the antecedents of effectuation: an empirical study within

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The antecedents of effectuation: an empirical study within an incubator Supervising committee dhr. dr. R.C.W. van der Voort, Thesis supervisor dhr. dr. J.J. Ebbers, Co-reader Date of submission: 1 st of June 2017 Master thesis Joint degree Entrepreneurship Olivier Lieshout 10406638 [email protected]

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Page 1: The antecedents of effectuation: an empirical study within

The antecedents of effectuation:

an empirical study within an incubator

Supervising committee

dhr. dr. R.C.W. van der Voort, Thesis supervisor

dhr. dr. J.J. Ebbers, Co-reader

Date of submission: 1st of June 2017

Master thesis

Joint degree Entrepreneurship

Olivier Lieshout

10406638

[email protected]

Page 2: The antecedents of effectuation: an empirical study within

Abstract

Entrepreneurs frequently face uncertainty while starting a new venture

which can influence entrepreneurial behavior. The conceptual work on

effectuation theory suggest that entrepreneurs will be influenced by

uncertainty and their own experience. Nevertheless empirical evidence

supporting the possible antecedents of effectual behavior is lacking.

Therefore, this thesis tries to explain which factors might influence the

decision-making of an entrepreneur. This research analyses the effect of

the growth stage of a firm on the entrepreneurial behavior, which has

thus far not been empirically tested. The antecedents of effectuation were

studied using multiple regression on a sample of 110 owners and

founders of firms housed within a Dutch incubator. The results suggest

that a causal approach is more common within the incubator and that the

market dynamism does not affect this. Furthermore, entrepreneurial

experience has been found to have a negative relationship with effectual

behavior, whereas the growth stage of the firm is positively related to the

use effectuation.

Statement of Originality

This document is written by student Olivier Lieshout who declares to take full responsibility

for the contents of this document. I declare that the text and the work presented in this

document is original and that no sources other than those mentioned in the text and its

references have been used in creating it. The University of Amsterdam and de Vrije

Univeristeit Amsterdam are responsible solely for the supervision of completion of the work,

not for the contents.

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Table of Contents

1. Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 4

2. Theoretical framework ....................................................................................................... 5

2.1 Effectuation and causation processes ............................................................................... 5

2.3 Uncertainty and effectuation ............................................................................................ 7

2.4 Experience and Effectuation ............................................................................................ 9

2.5 Life stages and Effectuation .......................................................................................... 11

3 Methods…………………………………………………………………………………13

3.1 Sample............................................................................................................................ 13

3.2 Operationalizations......................................................................................................... 14

Antecedents ...................................................................................................................... 15

Dependent variables ......................................................................................................... 16

Control variable ................................................................................................................ 17

3.3 Method of analysis ......................................................................................................... 17

4. Results .............................................................................................................................. 18

Dynamism ......................................................................................................................... 20

Experience ........................................................................................................................ 20

Education level ................................................................................................................. 21

Growth stage ..................................................................................................................... 21

5. Further analysis of the results and discussion .................................................................. 22

Incubators ......................................................................................................................... 23

Growth stage ..................................................................................................................... 24

Measurement of entrepreneurial behavior ........................................................................ 25

6. Conclusion ........................................................................................................................ 27

Limitations ........................................................................................................................ 27

Suggestions for future research ........................................................................................ 28

Appendix .................................................................................................................................. 29

Appendix 1- Results testing hypotheses............................................................................... 29

Appendix 2 – Results further analysis ................................................................................. 32

Appendix 3 - Questionnaire ................................................................................................. 34

Bibliography ............................................................................................................................ 39

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1. Introduction

In the process of starting a new venture, entrepreneurs often have to make decisions facing a

lot of uncertainty (Alvarez and Barney, 2005). The behavior of the entrepreneur in these

environments is important for the understanding of the entrepreneurship and the economy as

a whole (Chandler et al., 2011), as entrepreneurship and the innovation it brings can have a

positive effect on economic growth (Wennekers & Turik, 1999).

In the understanding of entrepreneurial behavior, effectuation initiated a shift in the paradigm

(Perry et al., 2012). Sarasvathy (2001) proposed effectuation as a new perspective on how

economical artifacts emerge. The theory follows logics opposing the traditional economic

logic of analyzing and planning (Read et al., 2005). Effectuation is built on the perspective

that in the uncertainty, which is inherent to entrepreneurship, is not suited for an analytical

approach. This would cause entrepreneurs to use non-predictive logics (Fisher, 2012).

Perry et al. (2012) state that the literature on effectuation is in need of more empirical

research. However, most of the empirical research conducted over the last years has a strong

focus on performance (Cai et al, 2016; Deligianni et al. 2017; Roach et al., 2016). The

antecedents of effectual behavior on the other hand have often been neglected. Although the

conceptual work suggests strong effects of the environment in which an entrepreneur is active

and the experience of an entrepreneur on his entrepreneurial behavior, empirical research thus

far does not reinforce these relationships. As effectuation is often seen as a superior type of

entrepreneurial behavior (Read et al., 2005), it is important to understand what factors might

lead to this behavior. Therefore, the goal of this study is to empirically test what factors

influence the decision-making logics used by entrepreneurs.

In this research I will study whether market dynamism, entrepreneurial experience and the

growth stage of a firm affects entrepreneurial behavior. This adds to the existing literature on

effectuation in three ways. Firstly, in this studies the effect of the growth stage on the

entrepreneurial behavior is tested. This is valuable since it has been theorized that effectual

behavior might diminish as a company grows. Earlier empirical research has so far only used

age of a firm and size to study the effects of maturity of a firm on decision-making logics.

Secondly, the data used in this study was collected in an incubator. The specific

characteristics of the environment in which the companies are active might have an effect on

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the behavior of entrepreneurs. Therefore, it is relevant to study the antecedents in this

context, as studying the behavior in different environments can help deepen the

understanding of effectuation. Thirdly, the findings of this studies add to the empirical data

on the antecedents of effectual behavior. As empirical data on the interaction of these factors

is scarce this research adds by testing the interaction between the different proposed

components that cause effectual behavior.

The research is built up as follows; in section 2 the theoretical background of effectuation and

causation is discussed and hypotheses concerning the antecedents are deducted from the

theory. In section 3 the data and the methodology used will be explicated. The results of the

tests will be presented and interpreted in section 4. In section 5 the findings will be discussed

and further analyzed to test the robustness of the results. and the results with suggestions for

further research. Section 6 discusses the limitations of the study, suggestions for future

research and concludes the research.

2. Theoretical framework

In this section first effectuation and causation will be presented an discussed. This is

followed by an overview and discussion of the possible antecedents of effectual behavior that

are described in the literature. Based on this overview hypotheses will be formulated for the

possible effect of market dynamism, entrepreneurial experience and growth stage of a form

on decision-making logics.

2.1 Effectuation and causation processes

Sarasvathy (2001) tried to challenge the traditional theory on entrepreneurial behavior, often

labeled causation, by juxtaposing it to effectuation. Causation builds on the traditional

economic logics (Fisher, 2012), where an assessment of the potential costs and benefits over

time is fundamental. An entrepreneur is assumed to first set a goal and afterwards allocate the

means to achieve this goal (Dew et al., 2009). This is done via a consecutive process of

discovering, evaluating and exploiting opportunities (Shane & Venkataraman, 2000).

