the agricultural trade agenda - · pdf filethe agricultural trade agenda ... to enhance export...
TRANSCRIPT
Global Policy Analysis Division Office of Global
Analysis
The Agricultural Trade Agenda American Fats and Oils Association
October 12, 2017 Trade is Critical for American Agriculture.
Chuck Bertsch Foreign Agricultural Service 202 720-6278 [email protected]
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
LinkingU.S.AgriculturetotheWorldtoEnhanceExportOpportuni:es
andGlobalFoodSecurity
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
Why does agricultural trade matter?
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
Global Policy Analysis Division Office of Global
Analysis
“MiddleClass”inMiddleIncomeCountriesCouldReach765MillionHouseholdsBy2024,Up119%From2014Levels
112
233
35
557
727
149154
0 50 100 150 200 250
TaiwanColombiaMalyasia
SouthKoreaThailandVietnamRussiaTurkey
PhilippinesMexicoBrazilEgypt
IndonesiaIndiaChina
Householdsw/RealPPPincomesgreaterthan$20,000(millions)
2014
Proj.gainsby2024
Source: Global Insight’s Global Consumer Markets data as analyzed by OGA
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
But it’s not just the farm sector that benefits from agricultural exports …
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
1,000,000+JobsEach$1billioninexportssupports8,000jobs,bothon-andoff-farm.
EconomicAc:vityEach$1inexportsgeneratesataddi:onal$1.27ineconomicac:vity.
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
Trade agreements have been a key driver of the growth in U.S. farm and food exports …
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
TRADEAGREEMENTSDRIVEU.S.EXPORTS
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
$11
$12
NAFTA(1994)
China(1994)
Jordan(2001)
Singapore(2004)
Chile(2004)
Australia(2004)
CAFTA-DR(2005)
Morocco(2006)
Peru(2007)
SouthKorea(2012)
Colombia(2012)
Panama(2012)
Pre-AgreementPost-Agreement
WTOAccession
Bill
ion
US
Note: China reference is WTO Accession Note: four year data post agreement only for Colombia, Korea and Panama.
Ag Exports Before & After Trade Agreements
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
USFTAPartners China RestofWorld
TotalU
.S.A
gExpo
rts
A Growing Share of U.S. Ag Exports Go to Free Trade Agreement Partners
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
Secretary’s Trade Priorities: - Negotiation
• Renegotiate NAFTA • Do No Harm • Address Existing Tariffs • Move Forward Where We Agree (e.g., Biotech,
SPS)
• Bilateral Agreements • e.g., Japan, Vietnam, other SE Asia
• Continue to Work on China
• India?
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
Secretary’s Trade Priorities: - Promotion
• Marketing When Markets Opened/Expanded
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
Secretary’s Trade Priorities: - Enforcement
• Focus on Enforcing the Agreements We Have
• Prefer Negotiating, but Be Ready for Litigation • Already Looking into China’s Domestic Support • Already Looking into China’s Tariff-Rate Quotas
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
Secretary’s Trade Priorities: - Standards
• Work to Further Develop International Standards • e.g. Codex
• Moved Codex within the Department to New Mission Area: Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs • Not to Reduce Focus on Food Safety, But to
Better Insure Other Countries Don’t Use Codex in Non-Scientific Ways to Block Trade