyp) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.99 0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 4
R2(log) = 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.97R2(hyp) = 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.97
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 5
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.95 / 0.96R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.97 / 0.96
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 6
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.98R2(hyp) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.98
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 7
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 8
R2(log) = 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.79 / 0.97R2(hyp) = 0.96 / 0.97 / 0.82 / 0.96
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 9
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.94 / 0.98 / 0.92R2(hyp) = 0.97 / 0.94 / 0.98 / 0.92
Figure S9. Same as figure S5 but for the "IPSL-CM5A-LR" model.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 11
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 1
R2(log) = 0.91 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.97R2(hyp) = 0.94 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.97
1.0
1.5
2.0
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 2
R2(log) = 0.98 / 1.0 / 0.98 / 0.99R2(hyp) = 0.97 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.98
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 3
R2(log) = 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.98R2(hyp) = 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5MPI-ESM-LR | i= 4
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.93 / 0.98 / 0.96R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.92 / 0.98 / 0.96
1.0
1.5
2.0
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 5
R2(log) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.99R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.99
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0MPI-ESM-LR | i= 6
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.98R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.98
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 7
R2(log) = 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.99R2(hyp) = 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.99
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5MPI-ESM-LR | i= 8
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.92R2(hyp) = 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.93
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 9
R2(log) = 0.99 / 0.96 / 0.97 / 0.96R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.96
Figure S10. Same as figure S5 but for the "MPI-ESM-LR" model.
-
12 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 1
R2(log) = 0.96 / 0.87 / 0.95 / 0.82R2(hyp) = 0.96 / 0.86 / 0.95 / 0.8
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4NorESM1-ME | i= 2
R2(log) = 0.95 / 0.95 / 0.92 / 0.96R2(hyp) = 0.95 / 0.93 / 0.9 / 0.94
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 3
R2(log) = 0.96 / 0.95 / 0.91 / 0.95R2(hyp) = 0.94 / 0.92 / 0.86 / 0.92
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4NorESM1-ME | i= 4
R2(log) = 0.96 / 0.91 / 0.87 / 0.91R2(hyp) = 0.95 / 0.9 / 0.86 / 0.89
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 5
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.94 / 0.96
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7NorESM1-ME | i= 6
R2(log) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.85 / 0.95R2(hyp) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.87 / 0.95
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 7
R2(log) = 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.9 / 0.99R2(hyp) = 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.9 / 0.99
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5NorESM1-ME | i= 8
R2(log) = 0.97 / 0.94 / 0.89 / 0.94R2(hyp) = 0.96 / 0.93 / 0.9 / 0.94
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1+
∆nppi,b/n
pp
0 (−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 9
R2(log) = 0.96 / 0.87 / 0.95 / 0.88R2(hyp) = 0.96 / 0.86 / 0.96 / 0.87
Figure S11. Same as figure S5 but for the "NorESM1-ME" model.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 13
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 1
R2(exp) = 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.9 / 0.97R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.94 / 0.98
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30
1.35BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 2
R2(exp) = 0.95 / 0.94 / 0.9 / 0.9R2(gauss) = 0.96 / 0.95 / 0.91 / 0.92
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 3
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.98R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 4
R2(exp) = 0.95 / 0.94 / 0.93 / 0.9R2(gauss) = 0.95 / 0.95 / 0.94 / 0.91
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 5
R2(exp) = 0.96 / 0.85 / 0.88 / 0.86R2(gauss) = 0.96 / 0.87 / 0.89 / 0.87
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 6
R2(exp) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.98R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.99
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 7
R2(exp) = 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.96 / 0.97R2(gauss) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 8
R2(exp) = 0.96 / 0.9 / 0.8 / 0.9R2(gauss) = 0.96 / 0.9 / 0.83 / 0.9
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 9
R2(exp) = 0.98 / 0.85 / 0.95 / 0.76R2(gauss) = 0.98 / 0.87 / 0.95 / 0.79
Figure S12. Fits of the parameters of the heterotrophic respiration response based on the "BCC-CSM1.1" model (section 2.3.2). Each panelis one of the nine regions (see figure S4), and the different colors are for the biomes: forest (green), mixed shrubland and grassland (blue),cropland (yellow), and pasture (cyan). The R2 are given in this exact order, for the exponential (exp) and Gaussian (gauss) fits. Decadalrunning means are shown; and the fits are the dotted and plain black lines, for the exponential and Gaussian formulations respectively.