Causation processes are driven by intense analysis of an opportunity in terms of return and

risk (Read et al., 2009) The success of emerging firms is argued to be dependent on the

ability to analyze and select business opportunities (Chandler et al, 2011).

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The introduction of effectuation was guided by the discrepancy between the environment

implied by causation and the actual environment in which entrepreneurs are active. An

entrepreneur often faces uncertainty and ambiguity rather than risk. In a situation that is

characterized by risk, the amount of possible outcomes is limited (Knight, 1921). On the

other hand, in a situation of uncertainty there is a unlimited amount of possible outcomes

(LeRoy & Singell, 1987).

Alvarez and Barney (2007) argue that a situation of risk might be better approached in an

analytical way. However, in a situation of ambiguity and uncertainty people will make

decisions differently, since they lack the possibility to thoroughly analyze the opportunity

(Sarasvathy, 2001 ). As analyzing and forecasting a new and uncertain market is problematic,

entrepreneurs will focus on the effects they can create with their own means, rather than

selecting means to reach a goal (Sarasvathy, 2008).

2.2 Differences between Causation and Effectuation

The difference between the two approaches can be described with a simplified example used

by Sarasvathy (2001). In the process of preparing a meal for dinner, one could take either a

causal approach or an effectual approach. When one first defines what to cook and

consecutively buys all the ingredients needed to cook exactly what they decided to prepare, it

is a process of causation. On the other hand, when the starting point would be the ingredients

one has already and how they can be used to make a meal, it would be an effectual approach.

Effectuation incorporates five main principles which contrast with the theory of causation

(Sarasvathy, 2008).

First, effectual behavior has a strong focus on the means of the entrepreneur, rather than his/

her goal, which is the main driver in causation. In a situation of uncertainty it is challenging

to define the future outcomes and therefore the focus will be on the means at hand. In

effectuation the goal of the entrepreneur is not clearly defined or easily adjusted (Fisher,

2012). In the causal logic the goal is important and the entrepreneur will allocate the means

needed to reach these goals.

Second, using effectual decision-making the ‘affordable loss’ is essential, whereas causation

is guided by expected returns. The principle of affordable loss states that an entrepreneur will

not invest more than he is willing to lose, regardless the payoff (Dew et al., 2008). Taking the

affordable loss as a main driver of investments, eliminates the need for clear prediction of the

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future (Saravathy, 2008). Furthermore, the principle of affordable loss diminishes of the role

of uncertainty in early stage funding decisions (Sarasvathy, 2008). A causal approach relies

on estimating the return on an investment, where the risk of the investment has to correspond

with the return.

Third, in effectuation emphasis is on strategic collaboration rather than competitive analysis.

Due to innovative nature of entrepreneurship competition is hard to define (Fisher, 2012).

Furthermore, the focus on partnerships and precommitments of stakeholders can reduce the

uncertainty that comes with emergence of a new venture (Perry et al., 2012). By bringing

extra stakeholders in the consequences of a failure for the firm itself might be lower which

can ease operating in new markets (Alvarez and Barney, 2005). Following a causal approach

an entrepreneur would try to gain a competitive advantage analyzing the competition

intensively.

Fourth, effectuation has a focus on exploiting contingencies instead of avoidance of

contingencies. Using an effectual approach one is expected to remain flexible and therefore

able to adjust to changes in the market and environment, whereas with a causal approach the

goal is set, which results in an avoidance of uncertainty (Chandler, et al 2011). Entrepreneurs

using effectual behavior will see uncertainty as a possibility rather than something you have

to refrain from.

Fifth, effectuation follows a non-predictive logic, whereas causation follows a predictive

logic. The rationale of effectuation can be described as ‘to the extend we can control the

future we do not need to predict it’ (Sarasvathy, 2008, p. 91). A non-predictive logic allows

entrepreneurs to adapt to the uncertain environment in which they are active. Firms focusing

on control will be able to reduce the need to predict the future and might therefore be more

successful in uncertain situations (Wiltbank et al. 2006).

2.3 Uncertainty and effectuation

As already described in the previous section, the uncertain environment in which starting

firms operate is often theorized to lead to effectual behavior (Sarasvathy 2001; 2008; Fisher

2012; Harms and Schiele, 2012). Minzberg (1993) argues that environments are always

unpredictable and that therefore long term planning will give poor results. When an

entrepreneur faces uncertainty the logics of effectuation allow him/her to stay in control of

the outcome (Chandler et al., 2011).

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Uncertainty is something constructed rather than absolute (Daft and Weick, 1984) and

therefore the perception of the entrepreneur is really important. An entrepreneur with

extensive knowledge of a market might perceive the uncertainty of the market different than

an entrepreneur lacking this knowledge (Dew et al. 2008).

Empirical research has been done on the link between uncertainty and effectuation. Chandler

et al. (2011) found that uncertainty has a negative effect on causal behavior. On the other

hand, they did not find a significant relationship between uncertainty and effectual behavior.

However, they did find a positive relation between uncertainty and ‘experimentation’ which

they argue is effectual behavior. Uncertainty was measured using four statements about the

ease of decision-making and adapting to a dynamic environment. Applying the same

measurement for uncertainty, Alsos et al. (2016) found a strong link between effectuation and

uncertainty.

Besides this, also other approaches to define the antecedents of effectuation have been used.

Fisher (2012) studied the decision-making logics of six internet based ventures that were

founded around 2000. The analysis was based on extensive qualitative data concerning the

development and growth of the firms. Fisher (2012) argues that firms within this market are

likely to experience uncertainty due to the dynamism in the market. Dynamic markets can be

characterized by changes in technologies, customer preferences, demand and competition

(Volberda & van Bruggen, 1997). Fisher (2012) found that these firms indeed follow a more

effectual logic than a causal logic. However, the approaches are not mutually exclusive, since

in some cases both effectual and causal logic where used simultaneously (Fisher, 2012).

Harms and Schiele (2012) focused on internationalizing high growth firms when studying the

antecedents of effectual behavior. They defined the uncertainty of the expansion as the

perceived dynamism of the international market that a firm was entering. Harms and Schiele

(2012) found that more dynamic markets are more likely entered using effectual behavior, on

the other hand the effect of causation was not significant. This however could be due to the

small sample (N=65) used in their studies (Harms and Schiele, 2012). Mthani and Urban

(2014) found that the use of effectuation processes in large high tech firms are not related to

the dynamism of the market in which they operate. As the firms were heterogeneous in

maturity they controlled for age and size of the firm. Gruber (2007) found that market impact

of business planning is negative in dynamic environments. Which suggests that dynamic

markets would optimally not be approached using causation.

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Although conceptual work on effectuation suggest strong links between uncertainty and

effectual behavior, empirical studies so far do not show a clear link between uncertainty and

effectuation. Perry et al. (2012) suggest that more empirical research needs to be done to

deepen the understanding of effectuation processes and its antecedents. In this research the

perceived dynamism of the market is used to study the effect of uncertainty of the market on

both causation and effectuation. As in a dynamic market the changes in demand, supply and

technology are frequent, dynamic environments can be characterized as uncertain.

