the challenge of improving air quality in sheffield

41
Future work Assessing emissions across networks to aid Policy design 1 Collaboration with SYSTRA – Sheffield Low Emission Zone feasibility study (2013)

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Future workAssessing emissions across networks to aid Policy design

1 Collaboration with SYSTRA – Sheffield Low Emission Zone feasibility study (2013)

Outline

Traffic & Air Quality trends The source of the urban air quality problem Road transport vehicles Emission legislation

Research surveying the Sheffield vehicle fleet 1

Fleet composition & trends Emission performance Passenger cars Taxis Buses

The challenge of improving Sheffield’s air quality Outlook Future work

2 1 Project report https://www.sheffield.gov.uk/dms/scc/management/corporate-communications/documents/environment/pollution/air/Vehicle-Emission-Measurement-and-Analysis-2013/Vehicle%20Emission%20Measurement%20and%20Analysis%202013.pdf.

Traffic Flow TrendsSheffield Central Area Screen-line Surveys

3

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

02

00

00

40

00

06

00

00

80

00

0

Year

Ve

hic

leT

rip

sp

er

Da

y

Air Quality TrendsNitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations in Sheffield

4

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

02

04

06

08

01

00

12

0

Year

Ro

llin

gA

nn

ua

lMe

an

:N

O2

(g

m3)

UK Air Quality Standard

Air Quality TrendsNitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations in Sheffield & London

5

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

02

04

06

080

100

12

0

Year

Ro

llin

gA

nn

ua

lMe

an

:N

O2

(g

m3)

UK Air Quality Standard

EUROPEAN AIR QUALITYNitrogen dioxide (NO2)

Carslaw, D., Beevers, S. Westmoreland, E. Williams, M. Tate, J. Murrells, T. Stedman, J. Li, Y., Grice, S., Kent, A., Tsagatakis, I. (2011).Trends in NOX and NO2 emissions and ambient measurements in the UK. Version 3, March 2011. http://uk-air.defra.gov.uk/reports/cat05/1108251149_110718_AQ0724_Final_report.pdf

Latest EU directive for Euro 5 and 6 - 2007/715/EC

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Year of registration

NO

X(g

ram

s.k

m

1)

VEHICLE EMISSION STANDARDSPassenger cars

EuroVIEuroVEuro IVEuro III

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

020

40

60

80

12

0

NEDC - Speed Profile

Time (seconds)

Spe

ed

(km

h1)

Fig. Speed profile used for type approval purposes (New EU Drive-Cycle)

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

01

02

03

04

05

06

0

ARTEMIS Urban - Speed Profile

Time (seconds)

Sp

ee

d(k

mh1)

Fig. Real-world driving: The Common ARTEMIS Drive Cycle (Andre, 2004).

ASSESSMENT OF VEHICLE EMISSIONSVehicle operation

Assessing Vehicle EmissionsTHE LABORATORY

Fig. Chassis dynamometer and exhaust analysing equipment

Technical University of Graz (Austria):

Light-duty

Heavy-dutyEngine & Chassis dynos.

MANIPULATING THE TESTSSignificance

Dings, J. 2013. Mind the Gap! Why official car fuel economy figures don’t match up to reality.Transport and Environment, March 2013.

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

10

01

05

11

01

15

12

01

25

13

0

Year of first registration

Spri

tmon

itor.

de

/T

ype

ap

pro

valC

O2E

mis

sio

ns

(%)

Spritmonitor.de

• Record mileages andfuel purchased

• 300,000 vehicles

• 4.5 billion vehicle kms

MANIPULATING THE TESTSSignificance

Ligterink, N., Eijk,A. Update analysis of real-world fuel consumption of business passenger carsbased on Travelcard Nederland fuelpass data.TNO report 2014 R11063, July 2014

MANUFACTRER’S CO2 TARGETSAverage car

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Em

iss

ion

s(g

ram

sC

O2.k

m-1

)

Vehic le Model Year

80% reduction (D fT)

90% reduction (D fT)

100% reduction (D fT)

NE D C figures (S MMT New C ar report)

S pritmonitor.de (G ermany) On-road, ~5000/year

Travel card (Netherlands) On-road, ~15000/year

H onestjohn.co.uk (UK ) On-road, ~3000 / year

F uture Targets (IC C T & D fT)

