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Country Presentation: Thailand Mitigating Vulnerabilities & Promoting Resilient Growth Sequencing, cost-efficiency and fiscal-sustainability social protectionPolicy Dialogue Kwanpadh Suddhi-Dhamakit 1 November 2012

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Page 1: Thaildn

Human Development Sector

Country Presentation: Thailand

Mitigating Vulnerabilities & Promoting

Resilient Growth

Sequencing, cost-efficiency and fiscal-sustainability

social protection– Policy Dialogue

Kwanpadh Suddhi-Dhamakit

1 November 2012

Page 2: Thaildn

Human Development Sector

• Poverty has declined but vulnerability to poverty is high:

• Ex-post coping strategies of vulnerable households:

– increasing working hours, borrowing money outside HH, and drawing

down savings by selling assets

• Asset decapitalization to cope with a shock can create

irreversibilities on education, health and nutrition spending among

vulnerable HHs

Does Thailand Need SP?

Page 3: Thaildn

Human Development Sector Thailand’s Context Population ~ 66 m

Population aged 15 and above ~ 52m

Labor Force ~ 38-39 m

Popn aged 15 and above = 52 m Non-Labor Force

~ 14 m

Informal ~ 24m Formal ~ 14m

Labor Market

Mechanisms/Policies

– Government

Employees:1.26m (9%)

– State Enterprise

Employees: 0.2m (1%)

– Private Employees and

Employers in Non-

Agriculture Sector: 11.5m

(82%)

– Agri’ workers in private

Sector: 1.2m (8%)

– Agriculture & Fishery: 14.5m

(60%)

– Manufacturing: 1.3m (5%)

– Construction & Utility: 1m (4%)

– Commerce: 3.9m (16%)

– Services: 3.5m (15%)

– Migrants?

– Children and Youth

– Elderly and Old-aged

– People with Disabilities

– Beggars and Destitute

– Other Economically

Inactive Groups

Unemployed ~ 0.5m

Page 4: Thaildn

Human Development Sector SP Schemes/Programmes

Labor Force

Non-Labor Force Informal Sector Formal Sector

• Civil Service Welfare

Scheme: 1.26m

o Health: CSMBS&SoE:6m

(including dependants)

o Old Age: GPF/SOE:1.4m

• SSS/WCF/PF: 8m

• PSTW: 0.2m

• Farm Income

Guarantee/Rice Mortgage

Scheme Programme

• Universal Health

Coverage: 48m

• Voluntary SS Extension

• Non-resident health

benefits

• Housing scheme

• Community-Based

Savings

• National Saving Fund

• Credit cards for specific

occupations

• Gov’t Social Assistance

Programs (orphans, children

from poor /unsecured

families, disadvantaged

women, elderly, homeless,

disables, HIV infected,

panhandlers)

• Non-gov’t social assistance

programs

• 500/600/700 baht pensions

• 500 baht disability benefit

• Village Funds, School-meal

Programs

• Informal Mechanisms

Private insurance: 1.5m

Community-Based savings

Page 5: Thaildn

Human Development Sector

Sickness

/health

Invalidity Death/

Funeral

Grant

Survivors Child

Allowance

Maternity

Childbirth

grant

Child Ed

Support

Old

age

U/E

Formal Sector

Agri and Non-agri

private sector

employees

Private school teachers

Civil servants

State Enterprise

Employees

Informal Sector

Informal workers under

voluntary SS extensions

Entrepreneurs and

business owners

Farmers and Agri sector

workers

Non-labour force and

others

Benefits by Work Status

Page 6: Thaildn

Human Development Sector

Age 0 - 18

Age 18 - 24

Age 24 – 60+

60+

Education

Health Care

Housing

Employment and

Income

Recreational Activities

Justice and Legal

Process

Other Social Services

Life-course Welfare System?

Page 7: Thaildn

Human Development Sector

• Coverage and Targeting:

– Informal sector? Agricultural workers? Life-course (birth to death) welfare

system?

• Design and Budget:

– Western style welfare state Vs Community-based welfare? Middle path?

Thai context?

– Affordability Vs Adequacy?

– Short-term needs Vs Long-term plan? Implications of future labour market

and technological changes?

• Implementation:

– National agenda Vs responsibilities of line agencies? Holistic approach Vs

Disintegrated proposals?

– Equity, Effectiveness, Efficiency, and Capacity ?

– Affordability, in context of aging society

SP Challenges

Page 8: Thaildn

Human Development Sector

• Social protection was chosen as one of the six key areas of the UNPAF (RTG/UN)

• Focus on enhancing Thailand’s capacity to provide universal basic social protection and higher levels of benefits, with the overall objective of ensuring the financial and institutional sustainability of the system

The UNPAF (2012-2016) on SP

Page 9: Thaildn

Human Development Sector

• Created in March 2010 to support the Royal Thai

Government (RTG) in the development of a holistic and

coherent social protection system.

• The team members

• ILO = chair

Social Protection Floor Joint Team in Thailand

Workers and employers

organisations Civil society

National

Statistics

Office,

academia

Line ministries (Labour,

Health, Social

Development, Education,

Finance), NESDB