-
14 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 1
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.97R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.97
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25CESM1-BGC | i= 2
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 3
R2(exp) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.98R2(gauss) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.98
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20CESM1-BGC | i= 4
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.96 / 0.97 / 0.96R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.96 / 0.97 / 0.96
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 5
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.95 / 0.98R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.95 / 0.98
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6CESM1-BGC | i= 6
R2(exp) = 1.0 / 1.0 / 0.97 / 0.99R2(gauss) = 1.0 / 1.0 / 0.97 / 0.99
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 7
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.96 / 0.99R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.96 / 0.99
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30CESM1-BGC | i= 8
R2(exp) = 0.96 / 0.96 / 0.95 / 0.95R2(gauss) = 0.96 / 0.96 / 0.95 / 0.95
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 9
R2(exp) = 0.97 / 0.72 / 0.98 / 0.75R2(gauss) = 0.97 / 0.73 / 0.98 / 0.75
Figure S13. Same as figure S12 but for the "CESM1-BGC" model.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 15
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
CanESM2 | i= 1
R2(exp) = 0.98 / 0.85 / 0.91 / 0.98R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.91 / 0.93 / 0.99
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4CanESM2 | i= 2
R2(exp) = 0.89 / 0.95 / 0.95 / 0.94R2(gauss) = 0.89 / 0.95 / 0.95 / 0.95
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
CanESM2 | i= 3
R2(exp) = 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99R2(gauss) = 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7CanESM2 | i= 4
R2(exp) = 0.93 / 0.87 / 0.92 / 0.88R2(gauss) = 0.94 / 0.9 / 0.92 / 0.91
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
CanESM2 | i= 5
R2(exp) = 0.96 / 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.97R2(gauss) = 0.96 / 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.97
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0CanESM2 | i= 6
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.99R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.99
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
CanESM2 | i= 7
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.95 / 0.97R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.96 / 0.98
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6CanESM2 | i= 8
R2(exp) = 0.93 / 0.98 / 0.79 / 0.98R2(gauss) = 0.94 / 0.99 / 0.82 / 0.99
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
CanESM2 | i= 9
R2(exp) = 0.97 / 0.96 / 0.98 / 0.96R2(gauss) = 0.97 / 0.96 / 0.98 / 0.96
Figure S14. Same as figure S12 but for the "CanESM2" model.
-
16 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
HadGEM2-ES | i= 1
R2(exp) = 0.96 / 0.98 / 0.66 / 0.63R2(gauss) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.76 / 0.71
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4HadGEM2-ES | i= 2
R2(exp) = 0.93 / 0.61 / 0.2 / 0.15R2(gauss) = 0.93 / 0.61 / 0.21 / 0.16
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
HadGEM2-ES | i= 3
R2(exp) = 0.96 / 0.81 / -0.07 / -0.13R2(gauss) = 0.97 / 0.87 / -0.02 / -0.11
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5HadGEM2-ES | i= 4
R2(exp) = 0.96 / 0.71 / 0.43 / 0.44R2(gauss) = 0.96 / 0.71 / 0.43 / 0.44
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
HadGEM2-ES | i= 5
R2(exp) = 0.94 / 0.93 / 0.25 / 0.24R2(gauss) = 0.94 / 0.93 / 0.25 / 0.24
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5HadGEM2-ES | i= 6
R2(exp) = 0.96 / 0.98 / -0.42 / -0.32R2(gauss) = 0.98 / 0.99 / -0.29 / 0.23
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
HadGEM2-ES | i= 7
R2(exp) = 0.91 / 0.74 / -0.06 / -0.04R2(gauss) = 0.95 / 0.87 / 0.11 / 0.1
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2HadGEM2-ES | i= 8
R2(exp) = 0.91 / 0.86 / 0.34 / 0.35R2(gauss) = 0.91 / 0.87 / 0.34 / 0.35
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
HadGEM2-ES | i= 9
R2(exp) = 0.95 / 0.5 / 0.08 / 0.11R2(gauss) = 0.95 / 0.5 / 0.07 / 0.1
Figure S15. Same as figure S12 but for the "HadGEM2-ES" model.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 17
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 1
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 1.0 / 0.99 / 1.0R2(gauss) = 1.0 / 1.0 / 0.99 / 1.0
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 2
R2(exp) = 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.99R2(gauss) = 0.98 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.99
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 3
R2(exp) = 1.0 / 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.99R2(gauss) = 1.0 / 1.0 / 0.99 / 1.0
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 4
R2(exp) = 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.96 / 0.97R2(gauss) = 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.97 / 0.97
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 5
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.99R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.99
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 6
R2(exp) = 1.0 / 1.0 / 0.99 / 1.0R2(gauss) = 1.0 / 1.0 / 0.99 / 1.0
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 7
R2(exp) = 1.0 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99R2(gauss) = 1.0 / 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.99
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 8
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.99R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.99
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 9
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.93 / 0.99 / 0.93R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.93 / 0.99 / 0.93
Figure S16. Same as figure S12 but for the "IPSL-CM5A-LR" model.
-
18 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 1
R2(exp) = 0.68 / 0.78 / 0.89 / 0.56R2(gauss) = 0.69 / 0.78 / 0.91 / 0.62
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8MPI-ESM-LR | i= 2
R2(exp) = 0.94 / 0.84 / 0.92 / 0.92R2(gauss) = 0.94 / 0.91 / 0.92 / 0.94
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 3
R2(exp) = 0.84 / 0.21 / 0.97 / 0.88R2(gauss) = 0.84 / 0.61 / 0.97 / 0.9
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8MPI-ESM-LR | i= 4
R2(exp) = 0.82 / 0.94 / 0.91 / 0.92R2(gauss) = 0.83 / 0.94 / 0.91 / 0.92
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 5
R2(exp) = 0.94 / 0.85 / 0.89 / 0.98R2(gauss) = 0.95 / 0.81 / 0.89 / 0.98
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0MPI-ESM-LR | i= 6
R2(exp) = 0.98 / 0.83 / 0.88 / 0.93R2(gauss) = 0.98 / 0.92 / 0.89 / 0.93
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 7
R2(exp) = 0.89 / 0.48 / 0.93 / 0.87R2(gauss) = 0.89 / 0.83 / 0.94 / 0.87
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8MPI-ESM-LR | i= 8
R2(exp) = 0.87 / 0.8 / 0.83 / 0.87R2(gauss) = 0.88 / 0.83 / 0.83 / 0.87
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 9
R2(exp) = 0.84 / 0.85 / 0.95 / 0.85R2(gauss) = 0.86 / 0.85 / 0.95 / 0.87
Figure S17. Same as figure S12 but for the "MPI-ESM-LR" model.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 19
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 1
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.94R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.94
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25NorESM1-ME | i= 2
R2(exp) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.98R2(gauss) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.96 / 0.98
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 3
R2(exp) = 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.94 / 0.97R2(gauss) = 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.94 / 0.97
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15NorESM1-ME | i= 4
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.96R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.98 / 0.97
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 5
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.98 / 0.99
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6NorESM1-ME | i= 6
R2(exp) = 1.0 / 0.99 / 0.96 / 0.98R2(gauss) = 1.0 / 0.99 / 0.96 / 0.98
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 7
R2(exp) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 0.99R2(gauss) = 0.99 / 0.99 / 0.97 / 1.0
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30NorESM1-ME | i= 8
R2(exp) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98R2(gauss) = 0.98 / 0.98 / 0.97 / 0.98
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1+
∆rh
i,b/r
h0 (−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 9
R2(exp) = 0.97 / 0.87 / 0.98 / 0.87R2(gauss) = 0.97 / 0.87 / 0.98 / 0.87
Figure S18. Same as figure S12 but for the "NorESM1-ME" model.