Building on the work conceptual work of Sarasvathy (2001, 2008) and the empirical work

Fisher (2012) and Harms and Schiele (2012) the influence of market dynamism is expected to

be positive on effectual behavior. Contrasting, a more dynamic environment is expected to

have a negative effect on the use of causation.

H1a: Market dynamism has a positive effect on the use of effectuation principles

H1b: Market dynamism has a negative effect on the use of causation principles

2.4 Experience and Effectuation

Besides the dynamism of the market, it is also suggested that entrepreneurial experience is an

antecedent of effectual behavior (Read et al., 2005; Dew et al. 2009). This is based on the

perception that effectuation is a form of entrepreneurial expertise and therefore positively

related to the performance of a firm (Chandler et al. 2011). Read et al. (2005) linked the

processes of effectuation with the literature on expertise in general. Their studies suggests

that successful and experienced entrepreneurs are more likely to use effectual approaches

(Read et al., 2005). An important part of the expertise process is learning and mastering a

certain behavior. One of the components of gaining expertise is knowledge on the domain

(Shanteau, 1992), which can be gained through entrepreneurial experience (Dew et al., 2009).

Cope and Watts (2000) argue that entrepreneurs learn and gain experience by encountering

incidents in the entrepreneurial process and the reflection on those incidents. Johannisson et

al. (1998) suggest that entrepreneurial experience helps entrepreneurs when making business

decisions under uncertainty, as the earlier involvement in entrepreneurship has provided tacit

knowledge. Therefore, the level of experience of an entrepreneur can influence the behavior

since the learning process might guide an entrepreneur towards effectuation.

In addition to conceptual studies, empirical research has been done to test the relation

between experience and effectuation. Cai et al. (2016) found that the use of effectuation and

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exploratory learning has a positive effect on the performance of a firm. Politis (2008) found

that habitudinal entrepreneurs are slightly more likely to use effectual behavior than novice

entrepreneurs.

Another effect of entrepreneurial experience can be increased self-confidence as an

entrepreneur. Inexperienced entrepreneurs have been found more likely to use effectuation

logics if they are more confident in their entrepreneurial capabilities (Engel et al., 2014).

Furthermore, experience influences the probability that one will engage in entrepreneurship

as it changes the perception of feasibility of projects and ventures (Kreuger, 1993). Harms

and Schiele (2012) found a positive effect of international experience on the use of

effectuation in the internationalization process. Johnson and McKelvie (2012) studied the use

of decision making logics in a corporate context and found only partial support for a positive

effect of experience on the use of effectuation logics.

Altogether, the studied literature suggests that a more experienced entrepreneur is the more

likely he/she is to use of effectual logic. Following this reasoning the following hypotheses

can be formulated.

H2a: The use of effectual behavior is positively affected by the entrepreneurial experience of

the entrepreneur

H2b: The use of causal behavior is negatively affected by the entrepreneurial experience of

the entrepreneur

Furthermore, Harms and Schiele (2012) suggest that experience and the perceived dynamism

of the market have an interacting effect. An experienced entrepreneur is expected to be more

likely to use effectual behavior in general. However, in situations where the future is

predictable, they might use a predictive logic since this can be beneficial in these situations

(Harms and Schiele, 2012). Effectuation might not be superior behavior in each situation. For

example, Brews and Hunt (1999) found, studying a sample of firms more than 4 years old, a

positive relation between financial performance and the amount of formal planning. In the

situation that one wants to reach a clear goal effectuation will not be optimal, as the effectual

nature will draw the focus away from the goal (Sarasvathy, 2008). On the other hand,

inexperienced entrepreneurs might find it straightforward to use a more text-book logic in an

uncertain environment, which would make them less likely to adopt effectuation logic.

Therefore, it is proposed that the perceived uncertainty might have a moderating effect on the

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influence of entrepreneurial experience. Harms and Schiele (2012) tested this in a context of

internationalizing firms and found partial support for the hypothesis. Therefore, it is

interesting to see if this effect is suggested by the data that is collected within a incubator,

H3a: The perceived uncertainty has a moderating effect on the relation between experience

and the extent to which effectuation is used: The higher the perceived uncertainty in a market,

the stronger the relation between experience the extent to which effectuation is used.

H3b: The perceived uncertainty has a moderating effect on the relation between experience

and the extent to which causation is used: The lower the perceived uncertainty in a market,

the stronger the relation between experience the extent to which causation is used.

2.5 Life stages and Effectuation

Apart from the individual experience of the entrepreneur and the perceived uncertainty of the

environment, the characteristics of a firm might influence the decision-making logic used. A

small and starting venture is likely to use different logics than a stable and large company due

to the large contrast in maturity of the venture.

It has been proposed that firms follow a path of different life stages, which can be used to

define distinct phases through which a firm moves while growing (Greiner, 1972; Churchill

and Lewis, 1983). There has been a large effort to define and measure different stages of such

a growth path (McMahon, 1998). A multitude of stages that firms go through in their life

cycle have been proposed, reaching form 3 to 10 stages (Hanks et al., 1993). A common way

to define different stages is investigating the problems that a company faces at a certain time,

for these will differ between various stages (Kazanjian, 1989). Besides examining the most

urgent challenges a company has, it is also important to take into account that not every

company wants to grow (Stanworth and Curran, 1976). Some entrepreneurs might not persue

growth as they prefer the freedom they have owning a smaller firm (Davidsson, 1989).

Therefore, the growth ambition of the entrepreneur is an important factor in the growth of a

firm. Furthermore, some companies might reach a point at which they are no longer able to

grow due to the resources they have or market they are active in (Hanks et al. 1993).

Notwithstanding, later growth stage firms on average have more employees, are older and

have more complex management systems (Hanks et al. 1993).

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In the literature on effectuation the growth of a firm has also been discussed. Sarasvathy

(2008) proposes that over time the decision-making process might evolve towards a causal

approach, as a firm will have more possibility to analyze the opportunities at hand.

‘I would predict that most enduring high-growth firms, particularly firms that transformed

industries and opened up new markets, would have begun effectually. In other words, if we

look closely at the early stage histories of enduring firms, we should be able to trace patterns

of effectual actions in their origins. But as they survive and grow, their management will

need to become more causal, particularly in exploiting the new markets they have created

and building on long term competitive advantages’ (Sarasvathy, 2008; p. 132)

The extra knowledge about markets, products and clients might make a more goal focused

logic possible (Sarasvathy, 2001). Laaksonen et al. (2010) present support for a change from

effectual behavior when a company is starting and resource poor, towards causal behavior as

a new venture gets more mature. Mature companies that have more resources will be more

likely to follow manage these resources in an effectual way (Sarasvathy, 2008). Furthermore,

during the process of growing a firm will become more familiar with the customers and

suppliers which will allow for more predictive logics. Following this reasoning behavior is

expected to differ in different growth stages of a firm. In most empirical research the size and

age are used as controls to filter the effects that might be caused by this proposed relationship

(Mthanti & Urban, 2014; Harms and Schiele, 2012). However, due to the diversity in growth

paths of firms measuring size and age is not an optimal measure of its growth (Delmar et al.,

2003). Therefore, it is important to define growth stages, to be able to measure the effect of

growth of a firm on effectual behavior. Based on this logic it can be expected that firms that

find themselves in later stages might use a more causal approach.