TAX LANDSCAPECompany cars – Benefit In Kind (BIK) tax

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0

1-

75

76-

94

95

10

0

10

5

11

0

11

5

12

0

12

5

13

0

13

5

14

0

14

5

15

0

15

5

16

0

16

5

17

0

17

5

18

0

18

5

19

0

19

5

20

0

20

5

21

0

Be

nef

itin

Kin

d(B

IK)

tax

[%o

flis

tp

rice

]

Type Approval CO2 (grams.km-1)

SURVEYING THE VEHICLE FLEETRemote Sensing Vehicle Emissions

14

Sheffield, May 2013

SHEFFIELD SURVEY SITESRemote Sensing Vehicle Emissions

SHEFFIELD SURVEY SITESRemote Sensing Vehicle Emissions

1.ASLINE ROAD

2. EYRE STREET

SHEFFIELD SURVEY SITESRemote Sensing Vehicle Emissions

3.WESTERN BANK

4.ATTERCLIFFE CENTRE

Camera(Number plate)

Vehicle Detector(Speed andAcceleration)

Source/Detector

Mirror Box

Source

Detector

Emissions Analyser(Common

Configurations)

Camera(Number plate)

Vehicle Detector(Speed andAcceleration)

Source/Detector

Mirror Box

Source

Detector

Emissions Analyser(Common

Configurations)

MethodRemote Sensing Vehicle Emissions

ESP RSD-4600 instrument (www.esp-global.com)

UVIR

Camera(Number plate)

Vehicle Detector(Speed andAcceleration)

Source/Detector

Mirror Box

Source

Detector

Emissions Analyser(Common

Configurations)

Camera(Number plate)

Vehicle Detector(Speed andAcceleration)

Source/Detector

Mirror Box

Source

Detector

Emissions Analyser(Common

Configurations)

Emission ratios

From peak exhaust plume conc.

NO / CO2

Estimate from NO2 / NOX fractionsNO2 / CO2 &NOX / CO2

CO / CO2

HC / CO2 & PM10

Baseline condition taken from front ofthe vehicle

Valid measurement

5 – 60 km/h Sufficient CO2 plume Number plate record

MethodRemote Sensing Vehicle Emissions

Vehicle Fleet Information

Number plate record ANPR

→ Detailed vehicle registration info.→Annoymised DVLA type data

• vehicle type & euro category• fuel type and engine capacity• manufacturer & model• CO2 performance etc.

19

MethodRemote Sensing Vehicle Emissions

PROS: “Real-world” or “on road” or “RDE”

Understand the emissionperformance of the vehicle fleet

Trends

Degradation/ ageing technologies

High-emitters

Detailed knowledge of the vehiclefleet composition

Fast turn-round (one month)

Survey emerging technologies

e.g. EuroVI compliant vehicles

Rich research resource

CONS: “Snap-shot” or “single-point”

measurement

Vehicle operating condition unknown

Loading

Cold-start or Hot-running

Elevated exhausts – NULL

Lorries “open” chassis

Practical limitations

Dry weather conditions

Relatively labour intensive

Suitable survey locations limited

20

REMOTE SENSING VEHICLE EMISSIONSPassenger car fleet – Sheffield 2013

0

10

20

30

40

50

Euro 0 Euro 1 Euro 2 Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5 Euro 6

Pas

sen

ger

car

shar

e(%

)

Euro standard

Hybrid (diesel)

Hybrid

Diesel

Petrol

Dieselshare

31.9%

Dieselshare

63.6%

Dieselshare

60.8%

Dieselshare

48.8%

Dieselshare

32.4%

Dieselshare

14.1%

Hybridshare

1.73%

aP

etr

ol-E

0

aP

etr

ol-E

1

aP

etr

ol-E

2

aP

etr

ol-E

3

aP

etr

ol-E

4

aP

etr

ol-E

5

aP

etr

ol-E

6

Die

sel-E

0

Die

sel-E

1

Die

sel-E

2

Die

sel-E

3

Die

sel-E

4

Die

sel-E

5

Die

sel-E

6

Hybrid-E

3

Hybrid-E

4

Hybrid-E

5

HybridD

-E5

0

5

10

15

CO(g

ram

s.k

m1

)

CARBON MONOXIDE EMISSIONSPassenger car fleet

aP

etr

ol-E

0

aP

etr

ol-E

1

aP

etr

ol-E

2

aP

etr

ol-E

3

aP

etr

ol-E

4

aP

etr

ol-E

5

aP

etr

ol-E

6

Die

sel-E

0

Die

sel-E

1

Die

sel-E

2

Die

sel-E

3

Die

sel-E

4

Die

sel-E

5

Die

sel-E

6

Hybrid-E

3

Hybrid-E

4

Hybrid-E

5

HybridD

-E5

0

1

2

3

4

NO

X(g

ram

s.k

m1

)