-
20 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 1
R2 = 0.9 / 0.57 / 0.8 / 0.47
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0CESM1-BGC | i= 2
R2 = 0.94 / 0.52 / 0.94 / 0.46
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 3
R2 = 0.88 / 0.62 / 0.83 / 0.49
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0CESM1-BGC | i= 4
R2 = 0.61 / 0.63 / 0.38 / 0.59
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 5
R2 = 0.73 / 0.85 / 0.55 / 0.13
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
CESM1-BGC | i= 6
R2 = 0.84 / 0.83 / 0.38 / 0.72
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 7
R2 = 0.87 / 0.86 / 0.76 / 0.86
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8CESM1-BGC | i= 8
R2 = 0.9 / 0.87 / 0.3 / 0.72
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
CESM1-BGC | i= 9
R2 = 0.71 / 0.54 / 0.78 / 0.54
Figure S19. Fits of the parameters of the wildfire intensity response based on the "CESM1-BGC" model (section 2.3.2). Each panel is oneof the nine regions (see figure S4), and the different colors are for the biomes: forest (green), mixed shrubland and grassland (blue), cropland(yellow), and pasture (cyan). The R2 are given in this exact order. Decadal running means are shown; and the fits are the plain black lines.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 21
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 1
R2 = 0.74 / 0.87 / 0.68 / 0.79
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 2
R2 = 0.84 / 0.79 / 0.62 / 0.82
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 3
R2 = 0.84 / 0.82 / 0.75 / 0.8
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 4
R2 = 0.75 / 0.81 / 0.8 / 0.75
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 5
R2 = 0.64 / 0.08 / 0.19 / 0.33
0
2
4
6
8
10
12IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 6
R2 = 0.83 / 0.9 / 0.66 / 0.84
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 7
R2 = 0.73 / 0.78 / 0.75 / 0.75
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 8
R2 = 0.65 / 0.64 / 0.32 / 0.26
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 9
R2 = 0.22 / 0.21 / 0.52 / 0.13
Figure S20. Same as figure S19 but for the "IPSL-CM5A-LR" model.
-
22 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 1
R2 = 0.86 / 0.8 / 0.83 / 0.85
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4MPI-ESM-LR | i= 2
R2 = 0.94 / 0.92 / 0.75 / 0.95
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 3
R2 = 0.85 / 0.87 / 0.91 / 0.93
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0MPI-ESM-LR | i= 4
R2 = 0.68 / 0.55 / 0.95 / 0.94
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 5
R2 = 0.93 / 0.94 / 0.94 / 0.880.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0MPI-ESM-LR | i= 6
R2 = 0.63 / 0.97 / 0.86 / 0.96
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 7
R2 = 0.88 / 0.97 / 0.51 / 0.86
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8MPI-ESM-LR | i= 8
R2 = 0.68 / 0.88 / 0.13 / 0.82
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 9
R2 = 0.77 / 0.57 / 0.04 / 0.7
Figure S21. Same as figure S19 but for the "MPI-ESM-LR" model.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 23
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 1
R2 = 0.91 / 0.42 / 0.81 / 0.63
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0NorESM1-ME | i= 2
R2 = 0.83 / 0.03 / 0.85 / 0.19
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 3
R2 = 0.92 / 0.78 / 0.92 / 0.62
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0NorESM1-ME | i= 4
R2 = 0.45 / 0.58 / 0.22 / 0.61
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 5
R2 = 0.62 / 0.55 / 0.66 / 0.09
1.0
1.5
2.0
NorESM1-ME | i= 6
R2 = 0.9 / 0.68 / 0.62 / 0.35
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 7
R2 = 0.83 / 0.74 / 0.6 / 0.76
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0NorESM1-ME | i= 8
R2 = 0.82 / 0.59 / 0.38 / 0.52
1pctCO2 esmFixClim1 esmFdbk0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
1+
∆ei,b
fire/e
fire,0
(−
)
NorESM1-ME | i= 9
R2 = 0.69 / 0.51 / 0.69 / 0.5
Figure S22. Same as figure S19 but for the "NorESM1-ME" model.