H4a: Early growth stage firms will be more likely to use effectuation than later growth stage

firms

H4b: Early growth stage firms will be less likely to use effectuation than later growth stage

firms.

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Figure 1 – The antecedents of effectual and causal behavior

1. Figure 1 shows the antecedents that are hypothesized to have an effect on the entrepreneurial behavior that is used.

Each antecedent is connected to an different aspect of the a venture. As a mediating relation is suggested of the

uncertainty of the market on the effect of entrepreneurial experience, these two are also connected with a line.

3. Methods

In this section I will first describe the sample used for this studies. As the data is collected

within an incubator the implications of the environment for that data are also discussed.

Subsequently the operationalizations of the variables will be explained followed by a detailed

description of method of analysis.

3.1 Sample

Perry et al. (2012) argue that effectuation literature is now in an intermediate state. They

propose, based on a review of the literature, that survey data will help to further test

conceptualized relationships. Therefore, surveys were conducted to study the effect of

dynamism, entrepreneurial experience and the growth stage of a firm on decision-making by

entrepreneurs. The collection of the data was done within a Dutch incubator. The setting in

which the data was collected is interesting since incubators are an important pillar in the start-

up ecosystem (WEF, 2014). Incubators can help new ventures by creating a supporting

environment (Peters et al., 2004), by offering favorable rental conditions (Bergek and

Norrman, 2008), and by the reducing the cost through sharing and co-location of services

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(Bergek and Norrman, 2008). For example, sharing the overhead cost of cleaning, printing

and supporting personnel (Allen and Raman, 1985). Moreover, business incubators often

provide access to expert business advice and facilitate networking for starting ventures

(Bøllingtoft and Ulhøi, 2005).

These characteristics of an incubator might influence the entrepreneurial behavior of

entrepreneurs. For example, the natural way of sharing housing, personnel and other costs

with other companies might cause the focus to be less on competitive analysis and more on

how companies can help each other. The large amount of companies within one building

might also encourage partnerships and collaboration between companies.

Apart from that the guidance of expert entrepreneurs may affect the entrepreneurial behavior

of the companies within an incubator. As it has been found that entrepreneurial expertise and

effectuation are related it could be that the guidance will encourage on effectual behavior.

Therefore, it could be that more effectuation is used within an incubator than in a regular

environment.

The data was be collected in B. Amsterdam, which is an incubator that houses 216 start-ups.

B. Amsterdam as an incubator has a focus on facilitation of networking and creating an

entrepreneurial and inspiring environment (B. Amsterdam, n.d.). Collecting data within an

incubator is appealing due to the highly entrepreneurial environment. Furthermore, it is

interesting to see whether the results from companies within an incubator are similar to

earlier found results. The data was collected from the owners, founders or general managers

of the firms. Three companies were left out since the founder, manager and owner did not

work within the office in the incubator. The survey was first send by e-mail, after which

every company was also approached in person to ensure a high response rate. The final

sample consists of 110 respondents, managers or founders and therefore the response rate is

50.9%. The companies are diverse in size, industries and growth phase. The survey data

consists of measurements of the dynamism of the market, the use of effectuation and

causation principles, the growth stage of the company, the growth ambitions and

entrepreneurial experience of the entrepreneur.

3.2 Operationalizations

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Antecedents

Dynamism of the market is measured using a scale provided by Volberda et al. (2012) This

measure of dynamism is based on the perspective of the respondent. The perception of the

entrepreneur is important since his/her behavior is based on this, as uncertainty is not

absolute but constructed (Sarasvathy, 2001). This is measured with 6 statements about the

perceived frequency of changes and the impact of changes in the market in which the

entrepreneur is active. These questions were answered on a 7 point Likert scale (Likert,

1932). The full questionnaire is presented in appendix 3. To evaluate the reliability of the

constructs, the Cronbach’s α (Cronbach, 1951) has been computed for each scale variable.

The descriptive statistics and the Cronbach’s alpha’s of all used variables can be found in

Table 1. For this scale the Cronbach’s α .884, which is a high test score that suggests no

problems with the reliability of the scale (Murphy & Davidshofer, 1988).

Entrepreneurial experience is measured by the number of firms the person has been founder

of before starting with the current company. Read and Sarasvathy (2005) argue that an

entrepreneur who has started multiple companies has found out that the effectual approach is

more effective. Read and Sarasvathy (2005) also state that the experience in the starting

phase rather than the managing phase is important. Since encountering problems and the

reflection on these problems are essential in entrepreneurial learning (Cope & Watts, 2000),

also unsuccessful attempts setting up a company will bring additional entrepreneurial

experience (Nanda & Sorensen, 2010). Therefore, the amount of companies founded will be a

suiting measure of the previous entrepreneurial experience of the entrepreneur.

The growth-stage measure is based on the four different stages defined by Kazanjian (1988).

The stages are defined by measuring how apparent different types of problems, which are

specific to each stage, are at that point in time. This was done using a scale measuring the

relevance of problems, on a 7 point Likert scale, in 20 statements each covering stage specific

problems (Kazanjian, 1988) However, to improve the taxonomy extra data has been used to

clearly define the growth stage. Since the personal ambition of an entrepreneur is important

for the growth of a company data on the ambition of the entrepreneur have been included.

Therefore it is possible to that a company that is not a large or an old company is still at the

end of its growth cycle. This has been measured by asking the entrepreneur for the size of the

company now in FTE and the ideal size of the firm in 5 year in FTE. Furthermore, data on the

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age and size have been used to increase the quality of the classification. The stages are then

coded as follows: conceptualization & development =1, commercialization and early

growth=2, growth =3 and stability =4.

Dependent variables

The measurement of the effectuation and causation principles is based on Alsos, Clausen and

Solvoll (2014). This scale covers the different aspects of effectual and causal behavior. The

scale measures effectuation and causation by asking respondents to state whether they agree

or disagree with ten statements on a 7 point Likert-scale. Five statements concern effectual

behavior and five statements concern causal behavior. As it has been found that both

decision-making logics can be used simultaneously (Fisher, 2012; Chandler et al. 2011) it is

important to use measures for both effectuation and causation Alsos et al (2016). Therefore,

both separately will be used as dependent variables.

Murphy and Davidshofer (1988) state that a Cronbach’s alpha below 0.6 would be of an

unacceptable level for research. They argue that a score between 0.6 and 0.7 is low but

acceptable. Unfortunately, the score of the scale for effectuation was below this threshold (α

= .584). To increase the consistency two statements were removed. ‘Instead of calculating

how much profit we will gain when we invest, we invest based on the resources we have at

our disposal’ and ‘We base our cooperation with others on informal agreements, which are

changed depending on what they can offer’. This increases the Cronbach’s alpha to 0.649,

which is an acceptable level according to Murphy and Davidshofer (1988).A reason that

measurement of effectuation does not provide data with a high internal consistency, might be

that the scale only uses one statement for each principle of effectuation. As effectuation is a

construct that is made up out of separate factors that do not necessarily all have to be

effective at the same time (Sarasvathy, 2008). Chandler et al. (2012) also found that the five

constructs can vary, they argue that ‘strategic collaboration and making precommitments’ is

not specific effectual behavior, as they found that this also fits within the causal logic.