NOX EMISSIONSPassenger car fleet

NOX EMISSIONSPassenger car fleet

Predicted NOX (grams.km-1)Petrol Diesel

1973 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

Year of first registration

NO

X(g

ram

s.k

m1

)

1991 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

Year of first registrationN

OX(g

ram

s.k

m1

)

Carslaw, D., Beevers, S. Westmoreland, E. Williams, M. Tate, J. Murrells, T. Stedman, J. Li, Y., Grice, S., Kent, A., Tsagatakis, I. (2011).Trends in NOX and NO2 emissions and ambient measurements in the UK. Version 3, March 2011. http://uk-air.defra.gov.uk/reports/cat05/1108251149_110718_AQ0724_Final_report.pdf

NOX emission factorsObserved vs. UK / EU models

NO2 EMISSIONSPassenger car fleet

Predicted NO2 (grams.km-1)Petrol Diesel

1973 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Year of first registration

NO

2(g

ram

s.k

m1

)

1991 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Year of first registrationN

O2(g

ram

s.k

m1

)

aP

etr

ol-E

0

aP

etr

ol-E

1

aP

etr

ol-E

2

aP

etr

ol-E

3

aP

etr

ol-E

4

aP

etr

ol-E

5

aP

etr

ol-E

6

Die

sel-E

0

Die

sel-E

1

Die

sel-E

2

Die

sel-E

3

Die

sel-E

4

Die

sel-E

5

Die

sel-E

6

Hybrid-E

3

Hybrid-E

4

Hybrid-E

5

HybridD

-E5

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

PM

10(index.k

m1

)

PM10 EMISSIONSPassenger car fleet

Die

sel-E

0

Die

sel-E

1

Die

sel-E

2

Die

sel-E

3

Die

sel-E

4

Die

sel-E

5

Die

sel-E

6

Hackney-E

0

Hackney-E

1

Hackney-E

2

Hackney-E

3

Hackney-E

4

Hackney-E

5

Hackney-E

6

PH

V-E

0

PH

V-E

1

PH

V-E

2

PH

V-E

3

PH

V-E

4

PH

V-E

5

PH

V-E

6

PH

VH

ybrid-E

5

0

1

2

3

4

NO

X(g

ram

s.k

m1

)

TAXISNOX emissions

Die

sel-E

0

Die

sel-E

1

Die

sel-E

2

Die

sel-E

3

Die

sel-E

4

Die

sel-E

5

Die

sel-E

6

Hackney-E

0

Hackney-E

1

Hackney-E

2

Hackney-E

3

Hackney-E

4

Hackney-E

5

Hackney-E

6

PH

V-E

0

PH

V-E

1

PH

V-E

2

PH

V-E

3

PH

V-E

4

PH

V-E

5

PH

V-E

6

PH

VH

ybrid-E

5

0

50

100

150

200

PM

10(index.k

m1

)

TAXISParticulate Matter (tail-pipe emissions)

Double

D-E

0

Double

D-E

1

Double

D-E

2

Double

D-E

3

Double

D-E

4

Double

D-E

5

Double

D-H

EV

Sin

gle

D-E

2

Sin

gle

D-E

3

Sin

gle

D-E

4

Sin

gle

D-E

5

0

5

10

15

NO

X(g

ram

s.k

m1

)

