the a’s of vsa - the home of volume spread · pdf filethe a’s of vsa: trade set...
TRANSCRIPT
OBJECTIVES
• Ways to search for Trade Set Ups
• Reading beyond the individual bars
• Understanding the whole picture
• Beware of the News
Where to Begin?
1. You can do a manual search
2. You can look at your multi timeframe scanner
3. You can scan for indicators
Steps for Manual Search
1. Determine the overall trend: looking for SOS in a downtrend, SOW in an uptrend
2. Click on the indicators
3. Read the dialogue boxes – see if signal is confirmed by the next bar
Manual Search Cont’d…
4. Scan the Sequence Set up Guide to find a possible set up
Sequence 2
SOW 26 – Supply Coming In
SOW 7 – Supply Coming In
SOW146 – No Demand
#2: Create a Watch List
You can create a watch list for one or more symbols You can put many timeframes into your watch list Hover over for repeat indicators Fast way to confirm overall trend
Why an Indicator Scan?
• Choose for a Symbol or a Watch List
• Choose the # of Bars
• Quickly check out what the signals are across all timeframes – look for clusters
Supply Coming In
Up Bar
High Close
High Volume = selling present
Ultra High Volume = climactic action, start of distribution/selling phase
Background: if SOW = stronger signal
Future: look for UpThrusts or No Demands
Check for the Why
• If you see ultra high volume
• If you see massive wide spread bars
• Something triggered that activity
Bar A: Supply Coming In
Up Bar High Close Ultra High Volume = Distribution Massive Wide Spread = Climactic Action
Background = I have two SOW SOW #1 = Supply Coming In SOW #2 = No Demand Future = Look for more SOW to confirm
Next bar is up – weakness is not confirmed Look for it to whipsaw or continue to rise
Bar A: Supply Coming In
Up Bar
High Close
Ultra High Volume = climactic action, start of distribution/selling phase
Background: if SOW = stronger signal
Future: look for UpThrusts or No Demands
Bar B = End of a Rising Market
Up Bar Narrow Spread High Volume High Close Fresh New High Ground – look carefully Background – MUST MUST MUST have a SUBSTANTIAL up move (the Supply Coming In) The News will be Good
Bar B = End of a Rising Market
What to expect: Declining Prices Caution/Beware: Down bars w/High Volume Closing Low & Next Bar Up = potential strength ****** I have that! Expect Future Testing **** This weakness will not suddenly disappear – just a waiting period
I might have Sequence 5
• End of a Rising Market
• UpThrust
• No Demand
• With weakness behind me, good news, 30M and 1H confirms trend and weakness
Bar C = Reversal After Effort to Rise
Based on the action of 2bars 1st Bar Up, High Close 2nd Bar Down, takes out gain AKA a Top Reversal Strong signal Because: Higher volume on 1st Bar 1st Bar is into fresh new high ground The high of the 2nd bar is higher than the close of the 1st bar Background = SOW (B&A)
Bar C = Reversal After Effort to Rise
There has been an effort to rise with the increase volume in the 1st bar but with the next bar down it shows supply or selling has disappeared Look for No Demand
Bar D = No Demand
Narrow Spead High Close Lower volume than previous 2 bars Weakness in Background Next Bar Down In an Uptrend = a pause or small decline
Why you hate to wait
• You are trading on what you WANT to happen
• You get emotionally involved
• It’s exciting to see so much volume
• It’s GREAT NEWS
Why you have to wait to short
• You are in an uptrend
• All your diamonds are green
• There is testing within 5 bars after SOW
• Smaller timeframes never turn red (3 or 5)
• The Trend is your Friend
Caution Tape
Be a Trend Trader Be cautious of Trading the News The Sequences are there to build a case for you – They are analyzing the market not telling you to buy or sell Be Patient and wait to see what is there not what you want to be there
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