-
24 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1+
∆ag
e/ag
e 0 (−
)
AMTRAC3
R2 = 0.9
0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.50.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05CAM3.5
R2 = 0.93
1 0 1 2 3 4 50.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05CMAM
R2 = 0.99
0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.00.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1+
∆ag
e/ag
e 0 (−
)
Niwa-SOCOL
R2 = 0.78
0.50.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0
∆TG (K)
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2SOCOL
R2 = 0.78
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1ULAQ
R2 = 0.76
0.50.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0
∆TG (K)
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1+
∆ag
e/ag
e 0 (−
)
UMUKCA-UCAM
R2 = 0.92
Figure S23. Fits of the parameter of the age of stratospheric air dependency on climate change (section 2.6.1).
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 25
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.51.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.2
∆O
3t (
DU
)
CESM-CAM-superfast
R2 = 0.46
0 1 2 3 4 5 60.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8GFDL-AM3
R2 = 0.27
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.52.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0GISS-E2-R
R2 = -0.77
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 72.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.5
∆O
3t (
DU
)
MIROC-CHEM
R2 = 0.69
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.52.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0MOCAGE
R2 = 1.0
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0
∆TG (K)
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0NCAR-CAM3.5
R2 = 0.98
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
∆O
3t (
DU
)
STOC-HadAM3
R2 = 0.87
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
0.20.10.00.10.20.30.40.50.60.7
UM-CAM
R2 = 0.68
Figure S24. Fits of the parameter of the tropospheric ozone response to climate change (section 2.8.1).
-
26 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
∆SO
4 (T
g)
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0
R2 = 0.99
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4GFDL-AM3
R2 = 0.93
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 21000.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
∆SO
4 (T
g)
GISS-E2-R
R2 = 0.98
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 21000.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0MIROC-CHEM
R2 = 0.9
Figure S25. Fits of the parameters for the atmospheric burden of sulphated aerosols (section 2.9.1). The historical simulation from CMIP5is in grey, while the RCP2.6 is in green, RCP4.5 in blue, RCP6.0 in magenta, and RCP8.5 in red.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 27
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
∆P
OA
(Tg)
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0
R2 = 0.94
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8GFDL-AM3
R2 = 0.88
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 21000.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
∆P
OA
(Tg)
GISS-E2-R
R2 = 0.96
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 21000.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8MIROC-CHEM
R2 = 0.97
Figure S26. Same as figure S25 but for primary organic aerosols.
-
28 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
∆B
C (
Tg)
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0
R2 = 0.99
0.02
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10GFDL-AM3
R2 = 0.98
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 21000.02
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
∆B
C (
Tg)
GISS-E2-R
R2 = 0.98
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 21000.02
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10MIROC-CHEM
R2 = 0.97
Figure S27. Same as figure S25 but for black carbon aerosols.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 29
a b c d e f g h i j0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
∆N
O3
(Tg)
Bellouin et al. (2011)
R2 = 0.87
a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16Hauglustaine et al. (2014)
R2 = 0.8
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 21000.01
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
∆SO
A (
Tg)
GFDL-AM3
R2 = 0.97
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 21000.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30GISS-E2-R
R2 = 0.89
Figure S28. Same as figure S25 but for nitrated aerosols (top panels) and secondary organic aerosols (bottom panels). In the case nitratedaerosols, each letter on the x-axis corresponds to a simulation from the given reference.
-
30 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
0 40 80 120 1600
1
2
3
4
5
6
∆TG (
K)
ACCESS1.0
R2 = 0.97
0 40 80 120 1600
1
2
3
4
5
6ACCESS1.3
R2 = 0.97
0 40 80 120 1600
1
2
3
4
5
6BCC-CSM1.1
R2 = 0.96
0 40 80 120 1600
1
2
3
4
5
6BCC-CSM1.1m
R2 = 0.94
0 40 80 120 16001234567
CanESM2
R2 = 0.96
0 40 80 120 1600
1
2
3
4
5
∆TG (
K)
CCSM4
R2 = 0.94
0 40 80 120 1600
1
2
3
4
5
6CNRM-CM5
R2 = 0.93
0 40 80 1200
1
2
3
4
5
6CNRM-CM5.2
R2 = 0.94
0 40 80 120 16001234567
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0
R2 = 0.97
0 40 80 120 16001234567
GFDL-CM3
R2 = 0.98
0 100 200 3000.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.5
∆TG (
K)
GFDL-ESM2G
R2 = 0.93
0 100 200 3000
1
2
3
4
5GFDL-ESM2M
R2 = 0.96
0 40 80 120 1600.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.5
GISS-E2-H
R2 = 0.94
0 40 80 120 1600.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0
GISS-E2-R
R2 = 0.88
0 40 80 120 16001234567
HadGEM2-ES
R2 = 0.96
0 100 200 30001234567
∆TG (
K)
IPSL-CM5A-LR
R2 = 0.93
0 40 80 12001234567
IPSL-CM5A-MR
R2 = 0.95
0 40 80 120 1600
1
2
3
4
5IPSL-CM5B-LR
R2 = 0.94
0 40 80 120 1600
1
2
3
4
5MIROC5
R2 = 0.84
0 40 80 120 16001234567
MIROC-ESM
R2 = 0.95
0 40 80 120 160
(yr)
01234567
∆TG (
K)
MPI-ESM-LR
R2 = 0.94
0 40 80 120 160
(yr)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6MPI-ESM-MR
R2 = 0.93
0 40 80 120 160
(yr)
01234567
MPI-ESM-P
R2 = 0.92
0 40 80 120 160
(yr)
0
1
2
3
4
5MRI-CGCM3
R2 = 0.93
0 40 80 120 160
(yr)
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.5
NorESM1-M
R2 = 0.94
Figure S29. Fits of the parameters of the global surface temperature response (section 2.11.2).