Therefore, it would have been better to increase the reliability by asking multiple questions

on each principle. On the other hand, the scale provided data with a Cronbach’s α of 0.74

when used by Alsos et al. (2016).

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Control variable

Education level is included as a control variable. Education level is often used as a proxy for

human capital, which has been found an important influence on entrepreneurial behavior

(Davidsson & Honig, 2003). A possible effect is that due to the more managerial and

analytical nature of causation, causal behavior might be used more frequently by higher

educated. Whereas the more hands on approach adopted in lower level education, might fit

better with effectual principles. To measure the level of education all entrepreneurs were

asked for the highest level of education they’ve completed. Educational level has been

divided in 5 different levels; Community College, Higher Vocational Education, University

Bachelor, University Master and PHD. These have respectively have been coded with the

numbers 1 to 5.

3.3 Method of analysis

First off, to get a better understanding of the collected data, a correlation matrix will be

computed. As linear regression will be used to test the hypothesis the correlation matrix is

important. When the correlation between different independent variables is to high this could

cause multi-collinearity. Besides that, the levels of skewness and kurtosis will be inspected to

evaluate whether normality of the variables can be assumed. Consequently, to test whether

the data is homoscedastic a Glejser test (Glejser, 1969) will be performed. This test regresses

the estimated errors of the regression on the independent variables. If significant relations are

found the hypothesis of homoscedasticity should be rejected. This is important as one of the

assumptions when using OLS is that no heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation is present.

Moreover, a paired t-test is done to see whether there is a difference in the average level of

effectuation and causation used by the companies in the sample.

To be able to study whether the described variables have an effect on the entrepreneurial

behavior of the respondents, I will use linear regression. This regression will be done using

Ordinary Least Squares which gives an estimation of the ‘best fitting line’ within the data.

The regression coefficients are tested for significance with a t-test. As it has been found that

causation and effectuation are not opposites (Chandler et al., 2011), it is better to use both

causation and effectuation as dependent variables in separate linear regressions (Harms and

Schiele, 2012).

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First to estimate whether market dynamism and entrepreneurial experience have an effect on

the use of effectuation and causation we will use the equations (1a) and (1b). These equations

do not yet include the variable that measures the growth stage. The first estimate is done

without the growth stage, as this variable has not been used in earlier research before. By

doing so it is possible to see if the addition of this variable changes the findings. If adding

this variable to the equation does not change the estimations of (1a) and (1b) this will add to

the robustness of these results.

(1a) Effectuation = β0 + β1 * dynamism + β2 * experience + β3 * education + ε

(1b) Effectuation = β0 + β1 * dynamism + β2 * experience + β3 * education + ε

To evaluate the influence of the growth stage of a company on the entrepreneurial behavior,

we will use equations (2a) and (2b). These include the variable growth stage and the other

variables that were already included in (1a) and (1b). The growth stage variable is added to

test the theorized decrease in effectual behavior and increase in causal behavior when a firm

grows.

(2a) Effectuation = β0 + β1 * dynamism + β2 * experience + β3 * education + β4 * Growth stage + ε

(2b) Causation = β0 + β1 * dynamism + β2 * experience + β3 * education + β4 * Growth stage + ε

To verify whether the effect of experience moderates the effect of market dynamism, an

interaction variable is created. This variable, dynamism*experience, will be added to the

regressions equations (2a) and (2b) which results in equations (3a) and (3b). The interaction

variable will be used to determine if the effect of experience differs when the market changes.

(3a) Effectuation =β0 + β1 * dynamism + β2 * experience +β3 * education + β4 * Growth stage + β5 * dynamism*experience +ε

(3b) Causation = β0 + β1 * dynamism + β2 * experience +β3 * education + β4 * Growth stage + β5 * dynamism*experience +ε

4. Results

In this section the results of the will be presented and discussed. This will be done following

the same sequence as in which the hypotheses were formulated.

Table 2 shows the correlations between the variables. Although these correlations will not be

used to test the hypotheses, it useful to get a good insight on the collected data. The

correlation between effectuation and causation is negative and significant at the 1% level.

This implies that when an entrepreneur uses more effectual behavior he/she is likely to use

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less causation. Nevertheless, this does not imply that the two are complete opposing logics,

since the coefficient is not -1.

Furthermore, the correlation matrix shows that the growth stage is significantly correlated

with the size and age of the firm, which follows the logic that a more mature company is

normally bigger and older. However, due to these significant correlations, age and size will

be left out as independent variables in the regressions when the variable growth stage is

included. This is done to ensure that there will be no multi-collinearity in the regression. The

relation of growth stage with effectuation and causation will be discussed with the regression

results.

When using OLS it is important that the variables can be assumed to be normally distributed.

To evaluate this the skewness and kurtosis of each variable can be inspected. These are

provided in table 1 in appendix 1. When these values are between -2 and 2 the variables can

be assumed to be suitable for OLS (George & Mallery, 2010). The values for all the variables

used in the regressions for both skewness and kurtosis fall between -2 and 2. The high values

of skewness and kurtosis of both age and size of the firm are no obstacle, as these variables

were solely used to improve the taxonomy of the growth stages.

Moreover, it is essential that the data is homoscedastic to estimate using OLS. Table 3 shows

the results of the Glesjer test performed. This was done for the main equations testing the

antecedents of entrepreneurial behavior, namely (2a) and (2b). The results show no

significant relationships between the absolute unstandardized residuals and the independent

variables. Therefore, it can be assumed that the variables are homoscedastic.

Table 4 shows the results of a paired t-test on the difference between effectuation and

causation. This test is interesting, since it can help determine whether the means of two

variables significantly differ. Due to the entrepreneurial environment in which the data was

collected it is interesting to see how the these values compare. Based on the earlier described

function of incubators it could be that within with this entrepreneurial environment more

effectuation would be used than causation. Nonetheless, the results from table 3 show that

over the whole sample the level of causation used is significantly higher than effectuation.

This can be seen from the significant negative mean of the difference between effectuation

and causation. Although this finding is interesting it is not enough to draw any conclusions

concerning the hypothesis. The regression analysis can help determine what factors explain

the high value of causal behavior within the incubator.

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Table 5 and 6 show the results of the regressions ran including the different independent

variables. Table 5 shows the results of the regression with effectuation as dependent variable

whereas Table 6 shows the results of the regression with causation as dependent variable.

Dynamism

The results suggest that dynamism of the market does not influence the entrepreneurial

behavior. For neither causation nor effectuation any significant effect of market dynamism is

found. Although theoretically this relation has been described multiple times the data does

not provide evidence of this relationship. It could be that the dynamism of the market does

not have a direct effect on the behavior of entrepreneurs, as other empirical studies did not

find a significant effect or only a partial effect of market dynamism on effectuation (Mthani

and Urban, 2014; Harms and Schiele, 2012).

Experience

The results in table 5 reveal a significant negative effect of entrepreneurial experience on

effectuation in regression (1a) and (1b), (β = .132, P= 0.077; β = .125, P = 0.092). The

results from table 6 indicate a significant positive effect of experience on causation in

regression (1b) and (2b), respectively (β = .118, P= 0.067; β = .106, P = 0.082). This suggests

that the more experienced an entrepreneur is the more he/she will rely on causal behavior. As

hypothesis 1A and 1B suggest that experience will have a negative effect on causal behavior

and a positive relation with effectual behavior, these findings run counter the hypothesis.

