the bookseller ‘futurebook’ live conference the fourth ... seldon.pdf · the time of the...
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The Bookseller ‘Futurebook’ Live Conference
The Fourth Education Revolution
Friday 30th November 2018
Sir Anthony SeldonVice-Chancellor
University of Buckingham
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Metal & coach workers pose in front of the Benz & Co factory in Mannheim.
“AI is coming. To understand the stage we are with Its arrival, we can draw an analogy from the car Industry in 1886. Karl Benz had just invented the Internal combustion engine. People had no idea how the invention would take off, or that it would transform human life across the planet. Thecomparison is wrong though in one respect. AI is far more wide-ranging than the car, andwill carry humans much further.”
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AI is infinitely seductive. It will know us better than our best friends, our parents, our partners. It probably already does. Under the guise of plausibility, is it opening our eyes, shielding oursight, or blinding us?
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“AI will be 'either best or worst thing' for humanity”
“Every aspect of our lives will be transformed. In short, success in creating AI could be the biggest event in the history of our civilisation”
Steven Hawking
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“Artificial intelligence is the biggest risk we face as a civilisation and needs to be checked as soon as possible”
Elon Musk
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The First Revolution - The Dawn of Learningsome five million years ago
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LogicalThe Second Revolution – Organised Learning6000 years ago, cities sprung up on four rivers
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The first schools and the first universities
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The first University, Bologna, 1088
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The Third Revolution – The Printing Press
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and mass education atthe time of the Industrial Revolution
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We are still living in the third education revolution model
Our schools are fundamentally the same as in 1600 –teachers at the front, children in rows, teacher exposition, writing on board at the front of the class, homework, exams, marking, grades, rankings, reports, teachers complaining about workload, parents complaining about heads…
Until…
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The Fourth Revolution – AI
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AI/digital is already transforming
• Transport
• Shopping
• Law firms
• Accountancy
• Agriculture
• Banking
• Healthcare
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The British Government understands
• The impact of AI on transport, health, industry etc.
• It fails to understand the impact of AI on education
• And on the jobs that education is preparing our young for
• And on the kind of skills that the young need to cope
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Why are our schools not doing an even better job for our students, teachers and country?
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Because our ministers, officials, MAT and LA leaders, education departments at universities and our education experts are influenced overwhelmingly and without fully acknowledging it by:
• The PastNot
• The Future
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Five enduring problems with the factory/third education revolution
model
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1. Failure to achieve social mobility
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2. One size doesn’t fit all – age not stage
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3. Teaching drowned out by administration
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4. Narrow focus on just cognitive ability
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5. Homogenisation not individuation
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AI will address all five problems
5. Homogenisation by learning to individuate each student, which will help their mental strength and mental health
1. Social mobility by an “Eton education” for all
2. “Stage” not “age” by personalised learning/AI teachers
3. Admin burden by enhanced teacher time effectiveness
4. Narrowness by learning across all 8 aptitudes and multiple intelligences
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Our schools are preparing students brilliantly – for the twentieth century
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What are schools for?• Prepare students for University?
• Prepare students for work?
• Prepare students for life and family?
• Prepare students for meaning and happiness?
What kind of intelligence are schools developing and is it still fit for purpose?
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What is intelligence?
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The third education era had a very narrow, mean, and limiting understanding of intelligence which is completely out of date in 2018.
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Narrowly defined in 1912 as intelligenzquotient, first used at the
University of Breslau
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Logical
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Linguistic
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Social
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Personal
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Moral
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Spiritual
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Physical
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Cultural
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We are not even preparing our school students for the world of work.
• Oxford Martin School 2013
• David Deming - Harvard working paper 2015
• Richard and Daniel Susskind – The future of the professions 2015
• McKinsey Global Institute January 2017
• IPPR, Carys Roberts, 2017
• PriceWaterhouseCoopers March 2017
• Oxford Martin/Pearson/Nesta 2018
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Harbingers of the future
AltSchools
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Summit public schools
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School of One
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Khan Lab School
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Riverbend School, Chennai
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The five examples of dismembered universities
1. The end of the lecture hall at the University of Northampton
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2. The ‘C-Campus’ or bilateral/trilateral degree
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3. Virtual degrees or ‘nanodegrees’ from Udacity
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4. The Blockchain, the University of One and Woolf University
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5. No universities at all
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We need AI machines to teach our students to become more fully human - the education system currently deploys humans to teach our
young to become more like machines.
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The End