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 31
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 60.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0
∆TS (
K)
ACCESS1.0
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 60.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0
ACCESS1.3
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 60.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0
BCC-CSM1.1
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 60.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0
BCC-CSM1.1m
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 71
0
1
2
3
4
5CanESM2
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 50.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
∆TS (
K)
CCSM4
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 60.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0
CNRM-CM5
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 60.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0
CNRM-CM5.2
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 71
0
1
2
3
4
5CSIRO-Mk3.6.0
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 71
0
1
2
3
4
5GFDL-CM3
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 50.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
∆TS (
K)
GFDL-ESM2G
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 50.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
GFDL-ESM2M
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 50.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.0
GISS-E2-H
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 1.0
0 1 2 3 40.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5GISS-E2-R
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 71
0
1
2
3
4
5HadGEM2-ES
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 71
0
1
2
3
4
5
∆TS (
K)
IPSL-CM5A-LR
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 71
0
1
2
3
4
5IPSL-CM5A-MR
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 50.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
IPSL-CM5B-LR
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 50.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
MIROC5
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 710123456
MIROC-ESM
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
∆TG (K)
1
0
1
2
3
4
5
∆TS (
K)
MPI-ESM-LR
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
1
0
1
2
3
4
5MPI-ESM-MR
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
∆TG (K)
1
0
1
2
3
4
5MPI-ESM-P
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
0.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
MRI-CGCM3
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
0.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.0
NorESM1-M
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 1.0
Figure S30. Fits of the parameter of the pattern scaling for sea surface temperature (section 2.11.2). The grey, green, blue, magenta and redpoints are from the historical, RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5 simulations, respecitvely; the yellow ones are from the "abrupt4xCO2"simulation. The R2 are given for fits made over the quadrupled CO2 experiment (4x) or the combined historical and RCPs (H) – if these RCPsimulations were conducted. The fits are the dotted and plain black lines, for the quadrupled CO2 experiment and combined historical andRCPs respectively.
-
32 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 62
0
2
4
6
8
10
∆TL (
K)
ACCESS1.0 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
ACCESS1.3 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.9R2(H) = 0.98
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2
4
6
8
BCC-CSM1.1m | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.79R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 72
0
2
4
6
8
10CanESM2 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
CCSM4 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.88R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
10CNRM-CM5 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.75R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
CNRM-CM5.2 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.76R2(H) = 0.53
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
10CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.92R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6202468
1012
GFDL-CM3 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 51012345678
∆TL (
K)
GFDL-ESM2G | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.85R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 51012345678
GFDL-ESM2M | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.87R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 51012345678
GISS-E2-H | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.97
0 1 2 3101234567
GISS-E2-R | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.54R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7202468
1012
HadGEM2-ES | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 72
0
2
4
6
8
10
∆TL (
K)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
10IPSL-CM5A-MR | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2
4
6
8
IPSL-CM5B-LR | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.78R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 52
0
2
4
6
8
10MIROC5 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7202468
1012
MIROC-ESM | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.89R2(H) = 0.27
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
∆TG (K)
2
0
2
4
6
8
10
∆TL (
K)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.94R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
2
0
2
4
6
8
10MPI-ESM-MR | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.9R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
2
0
2
4
6
8
10MPI-ESM-P | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 0.89
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
101234567
MRI-CGCM3 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
10NorESM1-M | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.97
Figure S31. Same as figure S30 but for local surface temperature in region i= 1, and except that decadal running means are shown.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 33
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
ACCESS1.0 | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
ACCESS1.3 | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 0.99
0 1 2 3 4 501234567
BCC-CSM1.1m | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
10CanESM2 | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
∆TL (
K)
CCSM4 | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.92R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
CNRM-CM5 | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
CNRM-CM5.2 | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 0.89
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
GFDL-CM3 | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
∆TL (
K)
GFDL-ESM2G | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.84R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
GFDL-ESM2M | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.9R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 510123456
GISS-E2-H | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.74R2(H) = 0.99
0 1 2 310123456
GISS-E2-R | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.5R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
10HadGEM2-ES | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
IPSL-CM5A-MR | i= 2
R2(4x) = 1.0R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 510123456
IPSL-CM5B-LR | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 510123456
MIROC5 | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.88R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
MIROC-ESM | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 0.92
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
10
∆TL (
K)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
MPI-ESM-MR | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
MPI-ESM-P | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
10123456
MRI-CGCM3 | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
10123456
NorESM1-M | i= 2
R2(4x) = 0.87R2(H) = 0.99
Figure S32. Same as figure S30 but for local surface temperature in region i= 2, and except that decadal running means are shown.