An explanation for the positive effect of experience on the use of causation could be that

experience has provided the entrepreneur with more ability to use causal behavior in a start-

up scenario. As an entrepreneur has more experience he might have a better understanding of

the long term possibilities for a venture and is more likely to determine what is needed to get

towards that goal. When one is more experienced with forecasting and analysis, it could be

that this does become more useful for a starting company (Brews and Hunt, 1999).

Another reason for these unexpected findings could be the reduction of uncertainty that

experience brings for entrepreneurship as a whole. Fraser and Greene (2006) argue that extra

entrepreneurial experience reduces the uncertainty concerned with starting a business.

Therefore, it could be that more experienced entrepreneurs perceive less uncertainty within

the opportunity as a whole. This could, due to reduced uncertainty, lead to more causal

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behavior. At the same time, this would explain the negative effect of experience on

effectuation. This proposed diminished ambiguity is likely not to be included in the

dynamism variable for it measures the dynamism of the market and not the overall

uncertainty of the opportunity.

The interaction variable experience*dynamism does not show any significant effect on

effectuation or causation. This variable was included in the multiple regressions (3a) and (3b)

to test whether there is a moderating effect of market dynamism on the effect that experience

has on the entrepreneurial behavior. The intuition behind this hypothesis was that a more

experienced entrepreneur is more likely to adjust well to the dynamics of the market.

However, for both effectuation and causation this coefficient has not been found significant.

This could be due to the lack of relation between the level of dynamism in the market and

effectual behavior.

Education level

The control variable education level does not have a significant effect on either effectuation

or causation. This suggests that the behavior of entrepreneurs is not affected by the education

they have had.

Growth stage

Regression (2a) in Table 5 shows a significant effect positive effect of growth stage on

effectual behavior. The coefficient, .299, is significant at a 10% level. Besides that Table 6

shows a highly significant negative effect of growth stage on the use of causation. The

negative coefficients of the regression (2b) and (3b) are both significant at a 1% level. As it

was hypothesized that firms in later stages would use more causation and less effectuation,

these findings contradict the formulated hypotheses. The significant negative effect of growth

stage on the level of causation used is a remarkable finding, as it has often been theorized that

companies will evolve towards a more analytical logic as they grow. This finding however

can be interpreted multiple ways.

First off, it could be that companies that have grown have used less causal logic. While they

were growing may have relied on effectual behavior and as they grew because of the success

it has brought in earlier stages, they did not change this behavior. It could be that companies

that relied on causation a lot were less successful and therefore might not have reached

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further stages. This would explain why the companies in later stages use more effectuation.

However, since the data is not collected over time from the same company it is no insight is

given on how the use of entrepreneurial logic evolved over time.

Second, the use of effectual logics might be learned as a company grows. As a company

grows the entrepreneur might gain entrepreneurial experience, which could add to the

probability that an entrepreneur will focus use effectuation. Experience gained in current

company is not included in the variable experience, as that variable measures the experience

before starting the newest venture. Therefore, it could be that the growth stage also measures

a part of the entrepreneurial experience an entrepreneur has.

5. Further analysis of the results and discussion

In this section I will discuss the results found, test possible other relationships and analyze

whether the results found are robust.

First of all, as the dynamism of the market has not been found to have an effect on the

behavior of the entrepreneur. It could be that the uncertainty faced by entrepreneurs that

affects behavior is not only related to the market in which they are active. The perception of

the dynamism of the market might be a good indication of the uncertainty related to

competition and client demands. However, besides this uncertainty measure there could be

other ambiguities that influence the behavior. One of the things that is not is taken into

account is the perception of the own ability compared to the competitor. It might be that

entrepreneurs in a very dynamic market who feel that they better at innovating than

competitors use different behavior than a venture that does not perceive themselves superior

to the rest of the market. As the confidence one has in his/her own entrepreneurial capabilities

could influence the entrepreneurial behavior (Engel et al. 2014), the perceived dynamism

might not measure the whole uncertainty concerned with a start-up.

Furthermore, a venture can also be active in a not dynamic market, which it is trying to

transform with an uncertain technology or an innovative business model. While the market in

which the company is active can be rather mature and not dynamic, the companies

proposition might still cause a lot of uncertainty. An example that might clarify this process

would be the emergence of Netflix in the late ‘90s. As Netflix was active in the video rental

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market it could be argued that they did not face much uncertainty. However, Netflix used a

subscription model which in which clients pay month rather than per DVD and the DVDs

were delivered at home rather that rented at a store (Mayfield, 2006). Although, they were

able to analyze competitors such as Blockbusters and could study the demand for video rental

in each city. However, this might not be the favorable approach, as they still faced a lot of

uncertainty due to their innovative business model.

As we do not measure the innovativeness of the company in this studies, we are not able to

say whether this is also the case in this sample. If such relations are also applicable for the

collected data it could be that the dynamism of the market is not the best measure. Therefore,

it would be interesting to study whether the level of innovativeness of a venture has an

influence on the entrepreneurial behavior. This might help explain the lack of significant

relationship between dynamism and entrepreneurial behavior.

The results of this studies do not suggest relationships that would be expected based on the

literary research done. Most of the findings run counter the earlier hypothesized relationships.

This could be due to the environment in which the studied firms were active. To the best of

my knowledge this is the first time the antecedents of effectuation have been empirically

tested with data collected within an incubator. Therefore, it could be that relationships might

be affected by the environment in which the companies are active.

Incubators

Incubators often offer services such as advice from experienced entrepreneurs, training

programs and network events (Bergek and Norrman, 2008). The support within the incubator

and the entrepreneurial environment could help reduce the uncertainty inherent to a new

venture. It might be that a start-up within an incubator feels more confident than a new

venture that is not housed in an incubator. Therefore, it would be interesting to see how the

perceptions of uncertainty differ between companies inside and outside an incubator. If being

housed in an incubator influences the relation that an entrepreneur has to the uncertainty in a

market, the relationship might also differ for this sample. This would explain why no effect is

found for dynamism on entrepreneurial behavior.

Besides that the environment might affect the uncertainty perceived by the entrepreneur, it

could also influence the experience of the entrepreneur (Hughes et al., 2007). As discussed

earlier, incubators have a supporting function for starting entrepreneurs and often supply

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advice and support from more experienced entrepreneurs. This might reduce the difference

between an experienced and an unexperienced entrepreneur. If entrepreneurs without

experience have access to this knowledge and support this might therefore not be an essential

variable when explaining effectual behavior.

In other words, the incubation of a company might have an influence on the use of

effectuation due to the environment and support within the incubator. Although the data

available does not allow comparison with companies outside the incubator, it is possible to

see if an effect can be found using the total hours one has spent within the incubator. If

spending time within an incubator has an effect on the decision-making logics, the

entrepreneurs who have spent less time within the incubator would be expected to use less

effectual logics. The total time spend in the incubator was measured by asking how many

hours a week one spends on average in the incubator and how long they have been housed

within the building. By multiplying these we measure the total hours spend within the

incubator. This variable was added to regression (2a) and (2b) to see if spending more time

within the incubator has an effect on the entrepreneurial behavior. As can be seen from table

7 & 8 in Appendix 2, this variable has no significant effect on either causation or

effectuation. Furthermore, adding this variable does not change the earlier found significant

relationships.