BUSESNOX emissions

cR

13

6JY

Gc

R1

37

JYG

cR

13

8JY

Gc

R1

39

JYG

cR

63

4C

VR

cR

63

6C

VR

cR

63

7C

VR

cR

63

8C

VR

cR

63

9C

VR

cR

64

0C

VR

cR

90

1B

OU

cR

91

3B

OU

cR

91

4B

OU

cR

91

9B

OU

cS

81

1R

WG

cS

81

2R

WG

cS

81

3R

WG

cS

81

4R

WG

cT

81

5M

AK

cT

82

3M

AK

cT

82

4M

AK

cT

82

5M

AK

cT

82

6M

AK

cT

82

8M

AK

cT

82

9M

AK

cT

83

0M

AK

cT

83

1M

AK

cT

83

2M

AK

cT

83

3M

AK

cT

83

5M

AK

cT

83

6M

AK

cT

83

7M

AK

cT

83

8M

AK

cT

83

9M

AK

cT

84

0M

AK

cT

84

1M

AK

cT

84

2M

AK

cT

84

3M

AK

cT

84

4M

AK

cT

85

0M

AK

cT

85

2M

AK

cT

85

7M

AK

cT

85

9M

AK

cT

86

9O

DT

cT

87

2O

DT

cT

87

9O

DT

cT

88

1O

DT

cT

88

2O

DT

cT

88

3O

DT

cT

88

4O

DT

cX

84

0H

HE

dS

F5

5U

AK

dS

F5

5U

AL

dS

F5

5U

AR

dS

F5

5U

AT

dS

F5

5U

AU

dS

F5

5U

AW

dS

F5

5U

AX

dS

F5

5U

AY

dS

F5

5U

AZ

dY

G5

2D

HC

dY

L0

2F

KV

dY

N0

5X

OA

dY

N0

5X

OB

dY

N0

6W

CG

dY

N0

6W

CJ

dY

N0

6W

CL

dY

N0

6W

CM

dY

N0

6W

CP

dY

N0

6W

CR

dY

N5

3P

AO

eY

N0

7K

PR

eY

N0

7K

PX

eY

N0

7K

PY

eY

N0

7K

RF

eY

N0

7K

RG

eY

N0

7K

RJ

eY

N0

7K

RK

eY

N0

7K

RV

eY

N0

7K

RX

eY

N0

7K

RZ

eY

N0

7K

SE

eY

N0

7K

SF

eY

N0

7K

SJ

eY

N0

7K

SV

eY

N0

8JB

Ze

YN

08

JFJ

eY

N0

8JF

Xe

YN

08

JF

Ye

YN

08

JGF

eY

N0

8JG

Ue

YN

08

JGX

eY

N0

8JG

Ye

YN

57

MY

Ce

YN

57

MY

DfL

K6

2F

UJ

fY

N6

2B

DU

fY

N6

2B

HF

fY

N6

2B

MY

fY

N6

2B

NA

fY

N6

2B

NE

fY

X1

1H

NW

fY

X1

1H

NY

fY

X1

1H

NZ

0

5

10

15

20

NO

X(

gra

ms.

km

1

)

Vehicle specific measurements (individual vehicles)The boxes are colour coded according to the vehicles’ Euro standard:• Red = Euro 2• Orange = Euro 3• Yellow = Euro 4• Blue = Euro 5

SINGLE-DECKER BUSESNOX emissions ( > 5 pass-bys)

cW

71

6C

WR

cX

35

8V

WT

dL

K0

3N

HH

dLK

03

NH

Jd

LK

03

NH

Ld

LK

03N

HM

dLT

02

ZC

Yd

LT

02

ZD

Hd

LT

02Z

DJ

dL

T5

2W

TY

dL

T5

2W

TZ

dL

T5

2W

UA

dL

T5

2W

UB

dL

T5

2W

UC

dL

T5

2W

UD

dW

U0

2K

VE

dW

U0

2K

VH

dW

U0

2K

VJ

dW

U0

2K

VK

dW

U0

2K

VL

dW

U0

2K

VM

dW

U0

2K

VO

dW

U0

2K

VP

dY

N5

4V

KA

dY

N5

4V

KC

dY

N5

4V

KE

dY

N5

4V

KF

eY

N0

8L

CJ

eY

N0

8N

LL

eY

N0

8N

LM

eY

N0

8N

LO

eY

N0

8N

LP

eY

N0

8N

LR

eY

N0

8N

LV

eY

N0

8N

LX

eY

N0

8N

LY

eY

N0

8N

MA

eY

N0

8N

ME

eY

N5

8E

SG

eY

N5

8E

SO

eY

N5

8E

SU

eY

N5

8E

SV

eY

N5

8E

SY

eY

N5

8E

TA

eY

N5

8E

TD

eY

N5

8E

TE

eY

N5

8E

TF

eY

N5

8E

TX

eY

N5

8E

TY

fY

N1

2G

YO

fY

N1

2G

YR

fY

N1

2G

YS

fY

N6

0C

JY

fY

N6

0C

JZ

fY

N6

0C

KC

fY

N6

0C

KD

fY

N6

0C

KE

fYN

60

CK

FfY

N6

0C

KG

fY

N6

0C

KJ

fY

N6

0C

KK

fYN

60

CK

LfY

N6

0C

KO

fY

N6

0C

KP

fY

N6

0C

KV

hY

N6

2B

BE

hY

N6

2B

CY

hY

N6

2B

EY

hY

N6

2B

FP

hY

N6

2B

TV

hY

N6

2B

XO

hY

N6

2B

XS

hY

N6

2B

XX

hY

N6

2B

YA

hY

N6

2B

YS

hY

N6

2B

YU

hY

N6

2B

ZG

hY

N6

2B

ZK

0

5

10

15

20

NO

X(g

ram

s.k

m1

)