-
34 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
ACCESS1.0 | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.88R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
ACCESS1.3 | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 0.91
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 62
0
2
4
6
8BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.82R2(H) = 0.95
0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
BCC-CSM1.1m | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.93
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
CanESM2 | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.9R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
∆TL (
K)
CCSM4 | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.44R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
CNRM-CM5 | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.64R2(H) = 0.84
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
CNRM-CM5.2 | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.19R2(H) = 0.01
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.94R2(H) = 0.92
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 62
0
2
4
6
8
GFDL-CM3 | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
∆TL (
K)
GFDL-ESM2G | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.89R2(H) = 0.93
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
GFDL-ESM2M | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.87R2(H) = 0.94
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2
4
6
8
GISS-E2-H | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.91
0 1 2 310123456
GISS-E2-R | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.39R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 72
0
2
4
6
8
10HadGEM2-ES | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.87R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
10
∆TL (
K)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.84R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
IPSL-CM5A-MR | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.85R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2
4
6
8
IPSL-CM5B-LR | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.82R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
MIROC5 | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.02R2(H) = 0.78
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
MIROC-ESM | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.73R2(H) = -1.61
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.69R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
1012345678
MPI-ESM-MR | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.1R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
1012345678
MPI-ESM-P | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.65R2(H) = 0.73
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
101234567
MRI-CGCM3 | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.9R2(H) = 0.94
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
101234567
NorESM1-M | i= 3
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.95
Figure S33. Same as figure S30 but for local surface temperature in region i= 3, and except that decadal running means are shown.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 35
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
ACCESS1.0 | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.88R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
ACCESS1.3 | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.85R2(H) = 0.98
0 1 2 3 4 5012345678
BCC-CSM1.1m | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.9R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
CanESM2 | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.92R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
∆TL (
K)
CCSM4 | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.71R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
CNRM-CM5 | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.81R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
CNRM-CM5.2 | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.85R2(H) = 0.56
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.8R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
GFDL-CM3 | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.89R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
∆TL (
K)
GFDL-ESM2G | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.9R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 51012345678
GFDL-ESM2M | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.86R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
GISS-E2-H | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.88R2(H) = 0.97
0 1 2 3101234567
GISS-E2-R | i= 4
R2(4x) = -1.44R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
10HadGEM2-ES | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
IPSL-CM5A-MR | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
IPSL-CM5B-LR | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.31R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 51012345678
MIROC5 | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.83R2(H) = 0.94
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
10MIROC-ESM | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.62
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
10
∆TL (
K)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.89R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
MPI-ESM-MR | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.77R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
MPI-ESM-P | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.82R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
101234567
MRI-CGCM3 | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.79R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
101234567
NorESM1-M | i= 4
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.99
Figure S34. Same as figure S30 but for local surface temperature in region i= 4, and except that decadal running means are shown.
-
36 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
ACCESS1.0 | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.94R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
ACCESS1.3 | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.94R2(H) = 0.99
0 1 2 3 4 5012345678
BCC-CSM1.1m | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
CanESM2 | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
∆TL (
K)
CCSM4 | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.92R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
CNRM-CM5 | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
CNRM-CM5.2 | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.84
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
GFDL-CM3 | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
∆TL (
K)
GFDL-ESM2G | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.92R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 51012345678
GFDL-ESM2M | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.86R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
GISS-E2-H | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.72R2(H) = 0.99
0 1 2 3101234567
GISS-E2-R | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.4R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
HadGEM2-ES | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
IPSL-CM5A-MR | i= 5
R2(4x) = 1.0R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
IPSL-CM5B-LR | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.89R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
MIROC5 | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
MIROC-ESM | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.94
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
10
∆TL (
K)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
MPI-ESM-MR | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
10MPI-ESM-P | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.94R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
101234567
MRI-CGCM3 | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
10123456
NorESM1-M | i= 5
R2(4x) = 0.85R2(H) = 0.99
Figure S35. Same as figure S30 but for local surface temperature in region i= 5, and except that decadal running means are shown.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 37
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6202468
1012
∆TL (
K)
ACCESS1.0 | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.94R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 62
0
2
4
6
8
10ACCESS1.3 | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.94R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
10BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.69R2(H) = 0.99
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2
4
6
8
10BCC-CSM1.1m | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.81R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 72
0
2
4
6
8
10CanESM2 | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.92
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2
4
6
8
10
∆TL (
K)
CCSM4 | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.4R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
10CNRM-CM5 | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.45R2(H) = 0.9
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 62
0
2
4
6
8
10CNRM-CM5.2 | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.57R2(H) = 0.37
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6202468
1012
GFDL-CM3 | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.87R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
GFDL-ESM2G | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.65R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2
4
6
8
GFDL-ESM2M | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.76R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2
4
6
8
GISS-E2-H | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.92R2(H) = 0.94
0 1 2 3101234567
GISS-E2-R | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.71R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7202468
101214
HadGEM2-ES | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 72
0
2
4
6
8
10
∆TL (
K)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.83R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 62
0
2
4
6
8
10IPSL-CM5A-MR | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.79R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2
4
6
8
10IPSL-CM5B-LR | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.82R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2
4
6
8
10MIROC5 | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.59R2(H) = 0.91
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7202468
1012
MIROC-ESM | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.59R2(H) = -0.16
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
∆TG (K)
2
0
2
4
6
8
10
∆TL (
K)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.91R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
2
0
2
4
6
8
10MPI-ESM-MR | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.77R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
2
0
2
4
6
8
10MPI-ESM-P | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.68R2(H) = 0.86
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
MRI-CGCM3 | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.85R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
2
0
2
4
6
8
10NorESM1-M | i= 6
R2(4x) = 0.91R2(H) = 0.96
Figure S36. Same as figure S30 but for local surface temperature in region i= 6, and except that decadal running means are shown.