This is not an optimal way to test whether the incubator has an effect, since it leaves out the

actual activities and interactions within the incubator and does not compare with companies

outside the incubator. Nevertheless, it is interesting to see that the time spent within the

incubator does not affect the behavior significant. Besides that it adds to the robustness of the

earlier found results as adding the new variable does not change the earlier found

relationships.

Growth stage

The results show that the growth stage has a negative effect on causation. An explanation

could be that as a company grows the entrepreneurs finds out that causal logics are not

optimal. Although this would be based on extra experience as an entrepreneur, the variable

experience does not capture this experience, as it only measures the experience one has

before starting the new venture. However, one could argue that the gained experience within

the current venture will have the same effect. If this would be the case it could be suggested

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that there is be a moderating effect of previous experience on the growth stage. This follows

the logic that if an entrepreneur is already experienced he will not learn as much from an

extra start up, whereas an inexperienced entrepreneur will learn more from the growth

process of the recent firm. To test this the variable growth stage*experience was added to

(2a) and (2b). The results of this regression are presented in Appendix 2 table 7 & 8. The

data does not support this hypothesized relationship. For both effectuation (P= 0.643) and

causation (P= 0.410) this variable was not significant, which suggests that there is no

moderating relationship growth stage on the effect of previous experience.

This implies that the effect of experience does not differ when a company is in a later growth

stage. This could be explained following two different logics. Either the growth stage of the

company does not affect the experience of the entrepreneur, and therefore the effect of

experience does not change in different stages. On the other hand, the lack of interaction

could be because the growth of the current venture adds to the experience of the entrepreneur

regardless of his previous experience. However, due to the available data it is not possible to

further investigate the relationship.

Measurement of entrepreneurial behavior

As discussed in section 3.2 the measurement for effectuation developed by Alsos et al. (2014)

did not provide data with a high Cronbach’s alpha. Therefore two statements within the

measurement were deleted to improve the internal consistency. However, to test the

robustness of the results found, the same multiple regressions have been performed with the

original scale. Although the Cronbach’s alpha of the original scale is 0.58 if all the five

questions are included, this does not necessarily mean that is does not measure the behavior.

Chandler et al. (2011) argue that effectual behavior does not always consist of simultaneous

use of all principles. Hence, the Cronbach’s alpha might suggest that the measurement is

inconsistent, whereas this might also be due to the nature of the behavior. Consequently, the

results of the regressions using this new measure can be expected to be similar to the results

of the earlier tests. This new dependent variable will be referred to as effectuation*. The

hypotheses presented in figure 1 are tested again following the same methodology, however

using a different measure for effectuation since it now includes the statements that were

deleted earlier.

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The results of these extra tests are presented in table 9 in appendix 2, and differ in some

aspects. With the new measure for effectuation the results still show no effect of market

dynamism on the use of effectuation. The results for entrepreneurial experience on the other

hand are different. When using the new dependent variable effectuation*, entrepreneurial

experience no longer has a significant effect on effectuation. Nevertheless, the non-

significant coefficient is still negative, which was also suggested by the results presented

earlier.

Interestingly, the control variable education level has a significant negative effect on

effectuation*. This proposes that the higher the education of the entrepreneur, the less likely

he is to use effectuation. This effect is significant at a 10% level, which is, looking at the size

of the sample a relevant relationship. It can be argued that effectuation runs counter the logic

of analyzing markets taught in business schools. Therefore, it could be that the use of

effectual approaches is rejected by higher educated entrepreneurs because they have learned

to do analysis in school. Since it has been found that effectuation has a positive effect on

performance (Read et al., 2009), it would suggest that a higher level of education might not

be beneficial to the entrepreneur. Nonetheless the data does not show a significant

relationship between causation and education level. This would propose that higher level

education does not make one more likely to use analytical approaches but just more likely to

reject non analytical approaches.

Moreover, the effect of growth stage is also no longer significant using effectuation* as a

dependent variable. This shows that not every significant relation found with causation also

implies a significant relation with effectuation. Harms and Schiele (2012) also found that a

positive relation with either effectuation of causation does not mean that the opposite relation

also appears from the data.

Altogether, the measurement of effectuation is essential to the findings as shown by these

extra tests. The significant findings of the antecedents on effectuation disappear as the other

measure for effectuation is used.

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6. Conclusion

In this studies the antecedents of effectual have been researched using empirical data from

entrepreneurs that are housed within an incubator.

The results suggest that dynamism of the market does not influence the entrepreneurial

behavior of an entrepreneur. The entrepreneurial experience of an entrepreneur on the other

hand has a negative effect on the use of effectuation and a positive effect on causal behavior.

The growth stage a firm finds itself is found to have a positive effect on effectuation and a

negative effect on causation. Besides that, no mediating effect of entrepreneurial experience

was found relationship between market dynamism and entrepreneurial behavior.

Furthermore, the results were robust when controlling for the number of hours spent within

the incubator, which suggests that presence within an incubator does not influence the

entrepreneurial behavior.

Limitations

Firstly, the used measure for effectuation in this studies has not provided consistent data. As

the results found using both measures for effectuation differ, the generalizability of the results

will be limited. A more detailed scale that measures the different proposed logics of

effectuation separately might be useful to improve the understanding of this behavior.

Secondly, as a result of the timeframe in which the data was collected, it was not possible to

study how the behavior changes over time. Although the data suggests that entrepreneurial

behavior changes as a firm grows, this can only be really measured with longitudinal studies.

Therefore, based on this research it is not possible to rule out the effect of not growing

companies on the data, as it could be that only specific companies are able to grow.

Thirdly, due to the relatively small sample that was available for the study, it was not possible

to do further classification of companies and split the sample to increase the homogeneity of

the sample. This would have helped to further clarify relations between the antecedents and

the behavior. Furthermore, an increased sample size might have helped to find significant

relationship in the interaction effects. As the sample was small it might not be optimal to

measure more subtle interaction effects.

Fourthly, since all the data was collected within an incubator it was not possible to adequately

measure the effect of incubation on the use of decision-making logics. This study attempts to

explain the effect of incubation, by taking time spent within an incubator into account.

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Nevertheless, this measure is not able to compare not incubated and incubated ventures.

Moreover, it lacks insight in how actively one benefits from incubation. For that reason, it is

not feasible to analyze and retrieve what part of the findings can be contributed to incubation

and the environment.

Fifthly, the used measure for experience is only able to measure the entrepreneurial

experience previous to the start of the current venture. This might therefore only partially

measure the experience of the entrepreneur. Consequently, the growth stage a venture might

also measure part of experience of the entrepreneur.

Suggestions for future research

Although some empirical research has been done to test the antecedents of effectual behavior,

there is still a lot unclear or unknown.

First of all, the uncertainty an entrepreneur faces might have different aspects. Therefore, it is

interesting to measure this more thoroughly including a measure of the entrepreneurs

confidence, the innovativeness of a product or service offered and other possible factors that

could influence the uncertainty faced by an entrepreneur. This could enlarge the

understanding of uncertainty as an antecedent of effectual behavior. This is needed since

earlier empirical findings do not unambiguously suggest a significant relations.

