the 2017 eu agricultural outlook conference · eu outlook for wine, olive, and fruit and vegetables...

Agriculture and Rural Development

The 2017 EU Agricultural Outlook conference EU outlook for wine, olive,

and fruit and vegetables markets

Brussels 18 -19 December 2017

#AgriOutlook


We hear


Taste

Changes in lifestyle

Quality Origin

Price

Health concerns

Environmental concerns

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1 2 3 4 5 6

Per capita consumption of selected vegetable products (kg or l)

2006 2016 2030

We buy, considering…


• Population growth

• Income increase

• Lifestyle

• Quality products

Growing world import demand

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

fresh

apples

fresh

tomatoes

processed

tomatoes

processed

apples

olive oil

2016 2030

-

5

10

15

20

25

30

wine

EU export 1 000 t million hl


2016 2030

-1 %

Stable apple production in the EU higher yields and a reduction in area

Modernisation of the sector: • Grubbing up of old orchards

• New plantings and new varieties

• New production systems Improved disease resistance and pest management

12.5 million t


2015* 2030

+3 %

Slightly growing production thanks to increasing yields

• Yield growth through extension of production seasons

• Intensified production

• Increase in value added

18 million t

*Given the high variability of production, projections are compared to the 2014-2016 average


2015 2030

+5 %

Sustained growth in olive oil production through further structural changes

• Yield growth

• through increase of irrigated areas extension of production areas

• Quality production

• Water use availability

2.4 million t


2016 2030

+2.1 %

Slightly higher wine production with increased focus on quality

• Grubbing up of old vineyards

• Partial replaced with new plantings

• Adaptation to climate change Irrigation

`

160 mio hl

the 2017 eu agricultural outlook conference · eu outlook for wine, olive, and fruit and vegetables...

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