-
38 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
10
∆TL (
K)
ACCESS1.0 | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.76R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
ACCESS1.3 | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.85R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.66R2(H) = 0.98
0 1 2 3 4 51012345678
BCC-CSM1.1m | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.87R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
CanESM2 | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.91R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 51012345678
∆TL (
K)
CCSM4 | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.57R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
CNRM-CM5 | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.6R2(H) = 0.92
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
CNRM-CM5.2 | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.81R2(H) = 0.32
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.74R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 62
0
2
4
6
8
GFDL-CM3 | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.89R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
∆TL (
K)
GFDL-ESM2G | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.84R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
GFDL-ESM2M | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.82R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 51012345678
GISS-E2-H | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.86R2(H) = 0.95
0 1 2 3101234567
GISS-E2-R | i= 7
R2(4x) = -0.71R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 72
0
2
4
6
8
10HadGEM2-ES | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.91R2(H) = 0.94
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 72
0
2
4
6
8
10
∆TL (
K)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.91R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 62
0
2
4
6
8
10IPSL-CM5A-MR | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.92R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 51012345678
IPSL-CM5B-LR | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.28R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
MIROC5 | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.35R2(H) = 0.88
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 72
0
2
4
6
8
10MIROC-ESM | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.9R2(H) = 0.34
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
∆TG (K)
2
0
2
4
6
8
10
∆TL (
K)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.85R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
MPI-ESM-MR | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.58R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
10MPI-ESM-P | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.77R2(H) = 0.91
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
101234567
MRI-CGCM3 | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.74R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
1012345678
NorESM1-M | i= 7
R2(4x) = 0.7R2(H) = 0.97
Figure S37. Same as figure S30 but for local surface temperature in region i= 7, and except that decadal running means are shown.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 39
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
∆TL (
K)
ACCESS1.0 | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.9R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
ACCESS1.3 | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.94R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.91R2(H) = 0.98
0 1 2 3 4 501234567
BCC-CSM1.1m | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 71012345678
CanESM2 | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
∆TL (
K)
CCSM4 | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.84R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
CNRM-CM5 | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
CNRM-CM5.2 | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.82
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.94R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
GFDL-CM3 | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
∆TL (
K)
GFDL-ESM2G | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.85R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
GFDL-ESM2M | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.75R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 510123456
GISS-E2-H | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.75R2(H) = 0.99
0 1 2 310123456
GISS-E2-R | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.12R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
HadGEM2-ES | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.94R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 1.0
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
2
4
6
8
IPSL-CM5A-MR | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 510123456
IPSL-CM5B-LR | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.78R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 510123456
MIROC5 | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.87R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 71012345678
MIROC-ESM | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 0.86
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
1012345678
MPI-ESM-MR | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
MPI-ESM-P | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 0.95
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
10123456
MRI-CGCM3 | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
10123456
NorESM1-M | i= 8
R2(4x) = 0.85R2(H) = 0.99
Figure S38. Same as figure S30 but for local surface temperature in region i= 8, and except that decadal running means are shown.
-
40 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
∆TL (
K)
ACCESS1.0 | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
ACCESS1.3 | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 0.99
0 1 2 3 4 5012345678
BCC-CSM1.1m | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.96R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 71012345678
CanESM2 | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 510123456
∆TL (
K)
CCSM4 | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
CNRM-CM5 | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6101234567
CNRM-CM5.2 | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.78
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
GFDL-CM3 | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
∆TL (
K)
GFDL-ESM2G | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.87R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5101234567
GFDL-ESM2M | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.89R2(H) = 0.91
1 0 1 2 3 4 510123456
GISS-E2-H | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.62R2(H) = 0.94
0 1 2 3
0
1
2
3
4
5GISS-E2-R | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.69R2(H) = 0.92
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
HadGEM2-ES | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 61012345678
IPSL-CM5A-MR | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.99R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 510123456
IPSL-CM5B-LR | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.99
1 0 1 2 3 4 510123456
MIROC5 | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.85R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
2
4
6
8
MIROC-ESM | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.95R2(H) = 0.31
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
∆TL (
K)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.98R2(H) = 0.96
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
1012345678
MPI-ESM-MR | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.98
1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
0
2
4
6
8
MPI-ESM-P | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.97R2(H) = 0.93
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
10123456
MRI-CGCM3 | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.97
1 0 1 2 3 4 5
∆TG (K)
0
1
2
3
4
5NorESM1-M | i= 9
R2(4x) = 0.93R2(H) = 0.97
Figure S39. Same as figure S30 but for local surface temperature in region i= 9, and except that decadal running means are shown.