Vehicle specific measurements (individual vehicles)The boxes are colour coded according to the vehicles’ Euro standard:• Red = Euro 2• Orange = Euro 3• Yellow = Euro 4• Blue = Euro 5• Green = Euro 5 EEVs, Hybrid Buses

DOUBLE-DECKER BUSESNOX emissions ( > 5 pass-bys)

Double

D-E

0

Double

D-E

1

Double

D-E

2

Double

D-E

3

Double

D-E

4

Double

D-E

5

Double

D-H

EV

Sin

gle

D-E

2

Sin

gle

D-E

3

Sin

gle

D-E

4

Sin

gle

D-E

5

0

200

400

600

800

PM

10(index.

km1

)

BUSESParticulate Matter emissions

NEW passenger car resultsLeeds Autumn/ Winter 2014

Die

sel_

E0

Die

sel_

E1

Die

sel_

E2

Die

sel_

E3

Die

sel_

E4

Die

sel_

E5

Die

sel_

E6

Petr

ol_

E0

Petr

ol_

E1

Petr

ol_

E2

Petr

ol_

E3

Petr

ol_

E4

Petr

ol_

E5

Petr

ol_

E6

Petr

olH

ybrid_E

3

Petr

olH

ybrid_E

4

Petr

olH

ybrid_E

5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

NO

X(g

ram

s.k

m1

)

[2]

[2]

[24]

[299]

[970]

[1108]

[39]

[14]

[26]

[156]

[868]

[1131]

[694]

[32]

[2]

[0]

[24]

34

NEW passenger car resultsZurich Remote Sensing Site

35

Zurich, July 201482m elevation gain1.2 kmAv. gradient 6.8 %

ResultsZurich, Summer 2014

36

Die

sel_

E0

Die

sel_

E1

Die

sel_

E2

Die

sel_

E3

Die

sel_

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[13]

[33]

[164]

[1220]

[4250]

[3315]

[3165]

[27]

[228]

[19]

[113]

[629]

[1805]

[2584]

[9141]

[3730]

[4360]

[520]

[233]

[85]

[307]

[3]

The Air Quality ChallengeEurope

High background concentrations for key pollutants

Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and Particulate Mass (PM10)

Complicated by atmospheric chemistry

Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and secondary particle formation

Photochemical smog

Strongly influenced by meteorology

Worst episodes during winter | stable weather conditions

Out-dated vehicle emission legislation and standards

Drive-cycle

Operating conditions

temperature, pressure, rolling resistance, GRADIENT…

Newer diesel vehicles not necessarily cleaner Until recently, EuroVI

Implications for Low Emission Zones

▶ Air quality is acknowledged to be holding back major road building schemes

37

OutlookEuro VI diesel vehicles

Assessment very positive for heavy-duty vehicles (Buses, Coaches, HDVs):

Significantly cleaner in most ‘normal’ operating conditions

Concern for low engine power demand / urban driving e.g. empty running of HDVs

Initial assessment of light-duty EuroVI diesel promising

Good improvement over EuroV diesel

RDE far in excess of emission standard limits

NOX still only comparable with Euro 2 / 3 petrol cars ( > 10 years old )

Low Emission Zones / pricing expected to differentiate petrol & diesel e.g. ULEZ

Worst performance expected in congested, urban driving conditions

Demands continuous review

Not simply evaluation of first generation of EuroVI’s from premium manufacturers

Deterioration of technology unknown

SCR dosage a concern

38

FUTURE WORKMathematical modelling to aid Policy design & ForecastsMicroscopic traffic simulations + instantaneous vehicle emission models

39 Western Bank AIMSUN traffic microsimulation model developed by SYSTRA

FUTURE WORKEvaluating Smart Motorway Operations

40 Highways Agency 2014. Smart motorways – Purpose. Fact sheet 01.https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/363993/Smart_motorways_-_Fact_Sheets.pdf

Future workAssessing emissions across networks to aid Policy design

41 Collaboration with SYSTRA – Sheffield Low Emission Zone feasibility study (2013)