Secondly, the effect of each antecedent on the specific effectual logics could be studied in

more depth. As not all logics are applied at the same level (Chandler et al., 2011), it may be

studied how the different logics of effectuation are affected by its antecedents. Studying these

effects is useful as the literature at this stage does not provide a profound understanding of

the antecedents of effectual behavior.

Thirdly, the effect of growth stage on decision-making logics should be further explored.

Studies using longitudinal qualitative data might be able to provide insight in how

entrepreneurs change the decision-making logics as a company grows. Furthermore,

quantitative research might be able to use longitudinal data to improve the understanding of

the how antecedents change in influence over time.

Fourthly, the influence of an incubator and the services offered within an incubator on

effectual behavior and its antecedents should be explored. Since incubators environments that

try to enhance the entrepreneurial activity of the ventures housed, it is interesting to see

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whether companies within this environment show different entrepreneurial behavior than

companies outside an incubator. Further research on these effects might also help to put the

results found in this study in another perspective.

Appendix

Appendix 1- Results testing hypotheses

Table 1

Descriptive variables including skewness, kurtosis and Cronbach’s alpha

Variables Minimum Maximum Mean Std. Deviation Skewness Kurtosis Cronbach’s α

Dynamism 1.67 7.00 4.520 1.248 -.389 -.425 .884

Education 1 5 3.06 1.078 -.218 -1.450

Effectuation 1.40 5.60 3.573 .938 -.062 -.539 .584

Causation 2 6.20 4.516 .965 -.410 -.278 .638

Experience 1 8 2.96 1.508 1.191 1.793

Size (# FTE) 0 500 12.09 48.338 9.643 97.585

Firm Age (in years) 0 28 4.964 5.348 2.028 4.753

Growth stage (1 to 4) 1 4 2.06 .707 .384 .242

The scales for dynamism, effectuation and causation were based on 7-point Likert scales. The total score has been divided by

the amount of questions within the scale, which brings the score back between 1 and 7. The age was measured in years and

when a firm was not a year old yet the score was 0.

Table 2

Correlation matrix

Measure 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

1. Dynamism -

2. Education -.103 -

3. Effectuation .43 -.091 -

4. Causation .120 .077 -.392** -

5. Experience .060 -.043 -.163 .177 -

6. Firm Age .128 .017 .142 -.304** -.081 -

7. Size (#FTE) .089 .089 -.033 -.001 -.119 .408** -

8. Growth Stage -.032 .078 .179 -.335** -.057 .679** .270** -

* is significant at 5% level

** is significant at 1% level

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Table 3

Glejser tests for homoscedasticity

Dependent variable Residuals effectuation Residuals causation

Constant .387

(.374)

.732

(.305)

Dynamism .059

(.050)

-.033

(.041)

Experience .013

(.041)

.009

(.034)

Growth Stage .012

(.088)

.071

(.072)

Education level .064

(.058)

-0.020

(.047)

The first column with results shows the results of a linear regression with the absolute residuals of regression (2a) as the dependent variable,

whereas the second show the results of a linear regression with the absolute residuals of regression (2b) as the dependent variable.

Significant relationships between the residuals and the independent variables suggest heteroscedasticity in a Glesjer test.

* is significant at 5% level

** is significant at 1% level

Table 4

Paired T- test on the difference of the mean

Pair Mean Standard deviation T-value

Effectuation - Causation -1.28348** 1.82953 -7.391

* is significant at 5% level

** is significant at 1% level

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Table 5

Regression results with Effectuation as dependent variable

Variables (1a) (2a) (3a)

(Constant)

3.719***

(.592)

3.108***

(.667)

2.962***

(1.013)

Dynamism

.041

(.090)

.045

(.089)

.081

(.206)

Education level

-.102

(.104)

-.116

(.103)

-.118

(.104)

Experience

-.132*

(.074)

-.125*

(.073)

-.072

(.288)

Growth stage

.299*

(.157)

.295*

(.159)

Dynamism*Experience

-.012

(.062)

* is significant at a 10% level

** is significant at a 5% level

*** is significant at a 1% level

Table 6

Regression results with Causation as dependent variable

Variables

(1b) (2b) (3b)

(Constant)

3.412***

(.509)

4.392***

(.548)

4.022***

(.832)

Dynamism

.098

(.078)

.092

(.073)

.182

(.169)

Education level

.092

(.089)

.115

(.085)

.111

(.085)

Experience

.118*

(.064)

.106*

(.060)

.241

(.236)

Growth stage

-.479***

(.129)

-.489***

(.131)

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Dynamism*Experience

-.030

(.051)

Appendix 2 – Results further analysis

Table 7 and table 8 show the extra regressions used to deepen the understanding of the results of the main

hypotheses. The regressions were again done separate with effectuation and causation as dependent variable.

The extra variables were added to (2a) and (2b) to see if these variables have an effect on the entrepreneurial

behavior. Regression (4a) and (4b) include the interaction variable Experience*Growth whereas (5a) and (5b)

include the variable Hours spent within incubator.

Table 7

Extra regressions with effectuation as dependent variable

Variables

(2a) (4a) (5a)

Constant (β0)

4.060***

(.551)

3.837

(.732)

4.107

(.556)

Dynamism -.018

(.074)

-.023

(.075)

-.025

(0.075)

Education level

-.163*

(.085)

-.161*

(.086)

-.169*

(.086)

Experience

-.088

(.061)

-.004

(.190)

-0.087

(.061)

Growth stage

.161

(.130)

.273

(.275)

.142

(.132)

Exp*Growth stage

- -.040

(.643) -

Hours within incubator

- - 5.804E-5

(0.00)

* is significant at a 10% level

** is significant at a 5% level

*** is significant at a 1% level

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Table 8

Extra regressions with causation as dependent variable

Variables

(2b) (4b) (5b)

Constant (β0) 4.392***

(.548)

4.787***

(.728)

4.363

(.553)

Dynamism

.092

(.073)

.100

0.074

.105

(.075)

Education level

.115

(.085)

.111

(0.85)

.117

(.085)

Experience .106*

(.060)

-.042

(.189)

.111

(.061)

Growth stage -.479***

(.129)

-.678**

(.273)

-.460***

(.132)

Exp*Growth stage

- .071

(.086)

-

Hours within Incubator

- - 0.00

(0.00)

* is significant at a 10% level

** is significant at a 5% level

*** is significant at a 1% level

Table 9

Regression results with Effectuation* as dependent variable

Variables

(1a) (2a) (3a)

Constant (β0) 4.389***

(.484)

4.060***

(.551)

3.729***

(.688)

Dynamism

-.020

(.074)

-.018

(.074)

-.073

(.170)

Education level

-.155*

(.085)

-.163*

(.085)

-.161*

(.086)

Experience -.092

(.061)

-.088

(.061)

-.170

(.238)

Growth stage

.161

(.130)

.167

(.131)

Dynamism*Experience

.018

(.051)

* is significant at a 10% level

** is significant at a 5% level

*** is significant at a 1% level

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Appendix 3 - Questionnaire

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