-
Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 41
0 1 2 3 4 5 6604020
020406080
∆PG (
mm
yr−
1)
ACCESS1.0
R2 = 0.98
0 1 2 3 4 5 64020
020406080
100120
ACCESS1.3
R2 = 0.98
0 1 2 3 4 5 620
0
20
40
60
80
100BCC-CSM1.1
R2 = 0.98
1 2 3 4 520
020406080
100120
BCC-CSM1.1m
R2 = 0.98
1 2 3 4 5 6 74020
020406080
100CanESM2
R2 = 0.97
1 2 3 4 54020
020406080
100
∆PG (
mm
yr−
1)
CCSM4
R2 = 0.98
1 2 3 4 54020
020406080
100CNRM-CM5
R2 = 0.98
1 2 3 4 54020
020406080
100CNRM-CM5.2
R2 = 0.97
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 720
020406080
100120140
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0
R2 = 0.98
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 74020
020406080
100120140
GFDL-CM3
R2 = 0.98
0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.540
20
0
20
40
60
80
∆PG (
mm
yr−
1)
GFDL-ESM2G
R2 = 0.93
0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.540
20
0
20
40
60
80GFDL-ESM2M
R2 = 0.94
1 2 3 460
40
20
0
20
40
60GISS-E2-H
R2 = 0.98
1 2 3 4
40
20
0
20
40
GISS-E2-R
R2 = 0.94
1 2 3 4 5 6 7604020
020406080
100HadGEM2-ES
R2 = 0.99
1 2 3 4 5 6 74020
020406080
100120140
∆PG (
mm
yr−
1)
IPSL-CM5A-LR
R2 = 0.98
1 2 3 4 5 6 74020
020406080
100120140
IPSL-CM5A-MR
R2 = 0.99
0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.540
20
0
20
40
60
80IPSL-CM5B-LR
R2 = 0.96
1 2 3 4 54020
020406080
100MIROC5
R2 = 0.93
1 2 3 4 5 6 74020
020406080
100120140
MIROC-ESM
R2 = 0.98
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
∆TG (K)
4020
020406080
100120
∆PG (
mm
yr−
1)
MPI-ESM-LR
R2 = 0.97
1 2 3 4 5 6
∆TG (K)
4020
020406080
100120
MPI-ESM-MR
R2 = 0.97
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
∆TG (K)
4020
020406080
100120
MPI-ESM-P
R2 = 0.97
0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5
∆TG (K)
200
20406080
100120140
MRI-CGCM3
R2 = 0.96
0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5
∆TG (K)
40
20
0
20
40
60
80NorESM1-M
R2 = 0.98
Figure S40. Fits of the parameters of the global yearly precipitations response (section 2.11.3).
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42 Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement)
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∆PL (
mm
yr−
1)
ACCESS1.0 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.7R2(H) = 0.56
0 40 8050
0
50
100
150
200
250ACCESS1.3 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.84R2(H) = 0.91
0 40 80
0
50
100
150
BCC-CSM1.1 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.56R2(H) = 0.86
0 40 80 12050
0
50
100
150
200
250BCC-CSM1.1m | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.84R2(H) = 0.88
0 40 8050
050
100150200250300
CanESM2 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.81R2(H) = 0.9
0 40 80
0
50
100
150
∆PL (
mm
yr−
1)
CCSM4 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.91R2(H) = 0.85
0 40 8050
0
50
100
150
200
250CNRM-CM5 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.44R2(H) = 0.79
0 40 8050
0
50
100
150
200
250CNRM-CM5.2 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.71R2(H) = 0.17
0 40 80 120
0
50
100
150CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.8R2(H) = 0.86
40 0 40 80 120100
500
50100150200250300
GFDL-CM3 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.81R2(H) = 0.81
20 0 20 40 60
0
50
100
150
∆PL (
mm
yr−
1)
GFDL-ESM2G | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.14R2(H) = 0.75
0 20 40 60
0
50
100
150GFDL-ESM2M | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.34R2(H) = 0.84
0 20 40 604020
020406080
100120140
GISS-E2-H | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.74R2(H) = 0.5
10 0 10 20 30 4020
0
20
40
60
80
100GISS-E2-R | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.51R2(H) = 0.72
0 40 8050
0
50
100
150
200HadGEM2-ES | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.74R2(H) = 0.84
0 40 80 120604020
020406080
100120
∆PL (
mm
yr−
1)
IPSL-CM5A-LR | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.55R2(H) = 0.75
0 40 80 120604020
020406080
IPSL-CM5A-MR | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.2R2(H) = 0.36
0 20 40 6020
020406080
100120
IPSL-CM5B-LR | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.86R2(H) = 0.94
0 20 40 60 8020
020406080
100120140
MIROC5 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.76R2(H) = 0.68
0 40 80 12050
0
50
100
150
200
250MIROC-ESM | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.73R2(H) = 0.02
0 40 80 120
∆PG (mm yr−1)
500
50100150200250300
∆PL (
mm
yr−
1)
MPI-ESM-LR | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.85R2(H) = 0.83
0 40 80 120
∆PG (mm yr−1)
500
50100150200250300
MPI-ESM-MR | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.89R2(H) = 0.88
0 40 80 120
∆PG (mm yr−1)
50
0
50
100
150
200
250MPI-ESM-P | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.4R2(H) = 0.25
0 40 80 120
∆PG (mm yr−1)
50
0
50
100
150
200
250MRI-CGCM3 | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.69R2(H) = 0.18
0 20 40 60
∆PG (mm yr−1)
200
20406080
100120
NorESM1-M | i= 1
R2(4x) = 0.85R2(H) = 0.84
Figure S41. Fits of the parameter of the pattern scaling for local yearly precipitations (section 2.11.3). The grey, green, blue, magenta and redpoints are from the historical, RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5 simulations, respecitvely; the yellow ones are from the "abrupt4xCO2"simulation. The R2 are given for fits made over the quadrupled CO2 experiment (4x) or the combined historical and RCPs (H) – if these RCPsimulations were conducted. Decadal running means are shown; and the fits are the dotted and plain black lines, for the quadrupled CO2experiment and combined historical and RCPs respectively.
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Gasser et al.: Description of OSCAR v2.2 (Supplement) 43
20 0 20 40 60200150